CXL Rocket @ 15 SEP 2021CXL
- First time doing a written analysis on CXL
- Since IPO, $1 levels were a resistance until Nov 2020 (purple dotted line) when it turned into a support.
- R1 resistance – Sideways for more than 2 months
- R2 resistance – Sideways for 2 months
- R3 resistance – Sideways for more than 2 months
- R4 resistance – Sideways for 1.5 months
- R5 resistance – Sideways for 1 week before testing short-term support
- Today, it strapped rockets and never looked back
Pros
- Stock respects the short-term support a lot
- After testing the mid-term support, it usually breaks out from the overhead resistance after a few days
Cons
- Holding this stock would require a lot of patience as it take a couple of months of twiddling your thumbs before it breaks out
- Low daily average volume -> Below 500k shares
Summary
- Yesterday’s test of the short-term support got me excited as this is the kind of rebound entries that I trade -> The setup for a rebound trade would have a borderline 10% risk
- I’m not a patient person to wait a few weeks for my stocks to move; thus, I didn’t get in -> Hindsight is 20/20 of course
- No good setup for entry unless you use intraday strategies
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for retracement and successful rebound
Trendfollowing
Palladium Back At $2,000!Following the peak of the Covid pandemic in March 2020 when price declined by 48%,
price turned around and gradually moved back to the upside, eventually breaching
the all-time high 11 months later.
In May 2021, price created a new all-time high at $3,017 before heading back down
towards the weekly 50 simple moving average.
The 50 simple moving average was an important catalyst in the growth of price and
appeared as though is was going to hold as support again in August 2021.
Price breached this indicator and has since moved further down to the next obvious
level of support: the psychological $2,000 round number.
If this support zone holds strong, we should soon see a bounce back to the upside
and a bull trend resumption.
The bigger picture shows us that price is in a long-term period of consolidation,
which began in February 2020. The all-time high in May 2021 was just a fake breakout.
For now, this commodity will likely prove challenging to invest in, so the safest option
is to wait for a break and close above the all-time high at $3,017 before considering
any long opportunities.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
S&P 500 Back At SupportSeptember is usually the weakest month of the year in the stock market, so we were
ready and waiting for a pullback to appear.
From September 2nd, we started to see a slow down in momentum as an indecision
candle formed and from there price started to decline.
The 20 and 50 simple moving averages are our expected levels of support, and as we
can see, price is now in the space between these two moving averages.
Since November 2020, both moving averages have acted well as support during the
trend. Although price has moved below the 50 simple moving average at times, it
has consistently resumed the trend and gone on to create new all-time highs.
If support holds again, we need to see a break and close above the all-time high
at $4,545, followed by a move towards $5,000.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
XRF @ 14 SEP 2021XRF
- Previous analysis was done on 30 Aug -> suggested entry at 0.54 levels if believe the stock can create new highs
- Today, the stock closed almost 11% since the suggested entry
- If you missed the suggested entry, current price is no longer suitable for entry
- Price is currently too far from the short-term support
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for stock to retrace and rebound successfully
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TLS @ 14 SEP 2021TLS
- Previous analysis was done on 6 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of overhead resistances before entry
- Today’s price action sees the stock convincingly break the 3.90 resistance
- Next strong overhead resistance at 4.00 levels
- Half entry at current levels could provide an avenue to manage overall risk-reward
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry at current levels if believe the stock can successfully breakout of resistance at 4.00 levels
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Text me if you have any questions for me.
PLS @ 14 SEP 2021PLS
- Previous analysis was done on 13 Sep - Suggested using breakout strategies to plot entry
- Today’s price action is again accompanied by above average volume
- Strong support zone seen at 2.00-2.05 levels
- Due to poor setup, suggest to either plot half position entry at current levels or to wait for formation of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs)
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry at current levels or wait for more confirmation of uptrend
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Text me if you have any questions for me.
LYC @ 14 SEP 2021LYC
- Previous analysis was done on 10 Sep - Suggested half entry at 7.10 levels if confident the stock can rebound to 7.50 levels
- If followed half entry suggestion at 7.10 levels, gains would be more than 5% in 2 days
- Stock today closed at 7.60 levels and there is no longer any good setup for entry
- Best case scenario for the overall health of the uptrend is for the stock to retrace and successfully rebound
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a retracement and successful rebound
Text me if you have any questions for me.
IMD @ 14 SEP 2021IMD
- First time doing a written analysis on IMD
- Has history of mid-term uptrends that is interrupted by slow sideways price consolidation
- Holding this stock would require more patience
- This stock is finally making a move with a strong breakout from the counter-trendline (red dotted line)
- Continued strong price action in this trajectory could see the stock create a new all-time high
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above today’s high if believe the stock is capable of forming new all-time high
ILU @ 14 SEP 2021ILU
- Previous analysis was done on 13 Sep - Suggested entry around 10.25 levels if missed out on previously suggested entry levels of 9.90
- Today’s price action is quite far from the short-term support
- Even though there still is a borderline 10% risk setup for entry, it is recommended to manage risk by either entering half position or waiting for a retracement and successful rebound
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry at current levels or waiting for a retracement and successful rebound
CHC @ 14 SEP 2021CHC
- First time doing a written analysis on CHC
- Has history of good uptrends
- Stock respects the short-term support more of the time
- Trading in a tight band for the last 3 weeks -> I would call this “No Man’s Land”
- Formed a double top with strong resistance near 18.50 levels
- Today’s price action looks like the first signal of a rebound, but more price action is required
- A successful rebound would mean that a strong support would also be formed near 17.50 levels
- Due to strong overhead resistance, a breakout strategy is preferable
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of either counter-trendline or 18.50 resistance levels
PLS @ 13 SEP 2021PLS
- Previous analysis was done on 9 Sep - Suggested waiting for a strong trend reversal
- Today’s price action is accompanied by above average volume
- Stock is again testing the counter-trendline (red dotted line)
- A break of the $2 psychological support might see the stock test the mid-term support
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest using breakout strategies to plot entry
SHL @ 13 SEP 2021SHL
- Previous analysis was done on 7 Sep -> suggested waiting for successful rebound to around 43.00 levels before plotting entry
- Recent price action has provided a slightly better setup for entry
- A successful rebound to around 42.75 levels would present an opportunity for entry
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry
JHX @ 13 SEP 2021JHX
- Previous analysis was done on 9 Sep - Suggested entry around 53.50 levels
- Recent price retracement has seen the stock test the short-term support and successfully rebounded
- If you missed out the previously suggested entry, current price levels still present some buying opportunities
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry at current levels if believe stock is capable of creating new all-time highs
ILU @ 13 SEP 2021ILU
- Previous analysis was done on 9 Sep - Suggested entry around 9.90 levels
- Since then, the stock has rebounded off the short-term support and created a new all-time high today
- If you missed out the previously suggested entry, current price levels still present some buying opportunities
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry at current levels if believe the stock is capable of forming new all-time highs
ASM @ 13 SEP 2021ASM
- Previous written analysis was done on 7 Sep -> suggested waiting for next rebound wave before plotting entry
- Today’s retracement has broken through the short-term support and has also created a new Lower Low (LL) -> not good
- If there is an immediate rebound to create a new Higher High (HH), the stock is still in good condition
- Any further drop to around 10.00 levels would be a structure break
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry
360 @ 13 SEP 2021360
- Previous written analysis was done on 8 Sep -> suggested waiting for rebound wave before plotting entry
- Today’s price action is a nice pivot and a new Higher Low (HL) has formed
- A successful rebound look to be around 9.60 levels
- Potential psychological resistance at 10.00 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry if believe the stock can break psychological resistance
SUL @ 10 Sep 2021SUL
- First time doing a written analysis on SUL
- Has history of multiple uptrends but also multiple downtrends
- Strong resistance zone at 13.50-14.00 levels
- Stock has been forming LHs and Lower Lows (LLs) since August
- Any break of 11.60 support could see the stock test the 10.80 support levels
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of counter-trendline if comfortable with the overhead resistance zone at 13.50-14.00 levels
LYC @ 10 SEP 2021LYC
- Previous analysis was done on 31 Aug - Suggested waiting for successful rebound to 7.50 levels
- Stock recently formed a mini retracement wave and today’s price action would be considered a successful rebound
- Technically, the stock hasn’t successfully rebounded after the mid-Aug retracement
- To manage risk, half position entries are recommended
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half position entry at current levels if confident that stock can rebound to 7.50 levels
IGO @ 10 Sep 2021IGO
- First time doing a written analysis on IGO
- Has history of multiple uptrends but also multiple downtrends
- Historically, the stock has traded in a tight range that is bounded by strong resistances and supports
- Created new all-time high a month ago when it briefly tested the 10.00 psychological resistance
- Stock recently formed a Lower High (LH) and Higher Low (HL)
- A break of either the counter-trendline resistance or the trendline support might lead to a strong push in either direction
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of counter-trendline
Warning signs... ETH signalling more downside?The signs were starting to develop, but yesterday really brought the picture into clearer focus:
- ETH daily showing downside potential with RSI divergence to price
- MACD (longer MA settings) starting to cross down
My daily stop-and-reverse system has gotten me out of everything. So sitting on the side lines until things change:
P.S. This is marked as a short idea, but I never actually go short, just bearish for now. #LongOnly
AAPL long ideaNASDAQ:AAPL yet another all time high.
I will nibble a bit here; I would like a 1:3 risk:reward trade therefore the target has no bearing on any area of value. Only the stop level is derived from a close below the 50EMA, which I'll use as a trailing stop loss for this trade.
Apple is Apple, there isn't much one can say from a fundamental analysis perspective. The brand keep the fans cuming, forgive me, I couldn't resist.
CSL @ 7 SEP 2021CSL
- Previous analysis was done on 2 Sep -> suggested half entry around 307 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone
- Recent price action has seen the stock nicely rebounded of the counter-trendline -> This is significant as the counter-trendline used to be a resistance (red arrows) but has now become a support (green arrow)
- Be mindful of overhead resistance zone and suggest to manage risk by entering half position
- Topping up remaining half position after overhead resistance is broken
- If missed previously suggested entry around 307 levels, current price still presents some opportunities
- R is below 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry around 310 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone
Bitcoin Surges Up!Blink and you can end up missing some big moves in Bitcoin which is taking on a
life of its own. This instrument was showing signs of weakness in May this year
where it fell to below $30,000 and hit the weekly 50 simple moving average.
In July, the buyers came back into the market and have pushed price up 79%
to where it currently stands at over $50,000.
Although the last 2 months have been bullish, price is still over $13,000 away
from the all-time high at $64,895 so there is still a bit of fight for the bulls
to overcome.
This current decline followed by the bounce could easily turn into a long-term
period of consolidation that could last for months and even years. Right now
though, the momentum could take price to record highs.
With Bitcoin on the move, you will notice that other coins are starting to move
too and Ethereum is another strong cryptocurrency. Bitcoin is seen as the main
cryptocurrency and the index for this market that shows us how this market
is performing overall.
We now want to see price breakout and rally through the rest of the year.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.