USDT.D update (1H)USDT.D has vioalated the previous analysis. It's breaking out the parallel channel which may engage a bullish flag pattern to activate.
As an extra, there will be PCE reports coming soon. If you see green candles on assest, don't dive in to long positions blindly.
Many of the parameters and signals are showing that prices about to go cheapher.
Market might be about getting close to another crash!
Trend Lines
GBPAUD what's next ! GBPAUD is trading inside an ascending parallel channel, the price action shows a neutral short term trend, but the major trend is bullish, price is clearly trading above the 200 EMA, my setup is wait for price to touch resistance line of the channel to catch the next correction, let me know in the comments bellow what do you think for this pair, your thoughts is important, if you like my idea don't forget to boost it.
XAUUSD:Should I make money by going short after buying?Did you follow the accurate instructions to buy XAUUSD this time? If not. What about next time?
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Analysis – Rectangle Pattern Breakdown1. Market Overview
The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift.
This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure
A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment
The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price.
As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact.
However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength.
B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase)
The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern.
This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium.
Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure.
The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely.
C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection
The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure.
The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move.
The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support.
The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt.
3. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Ideal Trade Entry
Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance.
Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside.
Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup.
B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy)
Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts.
Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses.
4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
A. Bearish Continuation Outlook
The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected.
Increased selling volume confirms bearish control.
B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios
If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery.
A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
5. Conclusion
This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs.
Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
BTC/USDT - The moment of truthThe BTC/USDT chart highlights a crucial moment as the price breaks out of a bearish trendline and tests a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. Key scenarios include:
- A potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price successfully holds above the FVG zone and confirms support.
- Alternatively, a rejection at this level could signal a return to bearish momentum.
Keep an eye on price action within the FVG zone for confirmation of the next move. Which way do you see BTC heading?
GBPJPY: Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I see a confirmed breakout of a significant daily resistance on GBPJPY.
The price will most likely continue rising within a wedge pattern.
The next goal for the buyers is 197.0.
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NIFTY--@Manipulation??Nifty index is broken the trendline strongly...
Before going to break price a strong consolidation is given with a lot of liquidity lies below it...
@22400 levels
now price is exactly at the zone of resistance.
the resistance zone is lies at 24000-24300, after a strong movement to upside price is still not given any retracement...
Case1::
I am expecting either a strong retracement towards trendline.
the retracement should be in the form of correction with slower one.
Corrective pullback::
Case2::
After the liquidity above the 24000 and 24300, price has to give some retracement..
If we buy here it will completely becomes a manipulation....
Buying above the resistance zone is also a manipulation on topside...
If price breaks the resistance zone, then will wait for a correction towards the trendline areas.
Note::
So in order to buy the breakout of trendline the stoploss placement is very large...so with large stoploss will never go for buying...
the 2 possible buying areas are
1.breakout candle at the trendline
2.after the liquidity grab below the strong consolidation zone( before breakout of trendline.)
we have manipulation on both sides....if we go for long price will make an attempt of retracement as lot of liquidity lies below.
Better to look for short above the resistance zone(topside liquidity).If no retracement now.
GOLD → Consolidation forms a trigger. Rally?FX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid weakening dollar demand due to Trump's imposition of new tariffs. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims ahead
Gold is further supported by renewed concerns about a slowdown in the US economy due to trade duties. However, growth beyond ATH remains questionable due to geopolitical nuances.
The market focus shifts to macroeconomic data: the final US GDP for the fourth quarter and jobless claims will be released today. Also the attention will be drawn to the speeches of the Fed representatives, who earlier made it clear that they are in no hurry to cut rates due to inflation risks caused by Trump's tariff policy
Resistance levels: 3038, 3046, 3056
Support levels: 3033, 3025
The strong resistance is 3038. Breakdown and price consolidation above this level will provoke continuation of growth (there is a chance of ATH retest). But, since there is news ahead, gold may test the zone of interest and liquidity 3030-3025 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
EURNZD Long BiasThe EURNZD pair is currently breaking out of a descending trendline on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The price has recently bounced from a key demand zone, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting strong bullish interest.
Additionally, the price is now trading above key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish bias. A sustained break above the breakout level could confirm further upside potential, with the next target around the 1.92 zone. However, if the price fails to hold above the breakout level, a potential retest of the demand zone near 1.87 could be expected before resuming upward momentum.
GBPUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers!
We’re glad to have you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Reuters reported that the U.S. has no plans to negotiate with the European Union until next week's reciprocal tariff announcement.
- President Trump, through Truth Social, warned that if the EU and Canada cooperate to economically harm the U.S., he would impose significantly higher tariffs.
- In the U.K., the persistent fiscal deficit issue has once again drawn attention, leading to a rise in U.K. government bond yields. The British government has revised its 2024 GDP growth forecast downward from 2% to 1%.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ March 28: U.K. Q4 GDP, U.S. February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
After reaching the 1.30000 level, GBPUSD has failed to show a clear trend and continues to move within the lower range of this level. If it fails to break above 1.30000 and moves downward, it may decline to 1.28000 before rebounding toward 1.31000. Conversely, if an upward trend continues, it is likely to break 1.31000 and rise further toward 1.34000.
Strong GDP, Weak USD – How Will EURUSD React!?Today's U.S. data showed strong GDP growth (2.4%) , but lower inflation ( 2.3% Final GDP Price Index ) and a weaker trade balance ( -147.9B ) suggest the Fed may remain cautious on rate hikes. This limits USD's strength , supporting a potential EURUSD rebound .
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($1.08180-$1.0745) and has also managed to break the Downtrend line . 50_SMA(Weekly) plays a good role of support for EURUSD .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis and Price Action , there is also a possibility that EURUSD will return to an uptrend with Inverse Head and Shoulders and Bullish Quasimodo Patterns .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is an Expanding Flat Correction(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hour s and rise to at least $1.0855 , and if the Resistance zone($1.0867-$1.0850) is broken, we should expect more pumping .
Note: If EURUSD breaks below the 50_SMA(Weekly), we expect further declines. The worst Stop Loss(SL) could be $1.072.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree .
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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COPPER Technical Analysis📊 COPPER (1D) Technical Analysis 📊
🔹 Trend Overview:
Copper is in a strong uptrend, testing a key resistance level. A breakout or rejection here will determine the next move.
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 5.393 – A breakout above this level could send price higher.
📉 Support: 5.098 – If broken, price may drop to 4.832.
🔹 Market Structure:
🚀 Bullish scenario: Rejection/hold of 5.098 & we might see price back to 5.3967 → Break & Retest → Target higher levels.
⚠️ Bearish scenario: Break of 5.098 → Drop to 4.832 → Further decline if broken.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 5.09840 & 5.393, targeting new highs.
Bearish below 5.09840.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmation of breakout or rejection before entering trades.
Silver Bulls in Control as $34.87 Retest Comes Into ViewThe bullish move in silver we anticipated has played out nicely following the break of wedge resistance earlier this week, with the price squeezing above $34.24 on Thursday. Bulls will now be eyeing a retest of the October 24 swing high of $34.87.
Momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD are trending higher, reinforcing the bullish setup and favouring buying dips and bullish breaks.
A retrace back toward $34.24 would create a setup where longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. While resistance may emerge around $34.50, $34.87 screens as a more appropriate target for those seeking greater risk-reward. A break above that would leave silver trading at multi-decade highs.
If silver were to reverse and close beneath $34.24, the bullish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
NZD/JPY 4H - Bullish Reversal Setup NZD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis 📊🔥
Key Observations:
Market Structure:
The market has been in a downtrend but appears to be forming a potential reversal pattern.
A swing low (SH) has formed, indicating possible liquidity grab or accumulation.
Change of Character (CH) suggests a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Support & Demand Zone:
A demand zone (orange area) is highlighted around 82.92, which may act as a strong support level.
Price is expected to tap into this area before a potential bullish rally.
Upside Target 🎯:
If price respects the demand zone, we could see a bullish push towards the 88.29 resistance level.
The 200 EMA (red line) could act as a dynamic resistance along the way.
Trade Idea 💡:
Bullish Bias: Looking for long entries near 82.92 with targets around 88.00+.
Risk: If price breaks below the demand zone, further downside could be expected.
Conclusion:
📌 Watch for price reaction in the demand zone! If buyers step in, we could see a strong bullish move towards 88.00+. 🚀📈
Public strategy all correctSo far, everyone has made a profit by following the trading plan. We arranged short orders at 3032 and 3052 for gold, but the short-term trend was strong, so we all left the market at 3038! We collected another 80 points of profit! The operation idea is very clear.
News analysis: Why is 3026 so critical? Looking back at the rebound of gold prices in the past few days, it is not difficult to find that many previous rebounds have retreated near 3026. At the same time, this point is also the first time that gold prices have bottomed out and rebounded from 3056 before this round. After breaking through, it rebounded many times but failed to pass. This is a typical watershed between longs and shorts. In fact, yesterday's gold price had already meant to break upward, but the market tension was limited yesterday. The first wave of impact to 3038 this morning has already sounded the horn of the bulls' charge. Unfortunately, it was not sure whether 3026 could be held at that time. If the high position is near 3030, the defense should be placed below 3020, which is a little big. There is no reverse follow-up to keep up with the rhythm of this wave of rebound.
Technical analysis of gold: The current idea of the end of the trading day is very clear. We chose to take short positions below the previous historical high of 3055-57 for the second time. The short positions of 3050-52 have now retreated to around 3038. Since there has been a high-level decline, it shows that the bulls are not that strong. There has been no breakout in one go. The probability of breaking 3055 tonight is gradually decreasing. The end of the trading day will most likely remain in the 3030-50 range for consolidation, and the focus will be on tonight's closing point. If the high-level close is above 45, the gold price may set a new high tomorrow; if the closing line is below 35, it will maintain a high level of volatility tomorrow, Friday.
Operation strategy: If gold falls back to around 3030-35, you can take long positions. Gold can still be shorted around 3055-58
Trading discipline:
1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to our operation plan. The information in the market is complicated. Blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. All short-selling profit-taking areas 3050-3045 are closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes. Once there is a change, we will inform you in time and strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines to move forward steadily in a volatile market and achieve steady appreciation of assets.