GBPUSD: Bullish Continuation Ahead.The GBPUSD has established a typical bullish trend following pattern.
Following a significant upward movement, the price entered a correction phase within a bullish flag.
Breaking above the resistance line serves as a strong indicator of continued upward momentum.
I anticipate that the pair could reach the 1.3800 level.
Trend Analysis
Euro will make correction to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from the support line and rose to the 1.1100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Soon, price broke this level, after a small correction, and continued to move up to the 1.1575 current support level, which coincided with the support area. This area also coincided with the resistance line of the triangle, and the Euro rebounded from this line and started to decline. In a short time, it declined to the buyer zone, where it turned around and started to move up. Soon, Euro exited from triangle and continued to rise inside an upward channel, where it made a correction first and then continued to grow. Later, EUR rose to 1.1575 current support level, one more time and even almost broke it, but failed and corrected. But soon, it finally broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, where at the moment it continues to trade near. In my mind, Euro will rebound from this line and go to the correction until to support line of the channel, breaking the support level. For this case, my TP is located near this line - at the 1.1490 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the chart shows a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. Here's the target breakdown:
📈 Silver Bullish Targets:
Current Price: Around 36.42
1st Target (TP1): Approximately 36.95 – 37.00
2nd Target (TP2): Approximately 37.40 – 37.50
These targets are based on the breakout from the triangle and previous resistance zones marked on your chart.
🛑 Suggested Support Zone (Breakout Retest Area):
Around 36.00 – 36.20 (acts as support now after the breakout)
If price holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains valid. Let me know if you'd like stop loss suggestions or lower timeframe analysis.
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT
GC! is currently at its max around 3,500.
On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart.
On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet).
Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200
Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high
Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500
Plan for swing trade:
Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450
Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280
***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
eurusd outlook Eurusd overall bullish HTF, however I do identify alignments within wyckoff distribution. Keeping an eye on the 4hr sponsored candle, ltf fvg at 1.62 area for my next possible bullish swing into the weekly high. Until then let's see if the market can support short term bearish reversal into the area of interest.
Why Gold Trading is Not Easy for Beginners - Trading PsychologyGold Doesn’t Just Teach Trading. It Teaches You Discipline.
1. Why Gold? Why Not Everything Else?
Gold is the most honest manipulator in the market.
It respects structure down to key intraday levels—but builds traps around it like a pro.
It fakes direction, sweeps liquidity, teases early entries, then moves beautifully for anyone patient enough to wait.
And it’s daily: one premium buy and one killer sell almost every day—hundreds of pips on the table for eyes that can see.
Other assets feel slow once you lock into Gold’s rhythm.
So what to expect:
2. The Phases Before Profit
• Lucky Dumb Money
Early wins boost your confidence. You increase your risk. It all feels easy—until the market proves otherwise.
• The Slap
Suddenly, things don’t work anymore. Indicators stop making sense. Emotions interfere. Results shift, and frustration creeps in. This is the breaking point for most traders. 6 months to 1 year on XAUUSD and they are out.
• The Awakening
This is when clarity begins. Indicators are dropped. Structure, liquidity, and timing take center stage.
What once looked random now starts to make sense.
Progress begins the moment YOUR EGO gets quiet.
Consistency only follows those who choose patience over panic.
3. Gold Is a Mirror
Gold doesn’t just reflect your trades — it reflects YOU.
Every personal flaw shows up on the chart: impatience, doubt, greed, fear, ego.
It mirrors your decisions, your reactions, your emotional patterns — all of it.
Blaming the market delays growth.
But the moment you turn inward, you begin to see the truth:
your results reflect your level of discipline, clarity, and self-awareness.
Gold forces you to evolve.
Not just as a trader, but as a thinker, a decision-maker, a human.
That’s why it’s not for everyone. Some people are not ready to recognize who they truly are yet.
4. What Leads to Profitability
What actually leads to profitability in Gold?
It’s fast. It’s full of adrenaline.
But you have to get a routine - consistent, structured, and effective — when applied with discipline.
→ One pair only. Mastery on XAUUSD
→ Structure first. Liquidity, imbalance, session timing
→ Fewer trades, cleaner entries
→ Smaller lots, more control = emotions are in check
→ Relentless observation. Learn from each execution and adjust with intention
This is what leads to results.
Not noise. Not hope. Just precision and presence — again and again.
5. You Won’t Win Until You Commit
You don’t need to destroy your schedule or stay up all night.
But you do need to make time for growth.
Signals won’t help if you’re not willing to understand the asset you’re trading.
Gold filters out shortcuts, distractions, and surface-level effort.
But those who take it seriously earn every pip — and they earn it with clarity, not luck.
So stop asking,
“How long until I’m profitable?”
Start asking,
“Am I ready to do what Gold actually demands?”
CONCLUSION:
Most traders don’t fail because Gold is too complicated—
they fail because they try to figure it out alone.
They chase signals, skip the process, and ignore the real path to consistency:
invest in education, proper mentorship, and trading psychology coaching.
The ones who grow fastest are those who seek guidance early—
from people who live and breathe this market, and understand structure, mindset, and pressure.
If you choose to go at it alone, that’s also a good choice.
Just know: it will take longer. It will test your patience and your clarity.
But when the structure clicks… when you stop chasing setups and start executing with confidence…
When you secure 3–4 solid trades a week and avoid unnecessary losses—
everything changes. Trading becomes calm. Focused. Even enjoyable.
Whichever path you take, the outcome depends on the same thing:
Gold won’t just test your trades.
It will develop your discipline.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Tesla -> The all time high breakout!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) prepares a major breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Not long ago Tesla perfectly retested the major support trendline of the ascending triangle pattern. So far we witnessed a nice rejection of about +50%, following the overall uptrend. There is actually a quite high chance that Tesla will eventually create a new all time high breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3370
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
NIFTY VIEW FOR 02-07-2025Dear Trader, One more day coming for SIDEWAY market. unfortunately
Bullish -> if OPEN above 25550, 25750 will be the resistance and may volatile between 25600 and 25750.
Bearish -> if OPEN below 25450, 25250 will be the support and may slip to 25050
Sideway -> if OPEN around 25500, market will be ranging in-between 25550 to 25450
Thank You, Rest will be after OPENING, Have a profitable day!
do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20XA consolidation range happens when the market trades sideways, in a neutral capacity. This sideways trading is neither bearish nor bullish, thus neutral. The bearish or bullish tendencies can only be defined based on the broader market structure.
If the consolidation range develops coming from a major drop, you can say that the market is bearish and the consolidation a bearish consolidation even if the breakout happens to the upside. Once it happens to the upside we can say that a reversal developed but the tendencies were bearish nonetheless.
If the consolidation range develops coming from a major rise, you can easy say while being correct that the market is bullish and the consolidation phase a bullish one, because of the bigger structure, previous price action and the chart.
Bitcoin is consolidating with bullish tendencies but there is a boundary which we call resistance and another boundary which we call support, this is the trading range. When the market is ranging, this is when margin traders lose the most because the trend remains hidden and money tends to be made when the market is in a clear trend.
Whenever the upper boundary gets challenged we get a retrace and a test of support. Whenever the lower boundary gets tested prices recover and move back up. This process gets repeated for as long as it is needed to remove all the weak hands, most of the signals are pure noise.
This is the situation in which we find Bitcoin today. Ultra-bullish but sideways and anything can happen short-term. Do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20X. You might end up with some fast and easy profits.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
HFTUSDT Forming Falling WedgeHFTUSDT is currently displaying a textbook Falling Wedge Pattern, a classic signal that often points to an upcoming bullish reversal. This pattern is one of the most reliable in technical analysis, as it indicates that sellers are gradually losing momentum and buyers could soon step in to push prices higher. With good volume backing up this setup, traders are growing more confident that a breakout is on the horizon, which could fuel a strong upward rally.
The potential gain for HFTUSDT based on this pattern is estimated between 90% to 100%+, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders and investors looking for high-risk, high-reward plays. The steady uptick in volume suggests that smart money is already accumulating positions before the anticipated breakout. When combined with the bullish pattern, this sets the stage for a price surge once the resistance line of the wedge is convincingly broken.
This setup comes at a time when the crypto market sentiment is gradually improving, with traders seeking altcoins that can outperform in the next bullish wave. HFTUSDT’s clear technical structure and growing investor interest place it among the top coins to watch closely. A confirmed breakout with strong daily closes above the wedge resistance could open the door to quick gains, rewarding early entrants who position themselves strategically.
It’s always wise to monitor volume and price action carefully when trading a Falling Wedge Pattern like this. Waiting for a confirmed breakout with increased volume can help reduce the risk of false signals and maximize profit potential. Keep HFTUSDT on your radar if you’re aiming to catch a move with solid technical backing and high potential upside.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
XRP - calm before the stormWe've got our bullish reversal sitting at the Golden Ratio price of $2.20. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks today with many speculating that this will be the meeting that sends the markets soaring.
With over 17 ETFs, SWIFT update, Banks offering crypto services, BIS, XRPL EVM side chain, and many more catalyst. This could be the beginning to the largest bull run witnessed in our lifetime.
Have profits targets, an exit strategy, and plan for long-term reinvestments that will continue to make you money.
LOCK IN 🔐
GBPNZD channel breakout buy possible from support📈GBPNZD Breakout Alert!
The pair has officially broken out of the ascending channel and bounced from key support at 2.25100 — confirming bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe!
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: 2.27000 – major supply zone
2️⃣ Second Target: 2.28000 – next resistance/supply area
This breakout setup is showing strong potential—watch price action near the targets and manage risk accordingly.
🧠 Trade smart. Stay sharp.
👇 Like, follow, and comment if you're riding this move!
📲 Join us for more real-time trade setups and updates.
🔥 Hashtags / Caption for “For You” strategy:
#ForexBreakout #GBPNZD #PriceAction #4HSetup #SmartMoney #FXTrades #ForYou #foryoupage #fyptrading #forexsetup #liviasetups 😜
Quantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep DiveQuantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep Dive
Quantitative trading in forex harnesses advanced algorithms and statistical models to decode market dynamics, offering traders a sophisticated approach to currency trading. This article delves into the various quantitative trading models, their implementation, and their challenges, providing insights for traders looking to navigate the forex market with a data-driven approach.
Understanding Quantitative Trading in Forex
Quantitative trading, also known as quant trading, in the forex market involves using sophisticated quantitative trading systems that leverage complex mathematical and statistical methods to analyse market data and execute trades. These systems are designed to identify patterns, trends, and potential opportunities in currency movements that might be invisible to the naked eye.
At the heart of these systems are quantitative trading strategies and models, which are algorithmic procedures developed to determine market behaviour and make informed decisions. These strategies incorporate a variety of approaches, from historical data analysis to predictive modelling, which should ensure a comprehensive assessment of market dynamics. Notably, in quantitative trading, Python and similar data-oriented programming languages are often used to build models.
In essence, quantitative systems help decipher the intricate relationships between different currency pairs, economic indicators, and global events, potentially enabling traders to execute trades with higher precision and efficiency.
Key Types of Quantitative Models
Quantitative trading, spanning diverse markets such as forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies*, utilises complex quantitative trading algorithms to make informed decisions. While it's prominently applied in quantitative stock trading, its principles and models are particularly significant in the forex market. These models are underpinned by quantitative analysis, derivative modelling, and trading strategies, which involve mathematical analysis of market movements and risk assessment to potentially optimise trading outcomes.
Trend Following Models
Trend-following systems are designed to identify and capitalise on market trends. Using historical price data, they may determine the direction and strength of market movements, helping traders to align themselves with the prevailing upward or downward trend. Indicators like the Average Directional Index or Parabolic SAR can assist in developing trend-following models.
Mean Reversion Models
Operating on the principle that prices eventually move back towards their mean or average, mean reversion systems look for overextended price movements in the forex market. Traders use mean reversion strategies to determine when a currency pair is likely to revert to its historical average.
High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Models
Involving the execution of a large number of orders at breakneck speeds, HFT models are used to capitalise on tiny price movements. They’re less about determining market direction and more about exploiting market inefficiencies at micro-level time frames.
Sentiment Analysis Models
These models analyse market sentiment data, such as news headlines, social media buzz, and economic reports, to gauge the market's mood. This information can be pivotal in defining short-term movements in the forex market, though this model is becoming increasingly popular for quantitative trading in crypto*.
Machine Learning Models
These systems continuously learn and adapt to new market data by incorporating AI and machine learning, identifying complex patterns and relationships that might elude traditional models. They are particularly adept at processing large volumes of data and making predictive analyses.
Hypothesis-Based Models
These models test specific hypotheses about market behaviour. For example, a theory might posit that certain economic indicators lead to predictable responses in currency markets. They’re then backtested and refined based on historical data to validate or refute the hypotheses.
Each model offers a unique lens through which forex traders can analyse the market, offering diverse approaches to tackle the complexities of currency trading.
Quantitative vs Algorithmic Trading
While quant and algorithmic trading are often used interchangeably and do overlap, there are notable differences between the two approaches.
Algorithmic Trading
Focus: Emphasises automating processes, often using technical indicators for decision-making.
Methodology: Relies on predefined rules based on historical data, often without the depth of quantitative analysis.
Execution: Prioritises automated execution of trades, often at high speed.
Application: Used widely for efficiency in executing repetitive, rule-based tasks.
Quantitative Trading
Focus: Utilises advanced mathematical and statistical models to determine market movements.
Methodology: Involves complex computations and data analysis and often incorporates economic theories.
Execution: May or may not automate trade execution; focuses on strategy formulation.
Application: Common in risk management and strategic trade planning.
Implementation and Challenges
Implementing quantitative models in forex begins with the development of a robust strategy involving the selection of appropriate models and algorithms. This phase includes rigorous backtesting against historical data to validate their effectiveness. Following this, traders often engage in forward testing in live market conditions to evaluate real-world performance.
Challenges in this realm are multifaceted. Key among them is the quality and relevance of the data used. Models can be rendered ineffective if based on inaccurate or outdated data. Overfitting remains a significant concern, where systems too closely tailored to historical data may fail to adapt to evolving market dynamics. Another challenge is the constant need to monitor and update models to keep pace with market changes, requiring a blend of technical expertise and market acumen.
The Bottom Line
In this deep dive into quantitative trading in forex, we've uncovered the potency of diverse models, each tailored to navigate the complex currency markets with precision. These strategies, rooted in data-driven analysis, may offer traders an edge in decision-making.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Lingrid | ETHUSDT Price Compression and Expansion PhasesBINANCE:ETHUSDT is struggling to hold gains after a rejection from the top of the range, with price retracing back toward the breakout point and key trendline support. The structure remains intact above 2,363, where bulls may attempt another rebound. A sustained move above the blue ascending trendline would open the way toward the 2,650 target, completing the projected rebound path.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 2,363–2,400
Sell trigger: breakdown below 2,363
Target: 2,650
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 2,475–2,500 with volume
💡 Risks
Failure to hold the trendline could push price toward 2,159
Weak follow-through may stall near 2,550
Bearish engulfing from current range top can trap early buyers
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
White Collar job sentiment has been plunging since 2022Robert Half has been around for quite sometime...I look at this chart as a sentiment indicator for "white collar workers". While white collar workers and the American middle class are not synonymous you could say that many people in the middle class are employed as white collar workers so it is a chart to study when considering how the American middle class is "feeling" about their job situation which in turn leads to consumption habits either falling or rising.
Needless to say this chart has been plunging since early 2022 and is off to the worst start of a presidential turnover since Bush in 2000 (if you study only the last 25 years).
Typically once a president has been elected or re-elected this chart generally has gone up during the first 2 years after election or re-election...it then either continues upwards or begins to go down after the 2nd full year. As you can see during the Bush presidential term sentiment actually went down.
This chart is one of the reasons I believe charts like Target, Lululemon, LVMH, etc have been suffering.
Anyways, RHI is actually not a bad company...pays a pretty good dividend and has a solid balance sheet. Could this be the quarter for the turn around? Today had a very strong bullish reversal candle, not only for this company but also for the others I mentioned above. Only time will tell but this chart will eventually turn around.
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 25/6Apple has recently faced significant negative press, leading to fear and critical perceptions among investors. This situation highlights a common investment principle: buy in times of fear and sell in times of greed. As a result, I have taken a considerable long position on Apple, which I have since increased since my orginal post.
The flag pattern on the stock chart is nearly complete, indicating that a price movement is imminent. I have set my stop loss at $191, while I anticipate that a positive breakout could push the stock price above $223, representing potential gains of over 10%. There is also further upside potential for the price to exceed >$230. My target sell price for a full exit from Apple is now 275 USD, which would yield a return of 35%, although I do not expect this target to be reached until September or later. For shorter-term returns, I am targeting prices above $223.
I believe Apple is a strong long-term hold, regardless of current market fluctuations. The company has a mature and extensive ecosystem, making it a brand I would be reluctant to bet against. If you already own Apple products, you likely understand how unlikely it is that you would switch to another brand.
A close above $201.12 today would confirm a positive breakout.
USD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year Low
According to the chart, the USD/CHF exchange rate has settled below the key psychological level of 0.8000. The rate hasn’t been this low since the financial crisis of 2008.
On one hand, the drop in USD/CHF is driven by weakness in the US dollar. The US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level in over three years, largely due to the conflicting trade policies pursued by the Trump administration. On the other hand, geopolitical instability has increased the appeal of the Swiss franc as a so-called safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
Since mid-May, price fluctuations have formed a downward channel (marked in red), and by the end of June the rate had stabilised around the psychological threshold of 0.8000 (indicated by an arrow) — right at the median of the channel.
However, this balance between supply and demand proved temporary, tipping in favour of sellers. As a result, we now see a decline in USD/CHF along a steep trajectory (marked in black), potentially targeting the lower boundary of the red channel — which suggests a possible move down to 0.7800 USD per franc. Along this path, support may come from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level (0.7875); note how the 0.8055 level previously acted as support (marked with a blue arrow).
The RSI indicator confirms strong selling pressure — but will the bearish trend continue?
Much will depend on the broader fundamental context. As reported by the Wall Street Journal, the sharp strengthening of the franc against the dollar is causing growing concern at the Swiss National Bank (SNB), as an overly strong franc harms Swiss exporters. This suggests that the current market sentiment could shift dramatically if the SNB issues any relevant statements.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
I hold on to my short position and wait patiently.Currently, gold continues to rebound to around 3358, and there has been no decent retracement during the rebound, so during the trading period, apart from chasing the rise, there are almost no opportunities to go long on gold; so is the steady rise in gold during the day brewing a bigger rally?
I think there are three reasons for the continued rise of gold:
1. The continued weakness of the US dollar provides support for the strong rise of gold;
2. The trapped long chips have recently shown self-rescue behavior, and strong buying funds have driven gold up;
3. The market intends to eliminate and kill a large number of shorts in recent times;
Based on the above reasons, I think it is not a wise decision to chase gold at present; on the contrary, I still prefer to short gold in the short term, and I still hold a short position now; the following are the reasons to support my insistence on shorting gold:
1. The US dollar has a technical rebound demand after a sharp drop, which will limit the rebound space of gold and suppress gold;
2. After the recent trapped long chips successfully rescue themselves, they may cash out in large quantities, thereby stimulating gold to fall again;
3. While killing the shorts, the market has also lured a large number of long funds to a certain extent. Based on the above reasons, I currently still hold short positions near 3345 and 3355, and hope that gold can retreat to the 3335-3325 area.