Gold H1 | Approaching an overlap resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 3,344.65 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,368.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,313.35 which is a pullback support.
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Trend Analysis
GOLD SETUP UPDATE - CLEAN BREAKOUT & RETEST PLANGold just broke out of a falling wedge pattern with a clean 5-wave completion.
Now it's pulling back — we prepare for two potential scenarios:
🔹 Scenario A:
If price retests the lower trendline (around 3,315–3,320) and gives a strong rejection, we look to buy targeting:
→ 3,345
→ 3,359
🔹 Scenario B:
If it skips the retest and continues to rally — we follow the breakout momentum.
✅ EMA ribbons are still holding bullish.
✅ MACD histogram flipped green — showing buyer pressure coming in.
🚫 Invalid if price breaks below 3,307 or 3,296.
Time to cut and reassess if that happens.
💡 Reminder: Wait for confirmation. Don’t FOMO.
Plan your trade — ride the structure, not the hype.
#GoldAnalysis #TechnicalSetup #ForexTrading #PriceAction #FaizIsmail
XAUUSD:High-range consolidation, caution on rally sustainabilityFollowing Trump's reimposition of tariffs, gold staged another rally on the back of its safe-haven allure. Nevertheless, it retreated after encountering resistance near the 3345 mark, making it premature to conclude that gold has entered a robust one-sided bullish trend. After all, for a rally sparked by news-driven factors, the sustainability of the upward momentum demands close scrutiny. Should this momentum falter, gold is likely to re-enter a consolidation phase.
Given that gold is currently lingering at a relatively high level within its rebound and consolidation range, a short-position strategy could be prioritized for the time being. Only if gold sustains strong momentum throughout the day can bulls potentially amass genuine upward impetus.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
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NZDUSD support at 0.5980The NZDUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.5980 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.5980 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.6070 – initial resistance
0.6110 – psychological and structural level
0.6160 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.5980 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.5950 – minor support
0.5920 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 0.5980. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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EURCAD: Liquidity taken, imbalance left behindPrice swept the liquidity above the previous day’s high and then broke structure to the downside. That’s often a sign that smart money was hunting stops before shifting direction. Now I’m watching for price to come back and fill the imbalance (FVG) it left after the break.
If that happens and price respects the FVG zone, we could see a continuation lower with the next target being the previous day’s low where more liquidity is likely sitting.
I’ve also added the 50 EMA here as confluence. It helps keep me trading in line with the broader market flow and stops me from fighting the trend.
This is one of those spots where patience is key . Let the market return to the zone on its own terms, wait for a reaction, and keep protecting your mindset just as carefully as your capital.
TIA/USDT – Potential Reversal After Channel BreakTIA has broken out of a long-standing descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a possible trend reversal. The price is attempting to flip structure, and bullish momentum is building.
Structure:
Clear descending channel breakout
Retest of upper trendline underway
RSI back above 50, showing recovery
Setup:
Entry: On successful retest of the breakout zone near 1.50–1.55
Stop Loss: Below 1.43
Target Levels:
1.67, 1.83, 2.25 until 2.95
This setup looks promising if the price holds above the trendline. Watch closely for volume confirmation and follow-through.
DYOR. Not financial advice
#TIA #Altcoin
Gold Under Pressure After NFP Beat – More Downside Ahead?Moments ago, the US Non-Farm Payrolls surprised to the upside at 147K (vs 111K forecast), while the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1% (vs 4.3% expected) .
This stronger-than-expected labor market data reinforces the idea that the Fed has no immediate reason to cut rates. As a result, the USD( TVC:DXY ) strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure.
If the dollar momentum continues, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) may face further downside in the short term.
In terms of Technical Analysis , Gold fell below the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) again after the announcement of US indices and is currently moving near the Support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves in the one-hour time frame, and we should now wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to fall again after the upward correction , and the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) could be the target.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,365
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Could Gold slide below 3000?Could Gold slide below 3000?
On the monthly charts, price action shows an imbalance when Gold surged to 3500. Equilibrium must be restored and price action suggests, Gold has to correct by mitigating demand at 2700 price levels. On the weekly and daily charts, there are signs of price weakening suggesting a reversal is not so far. On the daily chart, Gold has mitigated a short term FVG and formed an intermediate low. Once this low is broken, it will confirm our reversal of Gold targeting the monthly FVG at 2760
PI Smart Money Index (SMI) Signals Key Holder ExitPI’s Smart Money Index (SMI) has been steadily declining since June 25, dropping by 9% to reach 1.22 at the time of writing. The SMI tracks the behavior of experienced or institutional investors by analyzing trading patterns during the first and last hours of the market session.
A rising SMI typically indicates increased buying activity from these "smart money" players, reflecting growing confidence in the asset. However, the current downward trend highlights a different story — heightened selling activity and waning confidence from key market participants.
This persistent decline in SMI suggests that institutional investors are stepping back, signaling limited belief in a near-term price recovery for PI. Until sentiment shifts, upward momentum may remain subdued.
Lulu Holdings: Chasing the Gap – Key Levels in Focus 🔍 Summary: Key Points to Watch for Lulu Holdings
📉 Gap Down: A notable gap down between 1.66 AED and 1.56 AED occurred between February 11–12, following a negative earnings catalyst. This gap now serves as a significant technical barrier.
📊 Recent Volume Spikes: There has been a clear increase in trading volume since the gap, indicating strong market activity. This volume surge is critical and may reflect either institutional interest or volatility-driven participation.
🟠Resistance Zone: The 1.56–1.66 AED range is the primary resistance:
🔻 If price approaches this zone with falling or weak volume, it could face rejection and pull back.
🔺 A clean breakout above 1.66 AED with strong volume would suggest serious buying interest and a potential gap fill continuation.
🟢 Support Zone: Immediate support is located at **1.30–1.32 AED**:
Holding this area signals stability and potential consolidation.
🔻 A breakdown below 1.30 AED could push the stock toward deeper support near 1.20 AED.
⏳ Gap Fill Potential: If price pushes back toward 1.66 AED on rising volume, this could initiate a full gap fill attempt , which would be a bullish structural signal.
📈 Volume Sensitivity:
Rising volume on upward moves** is essential to confirm bullish strength.
Declining volume near resistance** would indicate weak buying pressure and possible
failure.
🔍 Price Structure to Watch:
Formation of higher lows above 1.32 AED would indicate accumulating bullish momentum.
A failure to hold above this zone would signal potential continuation of the downtrend.
🎯 Bottom Line:
The 1.66–1.56 AED gap is the critical technical zone. Spectators should closely monitor whether the price can approach and potentially close this gap with strong volume or whether it will face resistance and reject. Volume will be the deciding factor in determining whether Lulu Holdings is stabilizing for a recovery or remains vulnerable to further declines.
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