Trend Analysis
AAVE/USDTKey Level Zone : 283.76-296.03
HMT v3.0 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups.
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it
NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range
NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week.
Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry.
Bearish:
NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap.
NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above.
NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
#202451 - priceactiontds - year end special - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
dax xetra - outlook 2025
comment: We look at the chart from the beginning of the current bull trend in 2022-10. Dax has gained 71% while German GDP is now negative for two consecutive years. The bull trend has 3 clear and big legs up. The upper and lower trend lines were respected and we have seen an acceleration upwards in the last leg. This is not the start of a new and stronger one but the climactic ending which traps the weak & late traders. These are the people who started gambling with Bitcoin as it hit 100k because they wanted some of that fairy dust.
A healthy correction would be around 20% which is very close to the 50% retracement of this whole trend, the 2023-11 previous ath and the big bull trend line from the Covid lows. More than enough magnets to test down to that price around 16000. How will we get there? Absolutely no idea and all of my drawings with a potential wave series, are just rough guesses how I think it could potentially play out. Sometimes those are accurate and other times they are way off. It’s a good habit of anticipating what markets could do and take the trade if they do it.
Final thoughts. Buying the dax above 19000 hoping for a new and stronger trend upwards because surely this time it’s different, is as unwise as can be if you want to invest your money. Meaning buying and holding or trading on a daily/weekly chart. The odds of this breaking above two major trend lines while we already made 70%+ without any meaningful correction, are so slim that the only reason your are doing it is because of FOMO.
current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 18780 will be the confirmation.
key levels for 2025: 16000 - 20000 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again)
bull case: 2 years, 70%+. What more can you dream of? No matter how you draw your technicals on the chart, you can only see this as bullish, if you think we can break strongly above the two upper trend lines and go for 25000 or more. That is trading on hope and nothing else. If you have bought any dip the past two years you were never wrong and that is why we have so many articles about “this time it’s different”. In a bull trend, everyone is a genius. I can not come up with any legitimate reason why this should go meaningful above 20600. The absolute best I can do for this section is that we will likely see a lot of sideways price action at the big magnets. 19000 will be the first over the next days/weeks and at this point, we can’t expect the bulls to just give and let the market melt through those prices. BTFD mentality has been profitable and it will take a while or a huge drop, before it ends and we shift to STR (sell the rips).
Invalidation is below 14600. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 12000 again.
bear case: Peak bullish sentiment and option positions over the past weeks can only go on for so long before the market reverses big time. It’s perhaps because there is literally no one left to buy because everyone and their dog went max long. The chart is clear and the downside risks are much greater than any coke-induced perma-bull argument on why the markets will break higher another 10-20%.
Bears short term targets are the weekly 20ema near the small bull trend line around 19000. There we can probably expect more sideways movement before we get another impulse down to the huge support around 17700. My chart is a best guess about price but the timing could be way off. My biggest target for 2025 is the 2011-11 previous ath 16290, which is very close to the 50% retracement of this bull trend. There is also the big bull trend line from the Covid low and I expect this to be tested in Q1 or Q2 2025.
Invalidation is above 20700.
short term: The year end rally could give us another new ath or lower high. It does not matter because the upside will probably be very limited. My highest price is 20700 give or take. I fully expect 19000 to be hit over the next 2-6 weeks.
medium-long term: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: None but I think any short ETF, levered or not, is reasonable. Short term is 19000 and medium term (2-5 months) is 17000-18000.
Prepare to BUY Spot XVGUSDT on the D1 Cycle
🌟 Get Ready for the Next Move with XVGUSDT! 🌟
🌍 Market Overview:
XVGUSDT is showing bullish potential on the D1 timeframe, offering a promising setup for short-term gains.
📊 Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: $0.011 - $0.013 – Accumulate within this range for optimal positioning.
🎯 Target: $0.022 or x2 – Aim for a potential 2x gain with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
⏳ Hold Time: Up to 1 week – Designed for short-term traders seeking quick returns.
🔍 Strategy Insights:
My custom indicator RainBow MG3 confirms strong potential for a breakout.
The current market trend aligns with a high-probability D1 cycle setup.
🚀 Next Steps:
💬 Contact me if you need personalized guidance or more strategy insights!
💡 Note: This is not financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
🔥 XVGUSDT is primed for action – Don’t miss the opportunity! 🔥
WIFUSDT: Long-Term Bullish SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ): Long-Term Bullish Setup for a Multi-Month Hold
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $2.0682 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.2580
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $5.6605
- TP2: $10.2864
Fundamental Analysis:
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ) is an innovative cryptocurrency project aimed at merging decentralized connectivity solutions with meme-inspired community engagement. With its growing adoption and strategic partnerships in the tech sector, $ KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is creating a niche within the blockchain space. The anticipated market bullishness by May adds further potential for a strong rally.
Recent community-driven campaigns and developments in the ecosystem are expected to enhance its visibility and attract more long-term investors.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $2.0820
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $1.8000
- 200-Day SMA: $1.5000
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 63, indicating bullish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $1.9000
- Resistance: $2.5000
KUCOIN:WIFUSDT has broken out of a consolidation phase, supported by strong buying volume. A confirmed breakout above $2.50 will likely drive the price toward TP1 and eventually TP2 as the market enters a more bullish phase.
Market Sentiment:
DogWiFiHat is riding the wave of increasing interest in meme-inspired cryptocurrencies with real-world use cases. With the broader market sentiment turning positive, KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is poised for significant upside potential.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $0.2580 provides strong downside protection, while the take-profit targets offer excellent reward potential. TP1 represents a 173% return, with TP2 providing a potential 397% gain for long-term holders.
Key Takeaways:
- KUCOIN:WIFUSDT combines meme culture with real-world utility, making it a unique play in the crypto space.
- The trade setup offers significant upside potential, aligning with market-wide bullish expectations through May.
- Strict adherence to stop-loss and take-profit levels is crucial for managing risk.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
The key is whether it can rise above 0.37778
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(DOGEUSDT 1W chart)
As the price falls, the HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 0.37778 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 0.37778.
If not,
1st: 0.26850-0.28000
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You need to check whether it can rise with support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the overbought level, it seems likely to continue to decline further.
However, when looking at the StochRSI indicator, volatility may occur when it reaches around the 50 point, so caution is required.
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(1D chart)
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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BTC.D ChartAs i mentioned in my previous analysis i expected BTC.D to have it's pull back to the inverse cup & handle pattern and midline of it's channel and we got a beautiful red inverse hammer from the resistance zone. Im expecting BTC.D to continue it's path to the lower numbers which will give alt coins some room to grow and a future alt season.
Market might give a bit more correction due to other charts which you can read on my profile, but don't get shaken out and buy the dips and you'll thank me later.
The Giga cycle is upon us.
DYOR
Goodluck
SOLUSDT Price Action Analysis - Bullish Breakout OpportunityThe 1-hour chart of SOLUSDT shows promising signs of a potential bullish breakout. The price has been moving in a descending channel, but it is now testing the downward trendline (blue). A confirmed breakout above this line could signal the start of a strong upward move.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above the $187-$190 range, it would confirm the bullish reversal.
The first target is $202, a key resistance level based on previous price action.
If the bullish momentum continues, the next target is set at $213, aligning with a critical resistance zone and a longer-term trendline.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on entering a long position after the price breaks and holds above the $187 level.
First target: $202.
Second target: $213.
Stop-loss: Below $180 to limit potential downside risk.
The chart indicates strong potential for upward movement if the breakout is confirmed, making this a favorable opportunity for long positions. Proper risk management is essential to handle any unexpected market reversals.
EUR/USD 30-Minute Chart AnalysisEUR/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined upward channel, showing bullish momentum. It recently moved from the support level
around 1.0330 to test resistance at approximately 1.0457, with the current price around 1.0429.
Key levels to watch include:
Resistance: Immediate resistance at 1.0457 and potential higher resistance near 1.0475.
Support: Initial support at approximately 1.0384 and stronger support near the previous low at 1.0330.
Traders should watch for potential reversal signals from RSI and MACD, as well as volume trends that can confirm market sentiment. Overall,
the pair presents opportunities for both long and short positions depending on price action dynamics.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies.
Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL COMPLETEDKOG first published this chart at the beginning of November prior to the US Election with our view of the movement expected and the trade plan for the month.
We highlighted the path with the Red arrows and added the green arrows with the actual movement. As you can see, we weren't too far off with the projection using it to then trade the levels intra-day and for the swings successfully. It's worked well and combined with our tools, indicators, algo and target activations we can honestly say it's been another great year in Camelot.
We will end this idea here and mark it as completed at the green arrow point above.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum.
Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.