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Trend Analysis

Lingrid | AUDJPY possible WEEKLY High BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDJPY is holding above its upward trendline after rebounding off support near 93.34, forming a higher low structure. The pair is consolidating just below the resistance zone, suggesting a potential continuation toward the 94.15 target. A break above the recent local high could reignite bullish momentum. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 93.34–93.45 Buy trigger: breakout above 93.80 Target: 94.15 Sell trigger: breakdown below 93.30 💡 Risks Rejection from 93.80 weakens the upward setup Drop below trendline support may signal a shift to downside False breakout above 94.00 could trap early buyers Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
5
BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve. A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave. Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle. So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half). Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even. Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
How to use VWAP the right-way on TradingView 1️⃣ What Is VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)? VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. It's a tool that shows the average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, adjusted for volume. That means it gives more weight to prices with high trading volume. ✅ It helps traders and investors see if the current price is above or below the average price paid. ✅ It’s often used by institutional traders, such as mutual funds and pension funds, to enter and exit positions without causing major price moves. VWAP = (Sum of Price * Volume) / Total Volume 2️⃣ Why VWAP Matters I (Traders) often use VWAP as a dynamic support or resistance zone. - Price below VWAP: considered undervalued by some 👉 may act as support - Price above VWAP: considered overvalued 👉 may act as resistance It acts like a magnet for price, especially in trending markets. VWAP is also used as a benchmark for large players want to buy below VWAP or sell above it. 3️⃣ Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) Anchored VWAP is a more advanced version of VWAP. Instead of starting at the market open, you anchor it to a specific candle (pivot high or low). 🔍 Why use it: - Lets you analyze the average price from key market turning points - Helps spot institutional interest near pivots - More accurate for swing trading When you anchor VWAP to a major high or low, it gives you clean zones where smart money might enter or exit. 4️⃣ How I Use Anchored VWAP I personally anchor VWAP from: - Major pivot highs/lows - Breakout points - Strong reversal candles Then I watch how price interacts with it. ✅ Works well on 30m and 4H charts for intraday or swing setups ✅ Can be combined with fixed range volume profile for extra confluence If you haven’t read my guide on fixed range volume profile, scroll below — it’s linked there. 5️⃣ Common Uses ✔️ Support and resistance zone in trending markets ✔️ Institutional entry/exit level benchmark ✔️ Reversion-to-mean setups VWAP is used across timeframes. I use higher timeframes like 4H to spot trend zones, then zoom into 30m or 15m for entries. Setting and more information VWAP Explained by TradingView: www.tradingview.com Anchored VWAP Explained by TradingView: www.tradingview.com 6️⃣ VWAP Limitations ⚠️ VWAP doesn’t work well in all cases: - In sideways/choppy markets, it can lose value - It is not an exact entry/exit signal, but rather a dynamic zone - In FX markets, it’s unreliable due to lack of centralized volume data Also, treat VWAP as a zone, not a line. Large players fill big orders in that area, expect false moves or liquidity grabs. 7️⃣ Mistakes to Avoid ❌ Entering blindly on VWAP touches ❌ Using VWAP without confirmation from price action or volume ❌ Assuming it always gives perfect levels It works best when combined with other tools, such as market structure, support/resistance, and volume profile. 8️⃣ Final Thoughts VWAP is a powerful tool to see where price is relative to volume-based value. Anchoring VWAP to key levels adds precision and insight. Used properly, it helps: - Spot where institutions might be active - Confirm high-probability zones - Improve entries/exits when paired with other tools Examples are provided below to show how VWAP works in real-time setups. This guide is educational and for learning purposes only. VWAP Zone and a Example trade CRYPTOCAP:BTC Example Stock Market NASDAQ:AAPL Example Resistance NASDAQ:MSTR VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) helps traders see the average price weighted by volume. It's commonly used by institutions to identify good entry/exit zones. Anchored VWAP takes this further by starting from key points like pivot highs/lows for more accuracy. It's most useful in trending markets and works best when combined with tools like fixed range volume profile or support/resistance. While powerful, VWAP isn’t perfect it should be used as a dynamic zone, not a fixed level, and always with other confirmations. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Education
by Risk_Adj_Return
4
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7Title: Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 Post: 🌍📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 🧭🔥 This is it — Part 7 of our ongoing macro Bitcoin analysis — and this one is rooted in the three all-time trendlines that I’ve used for years to map out Bitcoin’s biggest moments. We are now heading north, potentially to do something historic : test the upper trendline resistance for the third time . 📈 When Bitcoin does this, it tends to either break out massively ... or signal the end of a cycle . That’s why this zone — 114.5K to 115K — is critical . A successful breakout here and $100K becomes history . It would unleash Bitcoin into a new phase of its long-term bullish evolution. 🦅 On the flip side: this might also mark the final resistance of the current cycle . Either way, it’s a zone where serious decisions will be made — and manipulation will likely spike. 👀 🔑 Key Levels: 114,520–115,000 : Breakout zone — reclaim this and we’re headed higher. 97,770 : Key support — fail to hold, and we reassess the bullish case. 🎥 Want to better understand the levels in play? Watch my latest video idea, where I draw comparisons between BTC now and the Brexit 2016 setup. This will help you see why I’m preparing for major volatility . 🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧 I’ll post the video link below once live — keep an eye out for it! 👇 Previous post: “Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!’” One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 ps. Big breakout at 115k or end of cycle? I am hoping for the first!
Long
by FX_Professor
2
GBP/USD Is This the Last Dip Before 1.37?🔹 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (Weekly & Daily Charts) Price has broken above the ascending channel highlighted on the weekly chart. The 1.3545 area is currently acting as dynamic resistance — a weekly close above it is crucial to confirm a breakout. Below, we find a bullish order block (demand zone) around 1.3340 – 1.3280, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. RSI is neutral, showing no bearish divergence at the moment. 🔹 2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders) USD Index: Non-commercial traders: +823 new longs, +363 new shorts → Neutral to bullish positioning. Commercials remain net short, indicating short-term USD strength potential. EUR FX (inverse proxy for USD): Significant reduction in speculative long positions → Less bullish pressure on the Euro, favoring USD strength. 🔹 3. Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD vs. 33% long. This is a bullish contrarian signal, suggesting potential continuation toward the 1.36–1.37 zone. 🔹 4. Seasonality Historically, June tends to be bearish for GBP/USD over the past 5–10 years. However, the first 10 days of the month often start with bullish momentum before correcting in the second half. 🔹 5. Economic Calendar Today: Construction PMI (GBP), ECB Press Conference (EUR), Unemployment Claims (USD). Tomorrow: High potential volatility across all USD pairs. Watch out — upcoming macro data may strongly impact breakout confirmation. 🔹 6. Operational Outlook Primary Bias: Neutral/Bullish with potential for a technical pullback. 📍 Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3545 – 1.3593 (Supply zone + 0.0 fib) Support: 1.3340 – 1.3280 (OB + 0.5/0.618 fib) 🧠 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Retest of 1.3340 → long targeting 1.3590 / 1.3680 Confirmation on daily close above 1.3550 🔻 Scenario 2 – Bearish Retracement: Rejection below 1.3550 + USD macro strength → drop toward 1.3280 If that breaks → extended move to 1.3170 / 1.3150
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
EURJPY: Well supported Channel Up aiming for 166.700.EURJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.535, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 24.438) and is staging right now a rebound on the 1D MA50. This comes only days after the 1D MA200 HL rebound tight at the bottom of the Channel Up. This is a great opportunity to buy and aim for the R1 level (TP = 166.700). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
2
GBPUSD reaches resistance zone: Watching for potential reversalOANDA:GBPJPY has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been an obvious turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’m watching to see how price reacts here again. If we get confirmation of rejection (what I usually watch for: like a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or signs of increased selling pressure), I’ll be looking for short setups from there. 🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 192.000 level, which I feel is a realistic and clean target, especially if price respects this structure again. But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside 🚀 Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice 💕✨
Short
by TrendDiva
51
Tesla Still Slightly Bearish Until FED Cuts RatesOne of my followers asked, "how about now?" The question comes because he is bullish and I am sharing bearish charts. Here is the thing, the chart is still bearish of course because of the red candles and the double-top. This can't change unless the last high is broken with significant rising volume. I'll make it easy. This stock is likely to continue bearish until after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. When they lower the stuff, they do their magic their numbers then the market will turn bullish. So bearish before, bullish after. And this is a classic dynamic. The market goes through a retrace or correction preceding a major bullish development. Since the bullish development will definitely push prices up, the market must express its bearish tendencies before the event shows up. So bearish now. When the Fed announces that they are reducing interest rates later this month, then 100% bullish I agree of course. Thanks a lot for your continued support. This same analysis applies to Bitcoin and all related markets. The altcoins though are a different thing because these are smaller and already trading at bottom prices. They will recover sooner and will start moving ahead of the pack revealing what is coming to the bigger ones. All is good. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MasterAnanda
12
GOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing ChangedGOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing Changed Based on our analysis, gold has reached the first target near 3,378.50 and has already made a small correction, establishing a base near 3,362. From a fundamental perspective, no significant changes occurred yesterday, meaning there is no clear reason for gold to shift direction under normal conditions. The price may continue its slow ascent toward 3,390, 3,400, 3,425, and 3,450. However, caution is advised, as these movements appear to be driven more by market manipulation rather than purely technical factors. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Previous analysis:
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
2
Will Solana Go Lower? Yes! Only To Recover HigherI've been asked: Will Solana continue lower? I think it is a fair question but it is also pretty hard right now to say based on the chart, there are just too many mixed signals. For example, if we take Solana in relation to Bitcoin, it is trading daily below EMA55 and MA200, while Bitcoin is trading daily above these levels. Bitcoin hit recently a new all-time high while Solana only produced a small recovery in May. When it comes to the chart signals, SOLUSDT produced a volume breakout on the bearish side and the support zone was completely challenged on a single candle. What's more, Solana will grow really strong later this year, so it would be normal to see as much bearish action as possible now because later we will have sustained long-term growth. It is a coin flip, but if you ask me, it can go a bit lower before moving up. It can go lower to end up producing a higher low. I will wait for clear reversal signals before going LONG. I closed all my LONGs a while back, when it became clear that the market was going into correction. Now we can just wait easily and patiently until the correction unravels, after the correction comes a new wave of growth. Down and up, down and up... The market continues to cycle. Never straight down, never straight up. It moves in waves. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
5
USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(02-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (02-06-2025) (SHORT TERM) Current price- 104500 "if Price stay below 1,07,000 then next target is 1,03500, 1,02500 and 1,00000 above that 1,11,000. -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
26
XRPUSD: 5 month consolidation ends and targets $8.00 XRP has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.730, MACD = -0.027, ADX = 31.602) as the price has failed to break above the very tight consolidation that started after January's High. This pattern is however very similar to the June - November 2017 consolidation, which was the last accumulation phase before the eventual January 2018 top of that Cycle. That was accomplished a little over the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. This indicates that we should stay bullish on XRP as it can target again the 1.382 Fib, TP = 8.000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Double Top Signals BearishPattern Formed: DOUBLE TOP ⚠️ Bearish Reversal Pattern Spotted! 📍 Formed near 111,794.8 ⬆️ Price tested the top twice and failed – strong resistance confirmed! Key Zones: 🔶 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance): 🟧 111,794.8 - 111,829.8 🔼 Expect selling pressure here! 🔷 SUPPORT Zone (Broken!): 🔻 Price fell below this level, confirming a bearish breakout 🟩 TARGET ZONE: 🎯 102,500.0 ✅ This is the likely drop target based on the pattern 🧊 Other minor supports: * 102,820.6 * 102,750.8 * 102,227.0. Indicators: 📈 Trend Line * Supported the price during the uptrend * ❌ Now broken — indicates momentum shift 📉 EMA 70 (Red Line) * Current Price (108,238.6) is below EMA 70 = 109,245.0 * Indicates bearish pressure. Trade Setup: 🔽 Short Entry Idea: After support break 🛑 Stop Loss: 111,829.8 🎯 Take Profit: 102,500.0 ⚖️ Risk-Reward looks attractive! Summary: 📉 Bearish bias confirmed by: * Double Top pattern * Supply zone rejection * Support break * EMA crossover 🚨 Traders Watch Out: Bears are in control — next major stop likely at 102,500.0!
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
56
Tesla POP off the lowsTesla is currently experiencing a 5 wave impulsive move from the lows of the tarriff turmoil zone, and seeing increasing strength as it climbs and consolidates. Generally, whenever you have strong bounces such as this one, you can look for a 5 wave impulse move and utilize fibonacci extensions which innately use mathematics to correlate the momentum relationship between each wave. At present, we have already seen the first 2 waves, which are quite clearly defined, and now pulling back wave 4 for the last 5 wave blow off. Using the trend based fib extension from the bottom of wave 1, to wave 3/4 to measure the expected move to the 0.618 extension. Meaning, the last wave is generally approx. 61% the size of the first initial wave. This is a nice 30% move , and can be quite profitable should it materialize. Stoploss is below $312 on a daily close. Good luck!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by afurs1
1