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Trend Analysis

CAKE Breakdown – Major Bearish Move Incoming?#CAKE has broken a critical support level after forming a Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. 🔻 Key Observations: ✅ Triangle Breakdown – The price failed to sustain inside the pattern. ✅ Support Break – A major support level has been breached, confirming the bearish structure. ✅ Retest Zone – Price may retest the broken support before further decline. 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔹 Entry: Short at CMP or on a retest of support. 🔹 Target: Next support zone. 🔹 Stop-Loss: Above the retest level (tight risk management). 💡 What do you think? Will #CAKE continue its downtrend or surprise us with a reversal? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇👇 📊 Like & follow for more real-time market insights! 🚀🔥
Short
by mudusir
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W) Current Price: ~1.0416 📉 Bearish Context: Key Resistance: 1.05290 This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure. It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle. Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance. Key Support: 1.02838 Marked in blue as a potential short-term target. A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again. 📉 Current Scenario: The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle. A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward. If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached. 📈 Potential Trading Strategies: 🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close. Target 1: 1.02838 Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action). Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts). 🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup): Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle. Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280. 📌 Final Considerations: The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation. Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move. Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Gold Turning Bearish on H4Gold trading at 2866.xx It failed to hold above suggested weekly levels 2953/2958 by making high that was expected weekly resistance on long term charts that achieved low of 2832 on last Friday. Now as per H4 charts gold is changing bullish direction that started on Jan 2025 to corrective or sideways direction with expected resistance around 2907/2916 that limit the upsides upon test and correct gold further to 2839/2831 that is my initial Goal now. Please note failing to hold 2831/2830 may open 2790/2756. Buyers should work with cautions
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by investomaniapk
US30 LongTarget at 45,273 have still not been met. Price has kept collecting orders at in order to reach that target. Two weeks ago we saw price tank heavily in an attempt to collect orders at an liquidity region. This region seems to be at 43,100 daily liquidity level. Price hit that daily level and then we saw a sudden surge of buy momentum, indicating that price is going high. Price has broken structure on the daily and 4 hour timeframes, indicating that price will continue going upwards. Due to the monthly and weekly candlestick closures, I can tell that price is due to retrace lower before going upwards. I expect price to retrace lower forming an obvious liquidity region before I buy.
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by allan_mwenja2000
SPY at a Critical Reversal! Will Bulls Maintain Momentum? Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY * Trend Overview: SPY recently bounced off a key support level near 582-585, forming a potential reversal zone. * Volume & Price Action: * A strong recovery candle has formed, indicating increased buying activity. * 600.05 is the next major resistance level to watch. * If the price clears 597.5, it could gain momentum toward 610-615. * Indicators: * MACD is crossing bullish, suggesting potential momentum continuation. * Stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling potential resistance. * Support & Resistance Levels: * Key Support: 585, followed by 582.44. * Resistance Zones: 600.05, then 611-615. Options Flow & GEX Analysis for SPY * Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Major Call Resistance: 610-615 (where dealers may start hedging negatively). * Put Support Wall: 585-580, the strongest downside cushion. * If price holds 590+, dealers may shift their hedging and push SPY higher. * IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank: 34.5 (moderate implied volatility). * Put Positioning: 103.3%, suggesting heavy hedging on the downside. Trade Considerations * Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above 597.5, it could test 600-605, with 615 as a stretch target. * Bearish Scenario: If it breaks below 590, it may retest the support at 585-580. * Options Traders: Watch for GEX shifts; clearing 600 could trigger dealer hedging toward 610-615. Final Thoughts & Suggestion: * Short-term traders should watch how SPY reacts at 597.5-600 for confirmation. * Options traders can look for breakout confirmation above 600 before considering bullish positions. * Risk management is key—tight stops are necessary if price rejects resistance. 📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions. 🚀
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
BNB/USDT weekly chart indicates a few key points for analysis:As of the latest update, BNB is trading around $614.87. Strong resistance is visible around $663.27. Key support levels are highlighted around $478.30 and $205.25. The chart shows a potential cup-and-handle formation, suggesting a bullish outlook if the price breaks above the resistance level. Recent price action indicates a potential consolidation period, with movement occurring between established support and resistance. For a more detailed analysis, consider factors such as trading volume, market news, and overall trends in the cryptocurrency market. Always exercise caution and do further research before making any trading decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025 a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 3rd March 2025)Bias: Bearish USD News(Red Folder): -ISM Manufacturing PMI Analysis: -Price closed strong bearish on weekly -Looking for continuation to the downside as no bottom wick on weekly candle -Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 2890 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by HM_fxtrading
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively. On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week. On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario. On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market. On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand. On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation. Gold Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible. On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks. On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold. On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key. February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀 If you like detailed this analysis and today's strategy, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard