ARKK DOOMED!Classic 123 wave move down! As I like to say Short when no one else is looking! Not when everyone is looking. TOO LATE!
Simple but very effective pattern with excellent risk-reward. Remember, I am a macro trader, so don't expect to see a return on this investment tomorrow.
I won't get into the macro stuff.
Trend Analysis
Gold Market Holds Bearish Structure Below 3291Gold market continues to hold firm within the bearish channel, with 3291 acting as a supply zone, maintaining pressure down toward 3269. As long as this zone remains unbroken, bearish momentum stays in play.
🔍 Key Insight:
3291 = active supply resistance
3269 = short-term target if sentiment holds
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DGKC – BUY SIGNAL | 01 AUGUST 2025 DGKC – BUY SIGNAL | 01 AUGUST 2025
The stock is trading in an upward bullish channel (marked light blue) and has previously completed two upward pushes. A third and final push is anticipated in this structure. Additionally, a high-probability buy setup has emerged, providing strong confluence for a bullish move.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 68.21
1st Support: 65.56
1st Resistance: 72.91
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$SOL Loses Key Support | Eyes on $140 & $95 Zones📉 CRYPTOCAP:SOL Loses Key Support | Eyes on $140 & $95 Zones
🕵️♂️ On the daily timeframe, #Solana has officially lost its key support near $140, which previously acted as a strong bounce zone. A failure to reclaim this level could open the gates for a deeper drop toward the $95–$100 support range.
📊 Indicators signal downside:
RSI is trending downward
MACD shows a bearish crossover
Stochastic RSI confirms continued selling pressure
⚠️ Macro pressure adds fuel to the fire: August 1st tariff tensions, with expected news from Trump on charging Paris, are weighing down global risk assets. Historically, August tends to be a bearish month for crypto markets.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $140
Major Support: $95–$100
🧠 Trade wisely and manage risk accordingly.
TPL – BUY SIGNAL (REVISIT) | 01 AUGUST 2025 TPL – BUY SIGNAL (REVISIT) | 01 AUGUST 2025
The stock was previously moving within a bullish channel (marked light blue), but recently broke down from it, triggering a potential trap. However, it found strong structural support and formed a spring near the excess line , a classic Wyckoff reversal signal. With a reclaim of structure and confirmation of bullish intent, TPL appears ready to resume its upward leg toward key resistance levels.
MATA | Long Swing Setup | Trapped Sellers (Aug 2025Matador Technology Inc. (Canada) | Long Swing Setup | Accumulation & Trapped Sellers (Aug 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Matador Technology is an interesting small-cap play led by Mark Morris, who has a strong vision for tech innovation and market trends. Right now, price action shows signs of flushing out trapped traders, which could set up a big upside opportunity if we manage risk carefully.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (Swing)
Entry: Watching accumulation zones between $0.50
Stop Loss: Below $0.40 (invalidates structure and opens downside risk)
TP1: $0.87 (initial target, partial exits recommended)
TP2: $1.80 (mid-term target)
Final TP: $3.00 (long-term aggressive target)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
Right now, the stock is extremely volatile. The goal is to buy where others are trapped and forced to sell. A clear break below $0.20 would be very dangerous and could push price as low as $0.10.
On the upside, we want to see the stock reclaim the $0.50 zone convincingly. This could build momentum towards $0.87 and beyond. Patience is key—this is a swing trade, not a quick scalp.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I’ll monitor the price action around $0.40–$0.50 and update if we get a breakout from the current downtrend channel.
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RUNE at the Brink: Rebound Opportunity or Breakdown Incoming?🧩 Overview:
RUNE/USDT is currently hovering at a critical support zone — a historical demand area that has triggered strong bullish rallies in the past. Positioned between $1.00–$1.30, this level has been a battle ground between buyers and sellers. The big question now: Will RUNE bounce for a bullish reversal or break down into deeper lows?
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🔍 Key Levels Identified:
Major Support Zone (Demand Area): $1.00 – $1.30 (yellow box)
Immediate Resistance: $1.95 → $3.11 → $4.92
Extended Bullish Targets: $6.87 → $9.09 → $11.48 → $15.02
Deeper Bearish Targets (if support fails): $0.80 → $0.55 → $0.32
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🟢 Bullish Scenario (Recovery Rally):
📌 Key Signal: Strong hold and price reaction above the $1.00–$1.30 zone.
1. Reversal Patterns: Look for double bottom, bullish engulfing, or strong weekly pin bars to signal a potential reversal.
2. Momentum Confirmation: A breakout above $1.95 with high volume could trigger a strong continuation to $3.11 and $4.92.
3. Macro Tailwinds: A broader recovery in Bitcoin and the crypto market could enhance bullish pressure on altcoins like RUNE.
🎯 Mid to Long-Term Bullish Targets:
$3.11 → $4.92 → $6.87+
Potential upside of 200–400%+ from current levels if bullish structure confirms.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown):
📌 Critical Risk: Weekly candle close below $1.00 with volume confirmation.
1. Support Breakdown: If $1.00 fails, price may revisit previous lows around $0.80 or even test historical demand levels at $0.32.
2. Bearish Continuation Pattern: Sustained lower highs and lower lows suggest downtrend continuation unless invalidated.
3. Volume Pressure: Heavy sell volume on breakdowns reinforces bearish bias.
⚠️ Bearish Targets: $0.80 → $0.55 → $0.322 (historical low)
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🔄 Pattern & Structure:
Historical Accumulation Zone: The yellow box has been a long-term accumulation area since 2021.
Repeat Behavior: Previous touches to this zone sparked multi-week rallies.
Potential Wyckoff Accumulation: If price forms a sideways range with rising lows, this may be the early stage of a markup phase.
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🧠 Strategic Outlook for Traders:
✅ Bullish Strategy:
Conservative entry: Wait for breakout + retest of $1.95
Aggressive entry: Accumulate within $1.00–$1.30 zone with tight stop below $0.98
❌ Bearish Strategy:
Short setup on confirmed breakdown below $0.98
Avoid trading without confirmation of direction (no FOMO)
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🚀 Conclusion:
RUNE is standing at a make-or-break level — a tipping point between a bullish breakout or further bearish pressure. Smart traders don't just predict direction; they prepare for both outcomes. This is not just a technical zone — it's the market’s decision point.
#RUNE #RUNEUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #AltcoinWatch #BreakoutSetup #DemandZone #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoOutlook #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #Wyckoff
KSE 100 Technical Analysis 01-08-2025KSE 100 Technical Analysis | 01-08-2025
The KSE 100 index has formed a trading range between 136000 and 140200. After breaching the previous resistance at 13900, the index retested this level in the final hour of trading. We expect the index to rise from this level, cross the upper limit of the trading range, and move towards a new target.
Key Levels
- *Support*: 136000
- *Resistance*: 140200 (upper limit of the trading range)
- *Recent Breakout Level*: 139000 (successfully breached and retested)
Expected Movement
- Rise from current levels
- Breakout above 140200
- Target: 142775 (applicable after successful breakout)
Current Trend
- The index is still in a bullish trend, with potential for further upside.
Is This the Start of a Market Drop?So, is the drop beginning? It kind of looks that way, but there’s still no solid setup for entering a short position — and there hasn’t been so far.
The trend is still upward for now, and this current pullback might just be temporary.
What I like about the short idea is that August is traditionally a weak month for stocks .
Could this be the start of a big correction on the market? Yes, it’s possible.
It’s just a pity there’s no clean setup for a short. I’d like to enter, but I’d prefer to see a bit more confirmation on the chart itself.
In general, trading the index off of chart setups isn’t easy — perfect entries are rare. That’s exactly the case now. I’m watching and wondering how and when to catch the downside. Maybe I’ll end up sitting through the entire drop without a position :)
Overall, I’m in favor of the short — but for now, I just don’t see a clear entry point.
Platinum Still Has Room to RunJust like with silver, the potential for further growth in gold remains, despite the setbacks of recent days.
It seems the precious metals market didn’t mourn the Fed’s decision and subsequent press release for long.
The uptrend remains intact, and the previously supportive factors are still in play.
Even amid the negative news, there was no sharp sell-off — everything stayed within the trend. This clearly signals that rate cuts are on the horizon, and metals are likely to continue their upward move.
I’m in favor of continued upside.
Stop-loss is placed below yesterday’s low — now we wait for higher levels.
Shakeout On The WayUnlike the SPX, the DJI didn't make a higher-high. Why is this? I think partially because it's price weighted as opposed to market cap weighted like the Nasdaq or SPX. The other part would be CPI numbers.
So what's next for the DJI? I see hidden bullish divs long term and hidden bearish divs short term, this a common shake out tactic I see to liquidate longs and shorts. I'll be looking to load up on the trade at the bottom of the channel and play the range as it develops.
As always: stay calm, don't panic, and don't forget you can always use a stop loss
The fear and green index is at 74, when people are greedy be fearful.
2 Scenarios for BTCNow that the cup and handle formation has been reached and the correction finished, I think we have 1 more leg up.
It's also possible that we fall from here, but I think another fakeout upwards is likely as bearish divergence forms on the month, but isn't quite there yet (RSI needs 1 more higher high to confirm bearish divergence)
Either way, my short targets are the 0.618 fibs. I am expecting the typical -70-75% crash by 2027 before the next cycle begins
NFP data is positive, the bullish trend remains unchanged#XAUUSD
The current market, influenced by data such as NFP, remains bullish, even briefly pushing towards the 4H upper limit of 3350, reaching a high near 3354.📈
In the short term, gold still has upward momentum and could even reach the previous high resistance level near 3375.🐂
Currently, gold is undergoing a technical correction and needs to begin a pullback to accumulate more bullish momentum, giving traders who previously missed the opportunity to get on board.🚀
As resistance continues to rise, support below will also rise. 📊If gold retreats below 3335-3315, consider going long.📈
🚀 SELL 3335-3315
🚀 TP 3350-3375
BTCUSD Daily Analysis – Key Entry & DCA ZonesBitcoin is currently pulling back after a strong bullish move, now hovering near $115K. The correction opens a potential window for smart entries based on prior market structure and order block analysis.
🔍 Bullish Order Block (OB):
✅ Zone: $107,534 – $109,756
This area previously served as a breakout zone after consolidation. A retest of this region could act as strong support, making it a prime candidate for short- to mid-term bullish setups.
🟧 DCA Zone (Long-Term Accumulation):
✅ Zone: $98,543 – $103,297
Ideal for long-term investors looking to build exposure gradually. Dollar-cost averaging in this zone allows entry at historically undervalued levels in case of a deeper pullback.
🧠 Trading Insight:
Patience pays. Let price come to your levels rather than chasing. Use alerts and consider scaling into positions with proper risk management.
📌 Chart Context: 1D | COINBASE
📆 August 2025
📈 TA by: @NFX_Solutions
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #OrderBlock #TradingView #CryptoStrategy #DCA #SwingTrade #SupportZone
BTC Breaks Support – What's Next for Bitcoin?🧠 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – August 1st, 2025
📉 BTC/USD is under pressure, currently trading near $114,200, after dropping from the recent range highs. The chart shows a clear breakdown from a key consolidation zone between $114,000–\$115,500, marked as a crucial support zone.
🔍 Key Observations:
Major resistance remains at $123,000, where BTC topped mid-July.
A bullish trendline from early July has been broken — confirming momentum shift.
Local support sits at $111,800, a potential next landing zone if this breakdown continues.
The RSI (14) is now in oversold territory, below 30, signaling potential bounce or short-term relief — however, no bullish divergence is visible yet
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🔎 Volume Spike & Momentum:
A noticeable volume spike has appeared alongside the breakdown, confirming strong selling pressure .
Short-term moving averages (e.g., 10 EMA) are now above price, adding to the b earish short-term bias.
🧭 Conclusion :
This region is critical for bulls — if BTC can reclaim the purple support box, it could invalidate the breakdown and trap aggressive shorts. Otherwise, \ $111,800 is the next area to watch for a reaction.
Let me know your thoughts below — Will this support hold or is \$110k next?