Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
Trend Analysis
JSL-promoters are showing lot of confidence !This chart represents the weekly price action of Jindal Stainless Ltd. (NSE) with an Elliott Wave analysis and Fibonacci retracement levels. Here's a summary of the key observations:
Technical Analysis Summary:
Elliott Wave Structure:
The stock appears to be in a corrective Wave 4 after completing an impulsive Wave 3.
A potential Wave 5 uptrend is anticipated, as per the Elliott Wave structure.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The price has retraced close to the 0.5 Fibonacci level (465.85), which is a strong support zone.
The 0.382 level (553.40) is also a critical resistance, which the price is testing.
RSI Analysis (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 40.26, indicating that the stock is approaching the oversold region.
The RSI moving average (44.12) is slightly above the RSI value, suggesting weak momentum.
Support & Resistance:
Support levels: ~465.85 and ~549.90.
Resistance levels: Previous high near 848.00.
Possible Future Movement:
If Wave 4 completes, a bullish reversal for Wave 5 could take the stock higher.
A further breakdown below 465.85 might invalidate the bullish scenario.
Conclusion:
The stock is in a correction phase, but signs of reversal are emerging.
Watch for price action near the 549.90 support zone and RSI movement above 50 for confirmation of bullish momentum.
If bullish Wave 5 starts, the stock may target new highs.
COTIUSDT UPDATECOTIUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.08793. Its target price is $0.15000, indicating a potential 80%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about COTIUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. COTIUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
Bearish drop for the Gold?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,882.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,924.57
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,830.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is still struggling with the identified resistance zone and has been rejected multiple times from this level. Given the current market structure and the formed pattern, a corrective move toward the identified support area is expected. After completing the correction, the price is likely to resume its upward movement toward higher resistance levels.
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EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets
The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets.
Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone.
Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179
Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945
A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs.
Regards R. Linda!
Insane Growth Is Just Beginning For Bitcoin BTCHello, Skyrexians!
Recently we made two analysis on BINANCE:BTCUSDT . In the first one we pointed out that $80k is going to be the reversal point, in the second that bullish reversal bar has been confirmed at $85k. Now we are seeing how it is playing out. This is just the beginning of a pump. Here is why.
On the daily time frame we can see the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which has appeared when price bounced form. 0.5 Fibonacci. For us this is the clear sign that wave 2 has been finished and now Bitcoin is printing wave 3. This wave has the most realistic target next to $180k at 1.61 Fibonacci extension, but the strong resistance can be met at $140k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
Check if it can rise above the long-term uptrend line (1)
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise at least above the long-term uptrend line (1) and maintain the price.
Accordingly, the key is whether there is support near the 2706.15-2879.90 section.
If not, and it falls, the key is whether there is support near 2403.24.
The reason is that it has fallen from the long-term uptrend line (1) and is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Then, you need to be careful because there is a possibility of a step downtrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Avalanche: Long-Term Bullish Above Support & Other SignalsThe end of February didn't do much harm to Avalanche, which is a bullish signal. In early February, the lowest price hit was $21, in late February the lowest price was $20. The difference is only 5%. This small gap between these lows indicate that the bearish force is over.
Let me explain. There was a low on the 13-January session at $32, the low in February was $21. That's a big gap.
For a new low to be considered of any value from a technical standpoint, the minimum, after the $21 low, would be $17 or much lower around $9 or $8. When we get $21 first followed by $20, we are simply looking at a double-bottom. A double-bottom is a bottom pattern and tends to lead to a trend reversal.
The next little fact that is of interest to us, Cryptocurrency bulls, is the existence of a long-term support, on this chart labelled as "baseline." A lower low as mentioned above would require a break of this level. This is highly unlikely.
Well, let's not go too deep into this type of technical analysis, let's consider a different perspective.
In late 2023 after a strong period of sideways with a downward bent, a complex correction, AVAXUSDT moved to produce a 5-up waves bullish impulse. As this impulse ended, we have the same dynamics as before, between January and November 2023, a long complex correction.
The action that AVAX has been witnessing since March 2024 is all part of a correction in Elliott Wave Theory terms. Once this correction is over, we will have a new bullish wave. This bullish wave tends to develop in five steps. Three steps forward and two backwards. The 2025 bull-market. This impulse will end in a very strong new All-Time High.
This is simple technical analysis and it will end up being right.
Do you agree?
If you do, make sure to show your support by following me.
2025 is going to be big. It will be big. Trust.
Patience is key.
The worldwide adoption of Cryptocurrencies as a means of payments will result in world peace.
Namaste.
Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
It's time to focus on Gold . Over the past two months, Gold has been in a strong uptrend , consistently forming Rally Base Rally (RBR) patterns. However, we are now seeing a shift in market structure . The price has recently rejected a new RBR formation and is beginning to create a Drop Base Drop (DBD) pattern.
Trading Strategy:
Swing Traders: This is a good opportunity to open a sell position and hold it as the bearish trend develops.
Day Traders: Follow the daily market direction , but maintain a bearish bias .
Key Points to Remember:
The market is currently bearish . Focus on sell trades only until the market structure changes.
We've seen strong demand over the past two months, but now it's supply's turn .
The USD is strengthening , which supports a bearish gold market .
Tips for Consistent Trading:
Keep your analysis simple . Avoid overcomplicating your charts.
Use multi-timeframe analysis to align your trades with the overall trend .
Avoid overtrading and strictly follow your risk management rules .
Remember, market structures repeat themselves. Stick to the process and trust your strategy.
Wishing you all the best of luck and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart.
Thank you!
XAGUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 31.42–31.54, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 30.87, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 32.00, a pullback resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long After Gap Reaction📌 Idea: The week started with a gap, and I expect a reaction in long. Entry after confirmation of rejection.
📊 Entry conditions:
Rejection from the gap
Confirmation on lower TFs (M15/H1)
Take Profit 1: First high
Take Profit 2: Slightly above the first high
🎯 Target: Gap fill and continuation upward
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always consider risk management!
Market Analysis: Gold Price Corrects GainsMarket Analysis: Gold Price Corrects Gains
Gold price rallied above $2,920 before correcting lower.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price rallied significantly above $2,900 and recently corrected lower against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $2,870 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price was able to climb above the $2,900 resistance, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The price even broke the $2,940 level before the bears appeared.
The price traded close to the $2,960 zone before there was a downside correction. There was a move below the $2,900 pivot zone. The price settled below the 50-hour simple moving average and RSI dipped below 50. Finally, it tested the $2,830 zone.
The price is now correcting losses above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,956 swing high to the $2,832 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,870.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,870. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,956 swing high to the $2,832 low at $2,895.
An upside break above the $2,895 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,928. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,950 level. If there is no fresh increase, the price could continue to move down.
Initial support on the downside is near the $2,852 level. The first major support is $2,832. If there is a downside break below the $2,832 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,810 support.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BTCUSD Bullish Breakout: Targeting 88,000 and BeyondBTCUSD Bullish Target Analysis
BTCUSD has successfully broken out of the **descending channel**, indicating a potential trend reversal to the upside. The price is currently retesting the 85,272 support zone, which aligns with a rounding bottom pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
If this support holds and buyers step in, BTCUSD could see upward momentum toward its next key resistance level. The first bullish target is 88,000, which aligns with the previous price structure. A strong breakout above 88,000 could push BTCUSD toward 89,500–90,000, where sellers may re-enter the market.
To confirm further bullish momentum, BTCUSD needs to maintain support above 85,000 and show increasing volume on the breakout. If it fails to hold this level, a potential retest of lower zones may occur before another push higher.
TARGETS 88,000 - 89,500 - 90,000
STOP LOSS 83,000
EURJPY: Gap is Going to Close 🇪🇺🇯🇵
There is a nice gap up opening on EURJPY.
The formation of a bearish engulfing candle
after a test of the underlined resistance indicates
that the gap is going to be filled soon.
Goal - 156.3
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93576.0-94742.35 : Uptrend conversion zone
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can maintain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise above 97226.92.
If it is supported near 93576.0-94742.35, it is expected to turn into an uptrend.
If not, it is important whether it is supported near 89294.25.
The reason is that if it falls below 89294.25 again, it is highly likely to eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
This volatility period is March 3-5.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 151.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 152.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 150.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.