Trend Lines
Gold maintains bullish trend
💡Message Strategy
Gold rebounded in shock before the US market, and the market rose. Previously, gold recorded the largest single-day drop in a month (1.4%) on Monday. After the sudden situation in the Middle East and US President Trump's warning to Tehran, the market's risk aversion demand heated up again, pushing gold prices to rebound in the Asian session.
The two-day interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve has also become the top priority of the market. Tensions in the Middle East have heated up again. According to Reuters, Israel's air strikes on Iran's state-run TV station, Iran's threats to launch the most violent missile attack in history, and the fire of three oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz have caused market concerns about the escalation of geopolitical conflicts. US President Trump left the G7 summit early and convened a national security meeting, which increased market risk aversion.
At the same time, ETF holdings have increased significantly. Data shows that ETFs increased their gold holdings by 136,000 ounces on the previous trading day, and the net purchase volume has reached 6 million ounces this year, reflecting that funds still have strong confidence in the future of gold. SPDR Gold ETF recorded a single-day net inflow of US$285 million last Friday, the largest scale in weeks.
In the US macroeconomics, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this week, but the focus is on Powell's speech and changes in the dot plot. As expectations of further interest rate cuts in 2025 heat up, the US dollar is still under pressure near a three-year low, and analysts believe that this will form structural support for gold in the medium term.
📊Technical aspects
The gold daily candlestick chart shows that the current trend is in a typical "rising wedge" pattern. Prices have been rising steadily along an upward trend line this year, while the upper side is suppressed by strong resistance in the 3420-3430 area. The current market is in a wait-and-see state.
The current gold market sentiment is in a "highly sensitive" stage. On the one hand, risk aversion once pushed gold to rebound rapidly, reflecting the market's extremely high pricing sensitivity to geopolitical risks; on the other hand, traders are still uncertain about the outlook for the Fed's policy, and the expectation that interest rates will remain unchanged has been fully priced in, but there are large differences in the future path of interest rate cuts.
If the results of the FOMC meeting are hawkish or Powell sends a signal that there will be no interest rate cut, and the market's risk aversion sentiment eases, gold may fall back to the key support area of 3350-3360 US dollars. Traders are closely watching the changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and geopolitical situation, and at the same time be alert to the risks of "false breakthroughs" and sharp pullbacks.
💰 Strategy Package
Trend: Upward trend
Support: Around 3360.00
Resistance: Around 3420.50
Long Position:3365-75
Stop loss at 3350, take profit around 3400-3420, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point.
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3380-3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
J.B. Hunt Transport Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# J.B. Hunt Transport Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal) - *Shift & Entry | Completed Survey
* (Diagonal) - *Pullback Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Short Consecutive Range | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 155.00 USD
* Entry At 140.00 USD
* Take Profit At 117.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Baytex Energy is breaking out from trendline resistanceBaytex Energy just broke out from trendline resistance (July 12, 2025) from resistance that started back in July of last year.
It was a huge volume spike. The price is trading just above my resistance line today.
Earnings forecast for the next quarter is down and that's probably why it has reached a low recently assuming investors are forward looking.
Earnings forecasts are higher after the next report. So, I think it may have bottomed out already.
Continue to try to short gold,It's expected to touch 3355-3345 Gold has broken through 3380 twice, but recovered quickly, indicating that the bulls still have some defensive power. At present, gold has touched 3400 again; it can be seen that the bulls' potential defense is still good, but it is not enough to support the continued rebound of gold in the short term. Obviously, gold is still under pressure in the 3410-3420 area in the short term. If gold cannot break through this resistance area in the short term, gold may continue to maintain a volatile state and continue to seek strong support downward. Only after gold breaks through the 3410-3420 area, it is expected to continue to rise and touch the area near 3450 again.
When gold tested the support near 3380 several times during the day and tried to break through this area, after gold failed to break through the 3410-3420 area in the short term, I think gold will be more likely to choose a downward direction, or even continue to test the 3355-3345 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, before breaking through the 3410-3420 area, we should not chase gold too much, and we can try to short gold in this area appropriately.
GBPJPY: Important New High 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY set a new higher high higher close on a daily,
violating a key horizontal resistance cluster.
I think that it opens a potential for more growth.
Next strong resistance is 195.15
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Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
Key Concepts Used:
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13).
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450).
Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move.
$$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward.
Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart
The chart suggests:
A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup").
Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow.
If structure holds, price may:
Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL).
Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Range Type
Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone
Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity
Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target
If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens.
Summary:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds.
Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup.
Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450.
Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380
XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
HelenP. I Gold may correct to support zone and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After rebounding from the trend line, XAUUSD began to grow steadily within the rising structure, confidently pushing through local resistance and breaking above the previous support 2 area. This breakout was backed by strong bullish momentum, with the price clearly holding above the broken level, turning it into a support base. Following that surge, the price entered a short-term consolidation, trading within the upper boundary of the chart, just above the 3400 level. This area now acts as a crucial support zone, and the market is currently hovering slightly above it after a local peak. Given the strength of the recent impulse and the confirmation of previous resistance as support, I expect a brief correction to the support zone before a continuation of the bullish move. That’s why I set my current goal at 3470 points — the next potential resistance area where the price may encounter renewed selling pressure after the rally continues. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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Gold Faces Resistance as Israel-Iran Conflict Fails to Fuel RallGold Unlikely to Sustain Long-Term Gains on Israel-Iran Tensions
Despite escalating geopolitical risks, gold’s upside remains limited. Julius Baer's Carsten Menke notes that the recent move is likely driven by short-term speculative and algorithmic flows, not physical safe-haven demand—consistent with historical patterns of brief geopolitical spikes.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently trading below 3404, suggesting possible range-bound consolidation between 3404 and 3480.
A 1H close below 3380 could trigger further downside toward 3365 and 3347.
Conversely, a break above 3404 would open the way for a bullish push toward 3448.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3381
• Support: / 3365 / 3347 / 3321
• Resistance: 3404/ 3420 / 3448
I had a nightmare this morning.Recently, I published my analysis about BTC and found that BTC is following a rising channel and is being supported by fib retracement.
But unfortunately, BTC hasn't shown any remarkable movement so far, and came back again the the support area.
I feel this is not a good sign for BTC.
ON a weekly view, It May repeat its previous movement.
I am publishing my reservation about BTC, be careful about BTC.
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GBPAUD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Bearish divergence followed by the most recent uptrend line breakout.
Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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SPX500 Under Pressure Amid Renewed Israel-Iran TensionsSPX500 Overview
Israel-Iran Truce Hopes Collapse
Investor hopes for a swift de-escalation between Israel and Iran were quickly shattered as both sides resumed hostilities. The situation intensified further after U.S. President Donald Trump urged Iranian civilians to evacuate Tehran and abruptly ended his participation at the G7 summit, reportedly convening the U.S. National Security Council.
These developments have fueled broad risk-off sentiment across markets.
Technical Outlook:
SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 6010. A continued drop toward the key support at 5966 is likely, with a break below this level potentially opening the path to 5938 and 5902.
However, if the price stabilizes above 5966 without breaking it, we may see a rebound attempt toward 6010 and 6041.
Any signs of negotiation or de-escalation in the conflict could trigger a strong bullish reversal.
Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143
Gold is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,360 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEA Based on the current US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index) chart, the price action shows a strong bullish trend within a well-defined ascending channel that spans from mid-2023 through 2025. The index recently bounced off the mid-range zone near the 41,185 – 41,940 support levels and is now approaching a potential continuation move toward the upper resistance zone between 44,472 and 44,620. This area represents a key supply zone where price previously rejected, suggesting potential hesitation or reversal upon retest. The recent higher lows and breakout from a corrective phase indicate strong bullish structure, supported by institutional order flow—possibly driven by buy-side liquidity targeting previous highs. If the price maintains above 41,681 and creates a successful retest (break and retest confirmation), it offers a compelling opportunity for long positions aiming toward the channel top or key resistance.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, the market structure shifted bullish after sweeping liquidity below April's low followed by a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. This shows strong accumulation by institutions. The demand zone formed around 41,185 – 41,681 can be considered a reaccumulation block and a potential entry point for buys on retracement.
Fundamental Context:
This week's movement must also be interpreted in light of broader geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel, which has implications on investor sentiment and global market volatility. Heightened tensions in the Middle East typically cause oil prices to spike and introduce risk-off sentiment. However, the Dow’s resilience suggests that U.S. investors may currently be pricing in confidence in the U.S. economy, strong corporate earnings, or the expectation that the Fed will maintain or cut interest rates if geopolitical shocks affect global demand. If tensions escalate further into military confrontation or affect major oil supply chains, we could see a temporary pullback or risk aversion across equities—including US30.
Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish continuation (if current structure holds).
Entry Zone: Around 41,940–42,100 on a retest with bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 41,185 (structure invalidation).
Take Profit: First TP at 44,472; extended TP at 44,620 or channel top.
Invalidation: Break below 41,185 with a daily close.
In conclusion, unless the conflict between Iran and Israel leads to a sharp risk-off move, US30 appears poised for bullish continuation driven by technical momentum, strong market structure, and medium-term economic optimism. However, traders should monitor headlines closely, as escalation in the Middle East could introduce significant volatility.