Next step for AUDUSD?Whilst the USD has gained some ground back from it's 12 month decline AUD is still bullish.
After retracing it has finally broken the resistance level.
If we can retest this level I will look for a trend continuation trade to the next highs. Simple trade idea backed up with AUD strength across the board.
What do you think? Can AUD continue it's bullish push?
Trendfollowing
USD/JPY: Extending pullback13:20 GMT - The corrective pullback is extending, whilst daily stochastics and the Tension Indicator continue to track lower, with the break below 105.50 adding fresh weight to sentiment. Focus is turning to congestion around 105.00 and the 104.80 Fibonacci retracement, where already oversold intraday studies could prompt short-term consolidation. Meanwhile, immediate resistance is at 105.50. A close above here would help to stabilise price action, but a close above 106.00/10, not yet seen, will turn sentiment outright Positive and confirm continuation of January gains.
USD/JPY: Extending pullback13:20 GMT - The corrective pullback is extending, whilst daily stochastics and the Tension Indicator continue to track lower, with the break below 105.50 adding fresh weight to sentiment. Focus is turning to congestion around 105.00 and the 104.80 Fibonacci retracement, where already oversold intraday studies could prompt short-term consolidation. Meanwhile, immediate resistance is at 105.50. A close above here would help to stabilise price action, but a close above 106.00/10, not yet seen, will turn sentiment outright Positive and confirm continuation of January gains.
USD Index DXY: Consolidating - weekly charts positive16:10 GMT - The pullback from 91.00 has all but reached 90.50. Prices are currently balanced above here, but negative intraday studies suggest risk of further slippage towards the 90.10 Fibonacci retracement, where improving daily stochastics and the flattening Tension Indicator could prompt fresh consolidation. Following corrective trade, rising weekly charts point to fresh gains, but a close above 91.00 is needed to prompt a cautious upgrade and open up the 91.32 retracement. Critical resistance, however, remains at the 91.60 weekly high of 5 February. A close above here is needed to confirm continuation of January gains and open up 91.98/00.
USD Index DXY: Consolidating - weekly charts positive16:10 GMT - The pullback from 91.00 has all but reached 90.50. Prices are currently balanced above here, but negative intraday studies suggest risk of further slippage towards the 90.10 Fibonacci retracement, where improving daily stochastics and the flattening Tension Indicator could prompt fresh consolidation. Following corrective trade, rising weekly charts point to fresh gains, but a close above 91.00 is needed to prompt a cautious upgrade and open up the 91.32 retracement. Critical resistance, however, remains at the 91.60 weekly high of 5 February. A close above here is needed to confirm continuation of January gains and open up 91.98/00.
Gold Undecided at Support/ResistanceIn the previous post on Gold, we could clearly see a reversal at the weekly 50 simple moving average
proving this to be a strong level of support.
So far this week and price has now moved below the 50sma displaying a bearish candle at the moment
but the important thing to note is the closing candle at the end of the week. If price closes above the
50sma again at the end of this week then it further reinforces this level as strong support.
If price closes below the 50sma then we may see further moves to the downside but as the overall trend
is up, the bias is indicating towards a bullish continuation.
It is just a waiting game now to see what price will do next as we hold onto our position which was
opened in the summer of 2020.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
S&P 500 Strengthening Through FebruaryThe US market was closed on Monday due to Presidents Day but closed the previous week
on a high making a new all-time high. As this is the first trading day of the week, there is
little activity so far but we may see the momentum continue to push price higher this week.
Alternatively, the market could pull back towards the 20sma or the 50sma. Just above these
indicators, we have the previous all-time high at $3870 which may also act as support.
The trend at the moment is strong and linear in nature and edging ever closer to the $4000
round number. This psychological level of resistance could force price around or we may see
some turbulence here before price continues on its ascent.
As far as we know, the market is bullish overall and stocks are still performing well so we can
expect this trend to last for a number of months and potentially over a year.
Our goal during the trend is to compound on winning positions and maximise our returns along the way up.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
EUR/USD: Scope remains for a break to 1.2200Little change, whilst prices extend consolidation aroubd 1.2150. The daily Tension Indicator continues to track higher, highlighting a break, but overbought daily stochastics and negative weekly charts are expected to limit any tests/break of 1.2200 in fresh selling interest. Meanwhile, support remains at 1.2100 and extends to the 1.2082 low of 12 February. A later close beneath here will add weight to sentiment and open up 1.2050. Any deeper reactions, however, should stabilise above 1.1975-1.2000.
EUR/USD: Scope remains for a break to 1.2200Little change, whilst prices extend consolidation around 1.2150. The daily Tension Indicator continues to track higher, highlighting a break, but overbought daily stochastics and negative weekly charts are expected to limit any tests/break of 1.2200 in fresh selling interest. Meanwhile, support remains at 1.2100 and extends to the 1.2082 low of 12 February. A later close beneath here will add weight to sentiment and open up 1.2050. Any deeper reactions, however, should stabilise above 1.1975-1.2000.
GBP/USD: Breaking higherConsolidation is giving way to a fresh break higher to 1.3900, as intraday studies track steadily higher. Both daily and weekly Tension Indicators remain positive, highlighting scope for further gains in the coming sessions, with a close above 1.3900 extending March 2020 gains towards historic congestion around 1.4000 and the 1.4030 weekly high of late April 2018. However, overbought daily stochastics are expected to prompt profit-taking around here. Meanwhile, support is at the 1.3866 weekly high of 10 February. A close beneath here, if seen, will turn sentiment Neutral and open up deeper losses towards 1.3800.
GBP/USD: Breaking higherConsolidation is giving way to a fresh break higher to 1.3900, as intraday studies track steadily higher. Both daily and weekly Tension Indicators remain positive, highlighting scope for further gains in the coming sessions, with a close above 1.3900 extending March 2020 gains towards historic congestion around 1.4000 and the 1.4030 weekly high of late April 2018. However, overbought daily stochastics are expected to prompt profit-taking around here. Meanwhile, support is at the 1.3866 weekly high of 10 February. A close beneath here, if seen, will turn sentiment Neutral and open up deeper losses towards 1.3800.
USD Index DXY: Turning away from 90.00/1014:50 GMT - The pullback towards 90.00/10 has found fresh support at 90.25, whilst intraday studies track higher and oversold daily stochastics flatten. The break above 90.50 has opened up the 91.00 break level, but the falling Tension Indicator is expected to limit any immediate tests in fresh consolidation. Weekly charts continue to improve, however, suggesting a later break and a run towards critical resistance at the 91.60 weekly high of 5 February. Meanwhile, support remains at 90.00/10 and should continue to underpin any immediate setbacks.
USD Index DXY: Turning away from 90.00/1014:50 GMT - The pullback towards 90.00/10 has found fresh support at 90.25, whilst intraday studies track higher and oversold daily stochastics flatten. The break above 90.50 has opened up the 91.00 break level, but the falling Tension Indicator is expected to limit any immediate tests in fresh consolidation. Weekly charts continue to improve, however, suggesting a later break and a run towards critical resistance at the 91.60 weekly high of 5 February. Meanwhile, support remains at 90.00/10 and should continue to underpin any immediate setbacks.
EUR/USD: Consolidation before higherThe corrective bounce from the 1.1952 weekly low of 5 February is settling into consolidation below 1.2150, whilst overbought intraday studies unwind. Daily stochastics and the Tension Indicator continue to track higher, however, highlighting a later break above 1.2150, but overbought momentum readings and negative weekly charts are expected to prompt fresh selling interest towards 1.2200. Meanwhile, support remains at 1.2100. A close beneath here, if seen, will turn sentiment cautiously Negative and put focus back on congestion around 1.2000.
EUR/USD: Consolidation before higherThe corrective bounce from the 1.1952 weekly low of 5 February is settling into consolidation below 1.2150, whilst overbought intraday studies unwind. Daily stochastics and the Tension Indicator continue to track higher, however, highlighting a later break above 1.2150, but overbought momentum readings and negative weekly charts are expected to prompt fresh selling interest towards 1.2200. Meanwhile, support remains at 1.2100. A close beneath here, if seen, will turn sentiment cautiously Negative and put focus back on congestion around 1.2000.
GBP/USD: March 2020 rally gaining traction11:45 GMT - Short-term consolidation around the 1.3775 Fibonacci retracement has given way to fresh gains, whilst intraday and daily studies continue to improve, with prices now trading above 1.3800. Focus is turning to 1.3900, but rising weekly and monthly charts highlight still further gains, and extension of the broad March 2020 rally towards historic congestion around 1.4000 and the 1.4030 weekly high of late April 2018. Both daily and weekly stochastics are already overbought, suggesting initial tests of here could give way to profit-taking pressure. Meanwhile, support is raised to the 1.3759 monthly high of 27 January. A close beneath here, if seen, would turn sentiment cautiously Neutral and delay gains, as focus then turns to congestion around 1.3700.
GBP/USD: March 2020 rally gaining traction11:45 GMT - Short-term consolidation around the 1.3775 Fibonacci retracement has given way to fresh gains, whilst intraday and daily studies continue to improve, with prices now trading above 1.3800.
Focus is turning to 1.3900, but rising weekly and monthly charts highlight still further gains, and extension of the broad March 2020 rally towards historic congestion around 1.4000 and the 1.4030 weekly high of late April 2018. Both daily and weekly stochastics are already overbought, suggesting initial tests of here could give way to profit-taking pressure.
Meanwhile, support is raised to the 1.3759 monthly high of 27 January.
A close beneath here, if seen, would turn sentiment cautiously Neutral and delay gains, as focus then turns to congestion around 1.3700.
USD/JPY: Corrective pullback13:25 GMT - The anticipated exhaustive run towards the 106.00 Fibonacci retracement has given way to a pullback, as unwinding intraday studies prompt fresh selling interest and push prices below 105.00. Overbought daily stochastics are also unwinding, and the positive Tension Indicator is turning down, highlighting a deterioration in sentiment. Focus is on 104.50/58, with a further break opening up the 104.20 retracement. Meanwhile, a close above 105.00, if seen, would turn sentiment Neutral and put prices into consolidation below 105.50.
USD/JPY: Corrective pullback08:40 GMT - The anticipated exhaustive run towards the 106.00 Fibonacci retracement has given way to a pullback, as unwinding intraday studies prompt fresh selling intraday and push prices below 105.00. Overbought daily stochastics are also unwinding, and the positive Tension Indicator is turning down, highlighting a deterioration in sentiment. Focus is on 104.50/58, with a further break opening up the 104.20 retracement. Meanwhile, a close above 105.00, if seen, would turn sentiment Neutral and put prices into consolidation below 105.50.
ETH - Trend-Following Buy Setup!Ethereum broke its previous ATH. WHAT NEXT?
ETH is overall bullish trading inside the orange channel so we will be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups as it approaches our lower orange trendlines. Knowing that Ethereum can still trade higher aggressively from here, without us on board.
Moreover, the area 1450-1500 is a "Resistance turned into Support".
So the highlighted purple circle is a very strong area to look for buys setups as it is the intersection of a support, previous ATH and lower orange trendline.
As per my trading style:
I will be waiting for it to approach the lower trendline to look for possible buy setups (like a double bottom , trendline break and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich