GBPJPY Bearish Continuation Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
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Trendcontinuation
EURUSD ANALYSIS REPORTEURUSD still got long strength on the long term trend, we may see ups and downs moves in form of range until we finally break out from the most recent level of resistance and maybe then the uptrend fully take charge. Traders should be more careful taking short positions because the price may play tricks going to the downside to eat some retailers money today.
GBPUSD | Live position review | Follow-up detailsWith a breakout of the supply zone at 1.2400 during the course of yesterday trading session, I am of the opinion that buyers are beginning to gain traction with a potential of pushing price further into the selling opportunity zone identified on the daily timeframe. Going into the UK and New York session, the demand zone at 1.234500 shall be our guide for bullish momentum as a breakdown/retest of this zone shall welcome an opportunity to join the downtrend.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
using MACD histrogram as a volatility toolMany traders use the MACD for divergence or crossover signals. It is my opinion that market participants trade almost every oscillator this way. This I find rather simplistic and not respecting what the data shows you. In this tutorial I will show a new approach to reading the MACD, obviously I'm probably not the only person who looks at MACD this way however.
MACD colors:
blue = MACD
orange = Signal line
green and red waves = histogram
The MACD is based on the distance between 2 exponential moving averages. The signal line is a smoothed version of the centered oscillator that difference creates. And the histogram is the difference between the MACD and signal line, this is extremely simple.
On the chart I have plotted these 2 EMA's for clarifying my approach to the MACD. Notice that when price rapidly changes these 2 lines move away from eachother, we see the MACD line also move away from the signal line in the process creating a big histogram wave. After the trend becomes less volatile and more one directional the EMA's stay at the same distance from eachother. This creates a flat histogram.
The trading approach I'm showing here is that instead of trading tops and bottoms from the histogram/crossovers you use the MACD as a directional tool and you use the histogram as a volatility tool. We wait for a crear trend to get established after a big histogram wave and then for the trend to stabilise: MACD histogram flattening. Now we have a one directional trend and it is a good place to start opening positions in the trend direction as it is stable.
Notice how we got a nice discount after the trend stabilised and became on directional. I provide below some snapshots of how the market looked when trades would have been opened:
long setup:
short setup:
result:
Use this information with caution as these examples are obviously cherry picked. I hope this gives some perspective on using the MACD in your trading arsenal.
AUDJPY | New perspectiveWith a simple trading set-up identified in the 1-hour timeframe, I am going to recommend selling the Aussie this week. In this regard, a key level at the 90.000 area and the bearish trendline identified on the 1-H timeframe shall be our guide going into the new week as we continue to look for a reversal set-up to join the potential decline. shall be
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekNZDUSD is down by more than 9% since the beginning of April 2022. With the pair looking increasingly oversold as the appearance of a reversal pattern on the 2H timeframe could probably be signalling the incitation of a retracement wave into the major bearish trendline identified on the daily time frame or we might be having a downtrend continuation right below the key level at 0.62700 in the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURUSD | Perspective for the new weekGoing into the new week, market experts warn of EURUSD dropping under parity if Russia shuts off the gas to Europe. However, from a technical perspective, there appear to be two scenarios we should be looking out for when the market opens. The first is a countertrend opportunity if we witness a breakout/retest of a reversal pattern identified on the lower time frame where a bullish momentum is inciting a retracement wave into the bearish trendline on the daily time frame; then secondly is that we use below the key level identified at 1.05200 to join the potential decline. Let's keep our fingers and see what happens to the structure when the market resumes.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURAUD | Perspective for the new weekGoing into the new week; we might be expecting the confirmation of a reversal structure to tend towards a bullish momentum but the multiple rejections of 1.49 during the course of last week's trading session could be giving us a clue into the strength of the sellers at this juncture in the market without ignoring the potential of the Aussie against the Euro since February 2022.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | New short term perspectiveWith a bearish trendline holding since the beginning of the day, we want to be ready to take a potential sharp decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD | New perspectiveA visual representation of a line drawn over pivot highs reveals the prevailing direction of price action in the last 3 to 4 months; we want to be looking for opportunities to join the potential decline when it finally happens.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
US30 Price Breakdown update1. Price closed above structure but was rejected by the level of resistance to the left.
2. If the next 30m candle closes bullish we can continue to go bullish to fill the range until the next level of resistance
3. If the candle closes within the range, price could consolidate and get choppy.
4. Sells would only be taken if price begins to break the lows
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekUSDJPY traded up and down as participants anticipate Fed speak during the course of last week's trading session after which we witnessed a spike down into the buy opportunity area around 128.5 that we identified at the beginning of last week's trading session ( see link below for reference purposes - Following the test 128.5 was the appearance of a reversal pattern which might be the basis for a bullish bias going into the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week With the significant growth of 10% since February 2022; the Swiss franc can be said to be the dominant currency during the first quarter of 2022. We have two scenarios to work with as the possibility that a trend continuation to the upside is feasible and at the same time there is a possibility that a breakdown of the key level at the 132 area could be a consequence of the reversal pattern identified on the daily time frame which might incite a retracement wave into the buy opportunity zone at around 128 where we shall be looking forward to the beginning of new bullish momentum.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the USDJPY that was published 2 days ago (see link below for reference purposes) where we were expecting the price to retrace to a minimum of 129.1 but It appears the price is finding it difficult to break the support level at 129.500 which shall become our new demand zone if this level continues to hold price action. In this regard, we should be looking for a breakout of a new key level for a bullish signal in the nearest future.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURJPY | New perspectiveEuro appears to be grinding as we continue to witness the oscillation of price action right above the identified key level at the 137 area.
In this regard, I have identified a demand zone below the key level as a yardstick for a bullish momentum going forward.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Follow-up detailConsidering the long-term bullish trendline identified in the weekly timeframe; I am still expecting a bullish momentum for the yellow metal.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD | New perspectiveThe reversal structure identified on the 1H time frame is probably going to incite a retracement of the Impulse leg after which a trend continuation might begin.
NB: It is pertinent that we remain conscious as a breakout of 1.495 could encourage a bullish momentum
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
US30 Sell IdeaUS30 has been trending bearish for weeks and I believe that there will be more bearish continuation. Price is currently ranging after breaking structure to form a new lower low. I think that price is building up liquidity/momentum for the market open before price begins to continue the bearish trend. I and waiting for a break and close of the support level, to then continue bearish with the market volume open. I am in favor of bears but patiently waiting for the signals to make an entry.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsA follow-up detail on the USDJPY that was published sometime last week (see link below for reference purposes) where we locked in about 300pisp from our second entry.
Despite a considerable pullback from two-decade highs (which kicked us out of our first entry)during last trading week's trading session hereby edging lower some 0.52%, amid broad US dollar weakness; the bullish momentum that began at the later part of last week's trading session appears to submit a signal that participants still have confidence in the Greenback.
So, the key level identified $129 area shall be our yardstick for either a bullish (which I think is very likely) or bearish (retracement of the long-term uptrend) momentum going into the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | New perspectiveConsidering the long-term bullish momentum on the USDJPY where we continue to see the Greenback grow immensely against the Yen in the last 4 months; I am looking forward to a buying opportunity above the key level identified at the 128 area. However, should a breakdown/retest of the bullish trendline on the 4H timeframe... we might be looking forward to a retracement. I shall keep an update on this trade in the comment section on my Tradingview account.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.