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Trend Analysis

USDT DOMINANACE ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT . I correctly identified the upward movement in Tether Dominance in the previous analysis, but with the news of war in the Middle East, there are now bullish triggers for this index. It is expected that the price will at least surge upward toward TP1. Avoid opening impulsive and emotional positions, especially without proper risk management and setting a stop-loss | this is a dangerous market. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
3
GBPUSDDID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )??? The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks. The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP. Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role: Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans. Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations. Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions. Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics. Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community. Summary The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation. if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members . GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE . 1. Current Rates and Yields Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps) Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01% UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August. US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth . 2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds . Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) . Carry Trade Mechanics: GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%. USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%. Key Risks: Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens. Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages . 3. Market Outlook UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term . US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal . Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks. Summary Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher. Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution. Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/JPY in Trouble? Smart Money Rotates Into Yen📊 1. COT Analysis JPY (Japanese Yen): Non-Commercial Net Long: +54,615 – showing strong long accumulation since March. Recent Changes: Long: -5,319 Short: +1,235 ➡️ Mixed signals short-term, but overall net long positioning remains strong. Speculative funds are still heavily favoring the Yen, suggesting potential continued strength. GBP (British Pound): Non-Commercial Net Long: +51,634 (111,076 long – 59,442 short) Recent Changes: Long: +7,404 Short: -9,015 ➡️ Specs are still net long on GBP, but exposure has slightly decreased. The divergence with the Yen is narrowing. 🔎 COT Summary: Both currencies are being bought by speculators, but the JPY has shown more consistent long-term positioning. Net momentum appears to shift in favor of Yen strength, pointing to potential downside for GBP/JPY. 📅 2. Seasonality – June Historically, June is a weak month for GBP/JPY, especially over 20y, 15y, 5y, and 2y windows. Monthly average return is negative across all major historical timeframes (e.g. -1.2415 over 10 years). ➡️ Seasonality reinforces a bearish bias for June. 🧠 3. Retail Sentiment Short: 52% Long: 48% ➡️ Retail positioning is balanced, slightly skewed short. Not a strong contrarian signal, but also doesn’t support a bullish breakout scenario. 📉 4. Technical Analysis Current Structure: Ascending channel from mid-May → currently testing lower boundary. Key Zone: 195.600–196.520 is a major supply zone with multiple rejections. Recent Candle Action: Bearish pin bar + engulfing candle → strong rejection from resistance. Downside Targets: First: 193.076 Second: 191.439 Break of the channel would further confirm a trend reversal. ➡️ Price action supports a short scenario with high reward-to-risk toward lower zones.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
GBPCHF Buy Trade IdeaHello Traders In This Chart GBPCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 146.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 148.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 145.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NIFTY MAY HIT 25800 in JUNE 2025I am posting this just to record my analysis. I am using some logics to analyze and forecast moves. You may find it interesting that yes with true logic and observation on data pattern and chart pattern, yes it possible to forecast at some extend. May be I will be wrong but it's all about probability, it's in 28% probability of winning but with a high reward. Don't take any trade or financial action based on this. It's just a post of idea and knowledge sharing. Thanks for reading. Bye.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by dipanjanxsamanta
1
Euphoria in the air! But, will it get us there? -liquidity pools at white lines -triangle formation atop fast move up -gan fan from recent move and one dating back to Nov '22 coincide -lost support of 50ma on 12h tf conclusion: before any significant move upward, i think that bitcoin will first reclaim liquidity around the 97,700-99,988k zone. if support lost there, next zone below would be ~90,225k. this could either be a deswelling of momentum into a further drop, or a compression event, indicative of a rapid, significant move, possibly beyond current ATH ranging up to 181,678 thousand dollars or there abouts. Im building a position broken up into many parts to wait out this long grind we have ahead of us.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by NightmanDaymansAntagonist
1
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown 🔻 Price Action & Structure: The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines. The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend. 🔄 Projected Move: A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated. The white projected path shows: A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800. A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows. A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity. 🧠 EQH = Equal High Liquidity : The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting. It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing. 💡 Interpretation: The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts. Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook. Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
by King_Maker_FX
Market Structure AnalysisMarket Structure Analysis HH (Higher High) and HL (Higher Low) labels indicate the prior uptrend structure. The recent price action shows consolidation and potential trend reversal or correction. 🟦 Highlighted Zones Supply Zones (resistance): Marked in light teal rectangles near the top of price action (e.g., around 3,400). Demand Zones (support): Marked below the current price (e.g., around 3,360 and lower near 3,320). 🔄 Ch0CH (Change of Character) A “Ch0CH” label is marked — this typically signals a potential shift in market structure (e.g., from bullish to bearish). This is further supported by the price breaking below a previous higher low. 📉 Trade Setup Red Zone: Indicates the stop-loss region. Green Zone: Indicates the take-profit target. A short (sell) position is implied here, expecting price to drop from the current level to the lower demand zone. 🔁 Projected Price Path A dotted white line projects a potential bearish move, with a minor retracement before continuation down to ~3,328.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Bullish Momentum Expected Next Week, With Geopolitical tensions 🌍 Fundamental Catalyst – Middle East Tensions Driving Gold Higher Gold is gaining strong safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, further amplified by a recent U.S. military strike on Iran. These developments have sparked fears of a broader regional conflict, pushing investors to seek the stability that gold traditionally offers during periods of uncertainty. We may again see an All-Time New High of gold because things are getting closer to a new WWIII, which we never want, so these tensions will boost the gold prices. Key Fundamentals Supporting Bullish Gold: 🛡️ Safe-Haven Demand: Gold historically rallies during military conflict and political instability. 💥 Risk-Off Sentiment: Equities may weaken while commodities like gold attract capital inflow. 🔐 Market Uncertainty: Any further escalation will likely trigger another wave of buying pressure in gold. With this level of geopolitical uncertainty, we may soon witness a new all-time high (ATH) in gold prices. If further military actions occur, we could potentially see an explosive move of 600 to 1000 pips as early as tomorrow. At the same time, while we analyze the market and act accordingly, our hope remains that peace will soon prevail. These conflicts are deeply painful and harmful to humanity. Let’s all hope for de-escalation and the return of stability — not just for the markets, but for the well-being of people across the world. Technical Overview: > The chart shows a descending channel pattern, which is still valid, but the thing is now gold will follow fundamental, not technical levels. > Don't need to wait for the breakout of this channel, you can enter to buy a trade from here once the market opens. > Regarding the targets we mentioned below. >> TP1: 3400 << >> Final Target Zone: 3445–3450 << : NOTE Given the geopolitical backdrop and historical behavior of gold in such environments, a bullish trend is expected in the coming sessions. Traders and investors should monitor developments closely, as any further escalation may act as a strong catalyst for gold to surge. Thank you traders, for reading our idea. If any of you want to suggest something, must comment here as we can explore more. If you agreed with my idea, so must support us for more updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
1
USDJPY Price Breakout Strong Bullish FormedUSDJPY is approaching a retest of the support level after rebounding from a recent wedge breakdown. The pair has reclaimed structure within a broader ascending channel, indicating buyers are stepping in around key levels. 🎯 Potential Target: If the pair continues to hold above support and breaks minor resistance, the next key upside target is 146.500. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
Potential Bullish Scenario for DXY, target objective is 99.392Higher timeframe analysis As discussed in last week's analysis of the DXY, the higher timeframe draw on liquidity is the bearish monthly Fair value gap set at 101.977. This warrants a higher timeframe bullish bias until this level has been achieved. Intermediate timeframe analysis We note the relative equal highs on the daily and 1H chart at 99.392. This serves as a intermediate timeframe draw on liquidity and target objective. Also note that the buyside of the curve of the market maker buy model has commenced which further fuels bullish sentiment. Scenario 1 On the 1H chart, note the relative equal lows at 98.482. These lows are expected to be ran to serve as a liquidity primer for the bullish 1H order block at 98.436 which is expected to be respected and held. This poses a rather handsome risk to reward ratio. Scenario 2 Should price push past the invalidation point of the bullish 1H order block we could see it head to the bullish 1H order block at the initial accumulation at 98.219. The reward on this setup would make up for the loss of scenario 1. Disclaimer The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
TVC:DXYLong
by Th3L1qu1d1ty
GBPUSD Will Fall! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.349. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.341 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURJPY Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 166.677. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 167.654 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.357. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.351 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1