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Trendfollowing

EUR/JPY Bullish Continuation in an Ascending Channel This EUR/JPY 4-hour chart shows a strong bullish trend within an ascending channel, indicating a potential continuation of upward momentum. Key Highlights: ✅ Ascending Channel – Price is trading within a well-defined upward channel, showing steady bullish movement. ✅ Support Zones – Two key support areas marked, which could act as potential entry zones on a retracement. ✅ Target Level – The projected target is around 165.831, aligning with previous resistance zones. ✅ Price Action Expectation – A pullback to the support level within the channel before another bullish impulse toward the target. Trading Plan: 📌 Bullish Bias: Wait for a retracement toward the marked support zones for a potential long entry. 📌 Invalidation: A strong break below the channel and support zones would invalidate the bullish setup.
Long
by ForexOptimizer
Momentum Trading Strategies Across AssetsMomentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in asset prices. By identifying and following assets exhibiting strong recent performance—either upward or downward—traders aim to profit from the persistence of these price movements. **Key Components of Momentum Trading:** 1. **Trend Identification:** The foundation of momentum trading lies in recognizing assets with significant recent price movements. This involves analyzing historical price data to detect upward or downward trends. 2. **Diversification:** Implementing momentum strategies across various asset classes—such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds—can enhance risk-adjusted returns. Diversification helps mitigate the impact of adverse movements in any single market segment. 3. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is crucial in momentum trading. Techniques such as setting stop-loss orders, position sizing, and continuous monitoring of market conditions are employed to protect against significant losses. 4. **Backtesting:** Before deploying a momentum strategy, backtesting it against historical data is essential. This process helps assess the strategy's potential performance and identify possible weaknesses. 5. **Continuous Refinement:** Financial markets are dynamic, necessitating ongoing evaluation and adjustment of trading strategies. Regularly refining a momentum strategy ensures its continued effectiveness amid changing market conditions. **Tools and Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, aiding traders in identifying overbought or oversold conditions. - **Moving Averages:** Utilizing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in smoothing out price data, making it easier to spot trends and potential reversal points. **Common Pitfalls to Avoid:** - **Overtrading:** Excessive trading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses. It's vital to adhere to a well-defined strategy and avoid impulsive decisions. - **Ignoring Market Conditions:** Momentum strategies may underperform during sideways or choppy markets. Recognizing the broader market environment is essential to adjust strategies accordingly. By understanding and implementing these components, traders can develop robust momentum trading strategies tailored to various asset classes, thereby enhancing their potential for consistent returns. Source: digitalninjasystems.wordpress.com
CME:LBR1!Education
by j7892
Donchian Channel Strategy like The Turtles TradersThe Turtle Traders strategy is a legendary trend-following system developed by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in the 1980s to prove that trading could be taught systematically to novices. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, bet Eckhardt that he could train a group of beginners—nicknamed "Turtles"—to trade profitably using strict rules. The experiment worked, with the Turtles reportedly earning over $100 million collectively. Here’s a detailed breakdown of their strategy, focusing on the core components as documented in public sources like Curtis Faith’s Way of the Turtle and other accounts from the era. Core Philosophy Trend Following: The Turtles aimed to capture large price trends in any direction (up or down) across diverse markets—commodities, currencies, bonds, and later stocks. Systematic Rules: Every decision—entry, exit, position size—was predefined. No discretion allowed. Volatility-Based: Risk and position sizing adjusted to each market’s volatility, not fixed dollar amounts. Long-Term Focus: They targeted multi-month trends, ignoring short-term noise. Two Trading Systems The Turtles used two complementary breakout systems—System 1 (shorter-term) and System 2 (longer-term). They’d trade both simultaneously across a portfolio of markets. System 1: Shorter-Term Breakout Entry: Buy when the price breaks above the 20-day high (highest high of the past 20 days). Sell short when the price breaks below the 20-day low. Skip the trade if the prior breakout (within 20 days) was profitable—avoid whipsaws after a winning move. Initial Stop Loss: Exit longs if the price drops 2N below entry (N = 20-day Average True Range, a volatility measure). Exit shorts if the price rises 2N above entry. Example: Entry at $100, N = $2, stop at $96 for a long. Trailing Stop: Exit longs if the price breaks below the 10-day low. Exit shorts if the price breaks above the 10-day high. Time Frame: Aimed for trends lasting weeks to a couple of months. System 2: Longer-Term Breakout Entry: Buy when the price breaks above the 55-day high. Sell short when the price breaks below the 55-day low. No skip rule—take every breakout, even after a winner. Initial Stop Loss: Same as System 1: 2N below entry for longs, 2N above for shorts. Trailing Stop: Exit longs if the price breaks below the 20-day low. Exit shorts if the price breaks above the 20-day high. Time Frame: Targeted trends lasting several months (e.g., 6-12 months). Position Sizing Volatility (N): N, or “noise,” was the 20-day Average True Range (ATR)—the average daily price movement. It normalized risk across markets. Unit Size: Risk 1% of account equity per trade, adjusted by N. Formula: Units = (1% of Account) / (N × Dollar Value per Point). Example: $1M account, 1% = $10,000. Corn N = 0.5 cents, $50 per point. Units = $10,000 / (0.5 × $50) = 400 contracts. Scaling In: Add positions as the trend confirms: Long: Add 1 unit every ½N above entry (e.g., entry $100, N = $2, add at $101, $102, etc.). Short: Add every ½N below entry. Max 4 units per breakout, 12 units total per market across systems. Risk Management Portfolio Limits: Max 4 units in a single market (e.g., corn). Max 10 units in closely correlated markets (e.g., grains). Max 12 units in one direction (long or short) across all markets. Stop Loss: The 2N stop capped risk per unit. If N widened after entry, the stop stayed fixed unless manually adjusted (rare). Drawdown Rule: If account dropped 10%, cut position sizes by 20% until recovery. Markets Traded Commodities: Corn, soybeans, wheat, coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton, crude oil, heating oil, unleaded gas. Currencies: Swiss franc, Deutschmark, British pound, yen. Bonds: U.S. Treasury bonds, 90-day T-bills. Metals: Gold, silver, copper. Diversification across 20-30 markets ensured uncorrelated trends.
NASDAQ:IBKREducation
by j7892
FNV to new ATHFNV looks good for a break to new ATH. We had that nice long 3 year distribution like schematic, we broke down, got lots of people short, re-accumulated long stops at all those consolidation lows and have had multiple clear breaks to the upside. People interpreting the schematic as a distribution, are gonna be shorting every supply zone between here and ATH's. That coupled with the stops that have already built up above the highs will create the clouds of liquidity that will fuel these uptrends Look at the fractal re-accumulation that occured once we started breaking back up to the topside. Sure looks familiar
NYSE:FNVLong
by Trend_Chasin
XRP $3.00 - 25% Within HoursRipple / XRP is currently one of the coins with the most momentum. As we all know, this is very important for trend following models. As you can see, XRP holds the current trend line and repeats a pattern it already did two times within this short bullish trend. As $3 is a very important mark (and a round number too) I assume we will see a 25% move within hours (at max. a few days). I’d love to hear your thoughts and predictions. Where do you see XRP heading in the next hours to days? Let’s discuss below!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
2
Breaks Out of a Bullish Flag: Key Levels and What to Watch NextWillis Towers Watson NASDAQ:WTW is breaking out of a classic flag pattern, reclaiming key resistance with strong volume. The price action suggests solid momentum, and the breakout above 321$ could pave the way for further upside. The high-volume also support this move and shows strong buyer interest, making it a setup interesting. As long as the price holds these levels, the breakout could continue driving bullish sentiment.
NASDAQ:WTWLong
by David_SpotTheTrend
SNEK: Adapted tools for Regime filtering & SystematisationYou should never rely solely on one tool when trading, think of trading as putting together a jigsaw. You are looking to form a picture. The more tools at your disposal allow you to form this jigsaw and make better, more informed decisions. Understand these concepts: - Orderflow - Momentum - Trend-following - Volatility - Time - Price Here's the #SNEK SNEK/USDT chart leveraging a few of my tools: - Momentum (Adapted RSI w/ Multi-Crypto Regime Detection) - Trend-following (SMA RF) - Volatility, Time, Momentum, & Trend are packaged in a third strategy with the long/short signals... Systematising our trading. Believe in something.
CRYPTO:SNEKUSD
by igreycrypto
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script: Understanding the chart Bullish Regime: The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars. Strong Momentum: Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum Historical Price Action Long Bear Market (2022-2023): Extended period below 200 SMA Multiple failed attempts to break above Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023): Price consolidated around 200 SMA Reduced volatility Built base for current move Recent Breakout: Clean break above 200D SMA Sharp increase in volume and momentum
Long
by igreycrypto
How I Rode the Gold Trend Using Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHey Traders! 📈 I want to share an analysis of a recent opportunity on Gold that came up, focusing on using multi-timeframe analysis to spot a reaccumulation pattern. Market Context: On the daily timeframe, Gold was showing a retracement. By zooming into the 1H timeframe, I identified what seemed like a reaccumulation (REACC) model—giving a potential entry point to go long in this trending market. The Entry Setup: On the 1H TF, after a retrace, the price continued the uptrend with strong structure, confirming a breakout. I entered long, aligning with the market trend and using a trailing stop to manage the position and capture potential further upside. Floating PnL: Right now, the trade is floating around 12RR and still trailing! This is a great example of how multi-timeframe analysis can help uncover high-probability setups. This educational breakdown is meant to help others see the power of combining market structure and risk management to stay in profitable trades. Hope this helps you spot similar setups in the future! 🚀 Leave a comment if you surfed with this trend too!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Drop after Election Pump with FOMCMy trading idea for next week is as follows. I will be watching the price action very closely on Monday, the day before the election. This will prepare the price for the volatility of the election. I expect the price to move to the EMA50 on the 1D time frame next week. That would be around $64k. Then there is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, which could lead to a significant rise in the price. Next week is very important. The use of leverage should be taken carefully.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by reports20netrust
Modern Day Gold RushWe have an extended trend on Gold right now. When will a deep pullback take place? Let's take a closer look and see... 4 hour trend is extended, and the 1-hour trend has just been recalculated. We are expecting the 1-hour trend to continue down to a level of demand located near the 100 SMA on the 4 hour chart. Once we hit demand, then start looking for reversal patterns on the 15 min chart. We should start seeing TrendCloud signals fire off when all 3 timeframes line up. For more info on this strategy. Check out the link in my bio. Don't miss out on the gold rush!
COMEX:GCZ2024
by thechrisjuliano