Trendbreak
Interest Rates Look Bullish: TBF is the ETF to BuyOn December 20th I posted an idea for a long position in AMEX:TBF based on the likelihood of the asset breaking out of its long-term downtrend and short-term wedge pattern. Here is the link to the original idea:
Today this breakout is taking place and I am initiating a long position in TBF. Given the technical backdrop and the fundamental/economic drivers, I believe this represents a solid opportunity for alpha generation.
Initial Target Price: $25.00
Stop Loss: $21.49
Gold preparing for a big upward move?Gold broke through the downsloping trendline, I now expect a retest of the former trendline, a test of the 23.6 fib level or one of the recently formed upsloping trendlines. If these levels hold as support there is a big upside potential on this asset.
If you have any comments or feedback on this analysis, feel free to share!
Happy Trading!
USDCAD falling wedge + trend breakI'm going to be patient for this one, price has broken the trend and retested, however I'm waiting for a Moving Average crossover as I might get caught out by ranging price action.
I'd say the 0.5 Fib level would be a good place to put a TP, but if you're feeling adventurous you could go for the upper resistance around the 100% Fib range.
USDJPY Next leg direction?After the bearish cypher pattern is close to completing its 38.2 retrace, what's next? Right now it's at an interesting point as it rests on top of the downward trend channel and takes a breather. Quite simply we need to wait and see but it's certainly an area of interest. I'll be looking to price action to look for a good entry either way.
EUR/USD potential move to the downside.There is a potential move to the downside on the 4 hourly time frame. This one looks pretty obvious to me with the Cypher pattern and trend break in the vicinity together with confluence on the pound. Many traders will put their stops in the same place so there is a possibility that the price may spike up a little past 1.07800 before falling back down therefore it is best to wait for confirmation on the lower time frames (1hr/15m) before selling. This approach will also improve R:R.
There is around a 4:1 R:R on this and around 150+ pips to be had if we can catch it. Use good money management and best of luck!
RSI Divergence: Buy Mar17 110 Puts @ $2.50. FISV's long uptrend was broken in September. Prices have subsequently rallied and are testing previous highs. The RSI has not followed and is showing a divergence. Look to buy Puts when prices break the Keltner Channel.
Play to first profit stop at 34EMAH.