Trend Analysis
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise
China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations .
📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft
April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks .
🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience .
🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories
U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 4:
2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks
Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Microsoft - This might be the ultimate breakout!Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT - will break the all time high:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
If you wonder why Microsoft has been rallying +15% this month, market structure will give you an answer. In fact, the recent bullish break and retest was totally expected, and if we take into account the recent quite strong bullish behaviour, an all time high breakout will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $450
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
SPX Key Levels to Watch Jun 4 In today’s analysis of the S&P 500 (SPX), we’ll break down the crucial levels to watch as we head into June 4th. After perfectly testing the 5929 level yesterday, the market bounced back, setting the stage for potential moves. We’ll discuss the new support range between 5954 and 5967 and what it means for traders. If this range holds, we might see a rally towards 6165, but if it falters, a drop to 5850 could be on the horizon. These levels are highly actionable, so stay sharp and ready to react!
RAMKAY INFRA technical analysis Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. (NSE: RAMKY) is currently trading at INR 510. The company operates in the engineering and infrastructure development sector, specializing in environmental services, real estate, and industrial projects across India.
Key Levels
Support Levels: INR 312.90, INR 461.70, INR 545.45
Swing Level: INR 634.05
Possible Upside Levels: INR 949.60, INR 1,098.40, INR 1,287.95
Technical Indicators
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.03, indicating neutral momentum, meaning the stock is balanced without strong bullish or bearish pressure.
Volume: Trading volume has been stable, reflecting consistent investor interest. A surge in volume at resistance levels could confirm a breakout toward higher price points.
Sector and Market Context
Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. operates in India’s construction and infrastructure sector, benefiting from government-backed urban development projects, road construction initiatives, and smart city planning. The sector has seen strong demand growth, bolstered by budget allocations for capital expenditures and private sector participation in infrastructure financing. However, fluctuations in construction material costs, regulatory approvals, and financial structuring remain key risk factors. Investors continue to monitor India’s infrastructure investment trends, which provide long-term stability but are subject to economic cycles.
Latest News and Developments
Market Trends: Strong institutional interest in construction and infrastructure stocks, driven by India’s focus on urban expansion.
Analyst Ratings: Recent reports suggest positive earnings growth, backed by new project acquisitions and improved execution timelines.
Quarterly Results: The company reported consistent revenue and stable profit margins, despite higher operational costs.
Dividend Update: The firm has declared a dividend of ₹6 per share, reinforcing investor confidence in its financial stability.
Analysis Summary
Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. presents a stable technical setup, with RSI reflecting neutral positioning and price movement near key levels. Volume trends suggest continued investor engagement, while sector-wide expansion supports long-term growth potential. Investors should monitor price action at resistance levels, upcoming project approvals, and broader economic indicators before making investment decisions. A cautious but strategic approach is advisable, considering market volatility and cyclical industry risks
Worldcoin Eyes Breakout But Faces Strong HeadwindsWorldcoin is currently facing a key resistance zone that was previously acting as strong support — a classic flip that now caps upward moves.
Despite recent recovery, the price is still trading below the descending trendline, which continues to act as dynamic resistance.
Until we see a confirmed breakout above this confluence zone, upside potential remains limited. A rejection here could send the price back toward previous support levels.
Keep an eye on this area. A strong breakout could shift momentum, but for now, caution is warranted.
DYOR, NFA
Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
💛 If you appreciate this sniper-grade breakdown:
👍 Smash that LIKE
💬 Comment your thoughts below
📍 And follow GoldFxMinds for real-time intraday updates and battle-tested plans.
Let’s trade like tacticians, not gamblers.
— GoldFxMinds
What is a Bearish Breakaway and How To Spot One!This Educational Idea consists of:
- What a Bearish Breakaway Candlestick Pattern is
- How its Formed
- Added Confirmations
The example comes to us from EURGBP over the evening hours!
Since I was late to turn it into a Trade Idea, perfect opportunity for a Learning Curve!
Hope you enjoy and find value!
GOLD1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield
Gold and 10-year Treasury yields generally exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When bond yields rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa.
This is primarily because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not pay interest or dividends. Investors prefer bonds when yields rise, reducing gold demand.
However, the key driver for gold is real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Even if nominal yields rise, if inflation rises faster, real yields can remain low or negative, which supports gold prices.
Historical data shows gold often rises during periods of falling real yields, even if nominal yields fluctuate. For example, gold surged in the 1970s despite rising nominal rates due to high inflation and negative real yields.
2. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY)
Gold and the US dollar index (DXY) usually have an inverse relationship.
A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally.
However, during times of geopolitical uncertainty or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe havens.
3. Interest Rates and Gold
Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar, indirectly affecting gold.
Rising interest rates tend to push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, both of which typically pressure gold prices.
Conversely, expectations of rate cuts or dovish monetary policy lower yields and weaken the dollar, supporting gold.
The real interest rate is the most important factor: low or negative real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting its appeal.
4. Summary of Interactions
Factor Relationship with Gold Explanation
10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Higher yields raise opportunity cost, reducing gold demand
Real Interest Rate Inverse Negative or low real rates support gold
Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally
Nominal Interest Rate Inverse Higher rates strengthen dollar and yields, pressuring gold
Conclusion
Gold prices are strongly influenced by the interplay of real interest rates, bond yields, and the US dollar. Rising nominal yields and a strong dollar generally weigh on gold, but if inflation outpaces yields, resulting in low or negative real rates, gold remains attractive as a hedge. This dynamic explains gold’s resilience despite fluctuating bond yields and dollar strength in 2025.
What is the TACO trade in forex trading? The “TACO trade” – short for “Trump Always Chickens Out” – originated in equity markets but is equally relevant in forex. The pattern is simple: Trump signals aggressive tariffs, markets react and then reverse when the threat is walked back.
One example: In May 2025, the U.S. dollar weakened sharply after Trump announced a 50% tariff on EU imports. EUR/USD rallied to 1.1440 as traders priced in slower U.S. growth. But just days later, the Trump delayed the tariffs to July, and the dollar quickly regained ground.
For forex traders, the TACO trade strategy is about timing: entering on initial panic and exiting on the rollback.
That said, it’s not without risk. If tariffs are actually enforced, the dollar’s decline may be more prolonged. And with markets increasingly aware of this pattern, reactions may become less predictable.
Ethereum - The most important analysis for 2025!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is clearly shifting bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After four years of trading, Ethereum is now sitting at the exact same level compared to mid 2021. However, Ethereum has been creating a significant triangle pattern and with the recent bullish price action, a breakout becomes more and more likely. Then, the sky is the limit.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
AAVE SHORT ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
gbpjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
a generational rally is upon us ;)boost and follow for more! 🔥
temporary breaks of trend support from 2024, but we quickly reclaim every time.. GME bulls continue to hold the line. Watch for a break of trend resistance + OB level, after that a push into 34 short term is likely ✅
push into 50-100s is looking likely when I look at the weekly-monthly timeframe instead of the daily! good luck to everyone in this, it looks promising. see you soon with more charts! ✌️
monthly chart: levels to watch are 45.66-62.65-120.06
FATCOIN – Eyeing Sub-$1 Accumulation
Liking what I’m seeing—early signs of weakness showing up at key levels across a number of alts.
This opens up the chance for a healthy market retrace before any continuation.
As for $FATCOINUSDT, I’m expecting sub-$1 levels over the next couple of weeks. That’s where I plan to accumulate a substantial position.
$FARTCOIN