Trend Lines
GOLD → Bullish structure. Emphasis on 2955FX:XAUUSD is still in consolidation, but the flat is gradually changing into an ascending triangle structure, which further explains the bullish interest in the market.
Gold price is consolidating near the record high of $2,956. Investors took a pause before a possible continuation of gains amid renewed trade war fears over Trump's statements on tariffs and controls on exports of Nvidia chips to China.
Weak risk sentiment and a rising dollar are holding back gold, but lower bond yields and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting prices.
Gold will remain influenced by tariff negotiations and US consumer confidence data in the coming days
Resistance levels: 2940, 2954.5
Support levels: 2930.7, 2921
Local resistance at 2940 is ahead. If the bulls are able to consolidate above this area, we should wait for the growth and the retest of 2954.5.
2954.5 is a trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of the bull rally.
But before that the consolidation between 2954 and 2940 may be formed. I don't exclude the flat support retest before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC BULL SET UP"Hey traders!
BTC has bounced off the key support level and is currently rejecting lower prices. All eyes are on the bulls now!
We're looking forward to confirming our entry with a clear market structure. Notably, BTC has bounced off the trend line for the third time on the daily time frame, which suggests a strong bullish bias.
Let's hope it plays out as predicted!
Stay vigilant!
USDCAD Swing trade idea 25/02/2025USDCAD closed bullish on the daily, suggesting a potential retest of 1.43100 before resuming bearish momentum. Key sell zones remain at 1.43100 and 1.41000 for the continuation trade. However, if price closes bullish back into the range above 1.43500, the bearish bias would be invalidated for now, and we may need to reassess market structure.
DogeCoin Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand ZoneDogecoin Price Analysis: Potential Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand Zone
Given the lower highs and recent price action, the price seems to be following a descending channel with a potential for further downward movement.
The price will try to touch the Demand Zone (0.2130) if can close 4h candle below the pivot line which is 0.2654
Short-term correction might occur, potentially bouncing off the support zones, but a breakout below the pivot line could confirm further downside.
Next Movement:
If the price holds below the pivot line (0.2654), it could reach 0.2130. A break of that level could send the price toward the demand zone at 0.1774.
It’s important to keep an eye on any reversals or retracements that might occur at these pivot levels.
Key levels
Pivot Line: 0.2713
Resistance Lines: 0.3093, 0.3505, 0.4150
Support Lines: 0.2130, 0.1774, 0.1465
US30-Bearish Momentum in Play as DowJones Drops Below Pivot ZoneUS30 Analysis – February 25, 2025
🔻 Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone
US30 has continued its downward movement, as previously anticipated . The price remains below the pivot line (43,765) and has already tested the support at 43,350. However, to confirm further downside toward 42,770, the price must break below 43,212 with a 4H candle close.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
As long as US30 remains below 43,760, the downward pressure is expected to continue.
A 4H candle close below 43,212 will confirm a bearish continuation toward 42,770.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
Stability above 43,212 will lead to a range-bound movement between 43,212 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs.
A 4H candle close above the pivot zone (43,765) is required for the bullish trend to resume.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 43,690 | 43,900 | 44,210
Pivot: 43,580
Support: 43,212 | 43,030 | 42,770
⚠️ Directional Bias:
Currently, US30 is consolidating within the 43,212 – 43,765 range. A break below 43,212 will confirm the bearish trend continuation.
GBP/JPY - 1H SMC Analysis📊 GBP/JPY - 1H SMC Analysis
🔹 Market Structure & Key Zones:
✅ A+ Level: 189.954 - 190.369 (Potential liquidity grab area)
✅ Key Resistance Zone: 190.233 - 190.369
✅ Major Target: 187.510 (Potential 250+ pip move)
🔹 Potential Trade Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Setup:
• Price is in a premium zone (190.233 - 190.369), making it a high-probability short area.
• If price reacts at the A+ Level, we could see a drop towards 187.510.
• Risk-free trade achieved above the resistance.
📈 Bullish Case (Low Probability):
• If price breaks and holds above 190.369, it may continue towards 190.63 - 190.85.
📌 Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry Idea: Sell from 189.954 - 190.369 zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 190.85 (Safe zone).
🔹 Take Profit: 187.510 (250+ pips move).
💡 Conclusion:
• Watching for rejection at A+ Level for a short entry.
• If price fails to hold below 190.369, reevaluate the bias.
#GBPJPY #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #LiquidityGrab #OrderBlock #RiskManagement #FXFOREVER
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
PI/USDT Intraday Short BIAS TheoryBased on intraday chart, it appears to be a short-term trading strategy for PIUSDT on a 1-hour time frame. Here are some potential implications and considerations:
Bearish Divergenc e: a "bearish diversion forming," which could indicate a potential reversal of the current trend. However, without further confirmation, it's difficult to determine the direction of the reversal.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Range s: The provided stop loss and take profit ranges are quite broad, which may increase the risk of significant losses or gains. Consider narrowing these ranges to more specific levels, such as:
Stop Loss: 2.2 - 2.6
TP1: Short-term bounce at 1.5709 - 1.5712
TP2: Bounce at 1.5712 - 1.5
715
Time Frame: The 1-hour time frame is relatively short-term, which may make it more challenging to identify reliable trading signals. Consider expanding the time frame to 4-hour or daily charts to gain a better understanding of the trend.
RSI and Volatility: The text mentions an RSI value of 54.03, which is above the neutral zone (30-70). This could indicate overbought conditions, increasing the risk of a potential reversal. Additionally, the volatility indicators (Vol · PI) suggest a relatively high level of market activity.
Potential Trading Strategy
Considering the above points, a potential trading strategy could be:
Wait for Confirmation : Wait for further confirmation of the bearish diversion, such as a clear break below the 1.5704 - 1.5708 range.
Enter Short Position : Enter a short position at perpetual resistance of 2.1 - 2.0 range at the confirmation point, with a stop loss at 2.2 - 2.6.
TP1: Set the first take profit target at 1.5709 - 1.5712, with a 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated during a joint press conference with French President Macron that the tariffs deferred for Canada and Mexico until March 4 would proceed as scheduled.
- In Germany, there is growing speculation that easing the debt limit will be difficult due to populist parties securing a constitutional veto threshold.
- In Japan, Bank of Japan Policy Board Member Hajime Takata hinted at a potential rate hike, stating that if the economic outlook materializes, it will be time to shift gears.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ February 25: Germany Q4 GDP
+ February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP
+ February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index
USDJPY Chart Analysis
After failing to break through the 155 resistance level, USDJPY fell to the expected low of 149. However, it appears to have found support at this level, suggesting a possible rebound toward the 155 level again. In the broader trend, the downward bias remains toward the 140 level, but in the short term, an upward move to 155 remains possible.
S&P500 | Historic Trends, Consolidation & Bull Flags [2030 END]I have been wanting to put my thoughts on the historic tends observed in the S&P500 in a post for some time and decided to focus this discussion on the relationship observed between S&P 500:
* Bull Flag runs (~17 to 25) years in length
* Consolidation Period (~13 to 15) years in length
* 27 Period (2 Monthly) SMA - Aqua Colored Line
* RSI
NOTE: Chart is looking at logarithmic price of the S&P500 on the 2 Monthly time period.
S&P 500 HISTORY | 27P(2M) SMA, CONSOLIDATION PERIOD & BULL FLAG RUNS SINCE 1943
The below images show 'Consolidation Periods' governed by 'Black Trend Lines', 'Bull Flags' (Orange / Navy / Aqua) governed by colored measured moves between these periods and the 27P(2M) SMA in Aqua.
Key Takeaways for Longterm Investors
Key take aways Looking at the S&P 500 from such a zoomed-out perspective:
* CONSOLIDATION: Periods of consolidation required investors to proactively manage their investment. A buy and hold approach left investors' money in limbo not doing a lot over these time periods. Investors who could identify the S&P was in a period of consolidation did well by selling at the upper and buying at the lower trend lines once they became apparent.
* BULL FLAG: Run periods rewarded the discipline 'Dimond hands' investor, providing key holds at the 27P(2M) SMA and future higher highs. A good strategy during these periods was to accumulate at the 27P(2M) SMA.
RSI ANALYSIS
As we are currently in a Bull Flag period for the S&P500 (Aqua Measured Moved), lets now look at the relationship between the RSI and price to identify key historic behavior which may be useful with current price behavior.
It is notable that historically the RSI tends to oscillate between rising and falling channels when exhibiting price Consolidation / Bull Flag price behavior.
Bull Flag (1943 to 1968) – 25 years
Focusing on the orange measured move or first Bull Flag period from approximately 1943 to 1968, observable characteristics include:
* At the consolidation period price break out, RSI continued to set higher highs until peaking (with the first lower high) at Point 1 - this marked approximately the halfway point of the bull run period.
* Retest and hold behavior with the 27P(2M) SMA for the entirety of the run
* End of bull run period and start of consolidation period confirmed with price breaking below and first candle open and close below the 27P(2M) SMA at Point 2 .
The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a higher low during bull flag periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the 27P(2M) SMA.
Consolidation Period (1968 to 1983) – 15 Years
Consolidation period starts at the end of the prior bull flag and confirmed at Point 2 where price has broken below and opened and closed the first candle below the 27P(2M) SMA. This has been marked with the aqua vertical line on the chart.
Price is confirmed to have left the consolidation zone once it breaks to the upside of the black trend line (in some cases with a retest).
Change in price behavior from ranging to bullish within the consolidation period has been identifiable historically with a break above the 27P(2M) SMA followed up by a retest and holding the 27P(2M) SMA as support. Price has tended to range between the consolidation period trendlines until this price behavior is achieved.
The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a low during consolidation periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the lower black trend line.
It is notable the Momentum Bias Index has printed RED bars on the histogram during all historic consolidation periods reviewed (2 in total) when the bottom of the consolidation period has been set.
Similar observations have been observed in the below two future consecutive Macro Bull Flag and Consolidation periods reviewed in this analysis.
Bull Flag (1983 to 2000) – 17 years
Consolidation Period (2000 to 2013) – 13 years
CURRENT PERIOD | WHERE ARE WE NOW? BULL FLAG TO FINISH IN 2030 ESTIMATION?
If the S&P 500 is to continue historic trend and continue consecutive Bull Flag / Consolidation periods, this would suggest the current bull flag run could end in 2030 and the next consolidation period would begin. This is based on the same bull flag measured move approach and estimations of the bull flag structures discussed in the prior bull flag / consolidation periods.
It is noted that the prior consolidation period (2000 to 2013) left this zone and peaked at the RSI high relatively early compared to prior periods. According to the review of other bull flags this suggests the middle part of the bull flag run occurred in 2015. It is unclear if this would result in a reduced bull flag period run and a material lower high than the measured moved.
It is also noted at current prices a retest and hold of the 27P (2M) SMA would result in a 30% drop. A move in the market of this magnitude would result in some interesting news headlines but historically would show nothing out of the ordinary for S&P500 price behaviour.
USNAS100 Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Confirmed Below 21,900!USNAS100 Technical Analysis – February 24, 2025
Our previous analysis View Here highlighted the 22,150 pivot zone as a critical decision point for NAS100. The price failed to hold above this level and dropped as expected, confirming a bearish movement.
Current Market Outlook:
The price has broken below the 21,900 pivot zone, indicating bearish dominance.
As long as NAS100 trades below 21900 - 21810, the bearish trend remains active.
A further decline toward 21560 and 21390 is expected.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 21900 | 22100 | 22292
Pivot: 21800
Support: 21560 | 21390 | 21215
Directional Bias:
The bearish trend remains active as long as NAS100 trades below 21810 and 21900. A 4H close below 21560 will confirm further downside toward 21390.
🚀 Will NAS100 hold this support, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025
The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones.
For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 44075
Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650
Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212
📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
New ATH should be coming in ETHBull FLAG, Respect of Bullish Trend.
Everything else in the chart. Nothing much to glorify.
Great setup, beware of your risk appetite and manage your risk and position well.
FYI, This is an educational post and nothing else.
Do Your Own Research. This is not an financial advice.
Good Luck.
GOLD → Price is in consolidation and getting ready to go to $3KFX:XAUUSD is preparing to continue its growth. Consolidation is forming against strong resistance. The dollar in the correction phase continues to update the lows....
Gold is consolidating near 2945-2955, remaining cautious due to Trump's tariff threats and waiting for US inflation data. Which technically increases the chances of continued gains.
Optimism in the markets is supported by upcoming US-Russia talks on Ukraine, new Chinese measures and the victory of conservatives in Germany.
Weak dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold, but rising risk appetite reduces its attractiveness
Resistance levels: 2946.5, 2954.5
Support levels: 2935, 2921
Technically, the focus is on 2946.5. If the bulls are able to break this level, the resistance ahead at 2954.5 will not seem so strong. In this case, the price will continue its growth to 2969 - 3K
But, before further growth, as gold is still in consolidation, the price may test the liquidity zone 2935 - 2921.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSDT BUYTechnical Analysis
Bitcoin has retreated to the $93,800 level, which was previously entered by buyers, leaving behind long low wicks on the last candles. This area also coincides with an ascending trend line that has consistently acted as support in previous pullbacks. In addition, the price is forming a sideways channel, approaching the oversold area, which could indicate a potential recovery if the buying momentum gains momentum.
If Bitcoin finds support from the ascending trend line at this level, it could return to the $98,000 area in the near term. Bitcoin has not been able to open a price bleed on a direct downward path, but as we can see there is a cautious decline, and a retracement area several times, so Bitcoin price may resume new targets in the future, which are located at 105,000 and 110,000, which is the step that the price will reach in the near term, with a major resistance area. 108,000 A break above these levels could strengthen the bullish momentum.
It will work to liberate the areas of
114,000
117,000
120,000
123,000
However, if the BTCUSD pair fails to hold above this support, with the downward pressure, it may open the door for further declines, indicating a deeper correction in the market.
Trading recommendations
Trading direction: Buy
98,540. $ Entry
86,120. $ Stop loss
100,000 TP 1
103,000 TP 2
106,000 TP 3
Strong RECOVERY coming up anytime sooner !! As we can see NIFTY closed below the trendline. Despite the weak closing on daily basis, we can expect NIFTY to recover strongly on weekly candle which could be inside the trendline and structure. It could be a mere trap or liquidity grab or to attain the psychological level hence all signs direct towards potential REVERSAL in the market so plan your greater accordingly and one can start making new longs here.
JasmyUSDT Can Rebound from this levels !!Dear traders i have published before a downtrend channel for Jasmy and now i believe its good time to buy if you are ins tested in Jasmy you can open buy positions from
0.01967$ and 0.019$
You can add your stop loss below
0.01808 SL
Your targets are:
0.0244$
0.026$
0.034$
I will update this post for you daily don't forget to hit me like and follow also let me know what you think about this analysis ?
Good luck guys !