Get started

Trend Analysis

Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 2,879.45 1st Support: 2,788.35 1st Resistance: 2,952.32 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
Bitcoin's First Green Day: Bullish Bitcoin Around The CornerNormally these moves, this type of break of support, don't end in a single day. It tends to expand and be prolonged. Like we had those three red days and after a minor stop we get more 'blood.' That's normally how it works, but, we have some signals. Trading volume is really weak. A three months long support breaks down and yet there is no real volume. We have the Altcoins signal which we looked at deeply, many bottomed on the 3rd of February which is a long time ago in Cryptocurrency terms. Bitcoin is becoming older and the older it becomes it also becomes more stable. There is less volatility. Each time there is a bear-market, it is smaller than the previous one. Each time there is a bull-market, it ends up being smaller compared to previous ones. So normal market behavior would call for the extension of the bearish move, a long correction but the correction is already long. The fact is that Bitcoin is really strong and people are just not ready to part with their Bitcoins, they are happy and ready to hold. Looking from a detached perspective, being the devils advocate, we can see two sides but we are obviously bullish. How would an even bigger drop look like? It would have to be a flash crash because of the date. Say the bearish wave extends, it wouldn't go much further than the 5th of March because we are bullish in March 2025 and beyond. Again, the Altcoins are bullish and many are moving up. So technically speaking and without getting our own bias on the way, it is too early to say. At the same time, the drop is weak, there is no volume and the Altcoins are already breaking up. This is the final flush. While Bitcoin has been sideways for months, as expected, many Altcoins went through a massive corrective phase. The truth is that Bitcoin is bigger now, Bitcoin is better now, Bitcoin is more stable now and it is not easy to continue selling. Some people will sell only to buy back when prices are higher. Some people will sell and never get their Bitcoins back. What if a whale decides to trick the market and ends up with a bad hand? We already saw many of those. Right now is not the time to sell. Right now is the time to either buy or hold. It doesn't matter what happens, focus on the long-term because we are going up. We are just days away, no, hours away... Hold strong. First, the news change but they produce no-effect. This is already happening. Then, the sentiment changes but the prices is not yet up. This is the next step. Finally, the entire market starts rising and everybody joins to enjoy the fun. The bullish dynamics are already in place. It will only take a small amount of time before it spreads to all corners of the world. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
6
SOL Looks Bearish (1D)A major trendline has been lost despite positive news, and SOL is prone to further drops towards the green box. A large liquidity pool exists below the price, which is likely to be taken out, pushing the price toward the marked zone. The price structure has turned bearish with a CH on the chart. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will nullify this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
Polygon Ecosystem 4,300% Potential @10XHere we have several signals related to the candles low and close. We've been looking at Polygon (POLUSDT) for a long while now and this is a great example of 'patience is key.' Definitely mandatory to have patience. It takes time for the bullish wave to unravel because we are always early, but once the action starts it cannot be stopped. We have the blessing of being able to be around right at the bottom, with plenty of time to plan, buy-up and accumulate. Many people won't be as lucky, they will hear/learn/know about the market only when it is too late or when the bullish wave is halfway. The last candle closed as a hammer with the highest volume ever. The session low is a higher low compared to the 3-Feb session. A hammer is a reversal signal when it comes at the end of a trend. The high buy-volume confirms the hammer as a bullish reversal signal. Normally, 1-2 weeks are needed for confirmation but we know that will happen next. I don't wait. The close this week (last week) ended up being higher than the late October 2024 market low. This is another important signal. Twice POLUSDT wicked lower in February, but closed above this level. This level is marked with a purple line on the chart. As a friendly tip. We are active with high leverage on this pair. The chart is ready, the market is ready and timing is great. 430% potential with 10X can lead to 4,300%. This is possible and do-able. There will be more of course. Opportunities abound in this market. Crypto is going up. Buy and hold. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
EURUSD - Minor correction and upward movement this weekGiven the CH in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a correction in the upper timeframe to continue the flow of bearish orders and a temporary upward move in the lower timeframe. Given the flow of bearish orders in the daily timeframe, we cannot see a significant growth and in fact this upward move in the lower timeframe is a corrective wave in the flow of bearish orders in the upper timeframe. So this week we can see a rise to the range of 0.04528 to 0.04770. So I repeat, do not forget that this upward move is temporary because there is still a downward flow of orders in the daily timeframe.
Long
by alixjey
1
Nat Gas Pre-Open Report: 3/2/25 Nat Gas futures dropped 8.5% this week, primarily due to a decline in heating demand and a continuation of the weather models printing below average degree days (DD) for the upcoming 15-day period. This weekends model runs were showing promise for a colder 8-15 day period, but were wiped out with Sunday’s midday models runs. The US models printed a modest 10 HDD warmer while the Euro printed 1 HDD colder. Which now put the two models in close to perfect agreement for the upcoming 15-day heating demand period, warmer! Both are predicting over 35 HDD warmer for the upcoming period. What was interesting to see was Saturday’s and early Sunday’s run show a coder shot coming in the 10-15 period. The models are beginning to see the cold pattern developing that I have been discussing for the back half of March and early April. The big news from the models the past four days have been the developing SSW event, but more importantly the effect it is beginning to have on two major Teleconnections, the NAO and the AO. I had briefly discussed these back in January, and the effect they had on the January frigid cold it helped bring to the US. I do discuss them in today’s video. I did hold my puts (shorts) over the weekend, with crossed fingers! Seeing the models trend colder and the Teleconnection trending colder, due to the upcoming SSW event, I almost chewed my finger nails off. But thankfully the models have a hard time with the synoptic physics of the atmosphere, and until they do, I will take full advantage of others only having the vison of the numbers they print out. I think the first big support we will see is at the 3685-3700 level tonight. I do believe that NG will gap lower tonight. Will it gap to the 3685-3700 level? We will see. But I am looking for 3685-3700 by open tomorrow for the NY open. Tonight’s models will be important to see if the models pick up the longer rang pattern change influenced from the SSW event. If there is momentum through the 3685-3700 level, next up will be the 3550 level. I discuss the technical reasons why I think these number are important in the video, but believe we are closer to the models picking up the coming cold than continuing to see the warmth. I am preparing to reenter with a block on long call position once I see the models confirming the upcoming cold after the March 15th period. There is reason to believe that if the models do continue to print a warmer period that the price could fall all the way to the 3330-3350 level. I will have a watchful eye on the daily weather models for verification. For if this breaks the 3350 level, then watch out below!!!! Storage should continue to drop, compared to the 5-year average, with the upcoming 3 EIA reports. Which should continue to be a bullish catalyst for the upcoming shoulder season. There is reason to believe that if the SSW event unfolds, and the heating season continues through the first three weeks of April, we just might have a very short shoulder season. As discussed last week, years that had a SSW event in March and April, tend to have a very warm May, which will jump us right into the Cooling season. So, with LNG continuing to export at daily records, storage continuing to drop, we just need an addition push to keep the bullish momentum going. And personally, I think we will see that later in the month of March. Production is a bearish catalyst now, with today’s production at 106 BCF/d. But there are too many demand side factors that are increasing faster than the overall increase in production. We will continue to monitor the heating season until draw season ends. Then it will be onto storage deficits, pipeline maintenance, coal-to-gas switching, nuclear power plant maintance shutdowns, verse the upcoming rig count and field activity. But that is for another month or so. Enjoy the video. Have a great day and good fortunes! Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGJ2025
by NrG_Trader
2
XRP Long-Term: Full Analysis—ATH Potential, Support & ResistanceWe are good with the short-term. We secured a great entry. It is time to consider how far up XRP will go and bull-market dynamics. How is XRPUSDT likely to behave in this 2025 bull-market. The first data point to consider is the fact that XRP peaked early in 2021, it did so in April. This time around, this won't be the case. XRPUSDT is likely to go the full cycle together with the rest of the market. That is because the action that led to the April 2021 peak started in March 2020, strong bullish action for more than a year. In this cycle, XRP started growing in November 2024. An entire year growing would put a final peak around November 2025. This is the date that I am looking for most of the projects to peak. I will adapt and change if necessary as the action develops but I am still thinking that the bull-run will run into late 2025 and even into early 2026. ➖ Support & Resistance There is a very strong resistance at $3.00. $2.35 is the main support. In December 2024, XRPUSDT peaked at $2.90, right below three. After a small retrace, it pierced the $3.00 barrier but closed below. Twice in January $3.00 worked as resistance and the third time a correction showed up. The action is now happening below $3.00 and this is the final resistance, the last barrier. Once this level break, ALL-IN, full force. XRPUSDT will produce a major advance and produce several new All-Time Highs. After the $3.00 barrier is broken, the main range were resistance will be found is between $4.44 and $4.68. This is a take profits target. Even if higher prices materialize later down the road, there will be a strong reaction around this level. I am only mentioning the main levels. Next, we have $6.15 and $6.36 as the strongest resistance. This one should be monitored carefully. Whales and advanced traders will be watching this level for massive profit taking. If this level is conquered, there is no limit as to how high prices can go. We can enter a parabolic cycle. Some extremely bullish event would need to develop to support this type of growth. Or, the fifth wave is the speculative wave, so anything goes. ➖ Market Talk The market will become tricky. Daily action will be erratic. Volatility in short. The big players will produce all sorts of moves in an attempt to remove weak hands, this will happen non-stop on the way up. It will be very hard to know what is going on and it will be easy to lose focus. To stay centered and grounded, just think long-term. When you zoom-in too close and start to get anxious, just remember the bigger cycle and the fact that the bull-market lasts the entire year. Detach, reduce leverage and hold. Once you are centered resume the game. Do not trade when you lose focus or you can end up closing your position on an impulse and there is no way to recover the great entry price. ➖ Speculation Looking at the chart structure, I think it will be easy for XRP to move beyond $8. If we consider 2025 fully bullish, then much more is possible but I don't want to get in too deep, if you know what I mean. But I sure want to say that the conditions are extremely good and hyper-bullish. If you are going to err, err on the higher end. Aim high, aim up. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
Vix is predicting a Black Swan EventI believe contrary to common thought; TVC:VIX is chartable with definitive patterns it follows. The pattern in question? Basic double bottom consolidation phases followed by breakouts bull flags retest of the bull flag bottom and follow through from there. We are currently breaking out of 2 double bottom patterns on the chart; one double bottom is the consolidation being used as the stand in for retest of the bull flag bottom with the bull flagpole being the sharp rally back in March 2020. The 2nd double bottom the chart is simultaneously breaking out of is the huge double bottom consolidation with the first bottom being from '91 to '08 while 2nd bottom is from '09 to now. Based on all of the above evidence I believe Vix is predicting a black swan event of biblical proportions for the market
CBOE:VIXLong
by atogabati
1
BITCOIN .... target open 75kBased on My description, here's a technical analysis framework for Bitcoin (BTC) with a *sell setup* targeting key downside levels, assuming the price fails to break above the resistance at *$94,500*: --- ### *Key Levels & Strategy* 1. *Resistance: *$94,500** - A confirmed rejection at this level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume) would trigger a sell signal. - A break and close above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. *Downside Targets*: - *Target 1: $91,000* - Near-term support; a breakdown here signals momentum weakening. - Likely a minor bounce zone, but a close below $91k opens the door to deeper corrections. - *Target 2: $88,000* - Stronger support (e.g., previous swing low, Fibonacci level, or institutional buy zone). - *Target 3: $85,000* - Psychological level and potential institutional accumulation area. - *Target 4: $80,000* - Major support (e.g., 200-day moving average or long-term trendline). - *Target 5: $75,000* - Worst-case scenario (bear market territory if fundamentals deteriorate). --- ### *Technical Tools to Confirm the Setup* - *Volume*: Increasing volume on breakdowns below each target confirms bearish momentum. - *RSI/MACD*: Oversold conditions (RSI < 30) at targets like $85k or $80k could signal a reversal or pause. - *Chart Patterns*: Look for descending triangles, head-and-shoulders, or breakdowns from consolidation. - *Fibonacci Retracement*: Targets may align with key Fib levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from recent swings. --- ### *Risk Management* - *Stop-Loss*: Place above $94,500 (resistance) or a tighter stop at $93,000 if price shows weakness before the resistance. - *Position Sizing*: Scale out profits at each target (e.g., sell 20% at each level). - *Market Context*: Monitor macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed policy, ETF inflows/outflows, regulatory news) that could override technicals. --- ### *Scenario Planning* 1. *Bullish Invalidations*: - A close above $94,500 could trigger short squeezes toward $100k+. Watch for bullish catalysts (e.g., ETF demand, halving momentum). 2. *Bearish Acceleration*: - A break below $75k could signal a structural downtrend (e.g., recession fears, crypto-specific black swan). --- ### *Psychological Notes* - *Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)*: Avoid chasing the trade if price gaps past key levels. - *Confirmation Bias*: Use multiple indicators (not just price action) to validate entries/exits. Let me know if you'd like a chart markup or deeper dive into specific tools! 📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
6
GBP/USD Bullish Setup with EMA Cross & Strong SupportGBPUSD TRADE ALERT : TRADE LONG Trade Setup Entry: Buy at 1.26000 Stop Loss: 1.25500 (-50 pips) Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.26350 (+35 pips) TP2: 1.26700 (+70 pips) TP3: 1.27000 (+100 pips) Technical Confirmation EMA7 Crosses Above EMA21 & EMA50 → Short-term bullish signal EMA21 Crosses Above EMA50 → Stronger uptrend confirmation Support Level at 1.25750 → A key level to watch for price holding Risk Management Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): TP1: 0.7:1 (not ideal) TP2: 1.4:1 (acceptable) TP3: 2:1 (good) Position Sizing: Ensure you risk only 1-2% of your account per trade. Additional Considerations Watch for price action signals around the support at 1.25750. If price struggles at TP1 (1.26350), consider moving SL to breakeven. Keep an eye on news events (e.g., NFP, CPI, FOMC) that can impact GBP/USD.
Long
by elitetrader9090
1
Looks like HSI got a morning energy boost is not a Weakday!3/3/2025 Hello everyone! Happy Monday today is not a Weakday but a wonderful weekday start of the week 🫰 🫶 News📰 : this was from 28Feb2025 www.tradingview.com N this is this morning 3Mar2025 - what do you think? I suspect more good news will come this week. 🔎🔮 www.tradingview.com Look at the HSI D Chart - posted 25Feb2025 - posted 26Feb2025 - posted 27Feb2025 - posted 28Feb2025 at point of ✍️; the index closed near the key support level of 22900-23000 (the strong level of 23000 which is the 10MA level); as mentioned this level has been retest 3 times, let's continue to monitor. Trading volume: finance.yahoo.com Date Volume Feb 28, 2025 6,578,300,000 Feb 27, 2025 6,257,000,000 Feb 26, 2025 5,138,100,000 Feb 25, 2025 4,449,800,000 Feb 24, 2025 5,264,600,000 Monthly Mar 1 2025 - 93,960,700,000 (+7.53% from prev month) Feb 1 2025 - 87,382,400,000 Jan 1 2025 - 52,385,800,000 Dec 1 2024 - 56,349,200,000 Avg past 3 months : 77.909Bn (+19.18% for the past avg vol); this imply the fund flow is abundance, hopefully this continues! Although the vol is slightl less than the last Oct 2024. Look at the 4H chart PEPPERSTONE:HK50 The last Oct Hi @ 23241 has been broken, this level could be the resistance level for the Index to stay above for the next level. Now, what's next? As updated:- Next level that we are looking at to break:23330, 23525, 23990, 24101, 24385. 🚨 as of ✍️ :it seems it stay above the key support level of 22990. 🗝️ support level : 23500 (broken) , 23175 (broken), 22990 (testing), 22741 MACD - last marked WAS deadcross and curving down as marked in YELLOW. After 8 bars-it reversed as marked in GREEN. and NOW it formed Deadcross again (as marked in YELLOW) KDJ - Remained in bearish red zone with chance that it could reverse upwards. BB - Still within lower BB channel and testing to break the BB mid-line for 4H chart at 23330. Today Trade Plan: 22785-23504 Buy into support : 22900 ,23,005, 23169,23283 (confirm with the indicator if it's on the bullish zone) Sell at resistance : 23400, 23353, 23335 (short/TP with shorter timeframe bearish zone, cross-check and wait for confirmation.) Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator. Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan! Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect. Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵. Happy Trading everyone! 🎯 Start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. 🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. HKEX:2800 - 22.90-22.82 if it happens to retrace back to this level, otherwise anytime NOW is entry point! It's confirmed by the 200MA (above in W chart) ; also the W chart MACD GoldenCross. Cross-check it; if need helps let us know. HKEX:2823 - 13.17-14.75 can start to open position and start accumulate, is allowed to wait for confirmation once it breaks 14.75 level. But you will be getting at higher cost... HKEX:2801 - open position at price : 23.73-23.80 or anytime NOW! if ever retraced back to 23.36-23.66 accumulate more. HKEX:3067 - open position now, add position when it retraced to 11.63,,11.33 or below. If you have missed, you may tk position still good to start at 11.85,11.99,12.15 ** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea or need help! *
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by ChenQianYu
3
Nifty50: Bearish Momentum Slowing – Signs of a Possible ReversalThe Nifty 50 index has been in a strong bearish trend, forming consecutive lower highs and lower lows on the 5-minute timeframe. However, recent price action suggests that selling pressure might be exhausting, with signs of a potential reversal emerging in the discount zone. While the broader trend remains bearish, there are early indications that buyers may attempt to regain control. A key observation is the presence of a weak low near the current price level. This could indicate that liquidity has been grabbed, setting the stage for a possible reversal. Additionally, multiple change-of-character (CHoCH) formations are appearing, which often signal a shift in market structure. While these signals alone do not confirm a bullish reversal, they suggest that the downtrend is losing strength. Price is currently positioned within the discount zone, an area where institutional buying interest typically increases. A key area of interest has formed near 22,100 – 22,070, where demand could emerge. If buyers manage to push the price above 22,200 and sustain it, this could indicate an initial attempt at reversal. Further confirmation would be required above 22,250 – 22,300, where a stronger shift in momentum could lead to a move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 22,385. If this level is reclaimed, a bullish push toward the 22,500 – 22,600 resistance zone could follow. On the other hand, the risk of bearish continuation remains if price fails to hold above 22,100 and breaks below 22,070. This scenario would likely lead to further downside, with potential targets at 22,000 or lower. If CHoCH formations do not come with strong volume confirmation, there is a possibility that the market is simply grabbing liquidity before another downward move. From a trading perspective, an aggressive long entry could be considered if the price confirms a CHoCH above 22,200, with potential targets around 22,300 – 22,385. A more conservative approach would be to wait for a breakout above 22,385, confirming a stronger shift before targeting the 22,500+ zone. However, if price breaks below 22,100, it would indicate a bearish continuation, and short positions could be considered toward 22,000 – 21,950. The market is showing early signs of a potential reversal, but confirmation is crucial before committing to a bullish outlook. If buyers step in above key levels, a move toward equilibrium and premium zones may follow. However, if price fails to sustain above the key demand zone, selling pressure could resume. Traders should carefully watch for confirmations before positioning themselves for either direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by ginfoguy
1