Trend Analysis
MSTR Ready for Breakout or Bull Trap? Here’s the Key Levels.Market Structure & Price Action
MSTR has recently formed multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals, suggesting a power struggle between bulls and bears. The chart currently shows price climbing into a descending trendline and pressing right up against key resistance near the $307 zone after rejecting the CHoCH zone from below.
* BOS confirms bullish intent, but it's climbing within a falling wedge, creating a potential breakout setup.
* Support held strong at $272 and $281, forming a higher low structure with growing bullish momentum.
Trendlines
* The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. Price is nearing the apex—expect volatility and potential breakout in either direction.
* A breakout above $307 with strong volume could trigger a squeeze toward $320–$344.
* Breakdown below the rising trendline near $297 could invite downside liquidity grabs.
Indicators Analysis
* MACD is showing bullish cross momentum, but it’s flattening—momentum is not strong yet.
* Stoch RSI is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a short-term pullback could occur before a true breakout.
Key Levels
* Support: $297 / $281 / $272
* Resistance: $307 / $320 / $344
* Reversal Zone: $272–$281 demand zone still valid if price drops.
Options GEX Sentiment
* GEX Walls are stacked around $325 and $344, signaling heavy call positioning—possible magnet if momentum confirms.
* IVR: 25.7 (low but rising)
* Call%: 42.6%
* IVx vs Avg IVx: +9.23% suggests bullish bets are heating up.
* GEX: Green across the board — bullish gamma tilt.
This GEX alignment suggests a call-dominant environment, especially above $307, increasing the probability of a gamma squeeze toward $320+ if bulls sustain pressure.
Trade Ideas
* Bullish Scenario: Long above $307 breakout with volume. Targets: $320, $344.
* Bearish Scenario: Short below $297 breakdown or wick rejection at $307. Targets: $281 / $272.
Conclusion
MSTR is coiling at resistance with bullish signals building. If it breaks $307 with volume, there’s room for a sharp move higher supported by strong call walls and GEX. However, fading momentum or a fakeout at this level can lead to a pullback to $281 or lower.
📌 Watch the volume and MACD for confirmation before entering either side.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
AUDCHF Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.5567 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5542
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Continue to short gold after the rebound!Although gold did not fall due to the negative impact of ADP data, this does not mean that the risk of gold falling has been eliminated. As long as gold does not break through the recent highs, and in the fluctuations in recent days, the resistance strength of the 3135-3145 zone has been strengthened, gold still has a considerable risk of falling before breaking through the resistance area, and once gold falls below the 3110-3100 zone, it is bound to retreat to the 3095-3085 zone!
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GBPNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 GBP/NZD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – D1 Discount Rejection
📌 Trade Idea: Buying into D1 pullback structure for continuation to weekly range high
📥 Entry Type: H4 Demand Zone + Liquidity Sweep + FVG Alignment
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 strong bullish BOS structure still intact
– Pullback into clean H4 OB zone + unfilled FVG
– 1H wick rejection & MACD weakening bear momentum
– Volume compression near discount zone
– NZD softening + GBP stable = sentiment favoring GBP
📌 Status: Waiting for clean LTF confirmation inside zone (1st touch pending)
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Buy Zone: 2.2575 – 2.2605
(Refined H4 OB with liquidity pocket and imbalance overlap)
Secondary Buy Zone: 2.2520 – 2.2540
(Deeper sweep zone below intraday liquidity; last defense)
❗ Stop Loss:
SL: 2.2470 (Below OB, last liquidity wick, and invalidation structure)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2.2720 🥉 (Last minor swing high)
TP2: 2.2805 🥈 (Equal highs + H4 inefficiency)
TP3: 2.2890 🏆 (D1 supply zone & range high)
📏 Risk:Reward: Minimum R:R = 1:3.1
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1%–2% depending on account type
– Once TP1 hits → move SL to BE
– Secure partials at TP2
– Let runner target TP3 with trailing SL above structure lows
– Re-entry only allowed on fresh confirmation post TP1
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar inside entry zone
– Volume uptick on entry candle close
– Preferably during London or NY session
– Bonus: M15–M30 divergence or inducement confirmation
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 2–4 days (HTF swing structure – moderate cycle)
❌ Invalidate if price closes below 2.2470 or H4 BOS to downside
🌐 Fundamentals & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ COT shows GBP neutral-to-positive flow
✅ NZD weakness driven by soft dairy exports + RBNZ dovish tone
✅ Global sentiment = neutral to mild risk-on, favoring GBP cyclical strength
✅ No major red news for either currency in next 24h = ideal execution window
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to buy GBPNZD on a retracement into refined demand zone between 2.2575–2.2605, aligned with D1 bullish structure and H4 rejection confluence. Tight institutional structure, optimal risk curve, and clean invalidation zone. Confirmation required – DO NOT ENTER EARLY. This is a controlled swing entry with >1:3 R:R potential.
XRPUSDTUpward Trend on the Weekly Timeframe:
If the trend is upward on the weekly chart, it indicates that the market's overall direction is positive, suggesting that the price of the asset may continue to rise in the long term.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
This pattern is considered a bullish reversal pattern, typically signaling the end of a downtrend and the potential start of an upward movement. A break of the neckline gives a strong signal that the price is likely to rise.
Neckline Break:
A strong break of the neckline is a strong indication that the upward trend has begun. Price retests of the neckline (i.e., the price coming back to test the level) are a natural occurrence after the break, allowing the market to confirm the strength of the breakout.
Suggested Buying Zone:
As you mentioned, the buying zone between 0.62$ and 0.57$ could be a good entry point if the price returns to test this area after the breakout. This would be a significant buying opportunity if the price tests this zone and then bounces upwards.
Another Buying Zone: between
Stop Loss : 0.48$
First Target (Easy) : 0.8413$ _ 0.8433$
Second Target : 0.9543$ _0.97$
Thired Target : 1.70$
GBPUSD: 700+ Pips Swing Buy! Get ready for big moveDear Traders,
GBPUSD our first few ideas are up and running in profit of 700+ pips, we are expecting bullish move to continue dominating the market. Now we think price is likely to remain bullish for next few weeks, while wee may also notice some correction in the market.
Want to support us?
-Please like and comment our ideas which will encourage us to post more educative posts like this. ;)
Thank you
Major Breakdown Confirmed! Is a Bigger Dump Incoming? Yello, Paradisers! Did you catch this critical shift in price action? A major breakdown has occurred, flipping previous support into resistance and confirming a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This shift has reinforced selling pressure, with price now trading below both the 50 & 200 EMA, signaling a strong bearish trend.
💎The market is currently testing resistance at $0.619. If this level holds, the probability of a significant drop increases. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has also formed, indicating price inefficiency that may get filled before the next leg downward. If selling pressure remains dominant, a zig-zag decline toward lower support levels is likely. The key downside targets to watch are $0.0528, followed by $0.0489, with a major support zone resting at $0.0402.
💎Recent price action further supports the bearish bias. The last five candles have upper wicks, indicating strong rejection at higher levels. Volume is gradually declining, suggesting short-term consolidation before the next significant move. A bearish engulfing pattern has also emerged, reinforcing the likelihood of further downside.
💎To invalidate the bearish setup, price must close above the $0.0695 - $0.0715 range. A decisive breakout above this level would signal a possible trend reversal. Until that happens, the bias remains bearish, with expectations of continued downward momentum unless resistance is broken convincingly.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and always wait for the highest probability setups. Those who follow the plan and avoid emotional decisions will be the ones who come out on top. Be a PRO!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold Potential Bullish ContinuationWith widespread panic about tariffs, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher Low with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3131
Stop Loss : 3095
TP 1 : 3167
Gold pulls back from its all-time high! Can more be done?Trump's tax increase strategy is intended to increase revenue, but it is easy to trigger a reverse polarization in international trade. It may be effective in the short term, but it may aggravate inflation in the long term, posing a hidden worry to the economy. Against the backdrop of a weaker dollar, the value of gold stands out, not only because of the rising geopolitical risks, but also because the credit of the dollar is questioned. Time has become the best boost for gold prices to rise.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3115-3110, stop loss at 3100, and the target is 3130-3150.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3139-3144, stop loss at 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
DJTThe DJT stock made a strong upward move, breaking through the descending trendline shown in the chart around $28. It completed Wave 1 at $54.5 and then rose to a strong supply zone that we had previously warned about as the reason for the decline in the previous post, marking Wave A. It then dropped in a corrective move to the demand zone we had mentioned earlier and has now risen strongly in Wave B. Currently, we are in Wave C.We are now waiting for a strong buying zone, a cluster formed by the intersection of the descending trendline, the demand zone, and the completion of a harmonic buying pattern, which lies between $20.94 and $18.54(PRICE ACTION). The stop loss is set at a weekly close below $17. Our target is Wave 3, aiming for a breakout above the last peak at $54 Tthen 80$. This is the bullish scenario. The bearish scenario would be triggered by a weekly close below $17, but this possibility remains unlikely for now.
A rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold rebounds from 3100, but is the bullish momentum truly revived?
I don’t see it that way. Yesterday’s retracement to 3100 has already weakened the strong bullish structure to some extent, with 3150 likely acting as a key resistance level. I believe the current rebound is merely a technical retest of the 3150 zone, reinforcing it as a potential cycle high and paving the way for a double-top formation, which could provide a bearish technical setup for further downside.
Following the initial 3100 test, a second retest of this support level is likely. If gold fails to hold 3100 on the second attempt, a break lower towards 3095-3085 would become increasingly probable.
I will continue to scale into short positions within the 3132-3142 zone, with an initial target of 3120-3110. If gold approaches 3100, I will closely monitor the price action to assess the likelihood of a further breakdown.
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#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Skeptic | GBP/USD Deep Dive: Major Trend, Trade Setups!Hey guys, welcome back! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Let’s dive into GBP/USD , a pair that’s been in a strong uptrend and has the potential for another solid price jump. We’ll break it down across multiple timeframes , do a deep analysis , and at the end, I’ll share high-probability long & short setups with clear triggers—so stick around!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
As you can see, GBP/USD has been respecting an uptrend channel , reacting well to both the upper, lower, and midlines —a key characteristic of a strong trend. Each time price makes a jump, it enters a range box (re-accumulation phase) before breaking out to continue the trend.
Currently, we’re inside another range between 1.28720 - 1.29883 . A breakout in either direction can give us a trading opportunity, but given the major trend is bullish , I prefer trading in the direction of the trend unless we get a clear reversal signal.
4H Timeframe Analysis
The uptrend channel remains intact , and we’re still within the Consolidation phase . We recently saw a fake breakout , which could mean that the next breakout might happen with stronger momentum.
Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed breakout of 1.29883
- Confirmation: RSI breaking above 65.33 (which acts as an overbought signal in this case)
- Preferred Order: Stop Buy above resistance to catch momentum
❌ Short Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed break of 1.28682
- Risk Management: Since this is against the trend, take quick profits and use a tighter SL to manage risk efficiently.
What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Drop your opinions in the comments! Let’s grow together, not alone. 🚀🔥
EUR/USD / LongThis idea of mine is a kind of continuation of the previous one, which you are familiar with - from December 1st/on a daily chart.
As we expected, there is a good upward momentum. The R:R ratio is very good and after the correction, this is one of the swing levels according to technical analysis, where we can enter purchases. Yes, this is the risky entry, but if we wait for the lower levels 1.067 or 1.059 for we would risk missing the whole impulse.