BTCUSDT BTCUSDT is in bullish tend.
Potentially printing HH and HL.
Bearish divergence also shonw in RSI.
Alligator mouth is open which shown trend will go up.
We buy at CMP.
Trend Analysis
Cronos is on the move, Could we see it hit $1 soon?The chart is a weekly candlestick chart of CRONOS (CRO) against USD on TradingView, showing price action from late 2023 to a projected point in 2025. Let’s break down the key elements:
Price Movement and Trend:
CRONOS experienced a notable peak around mid-2024, reaching approximately $0.24000, followed by a sharp decline.
After the peak, the price entered a downtrend, forming a descending triangle pattern, which is typically bearish but can lead to a breakout in either direction.
The price has since stabilized in an "Accumulation Zone" between $0.07197 and $0.08925, with the current price at $0.08925 as of April 1, 2025.
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The descending triangle is defined by a downward-sloping resistance line (yellow) and a horizontal support line around $0.08925.
This pattern often signals a potential breakout. A break above the resistance could indicate a bullish reversal, while a break below support might lead to further downside.
The resistance line is currently around $0.13000 to $0.15000, based on the slope.
Accumulation Zone:
The price is in an "Accumulation Zone" between $0.07197 and $0.08925, suggesting that buyers are holding this level and potentially accumulating positions.
Multiple tests of this support level indicate strong buying interest, which could set the stage for a breakout if bullish momentum builds.
Target Projection (TG 1S):
The chart projects a target labeled "TG 1S" at $0.42000, a significant increase from the current price.
This target is likely based on the height of the descending triangle pattern added to the breakout point, a common technical analysis method.
However, reaching $1 (as requested) would require a much larger move, approximately an 11x increase from the current price of $0.08925.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support is at $0.07197, with the current price at $0.08925.
Resistance from the descending triangle is around $0.13000 to $0.15000, with a previous high at $0.17018.
A break above $0.17018 could open the door to higher levels, but reaching $1 would require sustained momentum and likely strong fundamental catalysts.
Historical Context and Feasibility of $1:
CRONOS reached an all-time high of around $0.96 in November 2021 during a crypto bull market, so $1 is within historical precedent.
However, the current market environment (as of April 2025) would need to see significant bullish momentum, possibly driven by broader crypto market trends, adoption of the Cronos ecosystem, or major developments in the Crypto.com platform (which CRONOS is tied to).
The $0.42000 target is a more immediate goal, but $1 would require an extraordinary rally, likely over a longer timeframe.
Timeframe:
The chart extends into mid-2025, and the $0.42000 target appears to be a medium-term projection.
Reaching $1 might take longer, potentially into late 2025 or beyond, depending on market conditions.
Important trendlineThe black trendline(Falling trendline) must not be broken and if it be done we'd have a breaking domino of support zones.
GOLD LongGold has been trending upward for the longest of time and I don't think it's over quite yet.
Price have found some consolidation and is preparing for the next move. I think we have some space to the upside to complete a double top before the bears will start to come in and send the price down.
LTCUSD Oversold bounce back capped at 897.70Market Sentiment:
The prevailing trend for LTCUSD remains bearish, with the recent price action appearing to be an oversold bounce rather than a sustained recovery.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 897.70 (Previous consolidation zone)
Support Levels: 826.80 → 790.20 → 746.40
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation: If LTCUSD fails to break above 897.70 and faces rejection, it could resume its downtrend, targeting 826.80 initially, followed by 790.20 and 746.40 over the longer term.
Bullish Breakout: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 897.70 would shift the sentiment bullish, paving the way for a rally toward 931.60 and potentially 960.00.
Conclusion:
LTCUSD remains in a bearish structure unless a breakout above 897.70 is confirmed. Until then, price action suggests that any rally is likely to be a short-term relief within a broader downtrend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/NZD 1-HRGBPNZD Approaching Key Resistance: A Closer Look at the Megaphone Pattern and Potential Reversal Zones
The current price action of GBPNZD on the 1-hour chart reveals the formation of a prominent megaphone pattern, a significant technical formation characterized by fluctuating price swings and widening ranges. This pattern, which often indicates increased market volatility and uncertainty, is an important signal to watch as it nears the upper resistance zone. Understanding the intricacies of this pattern and the key levels that are in play can provide valuable insights for traders seeking to capitalize on the upcoming potential price movements.
What is the Megaphone Pattern?
A megaphone pattern, also known as an expanding triangle or broadening formation, is typically seen when the price creates higher highs and lower lows. This type of formation suggests that market participants are uncertain, leading to erratic price swings. The pattern often serves as a warning of increased volatility and potential reversals, which is exactly what we may be witnessing with GBPNZD.
As the price moves toward the upper boundary of the megaphone formation, it’s essential to recognize that this resistance line represents a crucial point for potential market exhaustion. Typically, price reactions around this zone can lead to significant retracements or reversals. This creates an opportunity for traders to anticipate potential short positions or to watch for signs of reversal before making their move.
Key Resistance Levels and Potential Reversal
The current price is fast approaching the upper resistance line of the megaphone pattern, which has proven to be a critical zone where selling pressure could build up. If the market fails to break above this resistance, we could see a shift in momentum, where sellers step in, pushing the price lower. This could be triggered by a number of factors such as exhaustion of buying pressure, a failure to sustain higher prices, or the onset of bearish sentiment in the broader market.
Here are the key resistance and support zones to monitor carefully:
Resistance Zone (Key Upper Boundary of Megaphone Pattern):
This is the critical level where the price may encounter substantial selling pressure. A failure to break above this resistance could lead to a swift reversal. Watch for candlestick patterns like bearish engulfing, shooting stars, or evening stars, which could indicate that the market is ready to turn.
Support Zones:
Should the price fail to breach the resistance level, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the support areas where the market could react and potentially reverse upward. These levels include:
2.2670: A strong support area where the price has historically shown signs of consolidation and upward movement. If the price retraces to this level, we may see a bounce, especially if it coincides with other technical indicators such as RSI or MACD signaling oversold conditions.
2.2560: This level represents another potential support zone where previous price action has indicated short-term reversals. If the market consolidates around this level, it could provide the foundation for a potential bullish reaction.
2.2445: As we move further down, this level represents a deeper support zone. A price drop to this point could trigger more significant buying interest, especially if the broader market sentiment remains favorable for the pair.
2.2200: This is one of the most critical support levels to watch. A price move toward this zone would suggest a strong bearish trend, and if it holds, it could lead to a more substantial price correction or the continuation of a downtrend.
What to Look For: Signs of a Reversal
When approaching key resistance levels such as the upper boundary of the megaphone pattern, it’s important to watch for signs of a reversal. These may include:
Candlestick Patterns: Reversal candlestick formations such as doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing patterns around the resistance level could signal that the market is losing momentum and that sellers may step in.
Volume Indicators: A decrease in volume at the upper boundary or increased volume on bearish candles could provide additional confirmation of a potential reversal. A sudden surge in volume after a failed breakout could signify that the price is ready to move lower.
Momentum Indicators: Tools such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), or Stochastic Oscillator could also help identify overbought conditions or divergences, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent.
The Bigger Picture
Traders need to consider both the short-term and long-term outlook when analyzing GBPNZD. On a broader scale, the megaphone pattern may indicate a market that is in a state of indecision, but as the price moves toward key levels, the likelihood of a major price shift increases. A breakout above the upper resistance would suggest continued strength for the bullish trend, while a failure to break above and a subsequent price rejection could set the stage for a bearish move down to the key support levels outlined.
Conclusion
In summary, GBPNZD is at a pivotal moment. The formation of the megaphone pattern is signaling increased volatility, with the price nearing key resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring the price action closely around these levels, looking for signs of reversal or confirmation of a breakout. The key support levels at 2.2670, 2.2560, 2.2445, and 2.2200 should be watched carefully, as they will likely play a significant role in the upcoming price movements. By staying informed of these levels and patterns, traders can position themselves effectively for potential price shifts in the near future.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Mar-2025📌 BANK NIFTY Trading Plan – 31-Mar-2025
📊 Market Overview:
Bank Nifty closed at 51,552, trading within a consolidation phase near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (51,552 – 51,564). The price action at key levels will dictate the next move, so we need to be prepared for different opening scenarios.
This plan offers a structured approach to trading at key levels while maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio.
🔼 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,750)
A gap-up above 51,750 suggests bullish momentum, but sustainability above the resistance zone (51,848 - 52,129) is crucial for further upside. If price faces rejection, an intraday reversal is possible.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Bank Nifty sustains above 52,129, expect an up-move towards the next resistance at 52,335. A breakout above 52,335 could trigger a rally towards 52,500+.
If price faces rejection at 52,129 and reverses, expect a retracement towards 51,848 → 51,750. If it fails to hold 51,750, a deeper correction towards 51,552 is possible.
Avoid fresh longs inside 51,848 – 52,129, as this zone could act as a profit-booking area. Wait for a decisive breakout or rejection confirmation.
🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-up is quickly filled within the first 15-30 minutes, it signals weak buying strength, increasing the probability of an intraday correction.
⚖ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within ±200 points, around 51,550)
A flat opening near 51,552 indicates indecision. The market will take direction after the first few candles, so breakouts or breakdowns from key levels should be watched.
✅ Plan of Action:
Upside case: If Bank Nifty breaks and sustains above 51,848, it may head towards 52,129 → 52,335. Observe price action near these resistance levels before entering fresh longs.
Downside case: If Bank Nifty breaks below 51,552, it could test 51,199 → 50,899. A breakdown below 50,899 will shift the trend bearish.
Sideways caution: If the market remains inside the No Trade Zone (51,564 – 51,848), avoid taking trades as volatility could trap both buyers and sellers.
🎯 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, wait for a clear 15-minute candle close above or below key levels before entering trades.
🔽 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,350)
A gap-down below 51,350 could signal profit booking or fresh selling pressure. The critical factor will be whether buyers defend key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price sustains below 51,350, expect a decline towards 51,199 → 50,899. A breakdown below 50,899 may accelerate selling towards the Must Try Zone for Buyers (50,800 – 50,899).
If price finds support at 50,899 and rebounds, it may attempt a recovery towards 51,199 → 51,552. A strong close above 51,552 could shift momentum back to the bulls.
Be cautious of bear traps – If the market gaps down but quickly recovers, it could trigger short covering, leading to an upside reversal.
🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-down occurs near a strong buyer’s support zone, wait for a bullish price action confirmation before entering long trades.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Avoid over-leveraging – Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
🔹 Theta Decay Awareness – If the market consolidates, option premiums will erode rapidly.
🔹 Use Spreads for Protection – Instead of naked options, use spreads to limit risk and improve probability.
🔹 Trade at Key Levels – Avoid impulsive trades; focus on defined support and resistance zones.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 Resistance: 52,129 → 52,335 → 52,500
🟧 No Trade Zone: 51,564 – 51,848
🟩 Support: 51,199 → 50,899 → 50,800
🔸 Bullish Bias: Above 52,129, targeting 52,335 – 52,500
🔸 Bearish Bias: Below 51,350, expecting a fall towards 51,199 – 50,899
🔸 Neutral/Choppy: Inside 51,564 – 51,848, avoid unnecessary trades
🎯 Final Advice:
Stick to the structured trading plan and execute only at key levels.
Avoid emotional trading—wait for confirmation before entering trades.
The first 15-30 minutes after market open will provide better clarity—observe price action before committing to a trade.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trades.
Resistance line from 2020As you can see from this simple monthly chart, we are in a symmetrical wedge and at the resistance line dating back to early 2020. I would say it's far more likely we trend up from here on the macro.
GBP/JPY🔹Symbol: GBP/JPY
🔹Price: 193.918
🔹Stop loss: 195.064
🔹Take profit 1: 192.772
🔹Take profit 2: 191.775
🔹Take profit 3: 190.550
🔹Take profit 4: 188.819
🔹Take profit 5: 187.970
Low risk: % 1.5 🟢
📊Check your chart before entering.
♦️Check before use to make sure there is no important news.
Using Micro Soybean Futures to Finetune Trading StrategiesCBOT: Micro Soybean Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MZS1! )
Shipping industry news recently reported that 30 U.S. soybean ships (about 2 million tons) are currently heading to China, nearly half of which will arrive after April 12th, when China's 10% retaliatory tariffs on U.S. soybeans will take effect.
How big are the tariffs? Let’s say a cargo of soybeans, or 65,000 tons, is sent to China. Assuming the trade is $10 per bushel, given 36.74 bushels per ton, total cargo value is $23.88 million. Upon arriving in China, you owe a new tax bill for $2.39 million!
According to people familiar with the matter, many cargoes are for China Grain Reserves, which may be exempted from tariffs. Soybean cargoes loaded before March 12th are eligible for a one-month grace period. Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture on March 20th showed that the stock of unsold agricultural products in China was 1.22 million tons. Any sign of order cancellation will help us assess the real impact of tariffs.
In anticipation of the tariffs, China rushes to buy U.S. soybeans in the past two months. In January and February, China bought 9.13 million metric tons of soybeans from the U.S., up 84% year-over-year. I expect the buying will vanish by the second quarter, given new crop arriving from Brazil at much lower prices without the tariffs imposed by China.
China relies heavily on imported soybeans to crush into soybean oil for cooking use and soybean meal, a key ingredient in animal feed.
The oversupply of soybeans pushes the downstream soybean meal market to crash. According to the statistics of China Feed Industry Information, soybean meals spot market prices tumbled more than 600 yuan per ton to 3,180 since February, nearly a 20% drop.
Top feed processing companies, including New Hope, Haida, and Dabeinong, have each announced price cuts ranging from 50 to 300 yuan per ton for their chicken feed and hog feed products.
With lower overall demand, and tariffs making South American soybeans more competitive, U.S. soybeans face a shrinking export market. On my March 17th commentary “Soybeans: Déjà vu all over again”, I expressed a bearish view on CBOT Soybean Futures and discussed the possibility of $8 beans.
Trading with Micro Soybean Futures
On February 24th, CME Group launched a suite of micro-size agricultural futures contracts, including Micro Corn (MZC) futures, Micro Wheat (MZW) futures, Micro Soybean (MZS) futures, Micro Soybean Meal (MZM) futures and Micro Soybean Oil (MZL) futures.
The contract size of the micro soybean futures (MZS) is 500 bushels, or just 1/10 of the benchmark standard soybean futures (ZS). The minimum margin is $200 for the front futures month, and it gets smaller further out. For instance, the margins for May, July, August, September and November are $200, $190, $180, $170, and $165, respectively.
The smaller capital requirement makes it easier for traders to express an opinion ahead of the release of a USDA report or anticipate the impact of tariffs and retaliation.
The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of March 25th, CBOT soybean futures have total open interest of 853,368 contracts, up 5% in two weeks.
• Managed Money has 89,649 in long, 123,470 in short, and 139,427 in spreading
• Compared to two weeks ago, long positions were down by 12% while shorts were increased by 12%. This shows that the “Small Money” has turned bearish on soybeans
In my opinion, micro soybean futures would be a great instrument to trade market-moving events, particularly the USDA reports. I list the big reports here for your information:
• World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), monthly, April 10th
• Prospective Plantings, annually, March 31st
• Grain Stocks, quarterly, March 31st, June 30th, September 30th
• Export Sales, weekly, every Thursday
• Crop Progress, weekly during growing season, April 7th, April 14th, April 21st
• Acreage, annually, June 30th
Hypothetically, a trader expects more soybean planting in this crop year and wants to express a bearish opinion ahead of April 7th Crop Progress. He could enter a short order for May contract MZSK5 at the current market price of 1,023. If he is correct in his view and the contract price drops to 900, the short position would gain $1.23 per bushel (= 1023-900) and the total gain is $615 given the contract size at 500 bushels.
The risk of short futures is the continuous rise in soybean prices. The trader would be wise to set a stoploss at his sell order. For example, a stop loss at $11.00 would set the maximum loss to $385 (= (11.00-10.23) x 500).
To learn more about all Micro Ag futures contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site:
www.cmegroup.com
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
REZ Analysis (8H)After the iCH formed on the chart, it seems we are in parts of wave C, which, after absorbing liquidity from lower areas, could push the price upward and complete the bullish segments of wave C.
We are looking for buy/long positions around the green zone; however, reaching this area might take some time, so this asset should be kept on the watchlist.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BUY FOR ONE MORE UP SWING UNTIL 2026The top is not yet, one more heavy swing up soon
buy more and hold
The panic will end and all the bulls with step forward again soon
Buy...
House of Cards - $585 before the crashHouse of Cards - $585 before the crash
I'm unable to update my previous idea that I originally posted in February when AMEX:SPY was at the top. Going to make this brief and will add screenshots and additional notes once the structure of Wave (B) is confirmed or invalidated.
On the 500R chart ($5), the price has risen in a distinct 3-wave pattern labelled A-B-C, with C reaching the 1.236 extension of A and finding resistance at the 100SMA (yellow). The low of Wave (A) respected the boundary of the lower line of the regression trend I have added to the chart. While this trend started prior to what I am considering Wave (A), I still think it provides a good target for the top of the retracement.
Wave (c) of A of (B) (still following me?) is not confirmed as complete yet. It could extend as far as $584 without pulling back, however I anticipate the market building more liquidity on the way up while burning options in the process. I bought 3/28 $570p at the end of the day in case we see a 50%-61.8% pullback to $560-$563 by the end of the week. If that happens, we should have enough room to reach the upper band at $585, which would be a little over a 50% retracement of Wave (A). This would also cause the price to touch the 200 SMA (green), which is common in the first major retracement of a bear market.
Lastly, from a psychological perspective, the market reached an overwhelmingly bearish consensus from mid-February to mid-March. Sentiment during Wave (a) was mostly bearish, but sentiment has shifted positive since the price entered Wave (c) and gapped up on Monday, resulting in a >+1% day. This sets the stage for a rug pull and subsequent bear trap for late sellers who will assume the downtrend has resumed prematurely.
We'll see how this plays out. I'll switch to calls if a higher high is made Wednesday 3/26. Good luck to all.
Safe Entry ZoneNever Ever Follow stocks let it come.
Two Zone Two Scenarios:
Scenarios One: The Blue POI Zone (Point Of Interest) acts as strong support level.
if not respected
Scenarios Two: the 4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level.
We have two scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly:
One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Two: Fake BreakOut of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
Take care.
Long on NVDAFirst of all, very good company to invest in long term. Uptrend and I am looking the right spot to make a long position. There is a possibility that the retracement will be deeper but I will buy more shares to make a good average price.
Ethereum (ETH): Support Forming Near Local Bottom / Might PumpEthereum is forming a proper support near our local bottom, which has been our point of interest for quite some time now.
We are going to wait now for upper resistance to be tested, where afterwards we will be looking for a break to happen where we will be looking for a long position.
Swallow Team
Breaking: Vision Marine Technologies (VMAR) Set For 1700% SurgeVision Marine Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: VMAR) is set poised to capitalied on a patterned from on the 12 hour price chart pattern called the U-shaped cup shape which is a bullish pattern depending on the trend and shape of the cup.
With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 29, NASDAQ:VMAR is looking poised to capitalized on this dip that is forming a U-shaped cup pattern looking forward to delivering a 1700% surge.
As of the time of writing, the stock closed Monday's session up by 9.07% showing an increased in the influx of buyers.
About VMAR
Vision Marine Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, rents, and sells electric boats in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers e-motion electric powertrain technology; e-motion electric outboard powertrain system; electric boats; and maintenance, repair, and customer support services, as well as manufactures customized boats.
Financial Performance
In 2024, VMAR's revenue was 3.79 million, a decrease of -32.86% compared to the previous year's 5.65 million. Losses were -14.06 million, -32.65% less than in 2023.
Analyst Forecast
According to Lucas Ward from Ascendiant Capital, the rating for VMAR stock is "Strong Buy" and the 12-month stock price forecast is $270.0 with a whopping +5,057.10% returns
MSTR Time To RipLooking for long trades at these key levels, mainly anchored vwap from the low for what may be a face ripper rally
TRADE ENTRY EURUSDThe overall trend is bearish using Technical Analysis we are expecting a pull back into 38.2 fib level.
ITC WEAK TREND 380-360ITC WEAK TREND 380-360
ITC recently acquired Century Pulp and Paper from Aditya Birla Real Estate for ₹3,498 crore. This acquisition is expected to expand ITC's paper capacity by 48%
GBPCAD SELL/SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
Bitcoin short term.I follow 5 wave movements in most of my analysis because it gives a good idea about the direction of the movement.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
