Trendfollowing
aFew Trendline basics ♧"A overview in the definition and importance of using trendlines , consolidation and breakouts in trading"
-Understand the basics of drawing trendlines, identifying consolidation and support and resistance levels. Get familiar with connecting highs and lows and forming a trendline or reconize consolidation.
-Run with the runners by understanding market momentum.
Identify runners and follow their trend and use other tools for identifying presure on the runners (such as RSI4) and manage the risk while trading in profit.
-Trading the reversal of the breakout as a cycle and understand the breakout and its significant counter value. Identify the breakout and entry points. Recognize the signs of a reversal and exit the position to trade the reversal to the breakout.
In this lecture, i hope to cover the basics of drawing trendlines, how to identify runners and trade with them, and how to trade the reversal of the breakout as a cycle.
By the end of the lecture, you should have a solid understanding of how to use trendlines to your advantage in your trading strategy.
" Trendlines are lines drawn on a chart that connect two or more price points, used to identify trends and potential trading opportunities. Knowing these basics of drawing trendlines, identifying runners, and trading the reversal of the breakout can be a powerful tool when traders look to identify trends and determine entrys & exits points and potential trading opportunities."
There are three types of trendlines: uptrend, downtrend, and horizontal (or sideways) trendlines.
- Uptrend lines connect 2 a 3 higher bulls (uprising bars),
- Downtrend lines connect 2 or 3 lower bears (downsetting bars)
- High & Lows trendlines connect high with hights and Low with lows
- Horizontal trendlines occur when the price remains relatively flat.
• Drawing the trendline and understand the basic is by identifying at least two points on a chart and draw a line that connects them. The line should be drawn along the slope of the trend, either up or down.
• Highs and lows trendlines are realized by connecting highs with highs and lows with lows. You should draw a line that runs along the top of the highs. When connecting lows, you should draw a line that runs along the bottom of the lows.
• Support levels are price points where demand for an asset (EURUSD) is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further, while Resistance levels are price points where supply is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Run with the runners and understand the market momentum.
Market momentum is the strength of the current trend in a market and the momentum can be positive (upward trend) or negative (downward trend).
Runners are assets with strong positive or negative momentum trends. Traders can identify runners by looking for assets with strong upward price movement, high trading volume, and positive news or market hype.
Tools for identifying runners are the use of technical analysis tools such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI4), and trendlines.
Managing risk while trading with runners is the way traders gain profit. Stop-loss orders should be set and avoid trading with too much leverage is necesary to manage risk while trading with runners.
Trade the reversal of the breakout as cylce. Understand the breakout and its significance when they occure as an asset's price moves beyond a key support or resistance level, indicating a potential trend reversal and identify potential breakouts and entry points by the use of trendlines and technical analysis indicators to take entrys and exits.
Recognizing the signs of a reversal as they occur when an asset's price movement changes direction, signaling a change in trend. Signs of a reversal may include a change in momentum, a break in a trendline, or negative news or market sentiment. Exit the trend for trading the reversal of the breakout should be accomlplished throught soul desire, set profit targets and or the use of a trailing stop-loss orders to manage the risk or take profit while trading the reversal of a breakout.
"Support and Resistance & Consolidation"
A consolidation occurs when the price of an asset moves within a range, between a defined level of support and resistance. Consolidations can provide traders with opportunities to identify potential breakouts and to trade with runners as they move the price towards the breakout level.
Support levels are price points where demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further, while Resistance levels are price points where supply is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
"Trendlines can be drawn to connect the highs and lows of the price movement during the consolidation period.
These will form the upper and lower boundaries of the consolidation range."
"Technical analysis tools such as Bollinger Bands, RSI, and Moving Averages can be used to confirm the consolidation and identify potential breakout levels."
During consolidations, runners can be identified by looking for assets with a consistent pattern of higher lows or higher highs.
Traders can buy when the price is moving towards the resistance level and sell when the price is moving towards the support level. You should set stop-loss orders and avoid trading with too much leverage to manage risk while trading in consodilations ranges.
Potential breakout levels can be identified by looking for price movements that break through the upper or lower boundaries of the consolidation range.
Traders can enter a long or short position once the price breaks out of the consolidation range.
Stop-loss orders can be placed below the support level for a long position or
above the resistance level for a short position.
Managing risk while trading the breakout is through a set profit targets and or use of trailing stop-loss orders to manage risk when trading the breakout as breakouts are reasons why traders intent to spot and run with runners , without jumping the gun.
"Recap the lecture by knowing the basics of drawing trendlines, identifying runners, and trading the reversal of the breakout."
The basics of identifying consolidations, trading with runners during,
the 3 trends, consolidations and trading the breakout
..all may provide traders with opportunities to identify potential profitable Forex trades and trade with runners as they move the price more than often.
"Traders use it as a powerful tool to identify trends and potential trendline breakout trading opportunities!"
• HappyForexTradingJournal
J
$ETHUSDT: Bird's eye viewTime@Mode can capture very profitable trends with incredible accuracy and very low risk, at times catching the bulk of returns in a given market, while sidestepping the volatile uninteresting periods.
To do this, you need to know the timeframe in control of the main trends in said instrument. Determining the Timeframe in control means finding the timeframe that explains the recent trend swings in the cleanest way possible.
If you follow crypto markets, you might want to be aware of these trends, and when they trigger, to be able to capture the biggest swings in a painless manner, and stand aside when things become tough and unforgiving (like they have been since basically April 2021).
This analysis breaks down the monthly trends in Ethereum and shows what to look for to capture the next bull run effectively. See the annotations in the chart to know what we have to look for here during the month of May.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
HOW TO: Trade with TrendDECODER🥇 Best indicator on ProRealTime MarketPlace - Now available on TradingView
✔️ Identify ranges and the next probable moves
✔️ Get the earliest signals and the strength of Trends
✔️ Get clear exits before reversal
✔️ Spot the Fibo levels the price will test
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Trading is Timing !
Stop being too early or too late trading the Trend or getting stuck in a Range.
📌 What is it about ?
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The TrendDECODER is a concentrate of multiple innovations to make Trend following simple and easy .
👉 With the GreyBox© - identify when the market gets out of the Trend with a new sequence of transition. Check if the market is in Range, Continuation or Reversal (Up or Down) and wait for the closing of the box to get the Trend signal.
👉 With the DecoderSignals© & Blue /Orange Clouds© - once the GreyBox has delivered its message, get the new direction of the Trend and see the probable zones of pull backs during the current direction.
👉 With the Projective TrendLine© - see before it happens the direction and the possible angle of the Trend with its probable range.
👉 With the RealTime TrendLine© vs the Projective TrendLine© - adjust immediately if the market accelerates North or South.
👉 With the RealTime TrendLine Crossing© - detect at the earliest the moment the Trend gets out of track, to get out of the train.
👉 With the FiboLevels© - spot immediately which price levels the market will test.
📌 For which asset?
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TrendDECODER works fine on all assets and all time-frames;
🎓 always work on a multi-timeframe environment to minimize risk;
📌 Why we made these innovations?
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Because the trend indicators that we know lag a lot and do not clearly identify ranges!
We need much more powerful tools than Supertrend or a couple of moving averages crossings to get this done.
📌 How to trade with TrendDECODER?
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🔹 Strategy #1: Trend Following : DecoderSignals© & Blue/Orange Clouds©
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The GreyBOX has given the next probable movement and the Signal of a Trend in on.
The RealTime TrendLine guides us on the pace of this movement and the Blue/ Orange/Cloud figures the support/resistance of this movement.
It will be wise not to jump immediately in the Trend as the signal appears as the price will very probably make a pullback in direction of the cloud first.
Strategy #1: Checklist
📍 Set a Multi Time Frame environment
📍 Check that the Main Time Frame and the Upper Time Frame are moving in the same direction (Up or Down)
📍 In the Main Time Frame: check the appearance of the « TrendUp Signal » or the « TrendDown Signal »
📍 Entry: buying « at Market » immediately on a « Trend Signal » is quite risky as many times the price will pull back near the Clouds
> a good option is to buy 1/2 the position at market on signal
> and 1/2 after the first pull back
📍 First Stop Loss: place your SL under the lower border of the GreyBox for an expected TrendUp or the higher border for an expected TrendDown
📍 BreakEven: when the price reaches your Risk/Reward ratio of 1 = Distance StopLoss vs Entry = Distance Current Price vs Entry
📍 Trailing Stop: just under the lowest border of the Blue Cloud (TrendUp) or the highest border of the Orange Cloud (TrendDown)
📍 TakeProfits: in a TrendUP, place your take profits just under the FibosLevels in order not to get exited (and above in a TrendDOWN)
📍 Exits:
> Early option : Crossing of the RealTime TrendLine
> Late option : Crossing of the Blue/Orange cloud
🔹 Strategy #2: Early Trend following : RealTime TrendLine Crossing©
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With this simple tool, get a very early signal of a probable inversion of the current Trend, way before the Decoder Signal is shown, once confirmed by the GreyBox.
Strategy #2: Checklist
📍 Set a Multi Time Frame environment
📍 Check that the Main Time Frame and the Upper Time Frame are moving in the same direction (Up or Down)
📍 Entry (Main Time Frame): wait for the Close crossing over the ReaTime TrendLine in an expected TrendUp (under for a TrendDown )
📍 First Stop Loss (Main Time Frame):
> place your SL under the lower low of the GreyBox (for an expected TrendUp) or the higher high (for an expected TrendDown)
📍 BreakEven: move your SL to Entry price when the price reaches your Risk/Reward ratio of 1 = Distance StopLoss vs Entry = Distance Current Price vs Entry
📍 Trailing Stop: just under the lowest border of the Blue Cloud (TrendUp) or the highest border of the Orange Cloud (TrendDown)
📍 TakeProfits: in a TrendUP, place your take profits just under the FibosLevels in order not to get exited (and above in a TrendDOWN)
📍 Exits:
> Early option : Crossing of the RealTime TrendLine
> Late option : Crossing of the Blue/Orange cloud
📌 Configuration
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Well, basically you do not have to do anything !
But you can make TrendDECODER perfectly yours with a few switches in the configuration panel to make appear or disappear each one of the elements composing TrendDECODER.
TrueLevel Bands: One of the Most Useful IndicatorsThe TrueLevel Bands Indicator: Why It's One of the Most Useful Indicators Out There
The TrueLevel Bands indicator is a powerful technical analysis tool that helps traders identify trends and potential reversal points in the markets. It is a versatile and customizable indicator that can be used on any financial instrument, including stocks, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
In this article, we'll explore the TrueLevel Bands indicator in detail, and explain why it's one of the most useful indicators for traders.
What Are TrueLevel Bands?
TrueLevel Bands are a type of envelope indicator that helps traders identify the upper and lower boundaries of a trading range. They are similar to Bollinger Bands, but instead of using a fixed number of standard deviations from the moving average, TrueLevel Bands use a multiple of the standard deviation that is determined by the length of the moving average.
The TrueLevel Bands indicator consists of two lines: an upper band and a lower band. The upper band is calculated by adding a multiple of the standard deviation to the moving average, while the lower band is calculated by subtracting the same multiple of the standard deviation from the moving average.
How to Use TrueLevel Bands
TrueLevel Bands can be used in a variety of ways, but their primary purpose is to help traders identify trends and potential reversal points in the markets. Here are a few ways that traders can use TrueLevel Bands:
1. Trend identification
One of the most significant advantages of TrueLevel Bands is the cloud created by the transparency of the fill color between the upper and lower bands. This cloud makes it easy to visualize the trend at a glance, without having to rely on complex technical analysis tools or methods. The cloud effect also provides a clear indication of the strength of the trend. The wider the cloud, the stronger the trend, while a narrow cloud indicates a weaker trend or consolidation. This feature is particularly useful for traders who prefer to use visual cues to make trading decisions.
TrueLevel Bands make it easy to identify the direction of the trend. When the price is above the cloud, it is considered to be in an uptrend. Conversely, when the price is below the cloud, it is considered to be in a downtrend.
2. Reversal points
TrueLevel Bands can also be used to identify potential reversal points in the markets. When the price reaches the upper band, it is considered to be overbought, and a reversal to the downside may occur. Similarly, when the price reaches the lower band, it is considered to be oversold, and a reversal to the upside may occur.
3. Support and resistance levels
TrueLevel Bands can also be used to identify support and resistance levels. When the price is trading within the bands, the upper band serves as a resistance level, while the lower band serves as a support level. Traders can use these levels to identify potential entry and exit points for their trades.
4. Volatility
TrueLevel Bands can also be used to measure volatility. When the bands are narrow, it indicates that the market is experiencing low volatility. Conversely, when the bands are wide, it indicates that the market is experiencing high volatility.
5. Fibonacci-based length options
In addition to the standard length options (250, 500, 750, 1250, 2000, and 3250), TrueLevel Bands also offer Fibonacci-based length options. These lengths are spaced out in a way that allows traders to capture different time frames and market movements, from short-term fluctuations to longer-term trends.
The Fibonacci-based length options were chosen by multiplying 125 (which represents 6 months of daily data) by a sequence of Fibonacci numbers, starting with 2. The resulting lengths are: 250 (125 x 2), 375 (125 x 3), 500 (125 x 4), 325 (125 x 5), 750 (125 x 6), 1000 (125 x 8), 1250 (125 x 10), 1625 (125 x 13), 2000 (125 x 16), 2625 (125 x 21), 3250 (125 x 26), 3750 (125 x 30), and 4250 (125 x 34).
By using these Fibonacci-based length options, traders can take advantage of the natural patterns and rhythms that exist in the markets. These lengths are spaced out in a way that allows traders to capture different time frames and market movements, from short-term fluctuations to longer-term trends.
Why TrueLevel Bands Are More Accurate Than Moving Averages
Moving averages are a popular technical analysis tool that help traders identify trends and potential reversal points in the markets. However, they have a few drawbacks that make them less accurate than TrueLevel Bands.
1. moving averages are based on past prices, which means they lag behind the current market conditions. This can lead to false signals and missed trading opportunities.
2. moving averages use a fixed number of periods, which may not be suitable for all market conditions. For example, a 50-period moving average may work well in a trending market, but it may be less effective in a choppy or range-bound market.
TrueLevel Bands, on the other hand, use a multiple of the standard deviation that is determined by the length of the moving average. This means that the bands are more responsive to changes in market conditions, and they can adapt to different market environments.
Conclusion
The TrueLevel Bands indicator is a powerful and versatile tool that can help traders identify trends, potential reversal points, support and resistance levels, and measure volatility. It offers a range of length options, including Fibonacci-based options, that allow traders to capture different time frames and market movements.
Compared to moving averages, TrueLevel Bands are more accurate and adaptable to changing market conditions. They can help traders make better-informed trading decisions and improve their overall trading results.
If you're looking for a reliable and versatile technical analysis tool, give the TrueLevel Bands indicator a try. It might just be the missing piece in your trading toolbox.
EURUSD quick 40 pip ideaA good market opening and an excellent trading week to everyone!
Markets are opening and trends are looking to resume. I can't see many differences from the trends already identified last week. While longer term plays are ongoing, here is a (hopefully) quick intraday idea for some 40 pips on EURUSD.
Price action is clearly telling us the EUR will have another leg up. How big we don't know, but to maximise our chances, let's ride the bullish bias until close to next major resistance level around 1.1030.
✅USD-CAD BROKE THE NARROWING WEDGE|LONG🚀
✅USD-CAD is presenting us with
The classic trend following long
Opportunity because of the
Confluence of multiple factors
All pointing upwards such as
The uptrend, the bullish wedge pattern
And finally the bullish breakout
LONG🚀
✅Like and Subscribe like a BRO✅
eurcad sellFX:EURCAD
The first trade idea for eurcad didn't pan out as expected, price ended up trickling up to test resistance at 1.47829.
New trade idea, I'm looking to sell only if price fall below 1.47400 and then a 15 min consolidation or if price creates a 3-touch channel as I indicated on the chart, then I can confidently look for a short position
Crude WTI - IMO should bounce on this L/T Ascending Trend lineMATBAROFEX:WTI1!
Using a weekly candle chart, Crude right on an upward trend line testing, using the March 2020 low. Crude should bounce from here current level having been tough to break over the last 2 years.
Unless we are about to live a historical correction moment on Oil (liquidation/ news flow / Itan) the current price action set up is favouring longs here.
As an aside we are also reaching a 50% retardement Fibonacci ratio level taking High 2022/ March 2020 Low.
Short position - Silver futures (COMEX)Our semi-systematic programme, consisting of different trend-following models that we apply manually, is opening short positions in some futures contracts, including COMEX silver futures.
This position could also be executed via A-book CFDs or correlated ETPs.
Positions
1st sell stop: 20.515
1st guaranteed trailing stop loss: 21.370
Take profit: 18
2nd sell stop: 19.700
2nd guaranteed trailing stop loss: 20.515
Take profit: 18
Risk & portfolio management
Portfolio risk 1st position: 0.5%
Portfolio risk 2nd position: 0.3%
Portfolio exposure: 3%
Financial engineering
COMEX Futures
Trading model
TTW
Execution
Manual, semi-systematic.
Palladium - Short position - Trend-followingOur Manual Systematic Program is opening new Palladium short positions.
Sell stop: 1444.5
Guaranteed trailing stop: 0.3% of our portfolio for the first position; 0.6% if second.
Take profit: Guaranteed trailing stop.
Financial engineering: A-book CFDs (Global Prime)
NEAR Coin : Technical Rebound in short-medium term?NearCoin's main trend is still bearish , but we do not rule out some interesting corrective moves in the near term. If our analysis is correct, it might be interesting to accumulate on corrective swing and let Long positions run to 3.00 area.
If this idea will be supported by your "Likes" we will continue to follow the crypto with updates below.
thanks for your attention and please... trade with care! 💖
Long position - Live Cattle futuresOne of our algorithmic, trend-following systems entered long at Live Cattle futures at 149.
The system is holding the position with a guaranteed and progressive trailing stop loss of 0.3% and could average new positions if the trend is confirmed in the next weeks.
In recent weeks we have converted a few algorithmic trading programs from Pro Real Code to Python, AFL, or Pine Script with the help of Chat GPT, which shows how revolutionary AI will become in the algorithmic investing space.