Bitcoin Game Plan - BTC PREDICTIONHello folks, it's time to update the BTC game plan.
My previous Bitcoin game plan worked precisely. The timing and price levels were 100% accurate, and as expected, we saw a new all-time high (ATH). I hope you managed to make some profits!
I’ve attached the previous BTC game plan below—feel free to give it a look.
New Game Plan:
Bitcoin has set a new ATH, but it seems we’ve encountered significant selling pressure at that level, and we couldn’t close above it. This indicates Bitcoin doesn’t yet have enough liquidity to expand higher.
From this perspective, I expect the price to retrace slightly, grab some liquidity from the buy side, and then continue its upward journey.
Scenario 1:
Price grabs the lows below and hits the purple line (Range High) before bouncing to a new high. (Less likely)
Scenario 2: (Marked on the chart)
Price grabs the lows completely and retraces to the blue bullish trendline, bouncing from there. We might even create a deviation below the blue line, trapping bears who aggressively short after a trendline break, and bounce from the green zone marked just below the blue line. (This is my preferred scenario.)
Scenario 3:
Price retraces further to grab all the way down to the lows and bounces from the black trendline we previously broke.
I’m sharing all three potential scenarios for clarity.
Also, with a pro-crypto president currently in office, any significant bullish news could send Bitcoin skyrocketing. Keep this in mind.
I remain overall bullish on Bitcoin. I firmly believe we haven’t seen the top yet. Despite the panic and sell-off from some gurus on X and TradingView who claim we’ve topped, I personally think we’re not even close to the peak.
Trend Analysis
A New Dawn or a False Start? PENGUSDT at Critical LevelsHere’s a captivating Catchy Introduction based on the data provided:
A New Dawn or a False Start? PENGUSDT at Critical Levels
PENGUSDT is teetering on the edge of its absolute low, currently trading at $0.0304, just 1.3% above this pivotal level. After a sharp -96.8% deviation from its all-time high, the asset is poised for either a revival or a deeper dive. The RSI14 rests at 28.7, signaling oversold conditions. Add to this a series of buy-pattern formations like the VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th, and we might just be witnessing the calm before the storm.
With fundamental drivers like macroeconomic uncertainties and bearish momentum waning, the big question looms: is this the perfect bounce-back opportunity or a prelude to another fall? Today marks a key inflection point, and traders must stay sharp to capture potential swings. Are you ready to ride the next wave?
Roadmap: The Untold Story of PENGUSDT's Reversal Patterns
Let’s dive into the fascinating sequence of PENGUSDT’s recent trading journey, dissecting its key patterns and confirming whether the forecasted directions truly hit their mark. Strap in, traders—this is where the past meets the present, offering hints of what might come next.
Step 1: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th (2025-01-25 03:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: This pattern hinted at a bullish breakout as it formed at $0.03334, with a close at $0.03400.
Confirmation: The subsequent pattern stayed true to the forecast, with prices holding above $0.03361—a testament to the buy signal’s reliability.
Step 2: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd (2025-01-25 01:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: Prices danced within a narrow range of $0.03322 to $0.03406, affirming a consolidative phase.
Confirmation: True to its bullish call, the market’s next pattern edged higher, confirming traders’ confidence in its upward momentum.
Step 3: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-26 12:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: As expected, prices climbed to $0.03033, rebounding slightly from the critical support near $0.03001.
Confirmation: While modest in its upward trajectory, the pattern aligned with its bullish forecast, signaling renewed strength.
Step 4: Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-24 10:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Sell
Action: A steep decline from $0.04153 to $0.03586 validated the bearish call.
Confirmation: The sharp drop set the stage for subsequent buy signals, making this sell-off a crucial pivot point for trend reversal enthusiasts.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
In the ever-shifting landscape of PENGUSDT, staying ahead means keeping a laser focus on critical support and resistance levels. These price zones are your GPS for navigating trades and pinpointing potential reversals or breakouts. Here’s the cheat sheet:
Support Levels No data for regular support levels was identified. Stay vigilant—missing levels might indicate upcoming volatility.
Resistance Levels 0.05364: The first hurdle on the way up. If breached, it opens the door for further bullish movement. 0.05545: A key checkpoint that could serve as a magnet for price action. 0.07523: Bulls will be eyeing this level as a potential breakout trigger. 0.07865: Strong resistance that could dictate market sentiment. 0.08409: A psychological barrier; breaking this could signal a strong trend reversal.
Powerful Support Levels 0.05504: This level has significant weight—any failure to hold here could lead to a shift in sentiment. 0.4173: A major safety net for longer-term positioning, though far from current price action.
Powerful Resistance Levels No specific data available for powerful resistance, but keep an eye on price reactions near key psychological thresholds.
Key Takeaway : If any of these levels fail to hold their ground, they’re likely to flip into resistance, acting as a ceiling to upward price action. The market never lies, and these price zones are where the real action unfolds.
Stay nimble, traders, and remember—respect the levels, or the market will humble you!
Trading Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic Pathways
Dynamic factors such as Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) reinforce the reliability of these rays, with VSA patterns providing an additional layer of confirmation. Here’s how the scenarios play out:
Optimistic Scenario: Rebound and Bullish Momentum
Key Entry Level: $0.03033 (Actual Price)
Price interacts with the ray near this level, showing signs of bullish activity supported by the MA50 ($0.0331). An upward trajectory could target:
First Target: $0.05364 (Resistance Level 1)
Second Target: $0.05545 (Resistance Level 2)
Third Target: $0.07523 (Higher Resistance)
Confirmation: Look for VSA Buy Patterns aligning with the dynamic ray and MA support to validate the bullish trend.
Pessimistic Scenario: Breakthrough and Bearish Continuation
Key Breakdown Level: $0.03001 (Absolute Low)
If price fails to hold the ray and breaches the absolute low, bearish momentum could dominate. Targets on the downside include:
First Target: $0.029 (hypothetical overshoot below Absolute Low)
Second Target: Reassessment after breakout.
Confirmation: A combination of sell volume spikes and price crossing below MA100 ($0.0433) solidifies the bearish outlook.
Suggested Trades: Practical Applications
Trade 1: Long from $0.03033 → Target $0.05364
Comment: Strong bullish move expected from the ray interaction supported by MA50.
Trade 2: Short from $0.03001 → Target $0.029
Comment: Breach of absolute low signals potential for significant sell-off.
Trade 3: Long Breakout at $0.05364 → Target $0.05545
Comment: Clear confirmation of trend continuation to next ray.
Trade 4: Short Rejection at $0.05364 → Target $0.03033
Comment: Strong resistance at the ray level triggers a bearish reversal.
Key Takeaways
The interaction of price with Fibonacci Rays, Moving Averages, and VSA patterns offers high-probability setups.
Enter positions after interactions with rays and validation by dynamic factors like MAs.
Each ray serves as a roadmap, with price likely traveling from one ray to the next—your first target is just the beginning.
This approach combines the precision of Fibonacci Rays with the adaptability of dynamic market analysis. Plan your trades, respect the rays, and let the market reveal its hand!
Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Got questions? Drop them in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts and help you navigate these key levels. Your feedback and curiosity keep the trading community thriving, so don’t hold back!
If this analysis resonates with you, don’t forget to Boost and save this idea. Check back later to see how price action unfolds around my marked levels—because the essence of trading is understanding those pivotal points that make or break a trade.
By the way, the rays and levels in this analysis are drawn automatically by my proprietary indicator-strategy. It’s available privately—if you’re interested in accessing it, feel free to send me a message, and I’ll walk you through the details.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments! Some ideas I can share publicly, but if you prefer to keep your strategy private, we can discuss tailored solutions. The rays work across all markets, and I’d be happy to provide a personal markup for any asset you’re trading.
Lastly, if you’d like to see more content like this, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I share all my insights, strategies, and updates. Let’s build a strong trading community together—one idea at a time! 🚀
ETH BTC set to rally>Jpow has got to come in dovish on Fed meeting this week ~POW GOES TO QE
> We could see a nice run to 0.05
>If Jpow comes Hawkish it will trigger another ~10% drop from here which will be short-lived.
> Overall Bullish for now
>Bigger players are suppressing eth
>Wait till the start of Feb to see a clear Direction of the market
Is the BANUSDT Market on the Verge of a Breakout or a Breakdown?The cryptocurrency market thrives on unpredictability, and BANUSDT is currently testing traders' resolve. After retreating -91% from its historic high of $0.421 (November 2024), the token hovers near its all-time low at $0.03678. Such levels are often a breeding ground for high volatility and significant price movements. Will the market roar back, or will it sink further into the abyss?
Presently trading at $0.03777, BANUSDT appears oversold with a daily RSI14 of 28.99, hinting at potential upward momentum. However, its moving averages, notably the MA50 at $0.05556 and MA200 at $0.06184, cast shadows of resistance over immediate bullish aspirations. Additionally, recent VSA Buy Patterns suggest buying pressure, but the path upward remains fraught with resistance levels near $0.07753.
The critical question: Is this the time to buy the dip, or are we teetering on the brink of a deeper fall? Investors and traders, are you prepared for what’s next? Today marks a pivotal moment in BANUSDT’s journey—are you watching closely?
BANUSDT Roadmap: Patterns in Action
Navigating the rollercoaster of BANUSDT requires dissecting its pattern history. Here’s a clear roadmap of recent key events, filtering out the noise to highlight only the patterns that hit their mark. Ready to see how this market moves?
January 25, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd
This pattern signaled a bullish sentiment with its main direction as "Buy." The price opened at $0.05252, reaching a high of $0.05253, but eventually closed lower at $0.04747. The pattern hinted at a bullish breakout.
Confirmation: The next pattern aligned with this sentiment. The price attempted to rally further before settling lower, confirming the bullish drive was correct but short-lived.
January 25, 2025 – Buy Volumes Take Over
Despite its "Sell" direction, the market momentum showed limited downside. Opening at $0.06483, it quickly slid to $0.05598. This mismatch between prediction and actual price movement suggests either a false signal or strong counterforces.
Skipped: As the Sell failed to gain traction, this pattern is excluded for clarity.
January 26, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Backed by bullish sentiment, this pattern triggered fresh optimism. Opening at $0.03752 and closing near the same level at $0.0374, it maintained a narrow range but supported further upward moves.
Confirmation: The next pattern reaffirmed this sentiment, demonstrating a steady rise as BANUSDT tested higher levels.
Key Takeaways
Successful patterns are those where the main direction aligned with subsequent price actions.
Neutral or false signals are filtered out to ensure actionable insights for traders.
January patterns show BANUSDT attempting to form a bullish base, but caution remains essential due to intermittent weak signals.
Looking Ahead
Investors should track these active support zones and stay alert for patterns aligning with broader momentum shifts. BANUSDT may yet surprise with its next move—are you ready to ride the wave?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
In trading, it’s all about the levels. Here’s your cheat sheet for BANUSDT's most critical zones. Whether you're scalping or holding, these levels are your lifeline to navigating price action like a pro.
Support Levels
0.03678 – This is the current all-time low, a psychological barrier where buyers previously stepped in. If this fails, expect it to flip into resistance.
0.05556 (MA50) – A dynamic support often acting as a magnet for price action. Break below, and it could create bearish momentum.
Resistance Levels
0.07753 – A key line in the sand. Sellers dominated here before; bulls need to claim this to change the narrative.
0.06184 (MA200) – A formidable level tied to institutional trading zones. Watch for fakeouts around this level.
Powerful Support Levels
0.0921 – The "big boss" support level. If price manages to push higher, this level becomes a safety net on the way down. However, if breached, this will likely become a ceiling for future price recovery.
Powerful Resistance Levels
None active currently – If bulls can reclaim some ground, look for future resistance formations tied to higher price action zones.
Note for Traders
When levels fail to hold, they don’t disappear—they flip roles. Support becomes resistance, resistance becomes a brick wall.
Play it smart: wait for confirmations before entering, and don’t get trapped in fakeouts. These levels are where price action loves to fake moves to lure traders in.
Watch these zones like a hawk and let the price action guide your next moves. It's all about staying sharp and adapting to what the chart is telling you!
Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays
The proprietary concept of Fibonacci Rays gives traders an edge in navigating dynamic market movements. Using these geometrically precise tools, we identify scenarios that balance flexibility and focus. Here's how we can apply this method to BANUSDT.
Concept of Rays
The Fibonacci Rays are designed from the origin of a movement, based on mathematical and geometric principles. They outline dynamic channels, predicting likely zones for price interaction. Here's the core idea:
When price touches a ray, two outcomes are probable: a reversal or a continuation.
Dynamic factors, such as Moving Averages (MA50, MA200), enhance the predictive accuracy of these rays.
Instead of aiming for precise levels, we analyze the probabilities of price movements within defined ranges.
Dynamic Factors: Moving Averages & Rays
MA50 (current: $0.05556) and MA200 (current: $0.06184) act as additional dynamic support and resistance zones. Interaction with these averages often confirms ray predictions.
Using VSA rays, price tends to move from one ray to the next, forming clear trading targets.
Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario
Price interacts with the ascending ray near $0.03678 (current support). A bounce signals a potential move toward the first ray at $0.05556, confirmed by MA50.
If momentum sustains, the next target aligns with the ray at $0.06184 (MA200).
Pessimistic Scenario
Price breaks below the $0.03678 ray, testing the next descending ray at $0.030 (hypothetical). In this case, MA50 flips to resistance, and bears gain control.
If MA200 is breached, expect further declines, with price navigating between descending rays.
Suggested Trades
Trade 1: Long from $0.03678 with targets at $0.05556 (MA50) and $0.06184 (MA200). Use confirmation from ray interaction before entering.
Trade 2: Short if price breaks $0.03678, targeting the descending ray at $0.030. Watch for bearish confirmation with MA50 acting as resistance.
Trade 3: Long breakout above $0.06184, targeting higher ascending rays. This trade aligns with a potential trend shift and broader bullish momentum.
Key Takeaway
The Fibonacci Rays allow traders to spot high-probability opportunities by combining dynamic ray interaction with Moving Averages. These tools offer clarity in uncertain markets, ensuring trades are aligned with structural momentum. Whether you're an optimist or a realist, there's a setup for every type of trader!
Let’s Connect and Trade Smarter Together
Trading isn’t just about levels; it’s about collaboration and constant learning. If you have questions, ideas, or just want to discuss this analysis, drop your thoughts right here in the comments. I’d love to hear from you and dive deeper into any topics you find valuable.
If you found this idea useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it. That way, you can revisit it later and track how the price moves along my markings—it’s the perfect way to refine your trading skills and spot opportunities.
By the way, all the rays and levels you see here? My custom indicator does the heavy lifting, drawing them automatically based on Fibonacci principles. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, feel free to reach out via direct messages—we’ll discuss how to make it work for you.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? I’ve got you covered. Whether it’s a free idea shared with the community or a private, tailored breakdown for your strategy, we can work something out. Just leave a comment with the asset you want me to analyze, and I’ll do my best to help!
Rays work universally across all assets—crypto, stocks, commodities, you name it. If you’d like a personal markup for a specific chart, let me know. And remember, the more engagement this post gets, the more ideas I can share here for everyone.
Lastly, make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my future insights and strategies. Let’s build a community of smarter, sharper traders together! 🚀
FLOCKUSDT: Can Bulls Hold After a 60% Slide?Introduction :
The cryptocurrency market never rests, and today, all eyes are on FLOCKUSDT, currently trading at $0.1439, down a sharp 60.88% from its all-time high of $0.3679 set just 16 days ago. After bouncing 29.17% from its absolute low of $0.1114 just five days ago, the question looms: is the asset primed for recovery, or are sellers merely taking a breather?
Technical indicators present a mixed narrative. The RSI14 sits at an oversold 29.81, signaling potential upward momentum, but MFI60 at 44.23 suggests a lack of significant inflows. Meanwhile, the MA50 has dipped below the price, currently at $0.1611, posing a looming resistance zone.
Adding to the intrigue, recent candlestick patterns, such as "Sell Volumes Take Over," indicate heightened sell pressure, yet directional cues hint at bullish reversals. With resistance looming at $0.1757 and strong support at $0.1355, the stage is set for a decisive move.
Could this be a pivotal moment for traders to capitalize on a reversal? Or does the market have further downside risk before a meaningful bounce? Either way, this could be the key moment to act, as the opportunity may not wait for long. Stay tuned for the in-depth breakdown.
Roadmap of Recent Patterns: FLOCKUSDT Action Sequence
Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-26 11:00 UTC)
The session started with a "Sell Volumes Take Over" pattern, hinting at a Buy direction. This was validated as the price ticked up slightly, opening at $0.1459 and closing at $0.1461, above the low of $0.1432. While movement was minimal, the bulls attempted to reclaim momentum.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 10:00 UTC)
A bearish setup followed, forecasting a Sell. Price action aligned with this, as it opened at $0.1460, dipped to $0.1453, and closed marginally lower at $0.1459. Bears gained slight traction, confirming the pattern’s effectiveness.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 04:00 UTC)
The selling spree continued, with another Sell setup. However, the low remained consistent at $0.1481, suggesting consolidation. The lack of strong directional movement hinted at the market waiting for a more decisive trigger.
VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-25 12:00 UTC)
This pattern marked a pivotal point, suggesting a Buy movement. The price closed at $0.164, slightly higher than its open of $0.1651, signaling accumulation and anticipation of a bullish breakout.
VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd (2025-01-23 09:00 UTC)
This powerful Buy pattern forecasted a strong upside. The price soared from $0.2048 to $0.2251 within hours, breaking resistance and confirming the main direction. Bulls dominated, as the predicted movement unfolded with textbook precision.
Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-23 05:00 UTC)
Despite a Buy setup forecast, the price trajectory shifted to a retracement phase. Closing at $0.2251, this marked the beginning of consolidation, showing the pattern’s partial alignment.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-23 04:00 UTC)
This Sell pattern demonstrated textbook accuracy as the price opened at $0.2246 and fell to $0.2135, confirming bearish pressure.
Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-23 03:00 UTC)
A Buy direction emerged, and the price shot up from $0.2137 to $0.2246. This movement strongly aligned with the predicted direction, showcasing an excellent opportunity for short-term bulls.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
0.1355 – A key area for buyers to step in. If it doesn’t hold, expect it to flip into resistance.
0.1257 – The last line of defense before sellers take full control.
Resistance Levels:
0.1757 – A significant ceiling for bulls to conquer; failure here means this level becomes a hard barrier.
0.2525 – Watch closely; breaking this could ignite strong momentum.
0.2829 – A formidable wall for buyers; bears likely waiting to defend.
0.3042 – If bulls reach here, it’s a breakout or bust situation.
Powerful Support Levels:
Currently, no additional zones stand out, but stay alert for any emerging price action signals.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
None observed at the moment, leaving room for price discovery if major resistance levels are breached.
Note:
If these levels fail to hold or break, expect them to act as reversal zones, flipping from support to resistance or vice versa. Use these levels to plan entries and exits, and don’t forget to manage your risk – the market loves to test traders' resolve!
Concept of Rays: Precision in Probabilities
Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario:
If price interacts with the 0.1355 support level, marked by a descending Fibonacci ray, and shows a bullish confirmation, the movement is expected to test the next ray intersecting at the 0.1757 resistance level. This would serve as the first target, with subsequent moves aiming for 0.2525 and 0.2829, correlating with additional ray intersections.
Pessimistic Scenario:
If price fails to hold at 0.1355 and breaches downward, interaction with the next Fibonacci ray near 0.1257 may indicate continuation of the bearish momentum. In this case, price could trend lower, with further ray intersections marking potential interaction zones for reversals or corrections.
How Rays Work in Practice
Fibonacci Rays are dynamic tools that adjust based on emerging patterns, enabling real-time tracking of price movements. When combined with Moving Averages (MA50: 0.1611, MA100: 0.1765), these rays become more predictive by indicating areas of confluence where price momentum is likely to shift.
The key principle is to monitor price interaction with the rays. Once price touches a ray and confirms direction with a dynamic factor (such as candlestick patterns or volume spikes), traders can position for movement toward the next ray or level. Each ray-bound move represents a minimum target, with further levels extending the trade’s profit potential.
Suggested Trades
Long Trade from 0.1355 to 0.1757: Look for bullish interaction at 0.1355 and confirmation through volume analysis (VSA). Target the ray at 0.1757 as the first milestone.
Short Trade from 0.1757 to 0.1355: If price rejects 0.1757 and bearish patterns emerge, this could signal a reversal back to 0.1355.
Long Trade from 0.1757 to 0.2525: A breakout above 0.1757, confirmed by interaction with ascending rays and a crossover of MA50 and MA100, targets 0.2525 as the next ray-defined resistance.
Short Trade from 0.2525 to 0.1757:** Failure to sustain above 0.2525 could lead to a retracement back to 0.1757, presenting a swing opportunity.
Dynamic Levels in Context
These levels are projected on the chart, visible alongside the VSA Rays. The interplay between price, rays, and moving averages provides a high-confidence framework for trading decisions. Remember, position entry is most effective post-interaction with rays and the onset of movement. Trades are managed step-by-step from one ray to the next, ensuring clear targets and minimal risk.
Flexibility in scenarios empowers traders to adapt to market dynamics while aligning with the structured insights provided by Fibonacci Rays.
Trading is all about understanding key levels and making informed decisions, and I’m here to help you navigate that. If you have questions or need clarification, drop them right in the comments—I’ll be glad to respond!
If this idea resonates with you, don’t forget to Boost it and save it for later. Tracking how price reacts to the levels I’ve outlined is one of the best ways to learn and improve your trading strategy.
The rays and levels you see in this analysis are automatically plotted using my custom indicator. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out via direct messages—I’ll be happy to share details.
Have another asset in mind? Let me know in the comments! I can create a detailed analysis, either publicly for everyone’s benefit or privately, if you’d prefer to keep your strategy confidential. The rays work on all assets, and I can tailor them specifically to your needs.
Finally, if you find value in my ideas and want to stay updated, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I publish all my insights, and I’d love for you to be part of the journey.
Trade smart, stay informed, and let’s grow together! 😊
Doge will pull back(bulls waiting on the sidelines)So this is my theory, I am a huge believer that doge, eth, ada, and various other cryptos with a large market cap follow bitcoin
What this means:
bitcoin at the top of a trading range, meaning it will pull back down soon
doge will get dragged down with bitcoin, the only difference is that doge is already on a bear trend and I’m already waiting on a second leg
The strategy is marked up on the chart, I’m a bull and I’m just waiting to load the boat at .20-.25 cents — I believe this is where doge will consolidate before Elon and Donald trump start hyping it up.
27/01/2025 gold analysisOn gold we are technically approaching the All
Time HIgh area supporting by a fear of a cold war
leading by DTrump + his particular interest to
lower the IR of the USA.
During this week there is the FOMC meeting during
Wednesday night and the investors are excepting the
FED to keep the IR unchanged for the time being
As we are near the ATH we can anticipate that FED will
not bring that much new to the table and that a TP move
from an investors perspective can occur in order to
repositionning themselves on better demand zones before
potentially continuing higher and breaking the ATH prices.
Later on the week we have some PCE numbers actually
excepted to be unchanged.
We can except price to accumulated / ranging before the
actual FOMC.
Pirate Token (BYBIT-PIRATEUSDT.P): A Breakout Brewing?The crypto market thrives on surprises, and Pirate Token (PIUSDT.P) seems poised for its moment in the spotlight. Trading at $0.0899, just 4.05% above its all-time low of $0.0864, the asset is consolidating at levels unseen since yesterday’s dip—a rare juncture that demands attention. Meanwhile, the relative strength index (RSI) at 38 signals oversold conditions, suggesting a potential reversal is brewing.
With historical highs of $0.4385 now a distant memory (-79.5%), can Pirate Token chart a course back to glory? Key resistance zones at $0.111 and $0.1177 stand in the way, but emerging VSA patterns, including a "Buy Extra 1st," indicate buyer interest might be mounting at these suppressed levels.
What could push this sleeping giant into action? Will it rebound from its floor or test patience further? Join the journey as we dive deeper into the data and plot the next course for PIUSDT.P.
Pirate Token (BYBIT-PIRATEUSDT.P): Roadmap Through Recent Patterns
For investors and traders navigating the choppy waters of Pirate Token (PIUSDT.P), understanding the sequence of significant patterns is critical. Here’s an engaging roadmap that dissects each confirmed pattern, aligning with the thrilling narrative of recent market movements.
1. Setting the Stage: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd (Jan 25, 00:00 UTC) Direction: Buy
Price opened at $0.1001, closed at $0.0966, but tested the low of $0.0964. This pattern hinted at a rebound from the floor. However, the next pattern shifted gears, introducing sell pressure, challenging the bullish thesis.
2. A Countermove: Increased Sell Volumes (Jan 25, 18:00 UTC) Direction: Sell
Price descended from $0.0949 to $0.0922, solidifying the bearish narrative. This validated the previous sell pressure, marking the start of a downward trend that led to a decisive test of the three-bar low at $0.0918. The sell-off confirmed bearish control, aligning perfectly with its main direction.
3. Bounce Back? VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (Jan 25, 22:00 UTC) Direction: Buy
The tide turned as the pattern emerged with a buy signal. Opening at $0.088 and closing marginally lower at $0.0877, this pattern didn’t breach critical bullish confirmation zones. The price struggled, and subsequent patterns invalidated its trigger points, pushing this one off the spotlight.
4. Climax: Increased Sell Volumes (Jan 24, 19:00 UTC) Direction: Sell
This was the tipping point. Price fell dramatically from $0.1077 to $0.1021, confirming an aggressive bearish move that drove momentum further downward. The clear sell dominance here set the stage for the broader trend, reinforced by the next pattern.
5. Reversing the Script: VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd (Jan 24, 19:00 UTC) Direction: Sell
Building on the prior sell pressure, this pattern predicted continued bearish action. The open at $0.1077 and close at $0.1021 mirrored the trajectory laid out by its predecessor. The successful validation of the low of $0.101 underscored its strength.
6. A New Hope: Increased Buy Volumes (Jan 23, 14:00 UTC) Direction: Buy
Finally, a promising turnaround! The price opened at $0.1152 and closed higher at $0.1177, suggesting a shift in sentiment. The bullish momentum broke prior highs, validating the reversal pattern.
Conclusion This sequence of patterns paints a vivid picture of Pirate Token’s turbulent yet predictable journey. The interplay of buying and selling forces offers clear signals for savvy traders. By aligning strategies with these confirmed moves, investors can ride the tide effectively.
Stay sharp, stay informed, and let the patterns guide your path!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
When it comes to trading Pirate Token (PIUSDT.P), it’s all about keeping an eye on those critical levels. Here’s the lowdown on the support and resistance zones that matter most. And remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip into resistance faster than you can blink.
Support Levels:
$0.0899: A psychological pivot and current price baseline. If this breaks, it’s likely curtains for short-term bulls.
Resistance Levels:
$0.111: The first hurdle where bears are lurking. A clean break could open doors for a move higher.
$0.1177: This is where the big decisions are made—either a breakout or another fade.
$0.1359: A key resistance from previous highs, with momentum potentially stalling here.
$0.1546: A powerhouse level; breaching it signals a bullish takeover.
$0.1704: The final boss—breaking this is a long-term bullish signal.
Powerful Support Levels:
$0.1196: A concrete floor for long setups, failure here means trouble.
$0.2104: If all else fails, this is the fortress to defend for bulls.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
Not established yet but expect powerful sellers to line up near higher key levels like $0.1704.
Concept of Rays: Fibonacci-Based Trading Strategies
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept provides a unique, Fibonacci-driven perspective on market behavior. These dynamic levels, defined by ascending and descending rays, help traders identify key zones for price interaction. Each interaction signals either a reversal or continuation, but only after clear dynamic factors and patterns emerge.
Core Trading Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario:
Interaction with the $0.0899 support level (current price baseline) combined with upward interaction with a Fibonacci ray suggests a potential bullish reversal.
First Target: $0.111, a resistance level aligned with dynamic ray and MA50. Breaching this level confirms bullish continuation.
Second Target: $0.1177, which is reinforced by MA100 and acts as a key inflection zone.
Third Target: $0.1359, marking a breakout zone for a sustained bullish trend.
Pessimistic Scenario:
Failure to hold $0.0899 indicates increased selling pressure. Interaction with descending Fibonacci rays signals further bearish moves.
First Target: $0.0864, corresponding to the absolute low and the final stronghold for bulls.
Second Target: Dynamic Fibonacci ray intersection at $0.0800 (if price breaches the absolute low, new rays will adjust this zone).
Third Target: A potential slide toward $0.0750, signaling the continuation of bearish dominance.
Dynamic Factors: Moving Averages and Fibonacci Rays
Moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) serve as supplementary support/resistance levels in conjunction with VSA rays:
MA50 Today: $0.0964
MA100 Today: $0.1062
MA200 Today: $0.1177
Interaction with these levels, alongside rays, increases the probability of trend continuation or reversal.
Proposed Trades Based on Key Levels
Trade 1: Long from $0.0899 to $0.111
Confirmation required: Bullish interaction with MA50 and upward bounce from the Fibonacci ray.
Comment: Conservative entry; targets mid-term resistance.
Trade 2: Long from $0.111 to $0.1177
Confirmation required: Price stabilizes above $0.111 and interacts positively with MA100.
Comment: Ideal for riding the next leg up; stop-loss tightly below $0.111.
Trade 3: Short from $0.0899 to $0.0864
Confirmation required: Bearish breakout below $0.0899 and rejection from Fibonacci ray.
Comment: High probability setup; clear targets and manageable risk.
Trade 4: Short from $0.0864 to $0.0800
Confirmation required: Failure to defend absolute low at $0.0864, price aligns with descending ray.
Comment: For traders prepared for aggressive downside movement.
Key Takeaway
With Fibonacci rays as the backbone, these strategies focus on dynamic interactions that define the direction and strength of price action. Always wait for confirmation from ray interactions and MA alignment before entering positions, ensuring calculated and profitable trades. Let the rays light your way to smarter trading decisions!
Your Feedback is the Key!
Hey there, traders! If this idea resonates with you or sparks questions, don’t hesitate to drop them in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you. Trading is all about understanding key levels, and your input makes this journey even more rewarding.
Liked the analysis? Then hit that Boost button, save the post, and revisit it later to see how price moves along the rays and levels we’ve mapped out. Watching these dynamics unfold is the best way to sharpen your trading edge.
Curious about the rays and levels? My private indicator does all the hard work—drawing these zones and levels automatically. If you’d like access or need a personalized setup for any asset, feel free to shoot me a message. Whether it’s a detailed public post or something tailored privately just for you, we’ll figure out the best way to make it happen.
Remember, these rays work on all assets, and price movements align beautifully with them. Got a specific asset in mind? Leave a comment with its name, hit Boost, and I’ll prioritize it as best I can. And don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView—this is where I share my best work and updates.
Let’s trade smarter, together! 🚀
XAUUSD 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis
Gold Analysis – Bullish Continuation
✅ Main Scenario: The overall trend remains bullish, with potential targets at:
2782
2795.5
2810
2865
📌 Key Note: Sudden reversals and short-term corrections may occur, so risk and trade management are crucial.
🔹 Depending on market volume, the rally could start from current levels or lower support around 2760.
📢 Conclusion: Given the current setup, buy trades remain the preferred option.
📍 "High-precision analysis, amazing results!"
Gold adjusted at the beginning of the week - still in an uptrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dip slightly to around $2,765 during the early Asian session on Monday, influenced by renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD). However, the downside for the precious metal may remain limited due to prevailing caution and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff policies.
The USD gains strength as Trump escalates trade tensions with new measures. On Sunday, he imposed significant tariffs and sanctions on Colombia after the country refused to allow two military planes carrying deported migrants to land. Trump announced an emergency 25% tariff on all Colombian imports, set to increase to 50% within a week. This development adds pressure on USD-denominated gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices adjusted down after a strong increase last week, creating liquidity at the beginning of the week. Still in an uptrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2740 - $2738 SL $2733
TP1: $2748
TP2: $2755
TP3: $2770
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2783 - $2785 SL $2790
TP1: $2775
TP2: $2768
TP3: $2760
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EURUSD next move (expecting bullish move)(22-01-2025)(mid term)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (22-01-2025) (mid term)
Current price- 104.200
"if Price stays above 102.000, then next target is 105.700 and 108.000 and below that 100.000 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Skyrexio | SUI Is In Huge Trouble, Be CarefulHello, Skyrexians!
The best crypto of 2024 is BINANCE:SUIUSDT , while other altcoins dumped significantly this asset set the ATH every day. This growth caused a lot of optimism and not SUI almost doesn't have haters. It means that price action needs to be cooled off and we will explain you why.
On the daily time frame you can see the entire impulse which consists of 5 waves. This is the complete impulse because of divergence on the Awesome oscillator. This is extremely bearish sign especially in conjunction with the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which has already printed two red dots. You can check its accuracy before. For example it catches perfectly the bottoms of waves 2 and 4.
These red dots does not mean that we will see the bear market, but major correction is in progress. The logical target is 0.61 Fibonacci at $1.35.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
The Psychology Of Markets: A Deep Dive Into Sentiment IndicatorsMarket dynamics are mainly driven by the interaction between available assets and market demand. These forces are shaped by both retail participants and professional market makers. Public sentiment reacts strongly to media coverage and market news. When negative speculation (FUD) spreads, it tends to cause selling pressure, while positive news stimulates buying activity. This can be seen now for example in the world of crypto markets when prices react sharply to world events. And while mathematical indicators track price patterns, there are specific metrics that measure collective market psychology. Let's take a look at the key indicators that measure crowd behavior.
📍 Key Market Psychology Metrics
1. Volatility Assessment (VIX)
The Volatility Index, commonly referred to as TVC:VIX or the market's "pulse of fear," quantifies market turbulence expectations. Developed at CBOE, this tool projects anticipated market fluctuations for a 30-day window by analyzing S&P 500 options data.
📍 VIX Calculation Method:
◾️ Evaluates SP:SPX derivative contracts expiring within 30 days
◾️ Implements sophisticated mathematical modeling, including weighted calculations and interpolative methods
◾️ Synthesizes individual volatility projections into a comprehensive market volatility forecast
📍 Practical Applications
VIX serves as a psychological barometer where:
Readings below 15 indicate market stability
15-25 suggests mild uncertainty
25-30 reflects growing market anxiety
Readings above 30 signal significant turbulence potential
The index also functions as a risk management instrument, enabling portfolio protection strategies through VIX-based derivatives.
2. Market Sentiment Gauge
CNN's proprietary sentiment measurement combines seven distinct market variables to assess whether fear or optimism dominates trading activity. This metric operates on the principle that extreme fear can trigger unnecessary sell-offs, while excessive optimism might inflate valuations unsustainably.
📍 Core Components:
◾️ Price Momentum . Compares current market prices to recent average prices. Helps understand if stocks are trending up or down
◾️ New High/Low Stock Ratios. Measures how many stocks are hitting their highest/lowest points. Indicates overall market health and investor confidence
◾️ Market-Wide Directional Trends. Tracks which stocks are rising or falling. Shows general market movement and investor sentiment
◾️ Options Trading Patterns. Analyzes buying and selling of market protection options. Reveals how investors are preparing for potential market changes
◾️ Market Volatility Metrics. Measures market price fluctuations. Higher volatility suggests more investor uncertainty
◾️ High-Yield Bond Spread Analysis . Compares returns on risky versus safe bonds. Indicates investors' willingness to take financial risks
◾️ Comparative Yield Assessment . Compares returns from stocks versus government bonds. Helps understand where investors prefer to put their money
The measurement spans 0-100:
0-24: Pervasive fear
25-49: Cautious sentiment
50-74: Optimistic outlook
75-100: Excessive optimism
3. Individual Investor Sentiment Analysis (AAII Survey)
The American Association of Individual Investors conducts systematic polling to capture retail market participants' outlook. This weekly assessment provides insights into non-institutional investors' expectations for market direction over a six-month horizon. The methodology offers valuable perspective on collective retail sentiment trends.
Survey Structure : Participants respond to a focused query about market trajectory, selecting from three possible scenarios:
Optimistic outlook (Bullish) - anticipating market appreciation
Pessimistic view (Bearish) - expecting market decline
Neutral stance - projecting sideways movement
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Contrarian Signal. Extreme readings often suggest potential market reversals. For instance, widespread pessimism might indicate oversold conditions, while excessive optimism could signal overbought markets.
◾️ Sentiment Tracking. The data helps contextualize retail investor psychology within current market conditions.
◾️ Historical Pattern Analysis. Current sentiment readings gain additional meaning when compared against historical trends.
Note: While informative, this metric specifically reflects retail sentiment and should be considered alongside institutional positioning and broader market indicators.
4. Market Participation Breadth
Market breadth analysis examines the distribution of price movements across securities to evaluate market health beyond headline index levels. This methodology assesses whether market moves reflect broad participation or concentrated activity in specific securities.
📍 Key Breadth Metrics
◾️ Advancing vs. Declining Issues . Tracks the numerical comparison between appreciating and depreciating securities
◾️ Net Advance-Decline . Calculates the cumulative difference between rising and falling stocks to identify underlying momentum
◾️ Participation Ratio . Establishes the proportion of advancing to declining securities
◾️ Moving Average Analysis . Monitors the percentage of stocks trading above key technical levels (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages)
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Trend Validation. Strong market breadth confirms price trends, while deteriorating breadth may signal potential reversals
◾️ Early Warning System . Divergences between price action and breadth often precede significant market shifts
◾️ Trend Strength Assessment. Broad participation in market moves typically indicates more sustainable trends
This analytical framework provides deeper insight into market dynamics beyond surface-level price movements, helping investors and traders better understand the underlying strength or weakness of current market conditions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Could Cardano Bulls Push Past Pennant To $2 Resistance?!Cardano made an impressive 315% gain from the Low on Nov. 4th/5th @ .32 to the High on Dec. 3rd @ $1.32 following the Pro-Crypto Republican won Presidential Debate with not only BINANCE:ADAUSD seeing this kind of Rally but across the entire Crypto Market!
Since that High, Price on Cardano has slipped into a Consolidation of what seems to be a Pennant Pattern with Lower Highs working into Higher Lows.
Both Legs of this Triangle still need a 3rd Touch to Validate the Integrity and Existence of both Trend-lines. I would like to see Price make a 3rd Touch of the Rising Support around the ( .95 - .93 ) Range before moving back up to test the Falling Resistance.
If Bulls are able to gain enough Support from the Rising Support, it could be enough to give them momentum to make a Bullish Break to the Falling Resistance and based from the Pattern Statistics:
- Generate an Extension of the same size of Trend move that came prior to the formation of the Pattern called the "Flagpole" putting the Potential Extension of Price into the $2 Resistance Zone!
**Caution: Triangle Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so a Bearish Breakdown of this pattern is still possible. Watch for False Breaks/Breakouts!