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Trend Analysis

Could this be the end of the bull market? Caution requiredSo the green lines are the tops of the last 2 cycles. We have wicked up to the top of the line, and got denied. We have spent a week above the bottom GREEN line, suggesting that we want to hold it. Weekly closes above the bottom line are an acceptance that the price is right and has movement potential to continue higher. We can retest 106, hold above - and then see continuation higher. It is possible... but IF you look at the RSI and compare to 2021, there is BEARISH DIVERGENCE that is clearly defined. This is a leading indicator, and often works out more than not. We 100% need to get above the top yellow trend line to invalidate the bearish divergence. Right now, RSI is testing the yellow moving average - this is the point last cycle where everything ended. If price recovers, then i think we go higher (new ath again). If Price does not, and RSI falls below the moving average, then i think its likely the bull cycle for btc is over.. BUT, its not all doom and gloom. The RSI moving average has made a higher low, suggesting that the market is not finished its upwards momentum. On a more fundamental understanding: BTC has gone almost straight up from 16k to 121k. Its not healthy. To get to higher highs, we need real adoption of btc. I dont think BTC breaks and holds above 130k without some more kind of mainstream adoption. We have institutional adoption - ETFS allow a constant buying pressure, pension funds have access to BTC now too! (I have a new btc exposed retirement annuity if anyone is keen... just dont think the % allowed is that reasonable at the moment). Banks are starting to allow custody of BTC, meaning the average joe will be able to buy through their bank... But i cant pay for my beers with btc, i cant use btc to settle debts with most merchants. There is still more mainstream adoption to happen... Countries are not piling into btc to make it a reserve asset in teh way i believe they will in teh future The market will always move to hurt the most people. Once everyone who wants to buy btc at the highs is done, then the price 100% will correct... As btc matures, its volatility will drop. This means that the 80% retraces of the past are unlikely in my opinion. There are big players wanting to buy for long term, this will make buy orders happen sooner than they have in the past. As an indicator for the alt market - btc losing major psychological levels will create a risk off environment - aka more alt pain. I had a look at the BTC.D, and on a quick inspection it looks like it could rise to even as high as 75%... Which, as btc has a global use case as a store of value makes sense vs alt coins changing the world in the same time span. If the price of BTC drops, alts will drop harder as they are riskier assets. Making BTC.D increase. Alts are still close the lows, and they need a risk on environment to gain value. The whole crypto market has changed compared to the old cycles. Previously, the BTC believers would make huge money - and then at these peaks sell their btc to either tether and alt tokens. This insane amount of money we received into the total market cap came from big institutions - blackrock etf etc, governments buying. These players that made the money cant swop their btc to alt coins. They are locked into an etf where at most they can diversify into other traditional investments. This is a real risk to total2+ receiving a real return... But its not over, BTC will survive. We learn what we can to make sound financial decisions in the long term. Stick with your long term plans. Dont but trash. Manage your risk. Manage your mental, dont be over exposed to risk when at the highs.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by DiscosCryptos
The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊 Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉 📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯 If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡 🚀 SELL 3305-3320 🚀 TP 3290-3270
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
2
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements. 🔍 1. Trend Analysis Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure) The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by: Ascending support (lower boundary) Ascending resistance (upper boundary) Market structure shows: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) ✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks. 📐 2. Market Structure Elements Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.) Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950 Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd) Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300 Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320 Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS) The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift. 🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis 🔼 Resistance Zone The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320 Multiple rejections in this area Trendline resistance also aligns here A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction 🔽 Support Zone (Immediate) 23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range 🟩 4. Demand Zones Zone 1: 22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs Zone 2: 22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event 🧠 5. Key Observations Price is at a critical inflection zone: Testing a resistance zone At the upper trendline of an ascending channel A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow) Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220 If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested Ichimoku Cloud: Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation ⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas ✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180) Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation ❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support) Short entry valid below 23,180 with: TP1: 23,050 TP2: 22,900 A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion 🔚 Conclusion Current Price: 23,298.4 Trend: Bullish, but at resistance Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AllyPipsExpert
4
EURUSD – Smart Money Short Setup During NFP Friday | ICT Concept EURUSD is trading inside a well-defined bearish structure after multiple internal liquidity sweeps during the London and Asia sessions. As we enter the New York Killzone, price has returned to a bearish OB near the NY Midnight Open, with clear signs of exhaustion. The pair failed to break above the Thursday OB zone, and the 15M chart shows consecutive MSS and BOS patterns, indicating supply is in control. 🧠 Trade Idea (Execution Plan): Sell Limit: 1.14183 SL: 1.14422 TP1: 1.13877 TP2: 1.13608 TP3: 1.13351 📌 Confluence: Bearish OB NY Midnight Open rejection MSS on LTF RSI/Williams %R Overbought 📉 Structure: Bearish 🕒 Session: New York (NFP Volatility Expected) 💡 Context: USD is likely to strengthen after deep retracement into DXY OB, targeting 100.5–100.7 If price invalidates 1.14422 with bullish displacement, setup becomes void. Patience is key during high-impact news – let Smart Money show their hand.
Short
by general_rami81
US30 Faces Pressure Below 44610US30 Overview Technical Outlook: US30 is showing bearish momentum while trading below the pivot zone at 44610. As long as the price remains under this level, downside pressure may continue toward 44360, with further support at 44180. However, a confirmed breakout above 44720 would shift the bias to bullish, opening the path toward 44910 and potentially 45100. Support Levels: 44480 • 44360 • 44180 Resistance Levels: 44720 • 44910 • 45100 Bias: Bearish below 44610, Bullish above 44720
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
BTC/USDT Analysis – Bullish Pennant Holds Key to $150,000 TargetBINANCE:BTCUSDT is holding just above $115,000, recovering from a 2.4% dip in the last 24 hours, with one technical setup dominating the conversation: a bullish pennant on the 3-day chart. The pattern formed after a sharp 25% rally earlier this month, creating a classic pole-and-pennant structure. Multiple breakout attempts have failed so far, with long wicks signaling heavy volatility, but the pattern remains valid as long as the BINANCE:BTCUSDT price stays above the $114,000 support zone. A confirmed 3-day candle close above $119,700—the top of recent failed breakouts—would likely trigger the next leg higher. A measured move from the pole projects an upside target near $150,000, aligning with long-term bullish expectations. Supporting this setup, the Fund Flow Ratio has been making lower highs, suggesting fewer coins are heading to exchanges and potential sell pressure is easing. At the same time, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) on the 3-day chart is forming higher highs, signaling quiet accumulation despite recent price dips. Until either level breaks, BINANCE:BTCUSDT trades in a pivotal range. Bulls want a clean breakout above $119,700, while a drop below $114,000 would invalidate the pattern and open the door to further downside.
Long
by BeInCrypto
Gold on the edge: Will 3,270 break as Fed pressure builds?Hello traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD? Yesterday, gold remained under pressure as a series of fresh U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. As a result, U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. Currently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,288 USD, down 0.04% on the day. From a technical standpoint, gold is clearly trading within a well-defined downward-sloping channel, confirming the dominance of bearish momentum. Moreover, both the EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as dynamic resistance levels, repeatedly rejecting any short-term recovery attempts—highlighting the strength of the current downtrend. If a pullback occurs before the next leg lower, the confluence of resistance and the EMA zone will be crucial to watch. It could offer ideal conditions for potential short setups in line with the trend. Looking ahead, the next key support lies at 3,270 USD. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper move toward the 32XX area. What do you think? Will gold continue to drop further? Good luck and trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alexx_Bui
8
SEI/USDT at a Critical Level Golden Pocket Reaction Will Define?🔍 Technical Analysis: 1. Market Structure: SEI/USDT is in a recovery phase after a significant downtrend. Price is currently testing a crucial area between the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 (0.2778) and 0.618 (0.2515) — known as the Golden Pocket Zone. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Strong support lies within the highlighted yellow zone (0.2515 – 0.2778), a historical support-resistance flip level. Key resistance levels to watch: 🔸 0.3521 🔸 0.4715 🔸 0.5936 🔸 0.7025 🔸 0.9407 🔸 1.1361 --- 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the golden pocket: A strong rebound is likely, forming a higher low structure. Bullish confirmation occurs if price breaks and closes above 0.3521 with strong volume. Upside targets: 0.4715 → 0.5936 → 0.7025 in sequence. 🔹 Additional Confirmation: Bullish reversal patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or pinbar) around 0.25–0.28 would strengthen the bullish outlook. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the 0.2515 level: It could trigger a deeper move toward 0.22 – 0.18 support area. Further breakdown may bring price below the psychological level of 0.15. 🔻 Bearish confirmation if the price gets rejected from the 0.30–0.35 region with strong bearish candles. --- 📊 Pattern Insight: Potential Double Bottom formation near the golden pocket zone. A break above the 0.3521 neckline would validate this bullish reversal pattern. --- 🔖 Conclusion: This zone (0.25–0.28) is a make-or-break area for SEI. A strong reaction from this golden pocket will determine whether SEI is ready to rally further or fall to new lows. #SEI #SEIUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #AltcoinUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #SupportResistance #GoldenPocket #CryptoTrading #SEIpriceprediction
Long
by CryptoNuclear
1
APOLLOHOSP - Apollo Hospitals (Daily chart, NSE) - Long PositionAPOLLOHOSP - Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.7 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 7450 Entry limit ~ 7400 on Aug. 01, 2025 Target limit ~ 7845 (+6.01%; +445 points) Stop order limit ~ 7235 (-2.23%; -165 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Gold rebound is weak, short below 3315 Gold remains weak, with multiple intraday rebounds failing to maintain momentum. The upper moving average continues to suppress the market, and the short-term market remains dominated by bears. Today, we are following the trend and taking a bearish stance. The key upside level is around 3315. If it reaches this level before the US market opens or if it peaks in the short term, we will short sell. The non-farm payroll data will be released today, and we will consider reversing our direction based on the situation after the data. Gold prices have once again encountered resistance to their upward trend, and the volatile pattern continues. The gold price trend is trending lower highs, and today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Therefore, our intraday short target could be 3268 or even lower, so it's crucial to seize the right entry point. If you're new to the market, come to me. I'll teach you how to trade while you learn. If you're already in the market and struggling, come to me. I'll help you avoid repeating the same mistakes. If you've already experienced this market and are battered, come to me. I'm confident I can help you regain confidence. If you're stuck in a position, I'll develop a strategy tailored to your entry point. Because everyone's trapped positions are different, the solutions will vary, some suitable for conservative traders and others for aggressive ones. However, I can't offer a perfect answer to every situation. I suggest you bring your order with you. Once you contact me, I'll use the most appropriate method to resolve your situation and help you exit the market. Specific Strategy Short gold at 3315, stop loss at 3325, target at 3280
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
GBP/JPY H4 | Bullish bounce offGBP/JPY is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the take profit. Buy entry is at 197.99, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 196.90, which is a swing low support. Take profit is at 199.73, which is a multi-swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Silver H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price reverse from the sell entry at 3.86, and could drop from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 37.63, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 35.34, which is a swing low support that lines up with th e 61.8% Fibonacci retraecment. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025 Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence. Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17. Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade. Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285 SL 3280 TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330. Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271 SL 3266 TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320. Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by begbutwas
GBPUSD Technical BreakdownTrendline Breakout: Price has decisively broken above a short-term descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in intraday momentum from bearish to bullish. Support Zone (1.3185 – 1.3195): This demand area has provided a strong base, with multiple successful rejections confirming buyer interest. Resistance Levels: Near-term resistance: 1.3213 (minor breakout level – watch for retest) Key upside targets: 1.3240 followed by the major supply zone at 1.3275 – 1.3290 📈 Trade Outlook: Bias: Bullish above 1.3213 Entry Idea: Look for bullish confirmation on a retest of 1.3213 as support Targets: TP1: 1.3240 TP2: 1.3275 – 1.3290 Invalidation: A sustained move below 1.3185 would invalidate the setup and reopen downside risk.
Long
by SaklainManzoor
EUR/USD Technical OutlookEUR/USD is currently trading within a Descending Triangle formation. At present, the pair shows a higher probability of an upside breakout from this structure. A confirmed break above the immediate resistance zone at 1.1428 – 1.1430 could accelerate bullish momentum, opening the way toward the next key resistance level at 1.1485. On the other hand, if the pair fails to sustain above the triangle and breaks to the downside, price may extend losses toward the 1.1375 – 1.1360 support area. From this zone, a potential corrective rebound could occur before the broader bearish trend resumes. Overall, short-term direction hinges on the breakout of the descending triangle, with 1.1428 – 1.1430 as the critical level to watch for bulls, and 1.1375 – 1.1360 for bears. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Long
by SaklainManzoor
Bullish reversal off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 1.3159 1st Support: 1.3049 1st Resistance: 1.3321 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets