ORCL Textbook Bull Pennant Coincident With Index Support CatchORCL Upside break-out of a Descending Pennant.
Some things to note:
Hold of 50 EMA within the pattern
High volume entry into the pattern with descending volume throughout
Notable pickup in activity on the upside break
MACD Cross coinciding with break
Throwback following the upside break that tracks along the upper bound of the pattern and is halted at the 50 EMA
Measuring Implications for the pennant begin with a break out of a previous resistance to the top of the minor move that begins the pattern. The resulting move applies this distance to the beginning of the breakout of the pattern.
I have marked and color coded two potential areas to take into account when measuring for price targets, and marked volume POI's to justify those as start-points for their measuring.
PT1: 164
PT2: 143
SL: 50 EMA Break-down
Some other things going on that I observe:
SPX, DJIA, IXIC bouncing following minor (representing trend, not magnitude) decline
VIX 200 EMA rejection. Still cemented below 20 for now.
This analysis is for future price implications of ORCL.
I currently hold a position entered on AUG16.
Feel free to reach out for questions, including a review of a textbook pennant.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Trendfollowing
Riding the Waves of Optimism: Hedera HashgraphRiding the Waves of Optimism: Unveiling the Bullish Trajectory of HBAR
In the world of cryptocurrency, Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) has been making substantial strides that echo a promising future. The buzz surrounding HBAR's potential ascent to $0.13 in 2023, as suggested by market experts, has invigorated the crypto community with enthusiasm. While predictions are speculative, they stem from a series of favorable indicators and developments that are propelling HBAR towards a bullish trajectory.
1. Strategic Integrations with Web 2.0 Enterprises: Hedera Hashgraph's progressive collaborations with prominent Web 2.0 enterprises have been a pivotal driving force behind its upward momentum. The platform's ability to seamlessly integrate blockchain technology into existing business models has garnered significant attention. As more enterprises recognize the benefits of harnessing the capabilities of Hedera's ecosystem, its adoption is poised to skyrocket.
2. Resilience Against Market Volatility: HBAR's performance during market fluctuations has demonstrated its resilience and stability. While short-term market shifts may lead to temporary price corrections, HBAR's consistent rebound after such episodes suggests a strong underlying demand. This phenomenon can be attributed to its growing utility and use cases, which extend beyond mere speculation.
3. Nurturing Long-Term Growth: Despite short-term bearish sentiment, the overarching sentiment surrounding HBAR remains optimistic. This is underscored by the anticipation of HBAR reaching $0.078 by 2024, as market observers believe that the platform's ongoing partnerships and technological advancements will catalyze sustained growth.
4. Building on Past Achievements: HBAR's historical price performance, including its previous all-time high of $0.56 in September 2021, showcases the token's potential to surge to new heights. This historical context provides a valuable perspective on HBAR's capacity to regain and surpass its previous peaks.
It's essential to recognize that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and predictions are speculative by nature. While the factors mentioned above indicate a bullish sentiment surrounding HBAR, investors should conduct thorough research and exercise caution before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer:
The information provided above is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to invest. Cryptocurrency investments involve substantial risk, including the risk of loss of capital. The price of HBAR and other cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile and may fluctuate significantly. Readers are advised to conduct their research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. The author and publisher of this article shall not be held responsible for any investment decisions or actions based on the information provided herein.
Uber's Profit Surge Amid Stock Slump - What's Next?Uber Technologies Inc, the prominent American ride-hailing company, has recently reported its first-ever operating profit, signifying a successful shift to profitability. The company posted pre-tax earnings of $326 million (£255 million), a significant improvement from the previous year's operating loss of $713 million (£558 million). The turnaround is primarily due to a 22% increase in booked trips, indicating a surge in demand.
Despite Uber's positive financial performance, the stock market responded unexpectedly with a 5.68% drop in Uber's stock price on the Q2 earnings release day. This event serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of financial markets, where stock prices don't necessarily align with a company's earnings due to various influencing factors such as market sentiment, economic indicators, and global events.
Despite the recent decline, Uber's stock price has reached a significant support level, previously last year's high. This level could potentially act as a foundation for future trends and if the price strongly rebounds from this level, a significant upward move might be forthcoming.
However, investors should remain cautious of the notable $50 resistance level just above the current price, which might hinder the upward trend. If the price surpasses this crucial mark, there is potential for a significant upward trend aiming for the all-time high of $64.05, a level not seen since February 2021.
The Fundamental Concepts of Technical IndicatorsTrading indicators are essential tools used by traders and investors to analyze price data, identify trends, and make informed decisions in financial markets. They provide valuable insights into market dynamics, helping market participants gain a competitive edge. This comprehensive explainer will delve into what trading indicators are, how they are utilized, and the differences between two prominent strategies: trend following and mean reversion. Additionally, we will explore the importance of using binary and discrete indicators together to enhance trading effectiveness.
Part 1: Understanding Trading Indicators
1.1 Definition of Trading Indicators
Trading indicators are mathematical calculations based on price, volume, or open interest data that provide graphical representations of market conditions. These calculations help traders visualize price trends, momentum, volatility, and potential reversals. Indicators serve as a supplementary layer of analysis, offering a structured and objective approach to interpreting market behavior.
1.2 Types of Trading Indicators
Trend Indicators: Identify the direction and strength of prevailing trends, such as Moving Averages (MA), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Ichimoku Cloud.
Oscillators: Measure overbought and oversold conditions, such as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Commodity Channel Index (CCI).
Volume Indicators: Assess trading volume to confirm price movements, like On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP).
Volatility Indicators: Gauge the level of price fluctuations, including Bollinger Bands and Average True Range (ATR).
Part 2: Utilizing Trading Indicators
2.1 Trend Following Strategy
Trend following is a popular trading strategy that capitalizes on the continuation of established trends. Traders using this approach seek to identify uptrends or downtrends and ride them for extended periods. Trend following indicators are ideally suited for identifying the direction of a trend and capturing profits during strong market movements.
Example of Trend Following Indicator: Fourier Smoothed Stochastic (FSTOCH)
(Indicators like the FSTOCH help traders reveal underlying trends in the market)
The Fourier Smoothed Stochastic is an advanced tool that utilizes the Stochastic Oscillator in combination with Fourier Transform analysis to identify and ride prevailing trends. By providing smoother signals, it helps traders stay on course with the established trend, allowing for more accurate entries and exits. Its ability to filter out market noise makes it an ideal choice for trend followers seeking a clearer view of market momentum, enabling them to capitalize on prolonged price movements.
2.2 Mean Reversion Strategy
Mean reversion is a counter-trend strategy that assumes prices will revert to their average or mean over time. Traders using this approach aim to profit from price reversals when an asset's price deviates significantly from its historical average. Mean reversion indicators are ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions and anticipating potential reversals.
Example of Mean Reversion Indicator: Bollinger Bands Percentile (BBPct)
(The BBPct indicator marks out price extremes which may lead to potential reversals)
The BBPct (Bollinger Bands Percent) is an indicator designed for mean reversion trading strategies. It utilizes Bollinger Bands to determine overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The indicator calculates the percentage of the current price's position within the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower boundaries. When the price is near the upper band, it suggests an overbought condition, indicating a potential mean reversion towards the lower band. Conversely, when the price is close to the lower band, it indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a possible mean reversion towards the upper band. Traders can use this information to identify potential reversal points and make informed decisions to capture price movements back towards the mean.
Part 3: Trend Following vs. Mean Reversion
3.1 Key Differences
Direction: Trend following aims to identify and ride established trends, while mean reversion seeks to capitalize on price reversals.
Risk Profile: Trend following strategies typically involve higher risk, as traders enter positions in the direction of the trend, which may be challenging to time accurately. Mean reversion strategies are often considered less risky as traders expect price reversals to occur relatively soon after significant deviations from the mean.
Market Conditions: Trend following tends to perform well in trending markets, while mean reversion thrives in ranging or sideways markets.
3.2 Combining Trend Following and Mean Reversion
While trend following and mean reversion strategies have distinct approaches, they can complement each other when used in confluence. Combining both strategies can provide a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce reliance on a single indicator. For example:
Confirming Trend Reversals: Mean reversion indicators can be used to confirm potential trend reversals identified by trend-following indicators, increasing the probability of successful entries and exits.
Managing Risk: Trend following indicators can help traders stay in trends longer and avoid premature exits when using mean reversion strategies.
Identifying Range-Bound Markets: Mean reversion strategies can be employed during periods of low volatility or when the market lacks a clear trend, while trend following indicators can be set aside until a new trend emerges.
Part 4: Binary and Discrete Indicators
4.1 Binary Indicators
(The Super Schaff gives out binary signals when it detects a potential change in trend)
Binary indicators provide straightforward, yes-or-no signals, indicating the presence or absence of a particular condition. Examples include Moving Average Crossovers and Super Schaff, which produce buy (long) or sell (short) signals when specific conditions are met.
4.2 Discrete Indicators
(The Volume-Trend Sentiment displays the overall implied sentiment based on volume and price action)
Discrete indicators generate signals based on a range of values or levels. These indicators offer more nuanced insights into market conditions, allowing traders to interpret the strength or weakness of signals. Examples include RSI and VTS.
Part 5: The Importance of Using Both
5.1 Diverse Perspectives
Combining binary and discrete indicators provides traders with diverse perspectives on market conditions. Binary indicators offer clear entry and exit signals, while discrete indicators offer a finer understanding of price trends and potential turning points.
5.2 Enhanced Decision-Making
Using both types of indicators helps traders make more informed and confident decisions. By cross-referencing binary and discrete signals, traders can filter out false signals and identify high-probability trading opportunities.
Conclusion:
Trading indicators play a vital role in modern financial markets, providing traders and investors with valuable insights into price trends, momentum, and market conditions. Trend following and mean reversion strategies offer distinct approaches to trading, each with its unique advantages and risk profiles. However, combining these strategies and utilizing both binary and discrete indicators can provide a comprehensive and powerful toolkit for traders seeking consistent success in the dynamic world of finance.
Check out the indicators mentioned in this post:
USD/CHF - ShortTechnical Analysis for USDCHF:
- Descending triangle forming (consolidation pattern)
- If price break support level at 0.8570, we could see continue bearish movement
- The break of this support zone would be confirmation of entry
- Indicators are suggesting potential bearish movement to come
- Following the overall trend of this pair, which is bearish
Analysis: AUD/JPY Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout TradeAnalysis: AUD/JPY Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout Trade
Based on my analysis of a bullish flag pattern breakout in AUD/JPY, i have formulated a trade plan to capture the continuation of the bullish trend. Here is a breakdown of your trade plan:
Currency Pair: AUD/JPY
Entry Price: 98.827
Stop Loss (SL): 94.093
Take Profit (TP): 108.330
Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout:
i have identified a bullish flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern that suggests the resumption of an upward trend. The breakout from this pattern indicates potential bullish momentum in AUD/JPY. By recognizing this pattern, i aim to enter the market in anticipation of the continuation of the upward trend.
Entry Point (98.827):
i have chosen entry point is at 98.827. This entry price should be determined based on technical analysis, such as the breakout level of the bullish flag pattern or other significant resistance-turned-support levels. Ensure that the entry point aligns with the breakout and provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop Loss (94.093):
To manage risk, i have set a stop loss at 94.093. The stop loss level is placed below a significant support level or a point that, if breached, would invalidate the bullish scenario. It acts as a protective measure to limit potential losses in case the trade moves against your expectations.
Take Profit (108.330):
i take profit level is set at 108.330. This level represents your target for closing the trade and taking profits. It should be determined based on resistance levels, Fibonacci extensions, or other technical indicators that suggest potential areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or reach a significant target.
Remember to continually monitor price action and adjust your trade management as market conditions evolve. Consider factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in market sentiment that may impact the AUD/JPY pair.
It is essential to conduct thorough analysis, implement proper risk management strategies, and adhere to your trading plan. Trading involves inherent risks, and it is crucial to stay disciplined and adapt to changing market dynamics.
USDZAR | Weekly | UpdateUSDZAR | Weekly
Looking to the left on USDZAR based on my initial analysis, we notice that we he had a target for USDZAR at 21.2xxxx - 21.5xxxx after which we saw USDZAR rally all the way up to 19.93xxx creating a new high for the USDZAR we saw it fail to break above our 20.xxxxx psychological level. After failing to break above the 20.xxxxx level we noticed the ZAR “try” to recover it’s losses against the USD creating or current base as after falling from around 19.93xxx we can see the USDZAR finding support at 18.08xxx and bouncing up from there and currently trading above our 18.5xxxx Psychological level at 18.7xxxx.
Looking to the right, if USDZAR fails to push down and break our support at 18.08xxx - 17.74xxx we can consider that area as our new base and we can expect the USDZAR to push further up and may potentially break our 20.xxxxx psychological level while still expecting it to head up to 21.2xxxx - 21.5xxxx.
NVIDIA - Momentum but need to 'slow down' before continuationNVIDIA is a renowned technology company known for its cutting-edge advancements in areas like artificial intelligence, gaming, and high-performance computing. With a strong track record of innovation and a leading position in its industry, NVIDIA has established itself as a standout company.
Since October 2022, NVIDIA shares have been on an upward trajectory, and during that time plenty of opportunities (that I all missed!) in buying at breakout points from a solid base and also from a pullback and B.
Looking ahead, there is an anticipation of NVIDIA's stock continuing its upward momentum next week. The missed daily pivot on Friday suggests a potential continuation of buyer's control. Having said that, I do hope the bullish momentum come to a 'halt' when it testing the all time high at $440.27 and then start to make a solid pullback and perhaps form a base above the moving averages, before the stock makes new all time high throughout the year.
ADBE - Solid Fundamentals and MomentumAdobe Inc. (ADBE) stands out as a company with strong fundamentals. Adobe is renowned for its exceptional products such as Photoshop, Acrobat Reader and Creative Cloud.
ADBE's price climbed up to 54% since May 2023 Rather than succumbing to the fear of missing out (FOMO), a patient approach is warranted. I refused to chase the price. I want the price to come to me.
Waiting for a pullback or the formation of a solid base will provide opportune moments for entry.
A pullback can offer an attractive entry opportunity. Waiting for a pullback or the formation of a solid base would provide me strategic entry points. By monitoring key support levels, daily pivot misses, and structural breakouts as a mean of my timing to buy the stock with optimized risk and reward.
Entry trigger from a pullback : Price retraces to significant levels and then a bullish reversal candle formed or a structural breakout or a daily pivot being missed.
Entry trigger from a solid base : Price breaks the resistance level WITH volume.
Trading is Patience #ABNBOnce you have selected a stock with decent fundamentals (review every month if the stock still fundamentally sound), then you just need the chart to tell you when to buy it.
Trading is all about waiting/patience.
When price is below the 20/50/200, you stay in cash. You wait.
When price is above 20/50/200, you wait for a base/pullback and a trigger.
In this example, there was a decent gap up breakout but got stopped out. So what? A good system just need a 30-40% winning rate.
Look for a base and you WAIT.
Trading should be made simple. #GOOGLYou don't need a super complicated trading strategy to make money. You need a sound risk/money management, realistic expectations and abuncance of patience.
When price is below 20/50/200, you just simply stay in cash. When price is above 20/50/200.. wait until it has form a base and/or made a decent pullback. Wait.
Tesla Up 34% This Month!Tesla, under Elon Musk's leadership, is spearheading an automotive revolution with its focus on vehicle autonomy, which significantly influences its market value. Even though full self-driving capability hasn't been achieved yet, this prospect alone has powered Tesla's value, contributing to a remarkable 130% increase in its stock this year, with a notable 34% surge in June alone.
Though the company's stock is yet to surpass its all-time high of $414 from November 2021, its current trajectory points towards this possibility, provided it can overcome challenges such as the significant $300 resistance level.
Tesla's commitment to innovation and sustainability, along with the potential for future breakthroughs, has boosted its stock performance. While full autonomy remains uncertain, Tesla's current course holds promise for investors as it pushes toward new highs, reinforcing the view of an electric and autonomous future for the automotive industry.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Will Palladium Slide Down To $1000?Palladium, which hit an all-time high of $3433 in March 2022, has since experienced a major downturn, plunging below the $3000 support level and losing 34% of its peak value by the end of that month.
The downward trend persisted throughout 2022, breaching the critical $2000 level in October.
A significant bearish move in February 2023 further pushed the price below the $1543 support level from December 2021, turning it into a formidable resistance level.
This has led to a further drop to a four-year low of $1305.
Now, with a total decline of over 58% from its all-time high, palladium may continue to fall towards the $1000 mark unless buying sentiment changes.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Trend following trading strategy (works on all markets)This strategy is a trend following strategy to be applied when the market is uptrending. It demonstrates the significance of breakout levels which are very often retested prior to continuation to the upside.
For Trend visualisation, 10, 20 and 50 Moving averages are used.
If you apply ONLY this setup and and nothing else, you will have a statistical edge and be consistently profitable!
All other info is on the chart.
Good luck!
TESLA: Consolidation in short term?Hello everyone!
In the last few weeks we have been following $TESLA (see chart below) trying to take a long position around the bottom (weekly support). That said, the triggered rally was very interesting, the value has almost doubled in less than a month and if we look at the intraday chart (1h), we see the rally developed with a bullish impulsive structure. From a technical point of view, the structure could be completed, or almost completed (see resistance area just above) and some corrective structure in short term cannot be excluded. If the bullish impulse will not be stopped by resistance area around 200/208, a rally continuation at 230 area is possible, before a corrective structure. In a similar context, often the consolidation pushes the price around wave (IV), we will see.
On Daily Chart (Log Scale), short and long-term trend is still bullish, but in the medium term, a consolidation phase cannot be ruled out, which should not, however, destroy the current trend.
As we have already mentioned, we followed the rally as shown on chart below:
(Click and Play on Chart)
So, technically speaking, if any reversal patterns will appear on intraday chart, it should develop at least two bearish legs, so after the first bearish leg develops, use the technical rebound to try short position taking.
...trade with care! 👍
Cheers!
N.B.: Updates will follow below
If you think that my analysis is useful, please...
"Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖
Amazon Up 47% This Year Already!Amazon is once again proving its innovative prowess by negotiating with key players like Verizon, T-Mobile, Dish Network, and AT&T to offer budget-friendly or free mobile services to its U.S Prime subscribers. This groundbreaking step could transform the telecom sector and strengthen Amazon's position by merging e-commerce and telecom.
Bundling wireless plans and a Paramount+ subscription into Prime, Amazon is poised to significantly boost its market status.
The company's stock has already skyrocketed 47% this year, with a 14% hike in May alone. A few potential roadblocks include the weekly 200 simple moving average at $132 and resistance at $144. Yet Amazon's consistent growth pattern suggests minimal impact.
Despite a 55% pullback between 2021 and 2022, Amazon is likely to bounce back and may even outperform its past peak.
With a successful telecom endeavor, shareholders could see stocks surge past $188 and potentially break the $200 resistance. This venture not only bodes well for investors but could also reinvent the e-commerce landscape by providing unparalleled integrated services.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Long BIRLACORPN BIRLACORPN given successful closing above 52 week high Rs 1143 a long position can be around this price and Strict Stop loss of Rs 55 that mean exit the position if come near Rs 1087 as the move fail.
Reason behind long is the strong bas formation 944-855 and break out of 52wk high with considerable volume. Target will be around all time high and more will be update as the intiated.
How to calulate stop loss so let say my Risk is Rs 2000 ( i am ready to loose 2000 rs if it goes aganist my view ) so my quantity will be around 2000/55 = 36 shares
Happy Investing/Trading Cheers.
Netflix Stock 11% Up Following Crackdown On Password SharingNetflix has made a strategic move to curb account sharing by nearly half its global user base to boost revenue and subscription rates.
The policy checks a device's IP address to confirm single-household usage, but tech-savvy users have bypassed these restrictions with a VPN app, Meshnet, muddling Netflix's ability to identify user connections from different locations.
This could potentially affect Netflix's bottom line.
Interestingly, following the announcement of the crackdown, Netflix's stock price surged by over 11%, peaking on May 30th with a 4% increase from the previous day.
However, with resistance levels at the $400 round number and the weekly 50 simple moving average, the company has a hurdle to overcome for stock growth.
Overcoming this resistance could signal a substantial recovery from the 75%+ decline seen from November 2021 to May 2022.
As Netflix faces challenges like the VPN loophole and strategic shifts, questions arise about the future course of the company and its stock.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Gold longsGold is trading in an upwards channel and it just bounce off the daily uptrendline giving off a morning star. Should it break the 1980 resistance then further upside should be expected. Due to low volatility in the market the alternative scenerio is that gold will range between 1980 supply and 1940 demand area.
Amazon Set To Reach 40% Growth For 2023?From October 2001 to July 2021, Amazon shares rocketed from $0.27 to a record-breaking high of $188, a stunning 70,000% rise.
Remarkably, during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, Amazon's stock surged 23%, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's 19% dip.
However, in late 2022, Amazon faced a downturn, with prices falling below the $100 mark. After hitting a low just above $80, prices started to bounce back, battling resistance at the $100 mark until eventually regaining ground in January 2023.
Currently, we are seeing a bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. The share price has surpassed its February 2nd high at $114 and is now using this level as support.
Considering the stock has already ascended 34% this year, reaching a 40% growth mark over the coming weeks or months is plausible.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Nvidia Just $32 Away From Creating Record HighsNvidia, a tech industry leader, has shown remarkable financial growth. In Q2 2022, earnings per share were $1.36, dipping to $0.58 in Q4. However, Q3 2023 projections are promising at $0.92 per share and a revenue of $6.52 billion.
In October 2022, Nvidia's stock price, initially heading towards $100, found support at $108, marking the start of a bullish trend. Despite a 25% decline in December 2022, the 50 simple moving average (SMA) provided crucial support.
The stock price faced resistance at last year's high of $307 but broke through on May 16th, 2023, climbing 7.7%. Despite some volatility, Nvidia's resilience and growth potential remain strong.