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NFP report for Thursday July 3, the crucial figure of the weekBeware this week for stock market fundamentals, as it's a special week. Friday, July 4 is an Independence Day holiday in the United States. On July 4, 1776, the Continental Congress adopted the Declaration of Independence, a text drafted principally by Thomas Jefferson, which proclaimed that the 13 American colonies had officially separated from the United Kingdom. For this first week of July on the stock market, this has a direct impact on the US fundamentals update. As you may know, it's the first Friday of every month that the US NFP report is updated, which is the monthly report on the US labor market. Consequently, this particular week sees the publication of the NFP report brought forward from Friday July 4 to Thursday July 3. It is therefore the stock market session on Thursday July 3 that will be the fundamental highlight of the week, with the NFP report likely to have a strong influence on the FED's monetary policy decision on Wednesday July 30. 1) The probability of the FED cutting its rate on Wednesday July 30 is just 21% At this stage, and following last Friday's US PCE inflation update, the probability of the FED resuming the cut in the federal funds rate is just over 20%. Despite the strong pressure exerted by Donald Trump on Jerome Powell's FED, the FOMC (the FED's monetary policy committee) is in no hurry to cut rates in the face of the risk of a rebound in inflation caused by tariffs. Last week, we offered you a fundamental analysis of the FED, which you can reread by clicking on the image below. 2) The US labor market seems to be starting to deteriorate according to the continuing weekly jobless claims In reality, there is only one fundamental factor that could allow the FED rate to be cut at the monetary meeting on Wednesday July 30: a deterioration in the labor market with the NFP report figures on Thursday July 3. It's true that the latest updates on ongoing weekly US jobless claims show an increasingly negative dynamic which could end up feeding the US unemployment rate higher. 3) Beware, the slightest upward tick in the US unemployment rate when the NFP report is updated on Thursday July 3 could accelerate the FED's timetable for resuming the US federal funds rate Keep in mind that the FED is pursuing two major objectives: inflation under control at around 2% and low unemployment. The FED's alert threshold is currently 4.4% of the labor force, and the consensus for the NFP report update of Thursday July 3 is 4.3% of the labor force. CAUTION therefore: if the US unemployment rate makes 1 or 2 upward ticks this Thursday, the probability of a FED rate cut on Wednesday July 30 will rise sharply. This is the fundamental highlight of the week. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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FRED:UNRATE
by Swissquote
CADJPY CONTINUING THE BEARISH TREND MARKET STRUCTURECAD/JPY Maintains Bearish Trend Structure – Key Levels to Watch The CAD/JPY pair continues to exhibit a clear bearish market structure, characterized by consistent lower lows and lower highs on the price chart. This pattern confirms sustained selling pressure, suggesting the downtrend remains intact for upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential downside extensions while monitoring key resistance levels for possible trend reversals. Bearish Confirmation: Lower Lows and Lower Highs The formation of successive lower lows and lower highs demonstrates firm control by bearish traders. This classic downtrend pattern indicates weakening demand for the Canadian dollar against the Japanese yen. Until this structure breaks, the path of least resistance remains downward. Downside Target: 104.900 in Focus If selling momentum persists, CAD/JPY could test the next support level at 104.900. A decisive break below this level may accelerate declines, potentially opening the door for further bearish movement. Traders should watch for price reactions near this zone for potential continuation or consolidation signals. Resistance Zone: 106.250 as Key Barrier On the upside,106.250 stands as a critical resistance level. Any corrective rallies toward this zone could attract fresh selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Only a sustained breakout above this resistance would signal a potential trend reversal, shifting momentum in favor of buyers. Market Outlook: Bearish Dominance Expected Given the prevailing price action, CAD/JPY is likely to remain under bearish control. Factors such as commodity price fluctuations (particularly oil, which impacts the CAD) and risk sentiment (influencing the JPY) may further drive the pair’s movement. Conclusion CAD/JPY’s bearish trend remains strong, with 104.900 as the next downside target and 106.250 acting as a key resistance. Traders may consider shorting rallies near resistance with proper risk management, while a break above 106.250 would require reassessment of the bearish bias.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
WTI CRUDE OIL: Brutal collapse expectedWTI Crude Oil has turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.990, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 38.289) and is expected to accelerate the effect as based on the 16 year Cycles, late 2025 and most of 2026 should experience a price collapse. The most optimal Buy Zone starts at $33.00, it could go lower but that's a solid base from which to expect a bounce back above $110.00 by 2028. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
Nasdaq (NQ) Continues Bullish Cycle, Reaching New All-Time HighThe Nasdaq (NQ) has surged to a new all-time high, reaffirming the strength of its ongoing bullish trend. The index established a significant low on April 7, 2025, at 16,460, following a sell-off triggered by tariff war concerns. This low marked a critical turning point, from which the Nasdaq embarked on a robust upward trajectory, unfolding in a five-wave impulse structure as per Elliott Wave analysis. From the April 7 low, wave 1 peaked at 18,357.25. A corrective wave 2 then followed which bottomed at 16,735. The index then rallied in wave 3, reaching 22,222, before a shallow wave 4 pullback concluded at 21,565.17, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. Currently, wave 5 is in progress, exhibiting an internal impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within this wave 5, wave (i) topped at 21,944.25, with wave (ii) finding support at 21,738.25. Wave (iii) extended to 22,915, followed by a wave (iv) correction that ended at 22,781. The final wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) of the higher-degree wave 5. Looking ahead, a wave ((ii)) pullback is anticipated to correct the cycle from the June 23, 2025 low, likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the index resumes its ascent. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 21,565.17 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, paving the way for further upside. This technical outlook underscores the Nasdaq’s resilience and potential for continued gains, provided key support levels remain intact.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
GoldHere's an analysis based on the information presented in the image: Overall Market Structure (from a quick glance): Recent Price Action: The price has recently experienced a significant decline, followed by a bounce. Order Block (OB): There's a clearly marked "4 Hours OB" (Order Block) which is a key area of interest for potential resistance. Potential Trading Setup: Entry: The "Entry" price is set at 3,340.00. This entry point is within the bearish order block, suggesting a short (sell) position. Stop Loss (S/L): The "S/L" is placed at 3,352.00. This is above the high of the 4-hour order block, aiming to limit losses if the price moves against the short position and breaks above the resistance. Take Profit (Profit): The "Profit" target is set at 3,296.00. This target is significantly lower than the entry, aiming to capture a downward movement. Risk-Reward Ratio: Risk: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the stop loss (3,352.00) is 12 points. Reward: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the take profit (3,296.00) is 44 points. Ratio: This implies a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.67 (44 / 12), which is generally considered favorable. Key Technical Concepts Illustrated (from the inset image): The smaller inset image on the left illustrates concepts commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow (IOF) trading: Order Block (OB): A price range where significant institutional buying or selling occurred, often leading to price reversals. The red box indicates a bearish order block. Entry: The point at which a trade is entered. FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: An area on the chart where price moved quickly in one direction, leaving an "inefficiency" or gap that price often retests. CHoCH (Change of Character): An early sign of a potential trend reversal, indicating a shift in market sentiment. BOS (Break of Structure): When price breaks a significant high (for a bullish trend) or low (for a bearish trend), confirming the continuation or reversal of a trend. The multiple "BOS" labels suggest a series of lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. BERISH DISPLACEMENT: Implies strong bearish momentum leading to lower prices. PRLII S: This specific acronym is not universally recognized but could refer to a specific pattern or setup within the trader's methodology, possibly related to liquidity or price action. Conclusion/Potential Interpretation: The chart suggests a bearish outlook for XAUUSD, with the trader looking to short Gold at the retest of a 4-hour bearish order block. The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio. The concepts in the inset image provide a theoretical framework for why this particular entry and targets might be chosen, based on institutional trading principles. The current price is at 3,322.285 at 08:33:38 +04, which is below the proposed entry, suggesting this might be a setup that the trader is waiting to happen or a retrospective analysis of a potential trade idea.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tdawly_Official
NEWT/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.3520 - 0.3700 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025
BINANCE:NEWTUSDT.PLong
by Ren_MomentumTrader
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳ As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈 As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀 For now, we wait! ⏳ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
July Seasonality Patterns For Index, Metals and ForexSeasonality can be a useful tool if used wisely (and in context) with current sentiment and news flows. Seasonality really is a backwards looking indicator that can easily be overpowered by key macro drivers. But its strength comes in to play when seasonality aligns with the macro landscape. With that in mind, I share my seasonality matrix for indices, metals and USD FX pairs to highlight potential patterns for July, then wrap up with an update on my Nasdaq 100 analysis. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by CityIndex
SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead. 🔍 The Technical Setup: SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern. As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone) Neckline/Resistance: $530 Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs) Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish. 📊 Momentum & Volume: RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building. MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend. Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up. 🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle: Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery. 🧭 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer. 🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
IOTA/USDT Weekly Analysis – Critical Support Retest 📊 Pattern & Price Structure: The chart indicates that IOTA is currently retesting a major historical demand zone in the range of $0.110 – $0.160, which has served as a strong support since 2020. The price has bounced off this area multiple times in the past, reinforcing it as a solid accumulation zone. There is also a potential formation of a double bottom or accumulation range around this level, which often acts as the foundation for a major reversal if accompanied by volume and momentum. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If this support holds and buyers show strength: 1. The price could rebound and test key resistance levels: $0.2454 (initial resistance) $0.3496 $0.4000 $0.4751 2. A breakout beyond those levels may trigger further upside targets at: $0.8982 (weekly key resistance) $1.4913 $2.000 $2.390 and potentially even $2.677 3. Bullish catalysts such as positive fundamental news, rising market sentiment, or visible accumulation volume could spark an explosive move. 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the $0.110 – $0.160 support zone: 1. A breakdown could lead to a decline toward previous extreme lows around: $0.0700 – $0.0534 2. This would signal a loss of long-term buyer interest and open the door to deeper bearish continuation. ⚠️ Technical Conclusion: The yellow zone is a make-or-break level — bulls must defend this to maintain any bullish structure. As long as IOTA stays above $0.110, the risk-reward favors a bullish reversal. A confirmed bullish weekly candle and volume spike would strengthen the bullish outlook. 📌 Key Levels: Major Support Zone: $0.110 – $0.160 Resistance Levels to Watch: $0.2454 → $0.3496 → $0.4000 → $0.4751 → $0.8982 → $1.4913 → $2.000 → $2.390 → $2.677 #IOTA #IOTAUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #AltcoinBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishReversal #CryptoSetup #SupportAndResistance 
Long
by CryptoNuclear
XAUUSD 4H – Full Technical & Fundamental Deep Dive🔷 Chart Structure & Trendlines Since early June, gold has formed a clean descending channel on the 4‑hour chart. Each bounce and rejection has respected these channel edges, which reflect consistent lower highs and lower lows. A long-term ascending trendline (from late March lows) was recently broken. This broken support has now flipped into resistance, and price is currently retesting it. The intersection of the descending channel’s top, the trendline resistance, and the 200 EMA creates a major triple-confluence zone—a classic area of institutional interest. 🔷200 EMA The 200 EMA on the 4H chart is acting as dynamic overhead resistance, which price is currently testing. Historically, during bearish regime, retests of the 200 EMA from below often trigger strong rejections. If price breaks above and holds, it would mark a significant shift in market sentiment. If rejected, it adds weight to the bearish trend. 🔷Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Supply Order Blocks A Fair Value Gap (vicinity of $3,340–3,350) remains structurally unfilled from the previous breakdown. Price is now re-entering that FVG region—an area often used by smart money to target liquidity and trap retail traders. This is a logical zone for sell orders, as price frequently reacts where gaps exist. 🔷Volume Profile: High/Low Volume Nodes A High-Volume Node (HVN) sits around $3,360, where most sustained trading has occurred. This acts as a strong resistance/distribution area. The current zone ($3,330–3,340) is a low-volume pocket, meaning moves through here can be fast, but rejections are still frequently seen. Below, there's another HVN around $3,280–3,290—a logical demand area and intermediate target for retracement. 🔷Fundamental Perspective – This Week to Friday 🔸 U.S. Fed Outlook & Dollar Dynamics U.S. dollar is weak, with growing speculation on imminent Fed rate cuts, partly due to pressure from political sources Fed remains cautious—no July cut likely, more probable in September Persistent volatility in Fed messaging means gold remains in play as a hedge. 🔸 Geopolitical & Macro Drivers Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, trade) continue to add safe-haven support Central banks, especially Australia, are upping gold purchases—may add structural support 🔸 Market Sentiment & Investment Flows ETF inflows remain robust—global central bank demand offsetting retail weakness Some macro research houses expect sideways action into early July, with range likely between $3,200–3,350 🔸 Risks Ahead of Friday Watch for U.S. jobs data, Fed speakers, and geopolitical headlines—any surprise could spark sharp moves. If Fed hints at delays in rate cuts or geopolitical risk cools, gold could see a rapid reactive drop. 🔷🤔 Possible Scenarios into Friday ✅ Bearish Rejection Price fails to clear $3,340–$3,360 zone. A strong rejection candle retests $3,280–$3,290. Could accelerate down to $3,240 if momentum picks up. ⚠️ Bullish Breakout Clean, high-volume break above 200 EMA and $3,360 HVN. Likely continuation to $3,380–3,400, especially if supported by fundamentals (e.g., inflation, Fed dovish pivot). 🔷My Personal Bias into Friday Slight bearish lean due to triple resistance confluence. Fundamentals are mixed: Fed caution supports gold structurally but no immediate catalyst. I will monitor price action closely: a sharp rejection off the 200 EMA area would confirm suspicion; but a clean breakout would require reassessment.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by cryptobrat000
APT/USDTKey Level Zone: 4.6666 - 4.7500 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
XRP/USDT Poised for Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle!Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle The symmetrical triangle is a consolidation pattern formed by a series of lower highs and higher lows, converging into a triangle shape. It reflects market indecision and often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward, depending on momentum and volume. 🔍 Pattern Description: Upper Resistance Line (Descending): Connecting the lower highs since February 2025. Lower Support Line (Ascending): Connecting the higher lows since December 2024. Consolidation Zone: Price has been moving sideways within the triangle, indicating accumulation. Critical Breakout Level: Around $2.23 — the price is currently testing this resistance. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks above the upper triangle resistance with strong volume: Target 1: $2.5855 (previous minor resistance) Target 2: $2.9534 (key historical resistance) Target 3: $3.2781 Maximum Target: $3.40 (local previous high and psychological level) Breakout Confirmation: A daily candle close above $2.30 with significant volume could signal a long entry. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break out and instead breaks down below the lower trendline: Support 1: $2.00 (psychological & horizontal support) Support 2: $1.85 Major Support: $1.55 (strong historical demand zone) Breakdown Confirmation: A daily close below the lower triangle boundary with high volume would signal further downside. 📌 Summary: XRP is nearing the apex of a symmetrical triangle — a major move is imminent. A confirmed breakout could trigger a rally towards $3.40. A breakdown may lead to a drop toward $1.55. Recommendation: Wait for confirmation before entering long or short positions. #XRP #XRPUSDT #CryptoBreakout #SymmetricalTriangle #XRPAnalysis #Altcoins #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishCrypto #CryptoSignal 
Long
by CryptoNuclear
ZEN/USDT Weekly Analysis: Major Accumulation Zone 🧠 Chart Analysis Overview (ZEN/USDT - 1W): This weekly chart of Horizen (ZEN) against Tether (USDT) reveals a long-standing accumulation zone, and current price action hints at a possible bullish reversal from a critical support level. Let's break it down: 🟨 Key Technical Zone: Support Zone (Accumulation): $5.06 – $7.06 This zone has acted as a major historical support area dating back to early 2021. Price has tested this zone multiple times and shown rejection, indicating strong buyer interest. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: 1. Price Rejection from Support: A strong bullish wick and potential bounce from the $7.06 area signals accumulation and possible reversal. 2. Upside Targets (Resistance Levels): $10.55 $14.71 $20.51 $30.08 $49.78 Long-Term Targets: $108.12, $144.81, $169.23 3. Pattern Indication: The price action resembles a triple bottom formation within the accumulation zone — a classic reversal pattern. The yellow projection shows a possible V-shape recovery or rounded bottom scenario. 4. Trigger Confirmation: A weekly close above $10.55 would be a confirmation trigger for continuation toward the next resistance levels. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: 1. Failure to Hold Support: If ZEN fails to hold the $7.06 support zone and closes below the historical low of $5.06, the bullish structure invalidates. 2. Downside Risk: Below $5.06, there's no significant historical support, suggesting a sharp drop is possible — potentially entering uncharted territory. 3. Bearish Breakdown Trigger: Watch for weekly candle body close below $5.06 with volume — this could initiate further downside pressure. 📐 Pattern Summary: Pattern Forming: Triple Bottom / Accumulation Zone Type: Reversal Pattern Timeframe Validity: Weekly – suitable for mid-long-term swing outlook Volume Context: Not visible in chart, but confirmation from volume would strengthen the setup 🎯 Strategic Outlook: Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (While above $7.06) Ideal Entry: Around $7.00 with tight invalidation below $5.00 Invalidation Level: Weekly close < $5.06 Take-Profit Zones: $10.55 → $14.71 → $20.51 → $30.08 → $49.78 #ZENUSDT #Horizen #CryptoReversal #AltcoinAnalysis #TripleBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #AccumulationZone #CryptoSwingTrade #SupportAndResistance #BullishSetup
Long
by CryptoNuclear