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Trend Analysis

How to break through the gold shock patternOperation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level near 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the position of 3380. Once it breaks through, it will open up the space leading to the 3400 mark. From the daily chart of gold, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body Yin line K-line pattern. The peak pattern of the previous price high is more obvious, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further correction in the short term. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet. You can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving average. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has been fluctuating and falling since it came under pressure at the 3500 level. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 level, with a short-term decline of 240 US dollars. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator has issued a dead cross signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started. Gold fell after rising in the Asian session, and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trends. In the big trend, the gold rally did not exceed 3380, so there is still a downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367. Now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper side is the support-to-resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for the area near 3345 to go short and see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3280 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Patrick-Daniel
Gold fluctuates and is under pressure, the trend is bearish!Gold market trend analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold fell by $240 in two trading days, but the rebound was also very strong, from yesterday's low of 3260 to 3367 in the early trading. The current volatility is still large, and the high and low points of $100 often appear. It is normal to fluctuate by dozens of dollars at random. So pay attention to the market. There is no shortage of opportunities. Just grab what you can grasp. ​ From a technical perspective, yesterday's closing was negative, slightly piercing the MA10 moving average, and losing the trend support line mentioned yesterday. Originally, today's technical theory should continue to be under pressure from the MA5-day, and the rebound confirmed that trend line, which can continue to be bearish, that is, 3338-40; but today's Asian session saw a strong wave of upward rush, reaching 3367 directly, which was quite unexpected. It was basically stimulated by short-term risk aversion news, and then it began to rise and fall, and then returned to below 3340; as long as the closing cannot break through and stand above the MA5-day resistance, it is still in a downward adjustment; today, it is still bearish, and the gold layout long orders were successfully harvested at 3316. Gold rebounded to 3343 and continued to be short. Gold fell again and harvested, and won two consecutive victories again. At present, the gold rebound is limited, and the US market rebound is still short. Gold's 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, so the moving average has not turned upward, so there is still downward momentum, and the rebound can continue to be shorted. After the Asian session hit a high and fell, gold rebounded several times and fell back under pressure near 3345. The US session rebounded below 3345 and continued to be shorted. It can still be shorted near the rebound of 3340. At present, gold is just a rebound. If there is no special risk-averse news, it is still difficult to go up directly. At least it must fluctuate first, and it is still bearish and volatile now. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6000 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6075. We look to Buy at 0.5950 (stop at 0.5900) Our profit targets will be 0.6050 and 0.6075 Resistance: 0.6000 / 0.6050 / 0.6075 Support: 0.5950 / 0.5925 / 0.5900 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
S&P 500 futures/SPY idea and simple parallel channel crossSo as you can see by a few minutes worth of doodling...there seems to be an interesting dilemma. While a lot points to a new breakout, be it news that literally changes nothing structurally for actual customer buying or future sales....it's said to be a new bull run. Yet, just a simple glance at a modified volume chart in relation to the E-mini above....there is something funny arising. Almost like treasury yields-to-bonds, as the market slides the volume increases. And it concaves as it goes back up. But the right most part of the chart doesn't seem to agree with that. You are ripping higher but your volume is increasing. (Those yellow bars are sell volume, and if they look patchy in spots, it's because the buy volume is colored black. This is done to emphasize a trend and to see more clearly if it is strong for buying or strong for selling.) Back to the idea at hand....so just a possibility- but what if that volume going down while the recent slide on Monday occurred was positioning of a certain group who would get their que from a certain announcement from the Musky-Man. Ergo, the sells aren't really happening but the buying is, so that way when everyone jumps in they unleash selling. To which the concave occurs on the market pullback and the convex, going up, occurs as the market heads up. It's not some new thing (volume up on highs and down on lows) since the principle of down to highs and up on lows holds true from the ATH of February to the bounce in middle MArch....so it's not some special case- unless you consider games being played as the explanation for why the pattern which holds true even in past '22 and '23 downturns becomes broken. Now...for the super stretch idea...and I am not predicting so much as throwing out an idea to which I would have done if I was still around the hedge fund kids I was around in high school: Get people used to buying high rips by setting up the first test balloon of the Monday "fake news 90 day tariff relief"....which can be denied and then used to observe market reaction and to get any last people shaken off the stocks to get the insiders- that massive option call just hours before his Truth Social post is just super coincidental eh?- positioned to take advantage of his future post as the "signal". Well, it worked great cause stocks ripped and everyone bought all the way to the 50% or so retrace of the previous day high. But interesting that such massive put positions for the April 17 monthly options expiration were seemingly honored and paid out coming into Easter- not too much of a fight on that one. (Well maybe a test to see for the weekend option expiration tomorrow which is 2 days after Tesla earnings). So now- there comes the Tesla earnings right after a slight dip in the market just before the big day, and funny enough the shorts are nowhere to be squeezed...kinda seems like that Wednesday "good time to buy" comment really pushed them off from going balls deep on Tesla shorts for this Wednesday afternoon. Nothing happened so the positions the hypothetical insiders purchased aren't moving and now there is a problem....no squeeze and no stock rally. So now the Musker is informed to give his message mere minutes before the Trump-man gives his about some more unverified tariff goodies. Now you have your sudden move and everything starts going up. So if everyone is buying in and you are heading to a new top...why is the sell volume in that chart falling before that Tesla earnings when the market is slipping....but increasing while the market is rising....going against pretty principled norms. Well...that's where China comes in saying they have no idea of any meetings- which the panic button of "They...no need to explain who they are" comment is thrown out to keep the markets rising right into Google earnings...which says that the cloud is dead and only ads make money- (but every consumer giant just said sales are down and consumer interaction is down and that tariffs are going to hit them hard...but never mind that...nor that cloud is like AI related and Amazon cancelled Data Center leasing...and that Intel and AMD are pounded even though literally every computer needs one of those two to work...that doesn't matter). So we are left with tomorrow...or today depending on when you read this....You have a cross at that exact price and the fib lines all correlate pretty well to price action up and down the chart. So my thought is this....and crazy hat wearing time.... What if you sold off gold to cover your shorts and to add new puts on for this weekend into early next week- specifically Tuesday of next week- and then when you suddenly let fly some China tariff related news and get the big 4 news groups to sound bad about it...rather than blocking all the damage that containers sitting across the ocean do when not on a boat each day, you have a beautiful thing as the Trump-man likes to say. You have bought stocks at the lows before the Tesla earnings...then sold them off in the last ~16 hours and then placed puts on- since they have been increasing in volume and open interest every day leading up to tomorrow and next Tuesday- to which you get paid twice in like one week. Again...just a playful idea...and worth noting that the treasury yields haven't budged from 4.8 or 4.3 from the 20y and 10y respectively and $6 some trillion comes due for rollover on or by June the 20th....so if you want that to be like 2% I think...you got to do some nasty stuff. (My favorite would be to take retirement accounts and pensions and replace them with treasury holdings instead of stocks...a brilliant idea and will surely get that yield down in a hurry- you know--cause for like America or whatever--or as the kids say-- for reasons.) But that's just me and that's what I would do if handed a decent chunk of change and the cell #s of Musker and the other boys at that inauguration. Could be all wrong...but it's a little fun story no? Gives you a chuckle if I'm wrong and your accounts go up- or scares the hell out of you if right, since it means people like me who used to be amongst the 3 letter crews and hedge bros do this kinda thing on the regular. Anywho...here is a closer look at that death cross or that "freedom cross", whichever one gets Detroit back to motor city and Bethlehem Steel back in production again- oh wait- that isn't possible- cause you know "they" or something.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CYQOTEK
USD Index: A Possible Reversal in Sight?Since early February, right after Trump’s inauguration, the USD Index (DXY) has been under pressure, falling sharply by over 10%. However, after hitting the 98.00 level, things seem to have stabilized. We're seeing the early signs of a relief rally. 🔍 Technical Perspective: - This week’s candlestick pattern suggests a bullish reversal. - The dip on Wednesday was quickly bought, showing buyer interest. - A minor correction occurred yesterday, but dips are being well supported. - Currently, the DXY trades around 99.60, just under the psychological level of 100. 🎯 Outlook: As long as 98 remains intact, the bias shifts towards a potential rebound. First target: 102 – a logical resistance zone and prior support. This is not yet a confirmed trend reversal, but the price action is shifting. The key now is how the market reacts around the 100 level. A break above could trigger further bullish momentum.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - President Trump continues to state that negotiations with China are going well, but the Chinese side has expressed that “the U.S. and China have neither consulted nor negotiated on tariff issues, let alone reached any agreement.” - Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine are facing difficulties, and President Trump told reporters that he is strongly pressuring Russia to enter into peace negotiations with Ukraine. - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said, “If the labor market begins to deteriorate significantly, we expect more rate cuts to occur sooner.” Key Economic Events This Week + April 25: Australian stock market closed GBPUSD Chart Analysis The pair had been in an uptrend and recently reached resistance at the previous high of 1.34000 but failed to break through and is now declining. This downtrend is expected to continue in the short term toward the 1.31500 level, where a new directional move is likely to be determined.
Short
by shawntime_academy
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area. - Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge. - Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn) - Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here. Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it. I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck! Here is the close up look of the wedge:
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
3
Gold Analysis April 24D1 candle closed with a sharp decline of nearly 100 prices And today's opening with a price gap of more than 100 prices shows the instability of the market. Returning to the h1 time frame wave will be easier to grasp. At the beginning of the European session, the market decided that the buyers won and are pushing up from 3322. Pay attention to the immediate area of ​​3340. If it breaks at the end of the European session, continue to wait for the price reaction at 3363. If it doesn't break, you can SELL. In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3363, wait for 3384 for the SELL strategy. The BUY strategy is focused on the European session's price push zone of 3322. When it breaks, pay attention to the GAP opening zone this morning at 3295 and the bottom zone yesterday at 3266
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GPBUSD TRADE SIGNAL ANALYSIS | CHECK THE CAPTION BELOWHello dear friends 👋 GBP/USD Trade Signal Technical Analysis Setup 👇 The market is showing signs of a bullish reversal—let’s gear up for a potential buy opportunity! • Trade Setup 📈 📊 • Entry Zone: 1.3280 – 1.3300 🔹 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.3360 🔹 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.3400 🔹 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 1.3440 ⭕ • Stop Loss (SL): 1.3260 Technical Analysis Setup: • Strong support zone with recent bullish rejection. • Higher low formation suggesting upward momentum. • Bullish price projection and volume tick support a potential rally. ⚠ Always manage your risk wisely! Let the market play out with patience and confidence. Trade at your own risk.
Long
by Alex_gold_trader
Ethereum Uptrend Holds: Key Support Zones Before $1,800 BreakEthereum has shown solid strength after bouncing from recent lows, reclaiming higher ground and forming a clean intraday uptrend. With the $1,800 resistance now freshly tested, the market is entering a crucial decision zone. This post outlines the most actionable support levels and how price may react in the coming sessions. 📊 Technical Analysis: Ethereum is currently maintaining a strong intraday uptrend, supported by a clean ascending trendline that began after a sharp bounce from the $1,550 region. The price recently tapped into $1,799 — a known resistance — and is now consolidating near $1,770. We’ve identified three clear support zones based on structure and timeframes: 🔴 $1,703 – 1H Support (High Risk): Early buyers may defend here, but it’s highly reactive and vulnerable to liquidity grabs. 🟠 $1,654 – 4H Daily Support (Medium Risk): A more structurally sound area of demand. Offers a higher-probability bounce with cleaner market structure. 🟢 $1,590 – Last 1H Support (Low Risk): The strongest recent base and the most attractive R:R long setup. If price revisits this zone, it’s likely where smart money reaccumulates. As long as Ethereum holds above $1,703, this uptrend remains healthy. A break below both the trendline and the $1,654 support would shift the bias neutral-to-bearish short term. ✅ Conclusion: Ethereum is trading inside a well-defined structure with supportive bullish momentum. If buyers step in at one of the mentioned support zones, we could see another push toward $1,799 and eventually $1,840+. Until a breakdown occurs below $1,654, the bias remains bullish on pullbacks. Not financial advice. Like & follow for more Ethereum trade setups and structured analysis.
Long
by husseindergham
USDCHF – breakout (down), retest and bearish continuation The area between 0.8410 and 0.8330 has been a solid support but recently, price broke (to the downside). Now, price has been pulling back for a re-test and I believe that next week we may see a bearish continuation. Price will also come closer to the 20ema that I rely on as a guide to the mean. I will be watching this area on a lower time frame, looking for bearish price action to go short. If bearish price action does resume, we are likely to see the round number 0.8000 be achieved. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
GOLD Had Strong Rejection needs to fall Gold will get our Long-term resistance zone 3500 so what's will next Target. Analysis from Mr Martin Date 22 April Tuesday 2025 i will find Price has strong rejection will formed 3500 now p [rice will fall more fallowing the 1Day candle see and check price will drop more in this week this kind of price action may not be sustainable so we should be cautions about potential downward Correction. Ps Support with like and comments for motivating to Share analysis to with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11