Small update: Neo not done yet with the pump?Small update:
NEO is finding resistance from the (orange) orderblock on the 4 hour chart. A slight correction to 20.30 USDT, before resuming its C wave uptrend to 21.80 - 22.50 is very possible. Claiming 21 USDT is key. RSI and Constance RSI Brown are not showing any signs of bearish divergence just yet. Price broke out above the ichimoku cloud. The Supertrend Ninja Clean (green vertical line) is indicating the trend is still bullish. If RSI breaks 70, more action is likely. NEO doesn't care what BTC wants today.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Trendfollowing
GBPUSD - Purple War Zone!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
GBPUSD is overall bearish trading inside the brown trendlines.
Moreover, the zone 1.36-1.365 is a strong support turned into a resistance.
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper brown trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
As per my trading style:
As GBPUSD approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break, and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC analysis - What's next?BTC bounced from 34,300 USDT order block. General trend is still bearish according to the Supertrend Ninja clean (red vertical line). Price is below ichimoku cloud as well.
Based on the weekly chart reclaiming 44k, is where I would start to be bullish. I would wait on the Supertrend Ninja clean to give a bullish signal (green vertical line).
The RSI is around 40. This could be the start of a range (40 to 60 is considered to be in a range). The Constance Brown RSI showed a small bullish divergence. While the CCI moved below −100, which indicates a new, strong downtrend is beginning, signaling a sell. I wouldn't be surprised if BTC would go sideways in February. Which would be a good opportunity for alts to pump.
Then again if BTC goes down another leg. Alts will go down as well. Breaking the orange order block. Then BTC will head to 29K. Then I expect the Constance Brown RSI to show a stronger bullish divergence.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
British Pound Beating The Euro!When price approaches a level of support or resistance that has not been broken in years,
we must take note because a huge trend usually follows a break of such levels.
If we take a look at the consolidation zone for the EURGBP, it began from the October 2016
high at 0.9225. A low was then formed in April 2017 at 0.8297.
Since then, price has mainly been trading within this price zone but it has spiked above and
below the high and low several times since then.
The last time the low was tagged by price was in February 2020 and price is making its way
to the low once again.
Unless a major decline happens today, being the last trading day for January, the breakdown,
if there is any, may happen in February.
We are not interested in the first breakdown of support as this may be a fake breakout.
We would need to see a pullback to resistance then another breakdown below the consolidation zone.
A pattern of lower lows and lower highs will confirm a bearish trend is in play.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
BNB done correcting or ready for another leg down?BNB bounced from 340 USDT support level . Which was an oversold bounce. There ain't no trend reversal yet.
Currently BNB is sitting in a support block (grey block). Which is usually a bearish sign. It needs to hold here, or we gonna have a drop to 359 and thereafter 340 USDT. Before possibly making a bullish divergence . CCI is still oversold. Price is below the Ichimoku cloud which are bearish signs as well. I will evaluate once the monthly price closes.
Right now BNB is in a no trade zone for me. Another leg down or sideways chop is what I expect. Personally I don't try to buy bottoms, I prefer to see a strong bullish candle first. I will wait for the 'Supertrend Ninja - Clean' to give a bullish signal (green vertical background color). Before making any Long trades. Otherwise I prefer to wait the correction out. Currently the trend is still bearish (red vertical background color).
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Profits can be taken at each level.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
S&P 500 At Strong ResistanceWhen the decline began in early January, the 20 and 50 simple moving averages were the
obvious levels of support. After those levels were broken and price gained momentum to
the downside with big bearish candles, the next level of expected support was the
200 simple moving average.
On January 21st, price sliced through the 200 simple moving average with ease and formed
a low at $4222, 12% below the recent high from January 4th at $4774.
Price went into a mini consolidation a few days after forming the low, and attempted to
break back above the 200 simple moving average on January 26th with a fake breakout.
On Friday, price attempted another breakout above the resistance but fell 3 points short
of this level. The day did close with good momentum, as seen from the big bullish candle.
If the momentum continues into this week, we may see price trading above the
200 simple moving average.
The bias is still bullish until we see a pattern of lower lows and lower highs below
the 200 simple moving average.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
BTC done correcting or ready for another leg down?BTC bounced from 34k USDT support level. It looks like an oversold bounce. It definitely ain't no trend reversal.
Currently its consolidating under a resistance level (grey block) around 36.5k. BTC price needs to reclaim 38k USDT level for more bullish continuation.
Reject at this level. And we are heading for 32k first, thereafter 30K USDT. Before possibly making a bullish divergence. CBrown is showing a small bullish divergence. CCI is still oversold. Price is below the Ichimoku cloud on this chart. Another thing I want to mention is the price on the weekly charts, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud as well. Which is a bearish signal.
Personally I don't try to buy bottoms. I will wait for BTC to reclaim 38k and for the 'Supertrend Ninja - Clean' to give a bullish signal (green vertical background color). Before making any Long trades. Otherwise I prefer to wait the correction out. Currently the trend is still bearish (red vertical background color).
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Profits can be taken at each level.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Confirming Trends with the Lower Time Frames GBP/USD ExampleHey Guys!
As you guys know, I'm currently waiting for a pullback to the 1.3313 levels for a long entry on the GBP/USD.
In order to know whether or not I will get this pullback, I look to the lower time frames to see how much long strength or short strength there is.
Now in this case, I want price to come down to my entry level, thus am looking for signs of short term short strength on the lower time frames.
As you can see in the chart, during the initial move long, there were constant signs of long strength on the 1h chart with the trendline break out, then
immediate break back into the trendline. ( Immediate break back in means: the break out candle's close and the break back in candle's open is at the same price level)
Almost giving the "sense" of a "fake" break out.
Then at the peak of the long move, another 1h trendline had a break out, however no immediate break back in. Showing waning short term long strength. (A good thing for me!)
Then soon after, a 4h trendline was broken out with no immediate break back in, showing waning long strength on the 4h chart also.
Then to top it off, there was a 15m fake double bottom that formed igniting 15m short strength. ( I cannot go into detail about fake price patterns here. )
In this way, I use lower time frame break outs to confirm strength in either direction which by default, confirms which way price will go on the higher time horizons.
In this case, I used this method to confirm whether or not I will get the pullback to 1.3313 for a long entry however, this method can also be used to confirm trends.
For if a trend analysis says that the trend is long; the lower time frame's price action should move in a "long trend way".
Just a cool trick for you guys!
Have a great day!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Bitcoin Heading Sideways and Down!Bitcoin is again proving how volatile and unpredictable the cryptocurrency
market can be. The start of 2021 was bullish, then after a 55% decline from
April to June 2021 price rose to create another new all-time high at $69,000
in November 2021. Since then, another decline has developed, seeing a dro
of 51% so far.
What we can see now is a consolidation zone forming. When price consolidates,
the behaviour can be unpredictable as there is no clear trend direction, just a
lot of sideways movement.
The high is at $69,000 and the low is at $28,600 formed from the June 2021 low.
Within this zone, price is displaying weakness and heading towards the low support zone.
Sideways movement in the market can last from months to years and there is no
way of telling how long they will last. The primary confirmation that they are over
is when price breaks and closes above the consolidation high or below the low.
It is best to stand aside from the cryptocurrency market for now until a trend starts
to form again. Right now, the conditions are too volatile.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
EURUSD - STILL bearish My last 2 ideas on EURUSD have been bearish, and while the structure of the bearish continuation pattern continues to shift, my sentiment remains. We are still in a larger downtrend, price is struggling to gain traction to the upside, the recent strength that many were touting as the breakout indicating the start of a bullish trend has floundered.
Price has returned to what is, in my eyes, the lower channel boundary of a bear flag. At this point though I need to see not just a break below this boundary but a break below the late November low - that is the point at which I will feel confident that price will have broken it's ranging/consolidation period and is set to continue the trend down. As it stands, while my directional bias remains, I don't want to underestimate how long this ranging period could last.
Remember, you can be right about the direction, but if your timing is wrong then the trade is wrong.
My posts are largely ideas, the concepts behind trades. If I'm making a trade, it will contain the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels on the chart.
Stocks Weak At The Start Of 2022The markets are displaying weakness which usually kicks in during the month of February
but came early this year. We started to see declines from early January but for now,
the overall market remains bullish.
The Nasdaq and the Dow Jones broke and closed below the daily 200 simple moving
average on January 20th. The S&P lagged behind and closed below the daily 200 simple
moving average on January 21st. With all three US indices now below this indicator,
we need to keep a close eye on the markets.
The ideal scenario is for a quick reversal back above the 200 simple moving average
and a continuation of the bull trend.
If we see further moves to the downside, all is not lost as we may be offered shorting
opportunities in weak stocks, but we need to be patient before jumping into any
positions for now.
This week will be crucial in determining our next move so keep on the lookout for
updates on the market.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
BTCUSDT Don't be a hero!If you enjoy the idea please leave a like 👍
In my last 2 posts on BTC I've shown a strong bearish bias, as seen in the charts below. First with an idea of bearish continuation of the developing trend and then more recently with the Head and Shoulders idea, looking for a break of the neckline which we've recently seen with a sharp break down of the market, dragging the entire crypto market with it.
So now that we've seen a huge drop, where do we expect to go from here?
In the H+S idea I listed 30k as a potential target, and I still believe that's reasonable. As the trend continues the risk/reward begins to shift and a relief rally may be coming soon, but it may be short lived.
As the title says - don't be a hero! We saw the peak price on the 10th November, and when we zoom out we see a steady decline since. For those looking to go long, what are the odds that you pick the exact bottom here?
If you want to be long, I can understand using this as an opportunity to DCA in, or waiting for a rally on shorter timeframes to try and catch a small leg up. But don't enter this market thinking you're going to catch a perfect bottom - it's highly unlikely, and especially if you're using leverage you will likely get burned.
Trust the trend. If you're late to the party, there's still further room to run. If you'd rather wait for a pullback before going short there's a decent chance we could see the 38-40k range again in the coming days, but make no mistake - Crypto is in a bear market right now.
ETH - Come On Bulls!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
ETH is overall bullish from a long-term perspective trading inside the brown rising channel.
ETH is now approaching the lower brown trendline so we will be looking for buy setups.
Before we buy, we want the bulls to take over by breaking above the previous major high.
on DAILY: ETH is forming a trendline in gray but it is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, ETH would be overall bearish from a medium-term perspective and can still trade lower till the 2000.0 support in green before going up.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
KCS - Let's Go!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
KCS is overall bullish trading inside the brown channel.
KCS is now approaching the lower brown trendline and 15.0 horizontal support in green, so we will be looking for buy setups.
Before buy, we want the bulls to take over by breaking above the previous major high.
on DAILY: KCS is forming a trendline in blue but it is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated , KCS would be overall bearish from a medium-term perspective and can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
600 points in 5 hours - how?In this short video - 3 minutes - I show how small time frames can be useful if following a trend to best completion.
Trend following - the true kind - can deliver far more - than any other system of trading. It depends on your knowledge and skill of course.
The video shows 'you' could have extracted close to 600 points in one go.
Of course you have to be watching a screen or react to alerts that you set on Tradingview charts.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DAX: Head and Shoulders pictureIt looks like a head and shoulders to me on the 4H time frame, but always debatable.
Sentiment changed on this index many days ago, as seen in the 4H ATR line (on this time frame only).
This short setup is for true trend followers (not trend continuation). That means it is much higher risk to much higher reward ratios.
There are stop losses in trend following, but no predefined exit points. The markets decide the exit.
As usual you take your own risk and your own losses.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
UPDATE: NEO profit 50% after SHORT signal - more to come?Please Like or Follow if you enjoyed this content.
UPDATE: The price dropped 50% after Short signal. Currently sitting in a support zone If support doesn't hold, 20.50 USDT is next support. Price is below Ichimoku cloud and RSI is still bearish. Another drop is definitely possible.
This analysis is made with my "Supertrend Ninja" indicator. When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line). It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend. A red background indicates a possible bearish downtrend. Currently NEO is still in a downtrend.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Profits can be taken at each grey block. Supports and resistances are automatically drawn using my indicator "Yo Show Me Some Support - and Resistances". Pun intended.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
What Indicators Do I Use:
In the chart I am using my "Supertrend Ninja - indicator", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical line with arrows). When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line) with an upwards pointing pink arrow. It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend.
With each trade proper risk management is essential. Either by using my script "Trailing Stoploss Bottom Activation indicator", visible as grey dots below the candles. Which sends an alert, when current price goes below the previous candle low. Or using my "HA Trailing Stoploss Activation", the indicator below with green and red blocks. Or third option, exit when the Supertrend Ninja indicator displays a vertical red line with a downwards pointing black arrow. Remember, the first stop(loss) is always the cheapest stop.
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
UPDATE: LRC profit 53% after SHORT signal - more to come?Please Like or Follow if you enjoyed this content.
UPDATE: The price dropped 53% after Short signal. Currently sitting on support 1.20 USDT. If support doesn't hold, 0.90 USDT is next support. Price is below Ichimoku cloud and RSI is still bearish. Another drop is definitely possible. But right now support is holding.
This analysis is made with my "Supertrend Ninja - Clean". It displays only the last few signals. Which gives it a clean look. Currently LRC is still in a downtrend.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Profits can be taken at each grey block. Supports and resistances are automatically drawn using my indicator "Yo Show Me Some Support - and Resistances". Pun intended.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
What Indicators Do I Use:
In the chart I am using my "Supertrend Ninja - indicator", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical line with arrows). When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line) with an upwards pointing pink arrow. It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend.
With each trade proper risk management is essential. Either by using my script "Trailing Stoploss Bottom Activation indicator", visible as grey dots below the candles. Which sends an alert, when current price goes below the previous candle low. Or using my "HA Trailing Stoploss Activation", the indicator below with green and red blocks. Or third option, exit when the Supertrend Ninja indicator displays a vertical red line with a downwards pointing black arrow. Remember, the first stop(loss) is always the cheapest stop.
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Will Crude Oil Break $85?Crude oil is seeing bullish momentum in price following the pullback we saw between
October & December 2021. Price pulled back to the weekly 50 simple moving average
where it found support and has seen a nice impulsive move up this month.
Since the low that was formed in April 2020, where the price of oil temporarily
reached $0, there has been an uptrend in play, forming higher highs and high lows.
Despite the pullback in December being the deepest during the recent trend, it still
managed to avoid breaching the previous low formed in August 2021. This is another
sign we are seeing a bullish trend in play.
We are now anticipating a breakout of the recent high at $85, and if this level is
broken, we could see price reach the $100 round number.
As for now, we need to let price dictate the next move.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
FTSE 100 Approaching All-Time HighThe FTSE 100 has been gaining ground recently, with a 2.95% move for January 2022 alone.
December was up 4.62%, so there is clear momentum right now.
This brings a nice change from the sideways movement we had between May - October 2021.
Following the all-time high created on May 2018 at 7903, price declined, gaining momentum
during the peak covid pandemic in February and March 2020.
A low was formed at 4898, with an overall decline of 37%. Since then price has climbed 54%,
with over 300 points to go before it reaches the all-time high.
We can expect to see a good number of stocks showing signs of bullishness now that the FTSE
is looking strong again and these stocks will be presented in our weekly newsletter.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
UPDATE:ADA UP 30% after 4h bull signal - Scalper Analysis 🚀Please Like or Follow if you enjoyed this content.
UPDATE: The price jumped 30% after bull signal. ADA broke resistance at 1.50. Now aiming for 1.60 USDT. Price is above Ichimoku cloud and RSI is bullish as well.
This analysis is made with my "Supertrend Ninja - Clean". It displays only the last few signals. Which gives it a clean look. Currently ADA is in an uptrend. Remember you don't need to buy the bottom. You just need to ride a big part of the uptrend.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Profits can be taken at each grey block. Supports and resistances are automatically drawn using my indicator "Yo Show Me Some Support - and Resistances". Pun intended.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
What Indicators Do I Use:
In the chart I am using my "Supertrend Ninja - indicator", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical line with arrows). When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line) with an upwards pointing pink arrow. It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend.
With each trade proper risk management is essential. Either by using my script "Trailing Stoploss Bottom Activation indicator", visible as grey dots below the candles. Which sends an alert, when current price goes below the previous candle low. Or using my "HA Trailing Stoploss Activation", the indicator below with green and red blocks. Or third option, exit when the Supertrend Ninja indicator displays a vertical red line with a downwards pointing black arrow. Remember, the first stop(loss) is always the cheapest stop.
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.