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Trend Analysis

XAUUSD: Continuing the journey to increase sharply?Hello to all speculators! After carefully examining our 1-hour chart, it is evident that the uptrend remains intact. Despite some minor corrections, the upward momentum persists, especially after gold successfully broke through the previous resistance barrier. There are no signs of slowing down, indicating that the global uptrend foundation remains solid. A potential new bullish wave may emerge at this high level, continuing the long-term upward trend observed in recent weeks. Gary's target is to surpass the peak of $3,167 and aim for new highs in the near future. If you find this information helpful, don’t forget to like and follow Gary for the latest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Garygoldtrader
4
Lingrid | AUDCHF shorting OPPORTUNITY from Previous WEEK's HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. FX:AUDCHF market is currently moving towards the previous week's high after completing an ABC move. In addition, we have the upper boundary of the channel and a trendline, along with the significant round number at 0.56000 above. Since overall trend on higher timeframes remains bearish, I think that the price may rebound from this resistance level again, especially if the market shows the end of this retracement. Overall, I expect the market to form a fake breakout followed by a bearish move from the resistance. My goal is support zone around 0.55285 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
2
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern. Levels to watch: $110, $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target: Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradingShot
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,128.13. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,167.36 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
Capitulation Might be Close, but A Big Low Could Be Also.I've explained for a while my idea if 5500 isn't support for SPX then we see a capitulation period to the 5100 sort of area. I think the case for this is picking up increasing merit. For a while I've not really been sure what to expect if that happened. My natural tendency to fade moves would make me naturally bullish but some different outcomes I considered would have that move being an important break and us only consolidating before heading lower. With the way all of this is shaping up, I think if I see a capitulation period now I have a strong bull bias. I do think we might be setting up a much larger decline overall but a sharp drop here would usually give some sort of bull trap. There are different ranges of bull traps. Shallow, mid and deep and spike out. Modern day markets run perpetually on hard-mode so it's reasonable to expect the most tricky one. Big bull bias for the immediate term if we put in a capitulation swing. I built up a position into the rally today. Which was not a lot of fun during sections of the day and harrowing for a moment late in the day but has me positioned well into the rally. I'm looking for a move down to under 5200 and close to 5100. My target would be 5150 or so at biggest with aggressive locking in near 5200. If this move hits (especially if it hits with bad news), will be super bullish for the near term - but I would consider this an important bear break if it comes.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
1
Tesla Bull Trap is copiumThere is currently 0% probably of a substantial breakouts in either direction. Tesla is crabbing and will likely continue to crab with high volatility until May. Nothing about the fundamentals has changed, and no technicals in terms of trend, volume, momentum, volatility and options chains suggests a reversal is nessary. The overall damage Elon has done to the brand is likely irreversible at this point. Sales in Germany are down I believe 90%, and more than 50% in the US, meanwhile in China BYD is dominating. Moreover, China or Germany could seize the gigafactory in retaliation for tarrifs if they wanted. That only leaves Texas and Nevada as manufacturing hubs on products without any sales. The promise of a fleet is a pipedream because FSD is not safe. Though this regime may push it through for Elon's benefit, it would only serve to incr3ase liabilities on their balance sheet and further damage the brand so it's not the moon shot he presents it to be. The entire brand was built on climate pledges and hope. The CEO has now endorsed big oil, he's running massive gas generators for AI, supports the regime that backed out of the Paris Agreement (again) and the protests are growing in momentum without any sign of slow down. In short TSLA is in the "find out" phase.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by livingdracula
1
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement. The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market. The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571. Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674 Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684 After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Will Bitcoin Continue Its Dip After Trump's Tariff Announcement?Macro: - President Trump's recent tariff announcement has triggered sharp volatility in the crypto market, with Bitcoin falling below $84,000 amid fears of a global trade war and economic slowdown. - The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains in "Extreme Fear," signalling cautious investor sentiment. - Despite the turbulence, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, with firms like Strategy continuing to increase their holdings, showing long-term confidence in the asset. Technical: - BTCUSD is captured within a descending channel. The price rejected EMA21 after retesting it, indicating bearish momentum. - If BTCUSD closes below the support at around 82000-82300, the price may retest the following support at 73000. - On the contrary, closing above the resistance at 88500 may lead the price to approach the next resistance at 92000. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Short
by DatTong
1
S&P 500 Index Hits 2025 Low Following Trump's TariffS&P 500 Index Hits 2025 Low Following Trump's Tariff Announcement As shown on the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) chart, the benchmark US stock index dropped below 5,450 points for the first time in 2025. This decline reflects the US stock market’s reaction to the tariffs imposed by the White House on international trade. According to Reuters: → President Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on most goods imported into the United States, with Asian countries being hit the hardest. → This move escalates the global trade war. "The consequences will be devastating for millions of people worldwide," said European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, adding that the 27-member EU bloc is preparing to retaliate if negotiations with Washington fail. Financial Markets’ Reaction to Trump’s Tariffs → Stock markets in Beijing and Tokyo fell to multi-month lows. → Gold hit a new all-time high, surpassing $3,160. → The US dollar weakened against other major currencies. The S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) is now trading at levels last seen in September 2024, before Trump's election victory. Investor sentiment appears to have turned bearish, with growing concerns over the impact of Trump's tariffs, as fears mount that they could slow down the US economy and fuel inflation. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) The bearish momentum seen yesterday signals a continued correction, which we first identified in our 17 March analysis. At that time, we mapped out a rising channel (blue) that began in 2024, suggesting that selling pressure might ease near its lower boundary. However, Trump's policy decision has reinforced bearish confidence, and now the price may continue fluctuating within the two downward-sloping red lines. This suggests that the long-term blue growth channel is losing its relevance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading? Are you looking to improve your trading strategy and technical analysis skills? The ABCD trading pattern may be just what you need. This tool may help you identify potential market reversals and decide when to enter a trade. Keep reading to learn more about the ABCD pattern and how to apply it to your trading strategy. What Is an ABCD Pattern? The ABCD pattern is one of the basic harmonic patterns. It gives traders an idea of where the market might reverse. Therefore, when combined with other forms of technical analysis, it may be a great addition to your trading arsenal. The ABCD pattern comprises two legs, AB and CD, and one retracement, BC, with D as an entry point. More specifically, an ABCD can be identified by: - AB Leg: A trend starts at A and makes a high or low at B. - BC Retracement: The price retraces from B to C. - CD Leg: The trend continues from C to D. - D Entry Point: Once another high or low forms and traders enter at D. These price movements create the “zig-zag” or “lightning bolt” shapes. In fact, ABCD patterns are present across every market and every timeframe. The up-down movements in financial assets represent opportunities to identify and trade ABCD patterns. Why Use the ABCD Pattern in Your Trading Strategy? Before we move on to identifying and trading the ABCD pattern, it’s worth explaining why you might want to consider using it. Here are a few reasons traders favour the ABCD pattern: - It’s one of the harmonic patterns suitable for traders of all experience levels. - It’s versatile and works for stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*, not just forex trading. - Traders use ABCD patterns to make informed decisions about potential turning points in the market. - It can form the basis of a working trading strategy if used correctly alongside other forms of technical analysis. - It provides quite an effective risk/reward ratio if reversals are caught. How Traders Identify an ABCD Trading Pattern The first step in finding ABCDs is to look for that classic zig-zag shape. Once you’ve found one, it’s time to apply Fibonacci ratios to confirm the pattern. If you’re struggling, you can consider using pre-made ABCD pattern indicators or scanners to help your eyes get used to spotting them. The ABCD pattern requires that the BC leg is between a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, ideally between 61.8% and 78.6%. This means that if you put a Fibonacci retracement tool at A and B, C should be between 0.382 and 0.786. The second CD leg should be a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of the BC retracement. For extra confirmation, consider specifying that AB is equal to the same length as CD. While it can be tempting to start trading based on these conditions, you’ll find that, in practice, identifying point D can be trickier than it seems. That’s why traders typically use Fibonacci ratios, key levels, candlestick patterns, and higher timeframe convergence to confirm their entries, which we will touch on shortly. ABCD Pattern Examples Now that we understand how to identify the ABCD pattern, we can start applying it to real price action. Note that the ratios won’t always be perfect, so allowing for slight variability above or below the defined ratios is acceptable. Bullish ABCD Pattern For a bullish formation, the following must be present: - The AB leg should be between the high A and low B. - The BC bullish retracement should be between the low B and high C, which is below the high A. - The CD leg should be between the high C and low D. - BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%. - CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC. Additionally, you may look for AB to be an identical or similar length to CD. Entry: Traders set a buy order at D. Stop Loss: The theory suggests traders place a stop below a nearby support level or use a set number of pips. Take profit: Traders place take-profit orders at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for higher prices if they believe there’s the potential for further bullishness. Bearish ABCD Pattern The bearish ABCD chart pattern is essentially the same, just with the reversed highs and lows. As such: - The AB leg should be between the low A and high B. - The BC bullish retracement should be between the high B and low C. - The CD leg should be between the low C and high D. - BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%. - CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC. You can choose to apply the same AB = CD rules in a bearish ABCD pattern if desired. Entry: Traders typically place a sell order at D. Stop Loss: A stop may be placed above a nearby resistance level or at a set number of pips. Take profit: Traders often take profits at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for lower prices if there’s a bearish trend on a higher timeframe. ABCD Pattern Strategy A momentum-based ABCD trading strategy can help traders confirm potential reversals by incorporating indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index). This approach often adds an extra layer of confluence. Entry - Traders may wait for point D to form and for the RSI to indicate overbought or oversold conditions, typically above 80 or below 20. - Additional confirmation can be sought if there is a divergence between price and RSI, signalling weakening momentum. - Once the RSI crosses back into normal territory, it can suggest a reversal, providing an opportunity to enter the market. Stop Loss - A stop loss is often placed slightly above or below point D, depending on whether the formation is bearish or bullish, respectively. This helps potentially manage risk in case the reversal doesn’t hold. Take Profit - Traders can consider taking profits at Fibonacci retracement levels of leg CD, such as 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. - Another common target is point C, but traders may also hold the position for longer if further price movement is anticipated. Looking for Additional Confluence Given that trading the ABCDs usually relies on setting orders at specific reversal points, consider looking for extra confirmation to filter potential losing trades. Below, you’ll find three factors of confluence you can use to confirm your entries. Key Levels If your analysis shows that D is projected to be in an area of significant support or resistance, there’s a greater chance that the level will hold and the price will reverse in the way you expect. ABCD Timeframe Convergence One technique to potentially enhance the reliability of ABCD chart patterns is to check for multiple timeframes. When you identify the formation on a lower timeframe—say, the 5-minute chart—you can then look to a higher timeframe chart, such as the 30-minute or 1-hour chart to see the overall trend. If the pattern converges with the longer-term trend, it strengthens the analysis and increases the likelihood of an effective trade. Candlestick Patterns Some traders look for particular candlestick patterns to appear. The hammer and shooting star patterns are commonly used by ABCD traders for extra confirmation, as are tweezer tops/bottoms and engulfing candles. You could choose to wait for one of these candlesticks to form before entering with a market order. Common Mistakes to Avoid When Identifying an ABCD Chart Pattern Of course, ABCD patterns aren’t a silver bullet when it comes to effective trading. There are several common mistakes made by inexperienced traders when trading these types of patterns, such as: - Confusing the ABCD with other harmonic patterns, like the Gartley or three-drive pattern. - Trading every potential ABCD formation they see. It’s preferable to be selective with entries and look for confirmation. - Not being patient. ABCDs on higher timeframes can take days, even weeks, to play out. Experienced traders wait for the pattern to develop before making a trading decision. - Ignoring key levels. Instead, you could allow them to guide your trades and look for the ABCD pattern in these areas. The Bottom Line The ABCD pattern is a versatile tool that can enhance a trader’s ability to identify potential market reversals and refine their overall strategy. When combined with other forms of technical analysis, such as momentum indicators, an ABCD trading strategy can be an invaluable addition to your trading arsenal. For traders looking to apply the ABCD pattern in forex, stock, commodity, and crypto* markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of low-cost, high-speed trading across more than 600 assets. Good luck! FAQ What Is an ABCD Trading Pattern? The ABCD trading pattern is a simple harmonic pattern used by traders to identify potential market reversals. It consists of three price movements: the AB leg, BC retracement, and CD leg, with point D marking a potential entry for a reversal trade. It helps identify changes in trend direction. How Can You Use the ABCD Pattern in Trading? Traders identify the ABCD pattern by finding the characteristic zig-zag shape and using Fibonacci ratios to confirm it. Entry points are typically placed at point D, with stop losses and profit targets based on the formation’s structure. Confluence with other technical analysis tools improves its reliability. Is the ABCD Pattern Bearish or Bullish? The ABCD pattern can be either bearish or bullish. A bullish ABCD indicates a potential upward reversal, while a bearish ABCD suggests a downward reversal. The structure remains the same, but the highs and lows are reversed. What Is the ABCD Strategy? The ABCD strategy revolves around identifying trend reversals using the formation and confirming entry points through tools like Fibonacci retracements or momentum indicators like the RSI for added accuracy. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Gold Reclaims Momentum – RSI Enters Overbought TerritoryGold is on fire again, closing at $3,126.45 (+0.38%) and continuing to ride a steep uptrend supported by the 50-day SMA (2,925.58) and a well-respected ascending trendline. 🔹 MACD is trending higher with widening separation – bullish momentum is building again. 🔹 RSI just breached 75.80, putting gold deep into overbought territory. 🔹 No immediate resistance above – price is in discovery mode. The trend is strong and healthy, but the overbought RSI suggests short-term pullbacks can't be ruled out. Still, buyers remain firmly in control above $3,000. As long as the trendline holds, gold’s shine won’t fade. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
1
Gold made huge profits after falling short, 3100 may breakGold fell back under pressure at 3150, testing the 3100 mark, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bulls, and the daily line turned negative for correction. Don't expect the market to turn to short and fall sharply when it reaches here. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and it is still a bullish trend now, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to short. If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative. The previous trend line support broke and turned into a pressure line, which basically coincides with the 3135-3138 line of pressure. If the decline weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break. If it continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily
1
$XRP Heading Lower?Hello hello to all my Tradeviewing fans & followers. Today I'm showing my CRYPTOCAP:XRP Daily chart with my price action prediction represented by the vertical dotted line which i laid out on 03/16/2025 and the green/blueish dotted arrow line showing my predicted movement, so far closely accurate and i will be expecting more downside sell pressure due to overall bearish market sentiment and a very low fear & greed index score of between 20 - 24 on the crypto and stock market. Tarriff news and uncertainty is definitely the cause for this panic. Im expecting CRYPTOCAP:XRP to have a very likely bounce up to the $3.00 - 3.15 range ONLY IF CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds $78 - 74k support otherwise down we go to $1.06/1.04 area. I will updated as needed and more cryptos to come soon. Thank you guys 😊
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by Trade_Wolf
2
GBPAUD - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPAUD has been bullish trading within the rising channels in orange and red. Currently, GBPAUD is retesting the upper bound of the channels. Moreover, the $2.085 - $2.1 is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and green resistance zone. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPAUD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
TSLA Sitting on the Edge: Gamma Pivot or Breakdown? 🧠 Macro View: The Trump tariff shock sent waves across the market, particularly hitting growth and export-sensitive sectors. While NVDA and tech names dumped earlier, TSLA showed relative strength, bouncing near its high volume node — but this could change fast. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * Price bounced from ~243 back toward 260, reclaiming key HVL. * But it failed to break through the 265–285 supply zone (Gamma Wall zone). * Now sitting on 260, a key equilibrium level. Levels: * Support: * 🔹 260 (Current HVL zone) * 🔹 250 – Gamma Put Support * 🔹 243.36 (recent low, key for invalidation) * Resistance: * 🔺 280 → Call Resistance / GEX Wall * 🔺 285–293 → Gamma ceiling, extremely difficult to break without institutional help Indicators: * Volume spiked on rejection from 280+, suggesting profit-taking or hedging. * TSLA must hold above 260 to avoid slipping into a liquidity vacuum toward 250 or lower. 🔥 GEX + Options Sentiment GEX Positioning: * GEX: 🔴🟢 — mixed but leaning negative * Call Walls: * 280 = Gamma Wall + Call Resistance * 285 = major rejection zone * Put Walls: * 250 = key dealer support * 245 & 240 = deeper magnets if panic resumes Options Oscillator: * IVR 67 → High implied volatility rank, meaning traders are buying premium. * IVx avg 87.2 vs current IVx (-0.35%) → indicates elevated fear is still embedded. * Call$ 23.6% → neutral-to-bearish skew (not heavily bullish) 🧭 Trade Setups 🐻 Bearish Breakdown: * Entry: Breakdown below 260 + confirmation with volume. * Target: 250 → 243 (Put wall & previous swing low) * Stop: 266+ * Catalyst: Further macro deterioration (tariff escalation, weak futures) 🐂 Bullish Bounce: * Entry: Bounce from 260 with reclaim of 265. * Target: 280 → 285 test (but high risk) * Stop: Close below 258 * Watch: Strength in QQQ or SPY supporting the move 📌 Final Thoughts: TSLA is at a tipping point. The Gamma wall at 280 caps upside unless we see an unwinding of fear. Dealers are likely short gamma below 260, and if 260 cracks, their hedging will accelerate the downside to 250–243. This is a reaction zone, not a trend zone** — trade lightly and watch for traps. ⚔️ Trade Idea: Buy 250P (1–2 week expiry) on breakdown below 260
Alt: Scalper can try 260C if market shows strong bounce and reclaim 265 with volume
Neutral bias till clear break of 260 or reclaim of 265+ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
1