Trend Analysis
The Bullish case on ADA/USD Analysis
Major Resistance: $3.16 (Previous High Level)
Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch:
Short-term: $2.54 (0.786 Fib), $2.04 (0.618 Fib)
Mid-term: $4.99 (1.618 Fib), $7.98 (2.618 Fib)
Long-term Targets: $10.89, $12.71, $13.84
Bullish Case for ADA/USD
1. Breakout from Accumulation Zone
Cardano has been in a long accumulation phase since its bear market bottom.
2. Fibonacci Extension Targets Align with Previous ATH
$3.16-$3.17 level is a key breakout zone—a strong close above this could trigger a rally toward $4.99 (1.618 Fib).
Higher extensions targeting $7.98, $10.89, and $12.71 in a full bull run.
3. Higher Timeframe Bullish Structure
The monthly chart shows a strong reversal pattern, breaking above key resistance levels.
If ADA can flip $3.16 into support, the next leg could be explosive.
Bullish Targets (Mid to Long Term)
Short-term breakout: $3.50 - $4.00
Mid-term target: $4.99 - $7.98
Full Bull Cycle: $10.89 - $13.84
A strong close above $3.16 could confirm the next leg toward $5-$8 soon!
Ethereum (ETH): Broken Strong Bullish TrendEthereum is lost, where sellers are showing strong dominance near a local bullish trend, which might send the price back slightly lower for a further liquidation.
Overall we are bullish on Ethereum and we think that most of the liquidity will be switching into the Ethereum (ERC-20) network so we are going to monitor the price movement in order to find some proper zone from where we might push and see a bounce!
Swallow Team
BTC Breakout or Stop-Hunt? Analyzing White House News and MarketRecent White House signals have stirred the BTC market, setting the stage for a potential mega push—but not without a tactical retraction designed to trigger stop losses. This analysis breaks down the fake-out weekly candle, examines the liquidity hunt behind the massive wick, and weighs the risks versus rewards. Learn why only the big players or committed hodlers may capitalize on the breakout and discover key risk management strategies to safeguard your positions.
BTCUSD Bullish breakout with a possible retracementKey Observations:
Breakout from Consolidation:
BTC has successfully broken above a key resistance zone (~ FWB:88K –$90K).
The breakout is supported by strong bullish momentum, indicated by a large green candle.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zones:
Multiple FVG zones (5m, 15m, 30m) are marked, which may act as potential support on a retracement.
BTC might retest these FVG areas (~ GETTEX:89K –$91K) before continuing higher.
Order Block (OB) Retest Possibility:
A previous order block (OB) zone (~ GETTEX:87K – GETTEX:89K ) is still relevant and may act as support if BTC retraces deeper. This would be a bullish retest, confirming support before the next move up.
Projected Path:
BTC may pull back into the FVG zones or OB before bouncing.
Once support is confirmed, BTC is likely to resume its uptrend towards $100K+.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC stays above GETTEX:89K , the trend remains bullish.
A breakout above $95K–$96K would confirm a move toward $100K+.
Bearish Invalidations:
If BTC breaks below GETTEX:87K , it may test lower levels before resuming bullish momentum.
Losing $85K could delay the rally significantly.
Conclusion:
BTC is bullish, but a short-term retracement is expected.
The best entry would be a successful retest of the FVG or OB zones (~ FWB:88K –$91K).
If confirmed, expect BTC to push towards new all-time highs with a target of $100K–$110K. 🚀
Gold will recover first and then continue to fall!Last week's gold market was basically a turning point. Both the daily and weekly lines showed long negative lines at high levels, and also showed short-term top signals. The weekly line closed with positive lines for 10 consecutive weeks, and the bulls are very strong. This wave of rise has not yet shown a peak signal in the overall structure, but only a short-term top has appeared. This week, our short-term gold thinking will follow the bears and we will be bearish first. Last week, it fell a lot, and today, Monday, needs a repair. Gold fell to a low of 2832. At present, 2832 is not the low point of this wave of adjustment. There is a possibility of continuing to refresh this week. Our adjustment target for this wave is 2800 first. This wave of adjustment is related to the strong rise of the US dollar. In addition, there are many positive signals in the situation between Russia and Ukraine that are suppressing gold.
The 4H pattern of gold shows that today's Asian session suppression position is around 2877, and the daily suppression position is 2888. It is also the pattern pressure of the pattern support conversion. Today's gold will not break 2888. The general trend is bearish. The short-term Asian session focuses on the profit of the range of 2854-2877. You can go up in the short term. If you want to look far ahead, try to be bearish at a high altitude.
Support 2854 and 2842, strong support 2832, pressure 2877, strong pressure 2888, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 2860.
Operation suggestion
Gold----Sell near 2873, target 2860-2840
NQ Range (03-03-25)The NAZ did hit the 20,695 "Turd" Target in last week's Post. Nearly a 2,000 point drop when you look at 2/21 (Friday) to the low of 2/28 (Friday). From late Friday we have a 500 point move up (normal), need to see if the Monday Long push (2nd half of typical Friday) takes place.
NAZ is falling in a Diablo, Yellow arrows are KL's (long to and short from), Whites are short to and long from. NAZ is basically range bound and will need a Black Swan type action to get it anywhere close to any white arrows below. BTD/FOMO & Go O/N Rig Team. The Overnight price action and range should be primary and trend up. for now the O/N is still The BOSS.
Gold Trend 03/03 - Major resistance @ 2880 Gold prices finally retreated from their highs last week. At the opening of the market last Monday, gold prices tested the resistance zone of 2950-55 twice, but failed to break through. In the absence of buying support at the high, a downward correction began. On Tuesday, a worse-than-expected consumer confidence index from the US failed to bring new upward momentum to the market, and gold prices turned around, and fell below the support trendline(1) that we mentioned last week. A new round of short-selling orders was triggered, sending prices toward the bottom of the range near 2880.
Before Trump met with Zelensky on Friday, the market continued to hope for a truce between Russia and Ukraine, and the U.S. dollar index rebounded from its lows, sending gold prices to a near one-month low of around 2,835 in the U.S. market on Friday. However, the not-so-happy meeting between Trump and Zelensky before the close of the market caused gold prices to rebound before the weekend. The week ended near 2865.
While risk sentiment may push gold prices higher this week as it continues to be driven by Trump's policies, it continues to expect a weaker market reaction to the news. Of course, we should pay attention to Friday's US employment data this week, and the market expects the outcome to be flat for the time being, and it is believed that gold prices will not change significantly until near the end of the week.
1-hour chart(above) > The rally has been in a sideways state since the first test of the high of 2942 in early February, and it was recommended to deploy short selling at the high two weeks ago. On the 1-hour chart, after falling below 2880 (2) last Thursday, the trend has been dominated by the bear. The downtrend trendline(3) can be used as a reference, to see if the the downtrend will accelerate. In the S-T, as long as the price stays below the key resistance at 2880 (4), the downtrend will continue. However, it is still critical to pay attention to the development of the geopolitical and tariff situation this week, and the breaking news will be an important factor in the failure of the technical trend.
Daily Chart(above) > Stemming from the uptrend at the end of 2024, gold prices have been moving upwards along the 10 days MA(6). The uptrend has officially been over as it finally went below the 10-day MA, and it is beginning to turn around. Before the close of trading on Friday, gold prices were still supported by buying below 2855 (5), and after a short-term rebound, they could grasp 2880 or short-sell along the 5 day MA. Until the bottoming rally signal appears, the target on the daily chart can be set around 2790.
P.To
USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan.
However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year.
Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
Gold short term recovery - downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) start the week on a strong footing, rebounding further from Friday’s three-week low near $2,833–2,832. Despite US inflation data aligning with expectations, traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts by year-end. Additionally, renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar supports the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers in short term, sellers are dominating, retesting liquidity zone 2883
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2960
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2883 - $2885 SL $2890
TP1: $2875
TP2: $2868
TP3: $2860
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account