Oil Cypher, decent structure. Full plan Pretty standard set up for me, I typically trade this in a much lower time frame. Procedure rarely changes, find structure, use all of the patterns and build area of interest.
Using a combination of a Cypher and Lighting/1.2 for entry also a sub cypher for target.
Add levels posted in chart.
use boxes for stop management. 1st yellow box move stop to BE, 2nd tp1 and 3rd tp 2. I trade Oil a bit differently if anyone is wondering as far as Tp's, Feel free to use standard off the top same process. I will update this if and when time allows.
Best of luck guys 2025 is going to big!!
1st entry was 3o minute Pin bar, bought open of next candle. Late and 74$ was .414 and even handle, all things I have interest in.
Trend Analysis
GBPCAD Signals a Shift: Key Moves to Watch This Week
In the GBPCAD market, all signs are pointing to a pivotal moment early this week. Monday and Tuesday present a strong likelihood of price rejection, potentially signaling a shift in direction. On higher timeframes, the bias suggests an imminent change, as the price approaches a key supply zone. Meanwhile, on the lower 1-hour chart, the story becomes even clearer—price action has already begun to hint at this transition, painting a picture of an anticipated reversal.
With the supply zone within reach, traders can expect a significant movement in the coming days. The bias indicates not just a brief fluctuation but a probabilities trend that could sustain momentum for at least two weeks. This week holds the potential for dynamic trading opportunities, setting the stage for a compelling narrative in the GBPCAD pair. Keep an eye on the charts—this could be the moment where preparation meets opportunity.
EURUSD 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 - Weekly Analysis - EU&US Interest RateThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Weaker Dollar Sentiment: A softer tone on tariffs reduced market fears of escalating trade wars. This decreased safe-haven flows into the USD, as such rhetoric often bolsters the dollar's demand during heightened global uncertainties.
Improved Global Trade Outlook: Easing trade tensions generally supports global economic activity, benefitting risk-sensitive assets like the euro. The USD could weaken as investors seek higher-yielding opportunities outside the U.S.
Market Expectations for the Federal Reserve: If the U.S.-China trade relationship stabilizes, it could lower inflationary pressures caused by tariffs, potentially leading to a more dovish tone from the Federal Reserve. This would further weaken the dollar.
Lagging Economic Growth in Europe: While the euro could see short-term gains, its long-term strength depends on the eurozone’s ability to address its economic challenges. Structural issues in major economies like Germany and Italy could cap the euro’s upside.
Upcoming important news: EUR & USD Interest rate decision, FOMC Meeting and PCE.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium).
🔹Expectations of price to continue bullish to sweep the liquidity/mitigate supply zone while putting in consideration that we can have a pullback after the bullish CHoCH to weekly newly demand formed.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹The current Daily supply zone could provide an intraday pullback to daily demand formed to continue bullish and target the INT High as this is the weekly liquidity currently to be targeted. Also, I put in consideration that the structure is bearish and we should be continuing down to target the Weak INT low. But I want to see more development on LTF to confirm this scenario.
🔹Expectations is set to continue bullish with cautious on the bearish scenario.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹Currently price at a Daily Supply Zone that can initiate at least INT Structure Pullback and may extend to Swing Pullback to at least Swing EQ (50%)/Daily and Weekly Demand.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is price to initiate a pullback for the Bullish INT structure and then continue bullish from demand to target the Daily INT High/Weekly Liquidity.
🔹More development required on LTFs/Intraday Analysis.
Economic Events for the Week
GBP/NZD Double Bottom & Divergence Hint Bullish ReversalThe GBPNZD pair, previously entrenched in a bearish trend, has exhibited signs of weakening downward momentum, marked by the emergence of bullish divergence. A decisive break above the prior lower high (LH) could signal a potential trend reversal, shifting the bias toward bullish territory. This view is further reinforced by the formation of a double-bottom pattern, a technical structure often indicative of exhaustion in selling pressure and a foundation for upward price action. Traders may monitor these developments for confirmation of a bullish reversal.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
Outlook for the next weeks (i love these XD)Right now, i am looking for some kind of pullback before going up. I have marked 3 most important zones and i will look forward to trade from them. But everything can happen so we as a traders need to stay flexible.
The Fundamental side still looks great. But the question is whether inflation will rise and unemployment will fall, as this could mean slowing growth and postponing further rate cuts. Wages have also increased, which could mean that there is a greater demand for employees, or there is a great demand on the market for goods and services, which could mean increasing inflation. On the other hand PMI looks great and CPI + PPI is neutral.
Tell me whats your analysys, let me know in the comments. I am open to every point of view
to the situation and I am happy to learn :)
FARTCOINlooking like it is going to make a bounce, last 24h i am monitoring it and analyzing the way it works this token, volatility is crazy for this project and trading this in futures could be very profitable and also could make loose money very quick.
the right way to work with this is to monitor it in several tf, low leverages and cross positions, so if the sentiment is bullish i could say that it will return to 1.6 to 1.8 in matter of hours.
NFA
DYOR
HNT in weekly chartMy last idea for Helium was failed but I wish I could show you all that Ii had purchased HNT in higher levels. What has happen was not a disaster, although it would be great if I could have been able to figure out this correction. What is matter for a an elliottician is that what had been made between March 2023 and February was an impulse wave that is a signal of a long term journey. My strategy is to buy again if you can or just let this trend a little more time to give back your money with a bunch of profits in the next months.
One thing more. When a trend makes a longer correction it means that we might see longer impulse.
Be positive.
DogeCoin (DOGE) To Mars - The Elon Ride (Part 2)COINBASE:DOGEUSD has been loyal to me previously.
I managed to get some good Buys on #DOGE.
I aped continuously on the 7 Cents Levels.
Then cashed all my COINBASE:DOGEUSD earnings at the 42 Cents #Resistance.
* all well documented in the related idea.
What Happened To BINANCE:DOGEUSDT ?
It provided to #Correction I was predicting.
From a #Fibonacci perspective, it's enough to be considered as an #ElliottWave 2.
What's Next For BINANCE:DOGEUSDC ?
$DogeCoin follows MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the #Altseason.
With BITSTAMP:BTCUSD about to burst again, so will #DOGECOIN.
It might go #Bull now, or Dip and then... so please DYOR.
The #Bullish move would also be provided by CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , as a new #ATH is in play.
* see related ideas for more details.
COINBASE:DOGEUSD #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave A-B-C Sequence
- #Impulse / #MotiveWave in Primary ⓒ (white)
- #Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions Confluence
My #HODL #Long Levels For BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
I will only go #HODL for this #Crypto #Token.
Trading #Futures ( BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P ) is not something I want to pursue with $DOGE.
Moderate Entry @ 35 Cents
Conservative Entry @ 24 Cents
TP @ 68 Cents
Bitcoin continues to be bullish!!This correction turned #BTC into a classic Rounded Bottom formation . The support level around $95,000 is holding strong, forming the base for a bullish continuation.
I am bullish on #BTC no matter what .
Price Targets:
Target 1: $107,463.60
Target 2: $112,815.79
Target 3: $117,188.92
Dent LongNot the prices we wanted from alts, but this is crypto, she does whatever she wants.
Trying to catch a long from 0.00098$ to 0.001$.
I will use 5x leverage .
Risk-reward is more than decent.
I think dent can pull a 2 cents at least in this cycle even though this cycle has been rubbish so far for most of the altcoins.