GBPUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
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Key Points
- Former U.S. President Trump mentioned "April 2" when asked about the timing of tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Given that the initial implementation date was set for March 4, this indicates a one-month delay.
- Concerns over a tariff war between the U.S. and the EU are gaining attention. Trump confirmed plans to impose a 25% tariff on EU products and stated that specific measures would be announced soon. The EU is expected to retaliate.
- Markets anticipate that the Fed will likely keep rates unchanged in March, with attention focused on the PCE price index.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 28: Germany’s February Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair continues to test the trendline resistance following its recent rally. The next directional move will be determined in this zone. If it successfully breaks above the 1.27000 resistance, the price could rise toward 1.31000. If it fails, a pullback toward 1.25000 is expected.
Trend Lines
GBP/USD Poised for a Pullback at Key ResistanceTrend Identification:
Since early January, GBP/USD has been trading within an Ascending Channel indicating an Uptrend.
Resistance Level:
The pair has reached a significant horizontal resistance level around 1.2700, So GBPUSD can Drop to the Lower Support Trend Line of the Channel.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
Bitcoin's Trend Trap: The Shoe Has Spoken
Why This Bounce Won't Stick & Where Price is Headed Next
Bitcoin's recent price action is fooling a lot of people into thinking that the worst is over—but the charts are telling a different story. This latest analysis focuses on trend caps, resistance confirmations, and why Bitcoin is more likely to fail its recovery attempt rather than sustain a new rally.
The video dives into chart physics and explains how trend lines aren't just drawn arbitrarily—they reveal how price interacts with past levels of support and resistance. Using a line of closings and crossings, Hollywood demonstrates how price will tend to respect these self-reinforcing levels. Bitcoin’s recent attempt to push upward is running into trouble because it's failing to break key levels that would indicate actual bullish momentum.
Instead, the market is setting up for a return to test the lower support. Even if price manages a small push higher, it won’t change the overall structure—it's still heading toward the inevitable retest of lower levels, and this time, the failure will be decisive.
Know Thy Shoe. Trust Thy Shoe.
This isn’t just about Bitcoin’s price—it’s about the psychology of the market. Traders don’t want to believe a deeper drop is coming. There’s an unspoken desperation to keep Bitcoin in the $90K range, but the reality is that there’s nothing but clear air below. No real support, just a big empty space where the price should have built a foundation—but didn’t.
Hollywood’s message? Watch the trend cap. Watch the test of the floor. And when the shoe fits, wear it.
(wow, thank you ChatGPT for really good video summary from nothing but a transcript
....
Yeah, ladies and gentlemen, I didn't write all that, if this was me writing all this all the time you wouldn't get this till tomorrow or maybe next Wednesday)
WTI Crude: Uptrend on the Brink—Break or Bounce Ahead?WTI crude oil is testing key uptrend support, offering fresh trading setups depending on how the price action evolves.
With Tuesday’s bearish key reversal candle, RSI (14) trending lower and MACD confirming the bearish momentum signal, a downside bias is favoured. However, with crude already down sharply—and past rebounds from the trendline often proving violent—patience is key.
A clean break below the uptrend could open the door for shorts, with a stop above for protection. Buyers have stepped in around $67–$66.33, making that a key zone to watch. A break lower would put the September 2024 swing low in play.
If support holds, the setup could be flipped. Longs could be established above with a stop beneath for protection. Former channel support sits near $69.60 today—making it an initial upside target—with Tuesday’s high around $71.30 next on the radar.
Good luck!
DS
BigCommerce | BIGC | Long at $7.15BigCommerce NASDAQ:BIGC is growing. Revenue in FY2020 was $152 million and in FY2024 it rose to $333 million. In 2025, the company is targeting $342.1M-$350.1M revenue with focus on B2B growth. Free cash flow in FY2024 was positive for the first time at $22 million. Stay cautious, however, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6x... insiders have recently grabbed $100k+ in shares as well as awarded themselves options. While the price gap near the mid $5 range may be closed in the near-term, the longer-term outlook here seems positive unless the company fundamentals change. The price has also entered my historical simple moving average zone/lines, which is often a bullish signal. Thus, at $7.15, NASDAQ:BIGC is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Block | XYZ | Long at $64.84Block's NYSE:XYZ revenue is anticipated to grow from $24 billion in FY2024 to $32 billion in FY2027. With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8x, debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x, and rising cash flow in the billions, it's a decent value stock at its current price. Understandably, there is some hesitation among investors due to competitive fintech market and economic headwinds. But, like PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , growth is building.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped to within my historical simple moving average bands. Often, but not always, this signals a momentum change and the historical simple moving average lines indicate an upward change may be ahead. While the open price gaps on the daily chart in the $40s and GETTEX:50S may be closed before a true move up occurs, NYSE:XYZ is in a personal buy zone at $64.84.
Targets:
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
[*) $134.00 (very long-term)
Strength on HPQ ChartHP Inc., stock approaches the bottom of the sideways channel (black horizontal lines) from which it may bounce again.
During the May 29, 2024 bar, professionals bought (blue rectangle), and since then, whenever the price reached this zone, they were buying more.
It should be noted that the buying around the bottom of the sideways is much bigger than the selling around its top which is bullish behaviour. Wyckoff's Spring on the recent activity adds to strength too. Another good sign for bulls is the decreasing volume on the down move, which indicates an absence of professional interest in lowering prices.
The testing process is ongoing as of today. If the price reaches the buying zone and no supply reappears, there is a big probability for a move up towards $37.30 - $ 39.29 with minor resistance around $34.62 - $34.72.
If supply reappears and the price breaks the bottom of the sideways channel ($32.41) we may see another leg down to $29.00 - $30.00 for more buying.
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum & Key Demand Zones📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Perspective
Current Market Structure:
📈 Bullish Momentum: The price is currently trending upwards after breaking a short-term high (SH) and liquidity zone.
🔄 Change of Character (CH): Confirmed as the price broke previous resistance, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Key Zones & Levels:
🟣 H4 Block Order (Demand Zone): Marked in purple, this area aligns with a strong order block, indicating potential buying interest if the price retraces.
🟥 Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above the demand zone, acting as a potential area for price rebalancing before resuming the uptrend.
🔴 200 EMA at 1.25179: Serving as dynamic support, aligning with the demand zone for potential buy setups.
Potential Scenarios:
📉 Retracement to Demand Zone (1.2500 - 1.2550)
Buyers may step in at the H4 Block Order & Fair Value Gap.
Price could form a higher low before continuation.
📈 Bullish Expansion to New Highs (1.2750 - 1.2800)
If demand holds, expect a strong push-up towards liquidity areas.
Breakout could trigger momentum buying.
Bias:
✅ Bullish (Higher Highs & Higher Lows Forming)
⚠️ Caution: If price breaks below 1.2500, sentiment may shift bearish.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURCAD is in a Bullish Pattern After Testing SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth.
Main Scenario
The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement.
Two possible correction paths:
1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area.
2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range.
After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics.
Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected.
Secondary Scenario
Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable.
Alternative Scenario
In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226).
Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
Alt-season is near?BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to decline, but despite the significant drop, there is no panic in the market. Most altcoins are already near local lows, which may play in favor of the upcoming altcoin season.
However, high market volatility makes it difficult to make effective trading decisions: shorting is risky, and longing overvalued projects is inappropriate.
A double top may form on the bitcoin-dominance chart ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ), which in the past has already led to a shift of capital into altcoins. So far, this scenario remains unconfirmed (a descending pattern should form), but if it materializes, the market may enter an active phase of altcoin growth.
It is important to remember that even if bitcoin dominance reverses, overbought altcoins may continue to decline, so we will continue to hold the accumulated hedge shorts.
Liquidity is more likely to flow into undervalued assets that have not yet undergone an active growth phase. In this context, special attention should be paid to coins with long accumulation, as coins from our investment portfolio, so that perhaps at the final formation of the downward pattern we will add the investment part up to 50% to those clients who connected to us after Q2 2024.
The situation remains dynamic and it is important to wait for confirmations before making decisions. However, the long-awaited alt season, which Influencers have been talking about all year and we have been skeptical that it hasn't started yet, may indeed be on the doorstep and finally starting soon.
TESTING PATIENCE As we can see NIFTY despite trying is not able to close itself inside the structure which indicates lurking weakness in coming sessions but intuition says we may see NIFTY’s weekly candle could probably close inside the structure leading to the end of bear trend and change of trend so plan your trades accordingly .
BTCUSD Bearish Analysis Update
Back in December, I shared a bearish analysis on #BTCUSD, highlighting a potential major move. Now, we've seen:
📉 2.1M pips
📉 -19.56% decline
Key Technical Reasons:
✔ Falling Wedge on the Daily TF
✔ Retest of the Rising Wedge and trendline
👁 Falling Wedge formation on the Monthly TF, with a breakout of resistance that the market needs to retest to the downside
Now that we've reached a long-term support level, I'm expecting a short pullback to the upside before the bearish trend resumes toward $64K.
Sharing both my December analysis and an updated chart for reference. 📊
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC #Markets
Hikma Pharma Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Hikma Pharma Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Completed Survey
* Pattern Confirmation | Entry Feature & Long Support | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1.618 & 0.618 Retracement Area | Long Support | Subdivision 2
* (Neutral Area)) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias))
* (Uptrend Argument))
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
RIVN looks ready after a flatRIVN bounced off the 61.8% retracement of W-(1), looked like a clean impulse besides the very deep retracement of W-2, but still valid. Wave B looks like 3 waves up and was rejected off the 127% making it look like an expanded flat. This then followed into an ending diagonal for C right into that 61.8% retracement of W-(1) and not quite hitting the 161.8% extension of W-A.
On a smaller timeframe, this last leg down could look like a 1-2 1-2 and needs a second 4-5 still. One more low could be in order.
#SMTC $SMTC AnalysisNASDAQ:SMTC Key levels:
$35 = Yearly and Biannually demand
$50 = Broken upper channel wedge "Could be retested"
$20 = A cluster og yearly and 6 month demand
#SMTC is trading on a huge yearly and bianually demand where it accumlating more buys. The stock is trading below its 200 SMA and might stall upon retesting it.
Closing below $29 will unlock a zone down to $20 per share.
#smtc #stocks #stockmarket #ahmedmesbah
#FOXYUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Downtrend Confirmation📉 SHORT BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P from $0.002765
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.002928
⏱ 1H Timeframe
⚡ Trade Plan:
✅ The BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P chart shows a confirmed breakdown of a Bearish Pennant, signaling a continuation of the downward trend.
✅ The asset is trading below POC (Point of Control) at $0.003052, confirming seller dominance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.002692
🔥 TP 2: $0.002618
⚡ TP 3: $0.002545
📢 Holding below $0.002765 would confirm the downtrend.
📢 POC at $0.003052 is a key selling area where major volume was previously accumulated.
📢 High volume on the breakout confirms bearish momentum.
📢 The first TP at $0.002692 is a level where partial profit-taking is recommended.
🚨 BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P remains in a bearish trend – monitoring for further confirmation and securing profits at TP levels!
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.