EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge.
Key Details:
Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move.
Targets:
Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point.
This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Trend Analysis
bASED ON THE SCIENTIFICALLY PROVEN NUMBER KNOWN AS FIVE (5) Now, don't blame me if this financial advice works. It is highly scientific and has a record of generating a staggering amount of wealth to the most undeserving of individuals leaving them in a drunken stuppor and awash in a really indecent amount cash. I want no part of this.
You would be far better off getting yourself a nice girlfriend who owns sensible shoes and has an interest in sheep farming rather then leading the crypto life.
See you in 5 months and bring cash.
wmw
LINK Trade Update: Recovery Bounce in Play Market Context:
LINK is showing a strong bounce off major support, signaling potential upside continuation. However, if the market remains bullish, key resistance levels at $20 and $24 should be monitored for potential take-profit zones.
Trade Management:
Previous Entry Around: $15.30
Updated Take Profit Zones:
$20.00 (First TP Zone - Key Resistance)
$24.00 (Second TP Zone - Strong Resistance Level)
If LINK flips $20 into support, it could extend toward $24 and beyond. Keeping an eye on overall market sentiment is crucial! 🚀
SPXL , 2025 Trades LOG Just noting all my price action entry's and exits in the comments at the end of every day and result , perhaps a logic explanation too on why I bought or sold ....
This or TQQQ is a great alternative to something like futures that is much more scalable .
My goal is to update this every day as a log .
All trades taken on 5M , price action trades , not indicators , except volume .
LTC Long OpportunityMarket Context:
LTC is testing the range's low support level, which presents a strong buying opportunity if support holds. A potential bounce from this level could lead to a move toward the next resistance zones.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $102.00
Take Profit Targets:
$109.00 - $115.00
$132 - $140
Stop Loss: Just below $98.00
This setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive trade for a possible reversal. 🚀
PEG Hammering Support With Downward MomentumPEG is looking like a classical pattern that we see when price loses support. Lots of downward momentum. PEG lost the 200 SMA already and has rejected multiple times. It has a squeeze setting up on the daily and the sector itself, Utilities, is showing weakness as I discussed in yesterday's video.
DXY Will Grow! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 104.192.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 106.217 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results
I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %"
So I thought I would update it and see where we are now.
In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year.
Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here
So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price !
It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that.
The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH..
We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons..
And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind.
Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4
But how High ?
The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here.
2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA
2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise.
Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top !
(I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon)
BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title
I wrote in Dec 2022
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise.
In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison.
And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise
If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH
This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in.
And Lastly, I want to show you this
I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH
I was WRONG
From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K
So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place.
However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP....
Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early.
But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope
Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
EURGBP INTRADAY higher, German debt reforms and ECB rate policyBullish Scenario:
The EURGBP pair maintains a bullish intraday sentiment, supported by the longer-term uptrend. The key level to watch is 0.8400, which acts as a critical resistance zone. If the price rallies above 0.8400, the uptrend could resume, targeting 0.8420, with further resistance levels at 0.8430 and 0.8450 over the longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break below 0.8360, especially with a daily close beneath this level, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside movement, with immediate support at 0.8328, followed by 0.8310 and 0.8300, signaling a deeper corrective pullback.
Conclusion:
The overall intraday trend remains bullish, with 0.8400 as the key pivot level. Holding above this support reinforces the upside potential, while a confirmed breakdown below it could shift momentum toward a deeper retracement. Traders should monitor price action around this critical level for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE 100 INTRADAY trend reversal below 8760 levelKey Trading Levels:
Resistance: 8760, 8850, 8910, 8990
Support: 8616, 8536, 8460
Market Sentiment:
Bearish intraday bias following a corrective pullback from overbought conditions.
Bearish Scenario:
The FTSE 100 has broken below the rising trendline and the previous consolidation range, establishing 8760 as a key resistance level.
An oversold bounce from current levels could face rejection at 8760, reinforcing bearish momentum.
A failure to reclaim 8760 may accelerate selling pressure, targeting downside support at 8616, followed by 8536 and 8460.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained breakout above 8760 with a daily close higher would negate the bearish outlook.
A bullish continuation could drive the index toward 8850, with further upside targets at 8910 and 8990.
Conclusion:
Intraday sentiment remains bearish unless FTSE 100 reclaims 8760. A rejection at this level could intensify selling pressure toward lower support levels. Conversely, a breakout above 8760 and a strong close would indicate a resumption of the broader uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead 06 March ‘25Thursday March 6
Data: US January trade balance, wholesale trade sales, initial jobless claims, UK February construction PMI, Germany February construction PMI, Eurozone January retail sales, Canada January international merchandise trade, Sweden February CPI
Central banks: ECB's decision, Fed's Waller speaks, BoE's DMP survey
Earnings: Broadcom, Costco, JD.com, Merck KGaA, Universal Music Group, Reckitt Benckiser, Hewlett Packard Enterprise
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/CAD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!🔍 🚀
🔹 Asset: USD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout (Long Trade)
📌 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Above 1.43512 (Breakout Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 1.43098 (Invalidation Level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: 1.44211 (First Resistance)
📌 TP2: 1.45058 (Extended Bullish Move)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation
📉 Risk (SL Distance): 1.43512 - 1.43098 = 0.00414 per USD/CAD
📈 Reward to TP1: 1.44211 - 1.43512 = 0.00699 (1:1.7 R/R)
📈 Reward to TP2: 1.45058 - 1.43512 = 0.01546 (1:3.7 R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy
📌 Falling Wedge Breakout: Price is breaking out of a downward trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
📌 Support Rejection: Strong bounce from 1.43098 support, confirming buyer interest.
📌 Breakout Confirmation Needed: Price should hold above 1.43512 with strong volume.
📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price stays above 1.43512, an upside move to 1.44211, then 1.45058, is likely.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
🟢 1.43098 – Stop-Loss / Strong Support
🟡 1.43512 – Breakout Level / Long Entry
🔴 1.44211 – First Resistance / TP1
🔴 1.45058 – Final Target / TP2
📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management
📊 Volume Confirmation: Look for high buying volume above 1.43512 before entering.
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to break-even (1.43512) after TP1 (1.44211) is hit.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% profits at 1.44211, let the rest run toward 1.45058.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (1.43512) after TP1 is reached.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk
❌ If price fails to hold above 1.43512 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses.
❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above 1.43512 before entering aggressively.
🚀 Final Thoughts
✔ Bullish Setup – Breakout from a falling wedge suggests a potential trend reversal.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.7 to TP1, 1:3.7 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!