Trend Analysis
Bitcoin Cup and HandleBitcoin has form a rounding bottom and handle this is bullish pattern and if it breakout we can go to 112K-130K for the next leg up we should also consolidate at this range for a few months before making a next leg up to 180k. This can also be the top for this cycle if we go to the 3.618 fib level. Bearish side of this if we reject here we can form 3 lows and a triple top which will most likely end with a lower low then last month .
Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN) Drops 8% as Trump Tariffs Shake Markets. Amazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) is facing huge downward pressure following President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs. The stock dropped 9.26% in early trading, reaching $176.92 as of 11:01 AM EDT.
These tariffs impact over 100 countries, including China, a key supplier for third-party merchants on Amazon’s platform. Rising import costs could push prices higher, affecting consumer spending and Amazon’s profit margins.
Looking at the broader market, it is also struggling from the tariffs. The Magnificent Seven stocks, including Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, have all seen huge drops.
Amazon’s 8% drop is among the largest, further highlighting its vulnerability to trade disruptions. If these tariffs persist, they could reignite inflation, weigh on economic growth and further impact stock prices. Amazon has faced major market shifts in the past. In 2022, its stock lost over 50% of its value within a few quarters.
The question now is, can the current decline lead to similar losses?
With Amazon trading at $242 in February, some fear it could drop below $120 if the economic outlook worsens.
Adding to concerns, geopolitical risks remain high. The ongoing war in Ukraine, coupled with uncertainty over future U.S policies, creates a volatile environment for stocks. Amazon’s reliance on global supply chains and consumer spending makes it highly sensitive to market shocks.
Technical Analysis
Looking at Amazon technically, there has been a downtrend since early February when it reached an all-time high and a 52-week high of $242. This peak came shortly after the presidential inauguration, but since then, the market conditions have not been favorable. The introduction of new tariffs has fueled bearish momentum, pushing Amazon lower toward key support levels.
Currently, the stock is testing a double support level, an ascending trendline and a horizontal support around $180. If buyers step in at this level, a rebound could occur, targeting the previous $252 all-time high. However, given the economic uncertainty, there is a strong chance the stock may break below this current support.
If the weekly candle closes strongly below the $180 level, the next critical point where the stock might find support is around $144. This area has historically provided strong buying interest and it may serve as a potential bottom if the decline continues.
Looking at momentum indicators, the weekly RSI currently sits at 33, indicating strong bearish momentum. Despite the reading approaching the oversold reading, macroeconomic data shows the downtrend remains dominant and further losses could be ahead.
What's the Outlook? Can Amazon Recover Soon?
The coming weeks will be crucial for Amazon’s stock. With earnings expected between April 28th and May 2nd, market sentiment may shift based on revenue growth and profit margins. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and rising costs remain key risks.
For now, monitor price action around the current market price of $180. A strong bullish move could confirm a short-term recovery. On the other side, a break below this double support level may signal a further drop towards $144 support level.
"Swinging up and down 100 points"The trend of gold's continued rise after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing below, it may return to the round mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near Monday's low. In the short term, pay attention to the new high of $3,148-50.
Today's operation ideas for gold;
1; The upper short position can be tried at 3125-30, with a small stop loss, the target is more than 15 points, if the loss is swept without replenishment, no more entry,
2; The lower long position can be tried at 3080, look at 10-15 points, long positions must have a stop loss. If you don't want to take losses, don't participate in long positions.
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500
The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started.
Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks.
I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%?
Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term.
Good luck to you
What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?
Are you looking to improve your trading strategy and technical analysis skills? The ABCD trading pattern may be just what you need. This tool may help you identify potential market reversals and decide when to enter a trade. Keep reading to learn more about the ABCD pattern and how to apply it to your trading strategy.
What Is an ABCD Pattern?
The ABCD pattern is one of the basic harmonic patterns. It gives traders an idea of where the market might reverse. Therefore, when combined with other forms of technical analysis, it may be a great addition to your trading arsenal.
The ABCD pattern comprises two legs, AB and CD, and one retracement, BC, with D as an entry point. More specifically, an ABCD can be identified by:
- AB Leg: A trend starts at A and makes a high or low at B.
- BC Retracement: The price retraces from B to C.
- CD Leg: The trend continues from C to D.
- D Entry Point: Once another high or low forms and traders enter at D.
These price movements create the “zig-zag” or “lightning bolt” shapes.
In fact, ABCD patterns are present across every market and every timeframe. The up-down movements in financial assets represent opportunities to identify and trade ABCD patterns.
Why Use the ABCD Pattern in Your Trading Strategy?
Before we move on to identifying and trading the ABCD pattern, it’s worth explaining why you might want to consider using it. Here are a few reasons traders favour the ABCD pattern:
- It’s one of the harmonic patterns suitable for traders of all experience levels.
- It’s versatile and works for stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*, not just forex trading.
- Traders use ABCD patterns to make informed decisions about potential turning points in the market.
- It can form the basis of a working trading strategy if used correctly alongside other forms of technical analysis.
- It provides quite an effective risk/reward ratio if reversals are caught.
How Traders Identify an ABCD Trading Pattern
The first step in finding ABCDs is to look for that classic zig-zag shape. Once you’ve found one, it’s time to apply Fibonacci ratios to confirm the pattern. If you’re struggling, you can consider using pre-made ABCD pattern indicators or scanners to help your eyes get used to spotting them.
The ABCD pattern requires that the BC leg is between a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, ideally between 61.8% and 78.6%. This means that if you put a Fibonacci retracement tool at A and B, C should be between 0.382 and 0.786.
The second CD leg should be a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of the BC retracement. For extra confirmation, consider specifying that AB is equal to the same length as CD.
While it can be tempting to start trading based on these conditions, you’ll find that, in practice, identifying point D can be trickier than it seems. That’s why traders typically use Fibonacci ratios, key levels, candlestick patterns, and higher timeframe convergence to confirm their entries, which we will touch on shortly.
ABCD Pattern Examples
Now that we understand how to identify the ABCD pattern, we can start applying it to real price action.
Note that the ratios won’t always be perfect, so allowing for slight variability above or below the defined ratios is acceptable.
Bullish ABCD Pattern
For a bullish formation, the following must be present:
- The AB leg should be between the high A and low B.
- The BC bullish retracement should be between the low B and high C, which is below the high A.
- The CD leg should be between the high C and low D.
- BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%.
- CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC.
Additionally, you may look for AB to be an identical or similar length to CD.
Entry: Traders set a buy order at D.
Stop Loss: The theory suggests traders place a stop below a nearby support level or use a set number of pips.
Take profit: Traders place take-profit orders at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for higher prices if they believe there’s the potential for further bullishness.
Bearish ABCD Pattern
The bearish ABCD chart pattern is essentially the same, just with the reversed highs and lows. As such:
- The AB leg should be between the low A and high B.
- The BC bullish retracement should be between the high B and low C.
- The CD leg should be between the low C and high D.
- BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%.
- CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC.
You can choose to apply the same AB = CD rules in a bearish ABCD pattern if desired.
Entry: Traders typically place a sell order at D.
Stop Loss: A stop may be placed above a nearby resistance level or at a set number of pips.
Take profit: Traders often take profits at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for lower prices if there’s a bearish trend on a higher timeframe.
ABCD Pattern Strategy
A momentum-based ABCD trading strategy can help traders confirm potential reversals by incorporating indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index). This approach often adds an extra layer of confluence.
Entry
- Traders may wait for point D to form and for the RSI to indicate overbought or oversold conditions, typically above 80 or below 20.
- Additional confirmation can be sought if there is a divergence between price and RSI, signalling weakening momentum.
- Once the RSI crosses back into normal territory, it can suggest a reversal, providing an opportunity to enter the market.
Stop Loss
- A stop loss is often placed slightly above or below point D, depending on whether the formation is bearish or bullish, respectively. This helps potentially manage risk in case the reversal doesn’t hold.
Take Profit
- Traders can consider taking profits at Fibonacci retracement levels of leg CD, such as 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%.
- Another common target is point C, but traders may also hold the position for longer if further price movement is anticipated.
Looking for Additional Confluence
Given that trading the ABCDs usually relies on setting orders at specific reversal points, consider looking for extra confirmation to filter potential losing trades. Below, you’ll find three factors of confluence you can use to confirm your entries.
Key Levels
If your analysis shows that D is projected to be in an area of significant support or resistance, there’s a greater chance that the level will hold and the price will reverse in the way you expect.
ABCD Timeframe Convergence
One technique to potentially enhance the reliability of ABCD chart patterns is to check for multiple timeframes. When you identify the formation on a lower timeframe—say, the 5-minute chart—you can then look to a higher timeframe chart, such as the 30-minute or 1-hour chart to see the overall trend.
If the pattern converges with the longer-term trend, it strengthens the analysis and increases the likelihood of an effective trade.
Candlestick Patterns
Some traders look for particular candlestick patterns to appear. The hammer and shooting star patterns are commonly used by ABCD traders for extra confirmation, as are tweezer tops/bottoms and engulfing candles. You could choose to wait for one of these candlesticks to form before entering with a market order.
Common Mistakes to Avoid When Identifying an ABCD Chart Pattern
Of course, ABCD patterns aren’t a silver bullet when it comes to effective trading. There are several common mistakes made by inexperienced traders when trading these types of patterns, such as:
- Confusing the ABCD with other harmonic patterns, like the Gartley or three-drive pattern.
- Trading every potential ABCD formation they see. It’s preferable to be selective with entries and look for confirmation.
- Not being patient. ABCDs on higher timeframes can take days, even weeks, to play out.
Experienced traders wait for the pattern to develop before making a trading decision.
- Ignoring key levels. Instead, you could allow them to guide your trades and look for the ABCD pattern in these areas.
The Bottom Line
The ABCD pattern is a versatile tool that can enhance a trader’s ability to identify potential market reversals and refine their overall strategy. When combined with other forms of technical analysis, such as momentum indicators, an ABCD trading strategy can be an invaluable addition to your trading arsenal.
For traders looking to apply the ABCD pattern in forex, stock, commodity, and crypto* markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of low-cost, high-speed trading across more than 600 assets. Good luck!
FAQ
What Is an ABCD Trading Pattern?
The ABCD trading pattern is a simple harmonic pattern used by traders to identify potential market reversals. It consists of three price movements: the AB leg, BC retracement, and CD leg, with point D marking a potential entry for a reversal trade. It helps identify changes in trend direction.
How Can You Use the ABCD Pattern in Trading?
Traders identify the ABCD pattern by finding the characteristic zig-zag shape and using Fibonacci ratios to confirm it. Entry points are typically placed at point D, with stop losses and profit targets based on the formation’s structure. Confluence with other technical analysis tools improves its reliability.
Is the ABCD Pattern Bearish or Bullish?
The ABCD pattern can be either bearish or bullish. A bullish ABCD indicates a potential upward reversal, while a bearish ABCD suggests a downward reversal. The structure remains the same, but the highs and lows are reversed.
What Is the ABCD Strategy?
The ABCD strategy revolves around identifying trend reversals using the formation and confirming entry points through tools like Fibonacci retracements or momentum indicators like the RSI for added accuracy.
*At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity
As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming.
While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains.
Entry Zone (Staggered):
🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum.
🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends.
🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup.
Profit Targets:
✅ 570: Initial rebound target.
✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds.
✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision.
Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Setup #Eddy#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Setup #Eddy
XUSDT.P Long Setup
Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note : The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 100% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Warning : The stop loss is dramatic and large. Place the stop loss based on your strategy and after getting entry and confirmation on the entry point behind the last shadow that will be created.
Be successful and profitable.
I hope you enjoyed the previous analysis and signal of this currency.
Previous analysis and signal Of X Empire :
Can the upward trend of BTC continue?1. Macroeconomic Tailwinds
With global monetary easing, a large pool of capital is hunting for value - preservation and appreciation. Bitcoin, featuring scarcity and decentralization, lures many investors. Amid global economic instability and rising inflation, its safe - haven nature becomes more prominent, drawing substantial capital inflows.
2. Institutional Influx
Large financial institutions and enterprises like MicroStrategy are incorporating Bitcoin into their asset portfolios and increasing holdings. The continuous entry of institutions shores up Bitcoin prices, boosts market demand, and propels prices higher.
3. Supply - Demand Dynamics
As Bitcoin’s “halving cycle” nears, new coin supplies decline while market demand surges. This supply - demand imbalance drives up Bitcoin prices. Market expectations ahead of halving also contribute to a gradual price increase.
💎💎💎 BTCUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@81000 - 82000
🎁 TP 84000 85000 86000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Nano Nuclear Energy – Pioneering Next-Gen Small Modular ReactorsCompany Overview:
Nano Nuclear Energy NASDAQ:NNE is revolutionizing clean, compact nuclear power with small modular reactors (SMRs), addressing data centers, remote sites, and disaster relief energy needs.
Key Catalysts:
ZEUS Microreactor Development 🚀
Successfully assembled first hardware, marking a key milestone toward commercialization & revenue generation.
Patent-Backed Innovation 🏆
Filed four new patents in February 2025 for its Annular Linear Induction Pump (ALIP).
Strengthens NNE’s edge in molten-salt & liquid-metal reactor technology.
Surging Global Electricity Demand ⚡
Aligns with the growing need for cost-effective, sustainable energy solutions.
Ideal for off-grid, military, and high-demand industrial applications.
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $21.50-$22.00
🚀 Upside Target: $44.00-$47.00
📈 Growth Drivers: Breakthrough SMR tech, patent leadership, and clean energy demand.
🔥 Nano Nuclear – Powering the Future, One Microreactor at a Time. #NNE #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech
Gold Trade Plan 02/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold still Bullish and i expect price will be Try to Make New ATH ,
Today Resistance Area : 3145 , 3170
Today Support Area : 3113 , 3090 , 3060
I dont Recommend Trade Today 2 April ( Trump Speak )
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Regards,
Alireza!