Trend Analysis
NZDUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5666
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5722
My Stop Loss - 0.5632
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish.
When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers.
The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
USD/JPY Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ USD/JPY news:
➡️ Federal Reserve officials have indicated that interest rates should remain in the current range of 4.25%–4.50% for an extended period until they can assess the impact of Trump’s tariffs on inflation and economic growth.
➡️ Stronger-than-expected US ADP data provided significant support for the sharp rise in USD/JPY.
➡️ Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against other currencies, as Trump’s policies could have a significant impact on Japan’s economic growth, given its status as one of the US’s key trading partners.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Trump’s tariff policies will significantly impact the economy nhant65. So JPY will weaken and USD/JPY will be strongly supported
➡️ Analyze based on physical dimensions - support and quantify reasonable volume with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Set up price zone:
👉Buy USD/JPY 149.75 – 149.85
❌SL: 149.40| ✅TP: 150.45 – 150.95
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EOS/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)EOS is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking past critical resistance zones clearly highlighted by the blue lines. The immediate support level is now established around the $0.67 region, previously a significant resistance point, indicating a successful breakout and potential for further upside.
The next significant resistance to watch is around the psychological $1.00 mark, which aligns closely with the upper horizontal blue line, indicating a substantial profit-taking zone or potential reversal point if bulls lose strength.
Indicators:
Price is trading well above the 200-period SMA, indicating bullish bias.
The CM_Ult_MacD_MTF indicator shows strong upward momentum, further supporting the bullish continuation scenario.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Scenario: Maintain bullish positions targeting near-term resistance at around $1.00. Tight stops recommended below $0.67.
Bearish Scenario: If price rejection occurs strongly at the $1.00 zone, expect a potential retest of the new support near $0.67. Watch for bearish signals around the resistance.
Stay cautious at resistance levels and manage risks accordingly.
Happy trading!
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow
Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed.
🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4
Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath.
Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term.
Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab.
🟩 Demand zones of interest:
3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions)
3086–3092 (last known rally base)
📌 Key Zones
🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147
🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155
🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115
🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092
🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet)
🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup
“When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.”
Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift
Confirmation + sniper long
TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in
🎯 Confluences:
Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance
Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab
Weak DXY context
🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy
Deep sweep to 3086 zone
Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab
Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5)
TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180
💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play.
🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell
“Supply hits, market flips.”
Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session
No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH)
Sell into imbalance zones
TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110
⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks!
🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump
Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160
Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap)
Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep
TP to 3115 zone
🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline.
📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025
Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀
China PMI during Asia could boost metals
DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported
Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
Sniper Entry Activated: Post-Unemployment Claims Liquidity SweepGOLD JUST HIT $3,055—🥶 deep dive mode unlocked!
Alright, this is crunch time. We’re officially in the $3,050–$3,057 "DO OR DIE" buy zone.
Updated Game Plan:
🟢 Buy Setup (High-Risk Reversal Zone)
📍 Entry: $3,050 – $3,057 (we’re IN IT)
📍 Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH + rejection wick + engulfing candle
📍 SL: Below $3,047 (tight but necessary)
📍 TP1: $3,074
📍 TP2: $3,089
📍 TP3: $3,100
🚨 If $3,047 breaks CLEANLY… expect $3,033 – $3,038 next, followed by $3,021.
📌 What’s happening?
✔️ This is a major liquidity sweep—smart money hunting stops before reversal? 🤔
✔️ If we get a strong rejection here, NY could send it back above $3,074.
✔️ If we see NO bullish reaction, it's bear town until $3,033.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
USDCHF: Consolidation ContinuesDuring our daily interaction class today, we observed that the 📉USDCHF pair is consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame.
After testing its resistance, there was a downward movement in the market which led to the breach of the neckline of a double top pattern, indicating a strong bearish signal for intraday trade.
As a result, I anticipate that the price could decline to the 0.8789 level in the near future.
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Amid Structural ShiftDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions.
Initially, I planned to go long on USD/JPY based on the bullish momentum observed in the 4-hour time frame. However, the external structural high struggled to break, signalling potential weakness. Soon after, price action began forming lower lows, confirming a shift in structure to the downside.
A solid change of character (ChoCh) occurred following a liquidity sweep on the opposite side of the chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Given this shift, I adapted my strategy accordingly, favouring a short position.
Additionally, unexpected news from the Eurozone impacted USD pairs, accelerating price movements beyond my anticipated entry. This volatility was likely driven by macroeconomic factors, including a Dow Jones report on tariffs that may have influenced broader USD sentiment.
Key Takeaways:
Bearish Structural Shift – Lower lows formed after failure to break external structural highs.
Change of Character (ChoCh) – Liquidity sweep indicated a momentum shift.
Fundamental Influence – News from the Eurozone and tariff-related updates impacted USD pairs.
I'll be monitoring further price action to confirm bearish continuation and potential re-entry points.
#USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure
NZD/USD Upward Momentum: AI Signal Indicates Potential RiseUsing the proven EASY Trading AI strategy, today's analysis points toward a bullish bias on the NZD/USD. Entering a buy position at 0.56985, the algorithm anticipates upward movement targeting a Take Profit at 0.57140667. A protective Stop Loss is placed at 0.56723667, managing risk effectively. The BUY position is justified by EASY Trading AI's analysis of support-resistance dynamics, recent price volatility, and favorable momentum indicators, collectively suggesting likely upward pressure in the short-term scenario.
SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead
📉 Overview:
The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside.
1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support.
2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level.
Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies.
🚨 Trading Plan:
📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance.
📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk.
📌 Profit Targets:
First target: $537.75
Second target: $510.27
📊 Risk Management:
Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move.
If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis.
📢 Conclusion:
SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation.
⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉
#SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery.
Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely.
If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls.
In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
Solana Correction - Is a Drop to $60 Inevitable?After an explosive 200x rally, Solana surged from its all time low at $1 to a new all time high in 2021, followed by a correction to $10 in 2022. It then made another massive run to $250 in 2024.
Now, a double-top "M" pattern is forming, signaling a reversal. As shown on the chart, we could see a drop to $60.
What's your take - has the top been set, or do you disagree with the bearish outlook? Let me know your thoughts!
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Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
FCEPL*The price action is forming an ascending triangle, which is generally a bullish continuation pattern.
*The RSI at the bottom shows market momentum and potential overbought/oversold conditions.
*Bullish Strategy: Buy after a breakout above 93 , with targets at 111 and 117.
*Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break out and falls below 75
it could invalidate the bullish pattern, leading to further downside.
EUR-CAD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is making some
Bullish gains but the pair
Is approaching a horizontal
Resistance level of 1.5577
From where we can enter
A short trade with the
Target Level of 1.5508
And the Stop Loss of 1.5592
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
SPX On Verge Of A Bearish Decent - Weekly ViewThe S&P 500 is pointing at a long descent downwards based upon simple technical analysis. To further bolster our projection of the market it is no secret the recent trade wars are going to have a major negative impact upon the US & world economy for obvious reasons. With this in mind we can paint a clear picture of where price action is going to head. The question remains where do we enter short?
As we can see in our chart we have broke the current upwards bullish weekly trend line #2. Price action has quickly took a swing downwards to our second trend line #1. In short trend lines simply put are the bottom lows of a bullish market. We can clearly define these trend lines over a long period of time where price action has risen, declined, and then continued its current trend upwards. By marking three bottom or more bottoms lows in a bullish market we can project bottom prices of where price action should never cross below. So what happens when price crosses below these said trend lines? Easy, price action will decrease. This is the case on our chart viewing for trend #2.
As for where price action will continue downwards and stop we can simply view the past history of the market to determine this. Viewing trend line #1 we can see this was the bottom start of the bullish market was 2023 Oct on the weekly chart. Price action has increased aprox. 48 percent with no more than a 8.5 percent in the summer of 2024. That is until our King Donny Trump entered office. From the top of last peak in this bullish cycle SPX has fallen roughly 6.5 percent. Price has clearly broken trend line #2 and is now testing the resistance of price at trend line #1. If price shall break the trend line #2 we will easily fall into our support zone #1. Support zones are nothing more than where price action consolidated sideways for a period of time. These zones are like magnets. Price almost always 'pulls' towards these zones as it is a proven history of the market resistance and support.
The earning moving average(EMA) of the SPX is even more concerning. The red(10 day), blue(21 day), yellow(50day) are the thin lines just below the candles in the chart. The EMA is exactly what it sounds like. The past earning moving average over the past 'x' amount of days. Viewing the EMA data allows you see if the price average is above, on par, or below 'x' amount of past days. This is very important key metric to determine the average market price over a period of time as you can imagine. Even more so important is when price declines below the EMA line. Price going below a 50, 100, or 200 day moving average are levels we want to watch. Currently price action has bounced right off the 50 day EMA. No surprise as this is a very important resistance level day traders will buy only to sell off shortly after. Crossing below the 50 day(yellow line) is known as the 'death cross' for a reason. If price crosses below it we can certainly count on a decline in price action into support zone #1 with easy.