Trend Analysis
Bitcoin: Short into the Real Bull Market Market sentiment has plummeted to unprecedented lows as Bitcoin approaches critical support zones around the $80K level, coinciding with the CME futures gap.
While I have outlined a potential bullish scenario, I remain cognizant of the significant downside risks. A sharp decline could unfold, instilling widespread fear among market participants before the true bull market takes shape.
Above, I have illustrated a bullish harmonic pattern, a structure characterized by price contraction followed by an eventual expansion. This formation suggests a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci levels of both the prevailing uptrend and the resistance formed by the downtrend.
What particularly draws my attention is the positioning of the Point of Control (POC)—the most actively traded price within the previous range. This key level represents an area where price may face rejection from the broader value zone.
From a psychological standpoint, such a move would create an illusion of stability as Bitcoin retraces toward the $96K– GETTEX:98K region, enticing investors who anticipate a break above $100K and a push toward new all-time highs. However, this very zone could serve as a major liquidity exit point for larger players looking to offload positions and potentially establish short positions against the market.
Should this scenario materialize, the likelihood of the harmonic pattern playing out increases, potentially leading to the loss of the value area and forcing Bitcoin to revisit previously established support, where it traded in the value area around the $60K range.
This sharp decline would likely convince many that the bull market has ended, triggering an influx of short positions. However, such a setup could ultimately serve as a bear trap, culminating in a dramatic short squeeze and marking the true inception of the next bull run.
A decisive reclaim above the POC and key confluence zones would significantly enhance the probability of revisiting all-time highs. Nonetheless, I will be closely monitoring the critical levels detailed in my journal for signs of a broader market reversal.
Only time will tell...
Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea 1 March 2025Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea
Fib drawn from high to low of the rane were currently in. Obvious rejectioon at 0.5 and forming a Triangle Pattern if you will.
Day idea 1:
Possible 0.236 support with monthly as a backup at that level or S1 at 0.0000748. Trend reversal from suppoort with a possible high between 0.382 and 0.888 or R1 at 0.0000838. If S1 is hit be aware of the monthly being resistance at 0.236.
Day idea 2:
Possible S2 at 0.0000703 which fulfills the larger range Butterfly Gartley depicted in previous post posted here for reference.
For S and R levels I'm using the "Day Trading Booster BY DGT". Great indicator for day trading levels.
Bull & Bear case of NVDA Bull Case Scenario
The ascending trend‐line near $116.50–$118 has held so far.If price remains above this line and closes above 135 bullish case is confirmed.
A successful close above the next overhead zone ($153) could open the door toward the upper trend‐line near $165.
Stochastics are near oversold (low 30s), suggesting a possible short‐term bounce.
If RSI crosses back above 50, it indicates momentum shifting in favor of the bulls.
A PMO turn from negative to positive would reinforce the case for a continued uptrend.
Bear Case Scenario
Price is under the short‐term MAs and RSI < 50, reflecting bearish/neutral momentum.
A decisive break below $116.50–$118 invalidates the longer‐term uptrend structure and likely confirms a bearish reversal pattern.
Below $116, the next major volume nodes sit around $96–$90. Losing the lower trend‐line would likely see price gravitate to these zones.
PMO is negative (~-0.40), suggesting downward momentum.
RSI below 50 and Stochastics in a lower band often align with a continuation of weakness if support fails.
Bearish Confirmation: A daily close below $116 on rising volume and continued negative PMO/RSI readings would signal a deeper move to $96 or even $86.
3. Which Side Is NVDA Currently Inclined Toward?
Neutral‐to‐Bearish Tilt
Price sits below the short‐term MA ribbon ($128–$132).
RSI < 50 and PMO is negative, indicating momentum is leaning bearish.
The only saving grace for bulls is the ascending trend‐line near $116.50 and a somewhat oversold Stochastics, which could spark a short‐term bounce.
In other words, until NVDA can reclaim and hold above $130–$132, sellers have the advantage. If the $116.50 trend‐line cracks, the chart strongly favors a bearish breakdown. Conversely, if it holds and price regains $130+ with improving momentum, the bull case is back on the table.
Bottom Line
Short‐term: Slightly bearish bias unless price reclaims the MA ribbon ($130–$132).
Key Inflection: $116.50–$118 (trend‐line support).
Upside Potential: $153 → $165 if bulls regain control.
Downside Targets: $96 → $89 if the lower trend‐line fails.
Mobile token needs to be added to your watch listCurrently mobile token is the largest of my positions and I am actually starting to rotate some of my money out of stocks and back into crypto. This is definitely not financially advice. I do have a feeling that this could do a move above 25 cents in the next couple years. I definitely see this reaching 1.3 cents. Again this is not Financial advice
ethereumthe price action of Ethereum looks good ,but i see more discount coming and i have confidence that 1400-1500 will set impulse leg a with a strong moment for new rally.
at the moment the price is seating on daily demand structure, its key to allow the weekly candle close tomorrow for new chart.
BITCOIN FILLED CME GAPToday BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap.
OPPORTUNITY :
Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP.
We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert.
General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April .
TARGETS :
Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07).
Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August .
MAXIMAL $ TARGET :
- There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$ , profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint.
MINIMAL $ TARGET :
- A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react).
MAXIMAL time TARGET :
- All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025.
Based on
Chart Tools :
- Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension
- Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun
- Regression over time of said periods
- Percent change of said Expansions periods
Statistical Arguments :
- Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality
- Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top
Fundamentals :
- Optimistic US inflation
- Peace negociations
- Pro-business policies
- Blockchain technology usage growth
- Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance
Bias :
- Up-trend intact
- No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun
- I guess i could use some profit
$VIRTUALUSDT | 12H | Potential Short Squeeze🔹 Scenario:
The price is under pressure, testing the descending trendline.
The key trigger for a bullish breakout is a trendline break and confirmation above the 4H supply zone (purple area).
🛠 Action Plan:
1️⃣ Wait for a breakout above the descending trendline.
2️⃣ Look for confirmation above the supply zone before entering a long position.
3️⃣ Target: A move toward $1.59 - $1.68.
📌 Conclusion:
⚡️ If the trigger plays out, we could see a strong short squeeze. Patience is key—waiting for confirmation before entering! 🚀
Hbarusdt trading ideaHBAR faced strong rejection at a key resistance level, leading to a retracement toward crucial demand zones. The immediate buyback zone and the critical point of interest are the key areas to watch, as one of these levels is expected to provide support and validate a potential reversal. The projected upside targets remain unchanged, contingent on price reaction within these zones. Monitor closely for confirmation.
USDCAD BUY TRADE PLAN WITH ALTERNATE PLAN🔵 Primary Trade Setup – Bullish Reversal Buy
📍 Primary Entry Zone (Zone 1):
🔷 Buy Limit: 1.4325 – 1.4350 (First institutional entry at OB/S&D zone 🏦)
📍 Stop Loss:
🚫 SL: Below 1.4280/50 (Institutional SAFE Zone – Avoids Stop Hunts 🛑)
📍 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.4380 (Internal Liquidity Reaction 📉)
🎯 TP2: 1.4450 (Liquidity Grab Confirmation 💰)
🎯 TP3: 1.4500 (Final Institutional Target 🚀)
📍 Trade Type & Confidence:
📊 Type: Swing Trade / Intraday (Valid for 3–5 Days) ⏳
💎 Confidence Level: VERY HIGH 🔥 (Optimized Liquidity Grab Zone & OB Confluence).
📍 Execution Strategy:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Pending Buy Limit Order at 1.4325 – 1.4350.
✅ Deeper Entry (Optional): If liquidity sweeps further, Buy Limit at 1.4280 – 1.4300.
🔍 Safe Entry: Wait for M15/H1 bullish rejection after liquidity grab before entering.
⚠ Invalidation: If price breaks below 1.4250 with strong bearish momentum ❌
ALTERNATE:
🔴 Secondary Trade Setup – Bearish Liquidity Grab Sell
📍 Entry Zone:
🟥 Sell Limit: 1.4505 – 1.4530
📍 Stop Loss:
🚫 SL: Above 1.4550 (Institutional SAFE Zone)
📍 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.4460 (Internal liquidity reaction 📈)
🎯 TP2: 1.4400 (Key discount zone 💵)
🎯 TP3: 1.4350 (Final deep discount target 🔽)
📍 Trade Type & Confidence:
📊 Type: Intraday / Short-Term Swing (Valid for 24–48 Hours) ⏳
💎 Confidence Level: HIGH 🔥 (Liquidity grab dependent, Smart Money re-entry zone).
📍 Execution Strategy:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Pending Sell Limit Order at 1.4505–1.4530.
🔍 Safe Entry: Wait for M15/H1 bearish rejection after liquidity grab before selling.
⚠ Invalidation: If price closes above 1.4550 with bullish momentum ❌
UniversOfSignals | ONE: Key Levels and Market AnalysisIn this analysis, I want to review ONE, the token of the Harmony project. Harmony is one of the layer-1 blockchain networks and is considered one of the older crypto projects.
✨ The token currently holds a market cap of $205 million, ranking 198th on CoinMarketCap.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, as you can see, there is a large consolidation box between $0.01033 and $0.032724. In the last bullish leg, the price started from the $0.01033 low and moved up to the main resistance at $0.032724.
✅ It even broke above this level, reaching $0.04532, but was rejected and fell back into the range, turning this bullish move into a fake breakout.
⚡️ After returning to the range, the price first corrected to $0.02286. Once this level was broken, the next bearish leg pushed the price down to $0.01346. Currently, we are seeing a smaller consolidation box between $0.01346 and $0.01681.
🧩 Looking at the RSI oscillator, there is also a range between 37.05 and 50. A breakout in either direction could confirm the momentum for that direction. Naturally, a break below 37.05 would be a stronger confirmation for downside movement, as the market momentum is already bearish.
📊 If $0.01346 is broken, the price could move toward the bottom of the large range at 0.01033.If $0.01033 is broken, a new all-time low (ATL) is likely to be registered.
🔼 On the bullish side, if the $0.01346 support holds and the $0.01681 resistance is broken, we can expect the price to rally toward $0.02286 and possibly even $0.03274.
🛒 For spot buying, I prefer to wait until this coin shows strength against Bitcoin and Bitcoin dominance starts declining. My spot trigger is currently at $0.04532, and I will not enter a position before this level is broken.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price remains within the same range as identified in the daily timeframe.
🔽 For a short position, if $0.01327 is broken, you can enter a short trade targeting the bottom of the range.
📈 For a high-risk long position, if $0.014825 is broken, you can target the top of the range, but this trade is very risky.The main long position will be confirmed if the price breaks above $0.01681.
🔑 Regarding indicators and oscillators, I don’t have much to say in this ranging market. Volume is also low, making it difficult to rely on momentum indicators in this sideways phase.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bearish Entries 15 Minute Time Frame I am making this post for my own improvement of my entries. If this helps anyone else, then that is a plus as well.
Entry Type 1:
Bearish Engulfments
These types of entries are when NY opens and spikes right through the High of day and engulfs a high bull bar.
Entry Type 1:
Bearish Pullbacks
These types of entries are when NY opens after a move has happened and you are waiting for a better price
XRP/USD – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📉 🚀
🔹 Asset: XRP/USD
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown
📌 Trade Plan (Short Position)
✅ Entry: Below $2.13 (Breakdown Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss: Above $2.18 (Break of Resistance)
🎯 Targets:
📌 TP1: $2.05 (First Support Level)
📌 TP2: $1.94 (Extended Bearish Move)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
📉 Risk: $2.13 - $2.18 = $0.05 per XRP
📉 Reward:
✔ TP1: 1:1.6 R/R
✔ TP2: 1:3.8 R/R
🔍 Technical Analysis
📌 Bearish Wedge Breakdown – Price is losing momentum.
📌 Lower Highs & Weak Support – Indicating potential further downside.
📌 Breakdown Confirmation – A strong candle close below $2.13 signals further decline.
📉 Risk Management
📊 Confirm Volume – Strong selling pressure below $2.13 before entry.
📈 Trailing Stop – Move SL to entry after TP1 ($2.05).
💰 Partial Profits – Take 50% at $2.05, let the rest run to $1.94.
🚀 Trade smart, follow the plan & manage risk! 🔥 #XRP #CryptoTrading #ShortTrade #BreakdownTrade #ProfittoPath #TradingView
KAITO Holding Rising Support – Is a Big Move Coming?$KAITO/USDT is respecting a rising support line, with price bouncing multiple times from this level. The current retest suggests a potential bullish continuation, especially with the Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone, indicating a possible reversal.
If the trendline holds, we may see a strong upward move, targeting previous highs around $2.50 - $3.00. However, a break below the support could invalidate the bullish outlook.
DYOR, NFA
THE PLAN WORK PERFECTLYAs the post at Feb 3 said, the market has a big potential to go down, or, you can say, CLEAR BEAR and it does happen. The reason behind this is simple:
TOTAL MARKET EQUITY has been dropping massively since then.
Why?
Instutional play, they are focusing on accumulating BTC. Yes, that shii including selling it too .
.
.
Future Forecast
Based on the current condition, we might see a move around 660 Bill. Am I positive about it? Nah, but we will see what happens. BTC has a strong demand at 78K and it shows a strong pullback. Yes, institutional keeps accumulating. Again, another BUT, the biggest area of interest for BTC is 73-67K.
Trade responsibly, take care
XCO
SPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 594.00
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 602.54
Safe Stop Loss - 590.04
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
My thoughts for the coming weeksWe are at a tough patch now unfortunately looking at the charts, and so I think it's safe to assume we will see some selling and slowing down in upward price action, until we find more momentum to carry us into price discovery.
As you can see, we're heading towards some very important areas. One being an old support level, now resistance. Following that we have the Fibonacci golden zone at an arms reach as well. If we manage to blow past those, we then have the big one which completely ruined us for years.
Conclusion:
As you can see from my comments on the chart, I can see us in the coming weeks cooling off, and eventually selling down towards the $10 range, to then eventually gain momentum and try again.
DONT BUY 1120 YETSome days ago, I posted not to buy 1120, and still some of you texted and argued about it, if you really are an investor you won't just throw your money away on Stocks.
However, you will get a consultation to know how the movement of the market is, how the market is reacting to the level it is in... which is the real purpose of consultations, not taking your money from you as some think.
Well, now on 1120 don't make any stupidity buying, you still need to wait until the price comes lower to give us an entry that we can follow to make the right decision.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
Follow for more!