Trendfollowing
EURAUD End of Day StrategyIntroducing an End of Day (EOD) strategy that can cut down the amount of time spent at the charts.
The indicators look complicated and anyone who says you should aspire to naked charts is correct.
However, for this strategy, automating the process as much as possible lends itself to having some filters, triggers, etc.
Managing the trade is done manually and two positions are initiated at the start of the trade.
With an EOD strat, you don't necessarily need to worry about the fundamentals that happened during the day, as all of the news is priced into the last candle that closed.
I would stress that selling low to buy lower and buying high to sell higher is the aim of this strat and that you should be aware of previous swing highs and lows.
Bitcoin Bullish Perspective Analysiscurrently, we are seeing the bitcoin price breakout, and respecting the falling wedge pattern, the support trendline held the price nicely with bullish divergence on MACD as additional evidence for a reversal signal. personally, I only conclude that bitcoin in a bullish phase when it's successfully breakout the 22500 resistance level. good luck!
**Disclaimer** the content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in the comment so we can manage the trade together.
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Thank you for your support ;)
GWBFX
CHFJPY LONGPrice is in a up trend on multiple time frames. This added with a counter trendline breakout in the direction of the bigger picture trend singles a move to the upside.
Clean charts are the best. No need to overcrowd the screen with indicators to the point where you cannot see what's going on on the chart. Keep this simple guys and never
trade against the trend. Risk management of between 1- 2% is the holly grail.
McDonald's Breaks Out 2.78%After a 9-month waiting period, McDonald’s has finally created new all-time highs.
The previous all-time high was back in January this year at $271.
Following that, price then went into a range between $217 and $271 and managed
to pick up enough momentum this past week to force a breakout from consolidation.
Our task now is to confirm whether this is a fake breakout or the beginning of a
long-term trend. The way we confirm this as being the start of a trend is by waiting
patiently on the sidelines.
We need to wait for a pattern of higher highs and higher lows to develop, which is
usually a sign of a bullish trend. That will give us the confidence that McDonald’s
is embarking on the next leg of the bull trend.
Waiting will not cause us to miss out because once the confirmation is set, then
we can aggressively compound and maximise our profit on the way up.
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SPX: Heading to our target! What's next?• The SPX keeps going up, heading to our target at 3,911;
• Since it hit our support at the 50% retracement, the index reversed, and so far, there’s not a single bearish sign indicating another crash;
• As long as SPX stays above the dual-support area made by the 21 ema + 38.2% retracement, the bullish bias will persist until it hit our target, at least;
• If it loses its dual-support level, then the index might seek its next support area, around the 61.8% retracement;
• For now, everything is going according to the plan. I’ll keep you guys updated on this.
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AAPL: We nailed the bottom! How to proceed?• AAPL is doing exactly as we expected since our last analysis on it, and it is bouncing just after it hit a clear support level (the link to my last analysis is below this post, as usual);
• Although this movement was pretty obvious, we can’t say this bounce will become a reversal structure yet – it is too soon;
• However, AAPL has more upside, as the last gap is a technical target. The problem is that AAPL is having a hard time around the 21 ema in the 1h chart;
• By breaking this 21 ema, AAPL might finally turn bullish again. On the other hand, by losing the previous day's low, it might frustrate the bullish bias;
• In the daily chart, the 21 ema is very close to the gap area, making this point a dual-resistance level on AAPL;
• Let’s follow it closely from here.
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SPX: Next target and Key Points to watch from here.• The SPX is reacting above its retracements, as I warned on my previous analysis (link below this post);
• Now, the index is trying to close above the retracements and above its 21 ema as well, indicating some strength;
• Last Friday, the volume was quite high as well, another sign that the index wants to recover;
• Since we finally see bullish reactions near its support level, the next technical target is the next resistance at 3,911;
• Is there any chance that SPX could frustrate this thesis? Absolutely, but for this to happen, it must lose the 50% retracement again. In this scenario, it might retest the 61.8% retracement next, or even go to lower levels;
• For now, let’s keep an eye on the 38.2% retracement and the 21 ema, as these are key support levels for the index in the short-term.
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GOLD AT A MAKE OR BREAK ZONEDear Trader,
Quite happy with what gold did today. I have been waiting for the retest of the 1680 zone one more time and this was actually fast-tracked with increase unemployment rate despite the increase in NFP for the month. I believe Gold is at a very strong resistance right for the 4th time in the last in the last 8 weeks after the initial break down and has been rejecting the 1616 zone since then.
Gold is not able ti breakout this time to the upside above 1700, then we should expect significant downward trend to the weekly order block in the lower blue zone.
The best way to make money in this market is to wait and watch price action and follow the market direction.
Will be waiting to see what happens next week.
Enjoy your weekend!
SPY 52 WEEK LOW INCOMING?With the fed set to continue raising rates through 2022 I do not see a bottom in sight. Presented above I map out the two most possible scenarios in my opinion. The December fed meeting is the most important meeting coming post midterms. The November meeting this week will answer a few short term questions but the real question is do we begin slowing in December?
If I had to answer the question above today the answer would be no! Based off the data we have received this month inflation is not slowing and unemployment is still low. The dollar has began to cool off, bonds & equities are getting some relief which provides more liquidity to the downside. The next week may become volatile or even a bit ranged bound as we wait on new data but I believe the end story is all the same.
Spy breaking above the bear trend and 200ma invalidates my thesis. Fed rate slow also invalidates my thesis.
META: Incredibly BEARISH!• META is still in a very strong bear trend, doing lower highs/lows in the short and mid-term;
• So far, there’s not a single bullish sign of structure that could help META. Although there’s no perspective of a reversal, we must keep some key points in mind;
• First, is the $96.37, the black seen in the 1H and D charts above. If, by any means, META reacts and closes above this point, it might indicate some exhaustion;
• META could bounce to its 21 ema again, and this wouldn’t harm the bear trend at all, but this movement would have a high amplitude, as the 21 ema is very far from the price - so be careful;
• Either way, the 21 ema in the 1h chart is going down as well, which might reinforce the resistance area around $96 in a couple of days;
• As long as META maintains the pattern of lower highs/lows, below the 21 ema, below the previous resistances, the bear trend will just persist;
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Dow Jones Breaks Out!The Dow Jones is leading the way for the three US indices by being the first to
recently break and close above the daily 200 simple moving average.
There was a previous break and close above the 200 simple moving average back
in August this year but this proved to be a fake breakout. Only to see price decline by 16%.
This recent move up has been more impulsive than the previous move. The buyers look more
in control, but we need further confirmation before we begin to take long positions again.
We ideally want to see a pattern of higher highs, and higher lows, as this will indicate
a change in behaviour for this asset.
If the S&P and the Nasdaq follow suit and show signs of bullishness, this will further
confirm strength in the market, and a long-term bullish trend will likely unfold.
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If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
GBP-USD trade setupHere we have the alternative to the previous post, I personally see fewer indicators leading to a bearish trend compared to how many bullish trends I see on previous chart. The .38 rejection would be the previous levels of support and my stop loss would be previous resistance levels please leave feedback always trying to learn!!
Armónico Bear TrendInteresting stock, Armonic trend, the stock is in obviously bear Market, and it seems will continue in this way. The earnings were below the expectation. The price is continuing its downtrend and the price is using the moving average of the 50 periods as resistance that push down the price. Let's in the coming weeks if the trend will reach the area of attention between levels 152.15 and 119.88.
Bear trend with a Gap in the last sectionInteresting situation, the stock price is in a bear trend, the price reaches a lower level of the area of attention between the level price 411.15 and 453.29. Leaving a big gap between the close price of the day before. Statistically, the gap price is usually covered in the next sections. the trend looks very symmetrical and looks following the moving average of the 50 periods using it as a support. Let's see in the coming weeks.
The Bitcoin Breakdown of the downtrend. A NEW BULLRUN?The BTC price have been in a downtrend since its peak, early November 2021 at a price high shy of $70,000 US Dollars.
Since, price had decreased 50% plus to a local bottom around $33,000 US Dollars, Late January 2022. Followed by a relief
rally with a peak around $48,000 US Dollars, Late March. For then continue its downtrend to the support area around
the $18,000 US Dollars (that just around the price peak of late 2017). Recently, this month the price made a break of the
downtrend channel form by this price peaks/bottoms since November 2021. This break can be observe around the price of $19,300 US Dollars.
US100 - Nasdaq - Long IdeaAt the end of last week the Nasdaq, flushed through some stops and had a bearish close. For the bears, they are feeling trapped as there was no follow-through to the downside.
In fact the snap back signalled a bullish reversal.
Today we have broken higher out of the opening range and the initial balance. We're just waiting for that pop to confirm that today is the start of a push higher.
BTCUST UPDATE 22.10.2022#BTC UPDATE 22.10.2022📊
#BTC: $ 19,100
#ETH: $ 1,300
📊At 1H TF for Bitcoin, the situation with moving averages is approximately the same with 4H TF, since we have been standing in a range without volatility for a long time.
Now that range has begun to narrow (a triangle has been formed) and the buyer does not release the price from it, driving
large volumes on dumps, as yesterday, for example
Have a good weekend