JPMorgan at a Crossroads Bullish Surge or Bearish Retreat ? Hello, fellow traders!
Today, I’m diving into a detailed technical analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) on the 2-hour chart, as shown in the screenshot. My goal is to break down the key elements of this chart in a professional yet accessible way, so whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, you can follow along and understand the potential opportunities and risks in this setup. Let’s get started!
Price Action Overview
At the time of this analysis, JPM is trading at 243.62, down -1.64 (-0.67%) on the 2-hour timeframe. The chart spans from late March to early May, giving us a good look at the recent price behavior. The price has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows, but we’re now seeing signs of a potential pullback or consolidation.
The chart shows a breakout above a key resistance zone around the 234.50 level (highlighted in red on the Volume Profile), followed by a retest of this level as support. This is a classic bullish pattern: a breakout, a retest, and then a continuation higher. However, the recent price action suggests some hesitation, with a small bearish candle forming at the current price of 243.62. Let’s dig deeper into the tools and indicators to understand what’s happening.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart is a powerful tool for identifying key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. Here’s what it’s telling us:
Value Area High (VAH): 266.25
Point of Control (POC): 243.01
Value Area Low (VAL): 236.57
Profile Low: 224.25
The Point of Control (POC) at 243.01 is the price level with the highest traded volume in this range, acting as a magnet for price. Since the current price (243.62) is just above the POC, this level is likely providing some support. However, the fact that we’re so close to the POC suggests that the market is at a decision point—either we’ll see a bounce from this high-volume node, or a break below could lead to a deeper pullback toward the Value Area Low (VAL) at 236.57.
The Total Volume in VP Range is 62.798M shares, with an Average Volume per Bar of 174.44K. This indicates decent liquidity, but the Volume MA (21) at 165.709K is slightly below the average, suggesting that the recent price action hasn’t been accompanied by a significant spike in volume. This could mean that the current move lacks strong conviction, and we might see a consolidation phase before the next big move.
Trendlines and Key Levels
I’ve drawn two trendlines on the chart to highlight the structure of the price action:
Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle formation, with a flat resistance line around the 234.50 level (which was later broken) and an upward-sloping support trendline connecting the higher lows. Ascending triangles are typically bullish patterns, and the breakout above 234.50 confirmed this bias. After the breakout, the price retested the 234.50 level as support and continued higher, reaching a high of around 248.02.
Current Support Trendline: The upward-sloping trendline (drawn in white) is still intact, with the most recent low around 241.50 finding support on this line. This trendline is critical—if the price breaks below it, we could see a deeper correction toward the VAL at 236.57 or even the 234.50 support zone.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Based on the Volume Profile and price action, here are the key levels I’m watching:
Immediate Support: 243.01 (POC) and 241.50 (recent low on the trendline). A break below 241.50 could signal a short-term bearish move.
Next Support: 236.57 (VAL) and 234.50 (previous resistance turned support).
Resistance: 248.02 (recent high). A break above this level could target the Value Area High at 266.25, though that’s a longer-term target.
Deeper Support: If the price breaks below 234.50, the next significant level is 224.25 (Profile Low), which would indicate a major trend reversal.
Market Context and Timeframe
The chart covers 360 bars of data, starting from late March. This gives us a good sample size to analyze the trend. The 2-hour timeframe is ideal for swing traders or those looking to capture moves over a few days to a week. The broader trend remains bullish, but the recent price action suggests we might be entering a consolidation or pullback phase before the next leg higher.
Trading Strategy and Scenarios
Based on this analysis, here are the potential scenarios and how I’d approach trading JPM:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the POC at 243.01 and the trendline support at 241.50, I’d look for a bounce toward the recent high of 248.02. A break above 248.02 could signal a continuation toward 266.25 (VAH). Entry could be on a strong bullish candle closing above 243.62, with a stop-loss below 241.50 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 241.50 and the POC at 243.01, I’d expect a pullback toward the VAL at 236.57 or the 234.50 support zone. A short position could be considered on a confirmed break below 241.50, with a stop-loss above 243.62 and a target at 236.57.
Consolidation Scenario: Given the lack of strong volume and the proximity to the POC, we might see the price consolidate between 241.50 and 248.02 for a while. In this case, I’d wait for a breakout or breakdown with strong volume to confirm the next move.
Risk Management
As always, risk management is key. The 2-hour timeframe can be volatile, so I recommend using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, if you’re going long at 243.62 with a stop-loss at 241.50 (a risk of 2.12 points), your target should be at least 248.02 (a reward of 4.40 points), giving you a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your account on this trade.
Final Thoughts
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 2-hour chart, with a confirmed breakout above the 234.50 resistance and a retest of this level as support. However, the recent price action near the POC at 243.01 and the lack of strong volume suggest that we might see a pullback or consolidation before the next move higher. The key levels to watch are 241.50 (trendline support), 243.01 (POC), and 248.02 (recent high).
For now, I’m leaning slightly bullish as long as the price holds above 241.50, but I’ll be ready to adjust my bias if we see a break below this level. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let the market show its hand before taking a position.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below, and happy trading!
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Trend Analysis
AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025
All the ingredients for a high probability short position. Weekly & daily 50 Exponential moving averages coming to join the short party. Higher time frame, namely the weekly time frame currently range with EMA beautifully in the middle of price action. That leaves from a deeper look into the lower time frames to see where the higher time frame EMA's line up.
I'll keep it snappy, what I require is price NOT to touch the Tokyo lows. This is added into the bag of FRGNT confluences. Price needs to trickle into the 15' just above the current Tokyo session. I need lower time frame breaks of structure to form post London open. A lower time frame order block to be created to short from. 5' Break of structure is what is I'd like to see.
Short and snappy short synopsis. I hope the photo paints the narrative better than I can explain it.
FRGNT X
Gold Price Analysis April 1D1 candle is still showing a remarkable increase of Gold. Signaling that the uptrend will continue for another half.
The wave in the h4 frame is still continuing a strong uptrend and no correction wave has appeared.
H1 is trading in the border zone of 3126 and 3142. The trading plan for GOLD to close below 3032 shows a clear downtrend to 3106. On the contrary, if the candle closes above, wait for the 3142 zone to confirm that it does not break the price, then SELL to 3106. 3163-3165 is the Target for the BUY signal to break the ATH when the candle confirms above 3143
Bitcoin Bullish Breakout – Uptrend to Continue! BTC is showing strong bullish momentum, currently pushing $84.6K and maintaining an upward trajectory. Here’s the key outlook:
🔹 Uptrend Confirmation: BTC holding above key support, signaling continuation.
🔹 Target: $86K– FWB:88K in the short term.
🔹 Resistance: $86.7K – Breaking above this level could accelerate the move to FWB:88K +.
🔹 Pivot Point: $82.9K – A key level to watch for potential pullbacks.
🔹 1H Timeframe Outlook: Buyers remain in control, reinforcing the bullish setup.
If BTC maintains its momentum and breaks resistance, we could see new highs soon! Keep an eye on volume and market sentiment.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BullishTrend #CryptoTrading #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis
Review and plan for 2nd April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Few stocks too.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
EOSUSDT Breakout with Strong Volume: Bullish Momentum BuildingEOSUSDT has recently completed a breakout, demonstrating strong bullish momentum with significant volume backing the move. The breakout from the previous resistance level indicates a potential trend reversal, and with the volume surge, it confirms that investors are actively participating in this rally. Market sentiment appears positive, and the pair is well-positioned to capitalize on this momentum.
With the current bullish outlook, EOSUSDT shows promising potential for gains ranging from 90% to 100% or more. The increasing interest from investors further supports the likelihood of continued upward movement. If the buying pressure sustains, we may witness a robust rally that could attract more attention from the trading community.
Technical analysis highlights that the successful breakout combined with consistent volume influx may serve as a solid foundation for future growth. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels to make the most of potential price surges. As the momentum builds, managing risk effectively and staying updated with market conditions will be crucial.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
SPY UpdateIt appears that intermediate (A) had OML to give us before it was finished. Price literally moved $0.08 cents below the larger 1.236 and then gave us a reaction. We also got better pos div completing the reqs for a healthier consolidation higher. If we have in fact bottomed, then I would expect the ensuing price action to resemble the dotted line I have drawn on the chart. This doesn't mean that price will follow this pattern to the T. It is just what a standard abc pattern would appear like. Don't forget that b waves are extremely complex more times than not, so that could alter the way this pattern gets carved out. Also, the dotted line may look straight, but the structure will be far from it. People often times forget that price doesn't move in one direction, and there will be choppy overlapping moves. Regardless on how the pattern turns out, if the (A) wave is in fact complete, then the target box is the standard place for intermediate (B) to terminate at.
I expect this next move to take 2-4 months if it is to compare to the time duration of the (A) wave. There are no rules governing duration, though. Technically speaking, (B) could be over by the end of the week. The odds of that happening are extremely low, but it is possible.
#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a support area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.844.
Entry price: 0.838
First target: 0.828
Second target: 0.809
Third target: 0.789
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Analysis
This chart provides a technical outlook on **Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing possible **bullish** and **bearish** scenarios based on price action and support/resistance levels.
Bullish Outlook
Key Support Holding**: Gold is staying above **$3,125-$3,130**, showing buyers are stepping in.
- **Uptrend Structure**: Price is following a rising trendline, meaning bullish momentum is intact.
- **Breakout Zone**: If Gold surpasses **$3,155-$3,160**, it could rally toward **$3,170-$3,180**, as no major resistance exists in that range.
What to Watch?
- A strong breakout with volume above **$3,155-$3,160** confirms upside potential.
- Look for support at moving averages (EMAs) to validate trend continuation.
Bearish Outlook
- **Resistance Rejection**: If Gold fails to break above **$3,155-$3,160**, it might face selling pressure.
- **Break Below $3,140**: If price drops under this level, it could target **$3,125-$3,110**, which is the next key support.
- **Further Downside**: A breakdown below **$3,110** could lead to a deeper decline towards **$3,090-$3,080**.
What to Watch?
- A drop below **$3,140** with strong volume could confirm further downside.
- If selling pressure increases, Gold may retest lower support zones.
Final Thought
Gold is currently in an **uptrend**, but traders must monitor key levels:
✔ **Bullish if** it breaks **$3,160** 📊
✔ **Bearish if** it falls below **$3,140** 🔻
Stay cautious and wait for price confirmation before making a move! 🚀
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News)
Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish –
4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence
Lower Timeframe Breakdown
1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher
MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC
15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
Silver Wave Analysis – 2 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 34.50
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 33.50 (former monthly high from February), 20-day moving average, support trendline from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active impulse waves iii, 3 and (C) – inside which Silver has been moving since December.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 34.50 (the former monthly high from last month).
EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.