Trend Analysis
EUEu short based on the simple analysis and targeting the liquidity and the FVG price is tring to return back
Shorts trapped? No, the head and shoulders top is still downOver the weekend, I gave a trading strategy for going long at 3315-3305. Today, I updated and optimized the long order trading, maintained the high-short-low-long trading strategy, and began to rebound near the 3300 line, and successfully touched the long TP 3333. At present, I am executing short trades again according to the trading strategy and holding short orders.
Although gold has only retreated to around 3330, I am not worried about losses and failures in short trades. As I wrote in today's post, the daily K-line chart has a head and shoulders top pattern. As long as the bulls fail to recover 3360, it is still a short trend. Therefore, in the short term, I still think that the rebound is a good opportunity for us to go short.
At present, the short-term bullish momentum of gold has been consumed and the downward trend continues. Therefore, I still insist on holding short orders in the short term.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
On Swing Traders’ Radar: Gold Pattern Alert on the Daily Chart!Dear Traders,
In my daily gold analysis, I’m observing a Head and Shoulders pattern nearing completion. The neckline is currently positioned around the 3,247.00 level.
If this neckline breaks to the downside, gold could potentially drop toward the 3,150.00 area.
Since this is a one-day analysis—aligned with a swing trading style—it may take some time for the setup to fully play out.
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AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs.
🧠 Fundamentals:
AUD Strength Drivers:
RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks.
Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD.
Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns.
JPY Weakness Drivers:
BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July.
Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening.
Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Strong upward channel since early June remains valid.
Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg.
Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry.
Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63.
Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break).
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY.
China growth fears can weigh on AUD.
A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals.
🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets.
✅ Trade Bias: Bullish
TP1: 94.77
TP2: 95.36
TP3 (aggressive): 95.63
SL: Below 93.80
Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11)
📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
GBPSGD buy !!Price is sitting @ a strong resistance area and beautiful rejection from the downside . it is time to buy this pair with 1:4 risk rewards. do not risk more than 1% per trade.
CHFJPY Rising Wedge Weekly analysis rejection below 183. Watch for rejection signals around 181–183.5. Unless there's a strong breakout above this zone, the pair is likely to reverse down toward 173–168 in the coming weeks. A break below 168 would be a major bearish shift.
QBTS - Is it worth Investing?Hello All,
As i mentioned my previous IONQ publishment , second Quantum Computer company is QBTS.
First of all some figures for QBTS:
Revenue: $15.0 million — up +509% year‑over‑year
Net Loss: $5.4 million (−$0.02 per share), improved from a $17.3 million loss in Q1 2024
Cash Resources: $304 million in cash and equivalents as of March 31 2025. That means that they have enough money to sustain company and to reach profitability.
Commercial Traction:
‣ Ford Otosan deployed a hybrid quantum application, cutting vehicle scheduling time by 83%
‣ Collaborations include Japan Tobacco (quantum-AI drug discovery), Davidson Technologies (U.S. on-site installation), and Jülich Supercomputing Centre
Chart Analysis:
When i look at the chart , i think now it is making a some correction to close gap between 13.50 to 14.60 (I marked it in chart) . If it reachs to 13.50 level i think it could be good entry level.
20.00 is biggest resitance level for now . If it will break this level and stay 3 days above this level next station could be between 23 and 24 .
My long term expectetion in One year maybe less it can be reach the 29.00 - 30.00 Level.
So Same as i mentioned for IONQ ; i would like to be a early investor and beginning of this year i started increase my positions some Quatum computing stocks and QBTS is one of them.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovely Sunday to all.
Coinbase overbought and into massive resistanceI've highlighted a major area of resistance on Coinbase going back 4 years to 2021. Was above the trendline earlier in the week and is now getting rejected. Good short opportunity. Will monitor this one. I just bought some CONI
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold has started the week extremely bearish, down 450 PIPS since last night at market open. This puts our 'Sell Trade' in 480 PIPS profit so far. Great start to the week.
XAUUSD GOING SHORTGOLD has recently broken its last low, shifting market structure (CHOCH) and indicating sellers are currently in control. This break opened up 2 clear Supply Zone above — a small base or last bullish candle before the drop — which is a key area where unfulfilled sell orders may be resting.
Price is likely to retrace back into these Supply Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect selling pressure to resume and push price downward, honoring the imbalance left by the drop.
Entry:
I’m looking to sell from this Supply Zone on a pullback,
This lets me enter at a premium price while trading in direction of the newly established downward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next Demand Zone below, where buying pressure might emerge. This Demand Zone is a key area to watch for a reversal or a temporary halt in downward momentum.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just above the Supply Zone.
If price climbs above this area, it would invalidate the Supply’s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bearish after breaking last low.
• Supply Zone above is a key area to watch for selling opportunities.
• Sell upon retracement into Supply, with Stop Loss above and Target at Demand below.
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H):
Key Structure Highlights:
CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears.
Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside.
Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building.
However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone.
A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention.
Fibonacci Levels:
Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point.
Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level.
Risk Management:
Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio.
Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low.
Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails.
🟢 Possible Next Move:
Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391.
Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
Breaking out!The price breaks through the purple resistance and is preparing to start an upward movement.
A compression triangle formation is taking shape, with the lows resting on the underlying purple trendline.
At $203.3, the weekly 100-period simple moving average (SMA100, green line) is located. A close above this level would be an important confirmation of the bullish reversal.
EURUSD Will Go Down!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is making a
Bullish rebound after a
Bearish breakout but the
Pair will soon hit a new
Horizontal resistance
Of 1.17489 from where
We will be expecting a
Further move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
EURUSD Below 1.1745 – Bearish Bias in PlayFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook
EURUSD maintains bearish momentum as long as the price remains below 1.1745, with a near-term target at 1.1684.
A confirmed breakout above 1.1745 would shift the trend to bullish, opening the path toward 1.1808 and 1.1883.
On the downside, a 1H or 4H candle close below 1.1684 would reinforce the bearish trend, likely extending losses toward 1.1627, and possibly 1.1557.
Support: 1.1684 / 1.1627 / 1.1557
Resistance: 1.1808 / 1.1883
The euro can no longer afford to ignore the support levels aheadI believe the move has already begun, and from this point on especially during the first two days of the week we could see such a formation supported by volume. After climbing for so long, if there’s any intention to break out, I think it should first re enter its original upward channel and at least say hello there. If it’s going to rise further, it should do so from that point. We’ll see together. These are just my personal thoughts and do not constitute financial advice.
GBPUSD Chart Analysis & Scenarios✅ Bullish Breakout (if breaks 1.3666):
Target: 1.3680–1.3700
Confirmation: Price closes above resistance with strong volume
❌ Bearish Rejection (if rejected at 1.3637–1.3666):
Target: 1.3610, possibly 1.3588
Watch for: Bearish candlestick pattern at resistance + drop in volume
✅ Summary:
GBP/USD is recovering strongly but faces heavy resistance at 1.3637–1.3666.
Breakout above could open room toward 1.3700.
Rejection likely if momentum weakens near resistance, targeting previous lows.
AUDNZD Breakout Retest – Ready for the Next Bullish Leg?
AUDNZD has broken out of a prolonged consolidation box, supported by a demand zone below. Price is currently retesting the breakout level, which often acts as a launchpad for the next move.
🧠 Key Observations:
🔷 Consolidation Breakout – Price cleanly broke above the consolidation range.
🔁 Retest in Progress – A potential bullish retest is unfolding at 1.0800 area.
🟦 Demand Zone below offers strong support around 1.0730–1.0750.
🎯 Target: 1.08750 (pre-identified resistance zone)
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📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0875
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0750 demand zone
🧭 Bias: Bullish
📊 Strategy: Breakout–Retest–Rally
XAUUSDHigh Reisk Trade Short Planned
SL
TP
EP
Risk managment defined (risk free trade means move SL To ENtry)
GOOGLE Count changed, Bullish outlook.I have adjusted NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL Elliot wave count with a wave 1 completing a leading diagonal backed up by a deep wave 2 correction into High Volume Node support (HVN). We potentially have another 1-2 with fast drop and recovery to the S1 daily pivot which would make long term outlook extra bullish by extending target.
Wave 3 is underway with a target of the all time hime high HVN for wave 5. The next resistance HVN is $191.
Price above the daily pivot and is continuing upwards after testing as support.
Analysis is invalidated below $162 swing low.
Safe trading
BTCUSD BUY 105750On the 4-hour chart, BTCUSD is currently oscillating at a high level. Currently, we can pay attention to the support near 105750, which is a potential buying position for the bullish bat pattern. At the same time, this position is in the demand area.
