SBI CARD – Breakout Watch | Trendline Resistance TestedSBICARD is currently at a crucial technical juncture. After a long consolidation and multiple rejections from a descending trendline (marked in grey), the stock is now attempting a decisive breakout on the weekly chart.
📊 Key Observations:
Price has broken above a multi-year trendline resistance. Strong bullish candle.
Breakout level around ₹860–₹870 — previously acting as supply zone.
Volume pickup supports the breakout strength.
Immediate target shown on chart is ₹1,065, which is ~22.78% potential upside from breakout.
🎯 What to Watch:
Sustained weekly close above ₹870 could confirm breakout.
Possible retest of breakout zone before next leg up.
Stop-loss for swing traders can be placed around ₹820.
📌 Disclaimer: Not a recommendation. Do your own research and risk management.
Trend Lines
Chevron (CVX) / US Dollar Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Chevron (CVX) / US Dollar Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ Set Up)) At 90.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Flag Structure) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ((No Trade)) & Area Of Value | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 125.00 USD
* Entry At 135.00 USD
* Take Profit At 148.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
No shampoo in sight.....and an $11k Nasdaq?This posts presents an idea that has no precedence (that I can recall at least), so this is by definition a crazy idea BUT the chart is showing signs of extreme exhaustion and is possibly and quite frankly on the verge of a potentially destructive collapse.
If the recent severe volatility hasn't peaked your attention... this chart should.
It's quite simple...we have a MONSTER Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly TF...and we're finishing off the Right Shoulder! From a chart pattern perspective, this is ultra-ultra bearish.
The confluence we have is the Elliot Wave showing the we could be about to enter Wave 5. Elliot Waves are of course subjective BUT in this case its syncs with the Head and Shoulders.
If this was a 15min chart, most would probably agree hands down, but this is a Weekly Chart and represents Trillions on Trillions so its hard to believe that this could even be a possibility.....but I believe it could happen!
The horizontal blue lines provide 2024's High and Low Price. For this disaster scenario to be avoided, the Bulls and anyone who cares must defend 2024's low around 16100. This must not be breached, to keep the 12M bullish structure in place.
The green shaded areas highlight all of the Buy Side fair value gaps on the WEEKLY TF going back to early January 2023!
Could the market dive for these in devastating fashion? Only time will tell.
In the interim, we should trade safe and manage risk as best as we can.
Gold continues to surge to new highs! Market analysis referenceToday's Asian session has directly pulled up from yesterday's multiple rebound highs near 3230. The current relative low has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. We have analyzed before that the next big target of the weekly pattern and segmentation cycle is to look at 3400. It is estimated that it will reach it after a few waves of pull-ups. The weekly line last week's big positive also needs to rise inertia this week. The current focus of the day is still on falling back to do more.
After the Asian session gold price rose sharply, the European session trend is crucial. If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session is likely to launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on now is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, the decline of tens of dollars may just be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. The current support below can refer to the afternoon low of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European session operations. The key watershed below may be at the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3245, while the upper key pressure is focused on the 3330-3350 line. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to be long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3330-3350 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3275-3280 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3330-3340, target near 3305-3290, and look at the 3280 line if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3275-3285, target near 3310-3330, and look at the 3350 line if it breaks.
Gold is crazy again
How can it not rise? This is my most real complaint at this moment.
Now don't think about the 3300 problem, because it doesn't matter, and it may even give you an illusion and cause you to chase the rise. . Look at it openly. If you can't do it after the callback, just take over and look for a short-term rebound. If you want to short, then wait for a rebound after a drop of 30 US dollars, then try to intervene. Otherwise, what else can you do? There are no other tricks. I'm really not a bad guy. How did I touch the top of 3160 before? It came like this. There is indeed a luck component, but this is the only way to enter the market.
A big rise will see a big fall, there is no doubt about it, so this article cannot give you a specific point reference. If I give it to you, it means that I am perfunctory. Do you understand? Who can't guess? A little rhetoric can make a lot of sense. Remember, when it pulls back to 30 US dollars, and it rebounds to near the previous high, go short. It doesn't matter if you don't know, I will do it.
There is no market chart today, because I have mentioned all the trading skills above. The price has gone up so much that there is no need to analyze the pressure, and no one can specifically know where the pressure is. Guessing is meaningless. Let us wait for the decline and then wait for the opportunity to move. Without further ado, watching the downward fluctuation of 30 to 50 US dollars is the goal.
Gold surges to a new high, market analysis and operation layoutToday, the price of gold has been rising all the way in the Asian session, reaching a high of around 3317. From the perspective of the general trend, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. The high point we see now is only a temporary high point. It is very likely that the European and American sessions will break through again in the later period, so don't blindly guess the top.
At present, the relative low point has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. Therefore, we still maintain the main decline in intraday trading.
If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session will most likely launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on at the moment is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, a drop of tens of dollars may only be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. At present, the lower support can refer to the low point of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European market operations. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3330-3350, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3275-3280.
Bros, when you keep up with the pace of trading, you must control the risks reasonably.
Intraday gold operation suggestions
sell 3330-3340
TP 3320-3310
buy 3280-3290
TP 3310-3330
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Gold hits record high again! Intraday gold trading analysisFundamentally, although risk sentiment improved at the beginning of this week, Trump's policy changes caused gold prices to fluctuate and adjust, but due to the lack of obvious and sustained negative prospects and the uncertainty in the market, gold prices continued to be stabilized by safe-haven demand and strengthened upward. In addition, last week's inflation data was lower than market expectations, which strengthened the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. In addition, the monthly chart of the US dollar index has gone out of the 2-year top divergence, suggesting that there is a large and sustained decline in the future market, as well as increased policy uncertainty, which will also provide long-term support for gold prices. Moreover, although the market also expects that tariff policies may push up inflation in the future, US consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in April, and 12-month inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981, but this will also enhance gold's anti-inflation appeal and push up safe-haven demand. It is also good for gold prices. Analysts specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Traders are waiting for the next major fundamental development to drive the gold market, but the technical chart is still bullish. There is still safe-haven demand in the market. Gold is a safe-haven asset in times of political and financial uncertainty. The dollar index was at a nearly three-year low on Tuesday, making gold relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors are waiting for a speech by Fed Chairman Powell scheduled for Wednesday to look for clues related to interest rates. During the day, attention will be paid to data such as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March, the U.S. industrial output monthly rate in March, the U.S. NAHB housing market index in April, and the U.S. commercial inventory monthly rate in February. Although the retail data is expected to be bearish for gold prices, the subsequent overall data is bullish for gold prices. Therefore, the steady trend is still either volatile or continues to rebound and strengthen, and the operation is still biased towards low-multiple bullish.
Analysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, the price of gold always fluctuated in the range of 3210 to 3233. At the opening of today, the price of gold broke through the fluctuation range in one fell swoop and showed an accelerated upward trend. So far, it has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3285 line. Gold opened for risk aversion and directly broke through the new high. The short-term adjustment ended and finally completed the adjustment in a fluctuating manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, the decline of gold now is an opportunity to go long. The first thing to pay attention to now is the top and bottom conversion position of the support line 3245 below!
For intraday short-term trading, the first thing to pay attention to is the support strength near 3245. This position was the previous high point, and pay attention to its top and bottom conversion effect. Secondly, the support level near 3232 should not be ignored. This is the high point of yesterday's fluctuation range. Today's opening price broke through this position and accelerated upward. The top and bottom conversion support role of this position during the decline is worth paying attention to. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, the bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed a short-term support. Go long on dips when it falls back to 3245. The strength of a wave of gold is still there at that time. So after the surge, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Go long when it falls back to around 3248. It is particularly important to point out that the low point of 3211 during the US trading session yesterday is the key support level for the short-term market trend. Once the price effectively falls below this position, it is necessary to be alert that the market may launch a substantial adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3285-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3245-3240 line of support. Friends must keep up with the pace.
Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold when it rebounds around 3280-3290, target around 3255-3250, and look at 3245 if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Long gold when it pulls back around 3245-3250, target around 3260-3275, and look at 3290 if it breaks.
GBPUSD BUY 1.3250On the daily chart, GBPUSD stabilized and moved upward after stepping back to the support of the upward trend line, and the short-term bullish trend is obvious. At present, the upper side focuses on the previous supply area of 1.331-1.343. A breakthrough will further open up the upward space. At present, you can pay attention to the buying opportunity near 1.3250.
AUDJPY: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵
There is a high chance that AUDJPY will continue retracing
from the underlined intraday/daily resistance.
As a confirmation, I see a breakout of a neckline of a double top pattern
and a violation of a support line of a rising channel.
With a high probability, the price will retrace at least to 89.9 level.
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Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH)Gold Analysis Update:
As Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH), it's crucial to observe how the market behaves during the London session, which is known for its high liquidity and volatility. After taking the Asian session high, the price action is now poised to potentially revisit the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
If the market retraces to this zone and provides a bullish confirmation, such as a strong bullish candlestick pattern or a break above a key resistance level, it could set the stage for a beautiful buy-side trade setup. This would potentially offer a lucrative trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend.
Let's closely monitor the price action and wait for the market to provide a clear signal before making any trading decisions.
Gold Daily Chart – Bullish Momentum Within Pitchfork ChannelGold is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum on the daily chart, following a well-defined uptrend that's being respected by a pitchfork tool drawn from recent swing lows and highs. The price action is consistently respecting the median line and upper parallel of the pitchfork, indicating that the breakout is unfolding within the structure of this ascending channel.
The recent breakout above prior resistance has been accompanied by solid follow-through, and price continues to ride along the median line, suggesting sustained strength. Each pullback has been shallow and contained within the lower parallel, further confirming the integrity of the trend.
As long as price holds above the median line and maintains structure within the pitchfork, this move remains technically constructive, offering potential continuation toward the upper parallel in the near term.
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe.
Key Points
- White House spokesperson Caroline Leavitt stated, “The ball is in China’s court, and China needs to negotiate with us,” indicating that the U.S. expects China to come to the negotiation table first.
- In its first tariff talks with the United States, the European Union focused on mutual zero tariffs on automobiles and the issue of Chinese steel overcapacity.
- China requested joint action with Australia regarding tariff issues, but Australia refused, emphasizing its intention to reduce dependence on China and strengthen ties with countries like Indonesia, India, and the United Arab Emirates.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ April 16: U.K. March CPI, Eurozone March CPI, U.S. March Retail Sales, Bank of Canada Rate Decision
+ April 17: ECB Rate Decision, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech
+ April 18: Easter
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Previously, the pair showed strong downward momentum, breaking below the 0.60000 level. However, it successfully rebounded and is now retesting resistance at the 0.64000 level. This area is a strong resistance zone, so a downward move is more likely. If the pair faces resistance as expected, a pullback to the 0.60000 level is anticipated. On the other hand, if it breaks through this resistance, a rise toward the 0.66000 level can be expected.
A&B Scenario $117K - $130k📊 Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
🔁 Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K –$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
📐 Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
📉 Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
🔺 Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
🧠 Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
📈 Target: $103K – $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K –$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
🔻 Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
Gold Trades I'm taking Today 1
So this is how i'll be making my videos from now on, talking about trades i will be taking if triggered, and i update if it was a win or loss.
For this trade, I'm playing with descending triangles and waiting for a break. These patterns are my best but they are more functional on higher-timeframes. This is a 45: meaning it might work or it might not.
I'm learning to just go for it when it comes to gold because i've missed a lot of trades because i hesitated. Let's see how this one plays out..
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
US30 Gearing Up for a Monster Move – Bulls or Bears?🔍 Price is stalling just below the 40,770.00 resistance, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish push. Momentum is slowing down.
📌 Marked Zones:
• Resistance: 40,770.00 ❌ | 41,552.00 🔼 | 42,540.00 🔼
• Support: 39,270.00 ⚠ | 36,800.00 🛡
📈 Scenarios:
• Bullish Bias: A clean break and retest above 40,770.00 could open the door for a continuation to 41,552.00.
• Bearish Bias: Rejection from 40,770.00 or failure to break higher could trigger a retracement to 39,270.00 or lower.
⚠ Stay patient and watch price behavior around the zone — no breakout, no buy.
📘 This is not financial advice. Always trade your plan.
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
💡 H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
Microsoft (MSF) Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Microsoft (MSF) Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* Ongoing Wave (3)) / Wave Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ((No Trade)) At 570.00 USD | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 335.00 USD
* Entry At 385.00 USD
* Take Profit At 465.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Signs of REJECTION around 23400 levels..?As we can see NIFTY is heading towards 23400 levels which previously acted as a SUPPORT and now can act as a potential resistance hence as long as NIFTY doesn’t sustain itself above 23400 levels one should not go long aggressively and think of booking profits partially here.
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.