Gold fluctuates, short-term pullback continues to go long
Gold fluctuated and retreated on Tuesday, testing the lowest line of 3205 downward. It can be seen that the market still does not have continuity, and the fluctuation space is also narrowing. The 1H cycle began to close, and the market was brewing a unilateral trend. After the daily line rebounded, it fluctuated around the short-term moving average. The direction was not clear. Short-term trading should not be pursued and sold at a loss. Operations should be carried out at a certain point.
From the perspective of the hourly line cycle, it is testing the low point of Monday's retracement, forming a short-term double bottom structure. Pay attention to short-term retracement and long positions, pay attention to 3218/3226 support for long positions, and pay attention to 3252/3265 positions above.
Trend Lines
GOLD → Breaking of the downward trend structure...FX:XAUUSD is breaking out of the downward price channel and heading towards the zone of interest at 3346. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction before growth continues.
Gold is rising for the third day in a row and trading above $3,300 amid a weakening dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions. Investors are seeking refuge due to concerns about US fiscal policy, trade disputes with China, and a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Gold is also supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and weak prospects for the dollar.
Technically, the price is heading towards the order block and resistance at 3345-3360. Since the opening of the session, the price has exhausted all its potential, and a retest of the key level may end in a false breakout and correction. However, based on the fundamental background, gold's growth may continue after the correction...
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has returned to the buy zone, but the fundamental background is unstable, and any weakening of economic risks could send gold back south. At the moment, the focus is on 3346-3360, with a false breakout likely to trigger a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend trading is the core strategyGold opened at 3290 and rebounded, reaching 3314 and retreating. Last night, gold broke through the box and oscillated, so it is reasonable to continue to move up. The gold moving average continues to cross upward and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there. The decline of gold is an opportunity to continue to go long. Gold is now at the top and bottom conversion position of 3275-85. Gold falls back to 3275-3285 and continues to go long. Gold has repaired the gap of the previous gap. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3315-21. Try not to chase the high position. We will intervene in the long position when it falls back.
Today, the support below is around 3275-85, and the upper short-term focus is on the 3315-21 line. If it does not break, you can short. The important resistance is 3340-45. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3253-60. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Shorting can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3275-85, with a target of 3300-3320.
2. Go short when gold rebounds around 3340-45, with a target of 3320-3300.
JPYUSD | Head & Shoulders Breakdown Setup | Bearish move Build🔍 Technical Overview
A clear Head & Shoulders pattern has formed on the JPY/USD 8H chart — a well-known bearish reversal setup often signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. The pattern is confirmed with a left shoulder, higher head, and lower right shoulder, all aligned along a defined neckline acting as key horizontal support.
Currently, the price is retesting both the neckline and a descending trendline, which adds confluence to the bearish bias. If price fails to break back above this resistance zone, we can anticipate a further drop toward the projected target zone.
📌 Key Technical Levels
Head: ~0.007180
Neckline Support: ~0.006660
Retest Area (Confluence Zone): ~0.006940–0.006960
Bearish Target: ~0.006470 (measured from the head to the neckline and projected downward)
Trendline Resistance: Acting as dynamic resistance since the recent high
⚙️ Price Action Insights
Pattern Clarity: The structure of the H&S is clean and symmetrical — a classic sign of distribution and topping out after a bullish rally.
Retest in Play: Price is currently retesting the trendline resistance. Rejection from this area strengthens bearish continuation potential.
Momentum Shift: Bullish pressure is weakening. Lower highs on the right shoulder show buyer exhaustion.
🧠 Mindset & Strategy
This setup demonstrates how patience, pattern recognition, and confluence can align to offer a high-probability trading idea.
✅ Wait for Confirmation: A strong bearish candle off the retest zone or neckline breakdown gives a cleaner short entry.
✅ Risk Management First: Place stops just above the right shoulder or trendline (~0.007000 zone).
✅ Target Logically: The target is not random — it’s derived using the classic measured move technique, matching the head-to-neckline distance.
📋 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
📍 Entry: On rejection at retest zone or confirmed neckline breakdown
🎯 Target: 0.006470
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 0.007000 (trendline/right shoulder area)
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 2:1 if entered post-retest confirmation
🧠 Trader’s Note (Minds Insight)
This is where discipline comes into play. Don’t chase the move. Let the pattern complete and confirm. Head and Shoulders formations are among the most reliable reversal patterns — but only after neckline breaks or strong rejections.
This setup teaches traders to trust the process, combine horizontal and diagonal resistance, and let the price action do the talking.
Update MPCCMPCC went very deep and not as I expected but it didn´t make a new ow on the daily chart.
Please check my previous analysis on MPCC.
Now, I´m looking at this short time analysis and hope to see price turning up from the any of the red Fibonacci levels. Price must not cross the red line for the short-term bullish outlook to remain valid.
Probably, I would need to sell if the red line is broken in an impulsive manner.
Let´s see what happens!
May 19. Trading opportunities in the London market.A new week of trading opportunities is about to begin.
There is a lot of news over the weekend. There is an increase in geopolitical uncertainty. This is undoubtedly a heavy news. At the same time, the instability of tariffs makes the trend of XAUUSD even stronger.
The current price around 3230 needs to be tested to see if it stabilizes. If not, choose a lower position to buy. If the current price can stabilize, buy directly.
Target 3245-3250
Share at least 4-5 accurate trading signals for trading every day.
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Ethereum Long: A study of 3 trendlinesOver in this non-Elliott Wave analysis, I drew 3 trendlines from longer term to shorter term: black, blue, and green respectively. As can be seen, currently price has breached the black trendline and is testing the blue. I expect price to push past both the blue and green to hit $2647 in the short term.
KULR - 2 Months later, no change. Still the same limit orders inAs we identified in March, we're seeing clear bearish liquidity building algorithms at play with the green tapered buying. However, this time around, we made a strategic move toward HTF orange tapered selling in which we were hoping for so that we could prove the sell side orange taper at the .90 cent range.
Looking forward to this one hitting and entering long term buy positions at those levels.
Happy Trading :)
SMCI - Updated AnalysisThe algorithm's tell us a lot on a chart like SMCI where we can't seem to catch a long term trade in either direction. That's because we have a big fight going on between higher time frame algorithms like tapered buying green and our LTF purple and recent yellow strong buying.
Use this as a helpful guide for short term trades upcoming while we identify the higher time frame direction.
Happy Trading :)
Sol/usdt📊 SOL/USDT Technical Analysis – Daily & 4H Timeframes
After a significant drop from its recent highs, Solana appears to be in a corrective phase. In both the daily and 4-hour charts, price action has formed a short-term bullish structure, indicating buying strength.
📈 Currently, SOL is trading within a rising wedge pattern. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a continuation of the upward move toward the $218–$221 zone, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and is near the R3 Pivot Point—a key technical confluence zone.
🎯 Trade Plan:
✅ Phase 1 Entry: Initiating a position at current levels with proper risk management.
✅ Phase 2 Entry: Adding on confirmation of wedge breakout.
❌ Stop-loss: Placed below Wave 4 at $151
📌 This analysis reflects my personal trading idea and is shared for educational purposes only. Please manage your own risk accordingly.
USDJPY InsightGreetings to all subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Regarding the ceasefire, Ukraine is calling for a summit while Russia is demanding a memorandum outlining the principles and timeline for resolution, leading to a stalemate.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points from 4.10% to 3.85%. Governor Michele Bullock revealed that a 50bp cut was also discussed during the monetary policy meeting.
- Concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit have intensified, pushing Treasury yields higher, as the tax-cut-inclusive budget is unlikely to pass in this week’s plenary session due to political disagreements.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 21: UK April Consumer Price Index
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The USDJPY surged near the 149 level but reversed direction and fell to the 144 level. However, with a support line forming around 144, the pair is expected to regain upward momentum from this point. If the rebound scenario plays out, a rise toward the 151 level is anticipated. That said, if the 144 level is broken, there is potential for a further drop to the 140 level, so this alternative scenario should also be considered.
Key Rejection Zone Approaching – Bearish Setup in PlayChart Summary:
Asset: Unspecified (USD-based)
Timeframe: Short-term (likely 1H or 4H)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (red): 3,245.772
EMA 200 (blue): 3,223.635
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Red box): ~3,310–3,360
Target/Support Zone (Red box): ~3,110–3,160
Mid Support Zone (Blue box): ~3,200–3,230
Trendline: Downward sloping resistance connecting major highs
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Technical Breakdown:
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: Bearish ⬇️
Confirmed by the downtrend line (black) which has been respected multiple times (3 clear touches).
Current Price: 3,290.090
Price is approaching a key confluence zone: resistance area + trendline.
This area has previously acted as strong supply.
Moving Averages:
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Minor bullish signal (Golden Cross), but price action is still below major resistance.
However, this cross may be a false signal if price gets rejected here.
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Price Action:
Current Move: Strong bullish push toward resistance after rebounding from the target zone ✅
The resistance zone and trendline are likely to act as a rejection point unless broken decisively.
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Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break above the resistance zone:
Expect a rejection and move back toward:
Blue mid-support: ~3,220
Target zone: ~3,130 (major demand area)
Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or strong wick rejections near resistance.
🔵 Entry Idea: Short near 3,310–3,350
🎯 Target: 3,130 zone
✋ Stop-Loss: Above 3,360 (above trendline + resistance)
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Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price breaks above the resistance zone with strong volume:
Could signal trend reversal
Next target levels: ~3,400+
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Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish near resistance zone
Key Level to Watch: 3,310–3,360 (critical for direction)
Trading Approach: Wait for confirmation, don't preemptively short without rejection signals.
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
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📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
Liking the idea of a 5x on $CAT
Not the best price action on CAT so far, but I’m willing to bid closer to the Monthly Open.
If it holds the current move, I’ll continue holding—otherwise, it’s showing signs of weak momentum.
The initial impulse lacked strength, but a second retest into the green block still looks like a solid entry zone.
Plenty of upside here. If CRYPTOCAP:BNB makes a move from its current base (which looks like heavy accumulation), CAT could follow.
Potential 5x from here if it surprises to the upside.
SHIB – Long Here, Aiming for 50% Upside
Time to go long on CRYPTOCAP:SHIB and ride this wave.
Doesn't look like it's going much lower—I was hoping to grab some a bit deeper into the green zone, but that might’ve been too picky.
Stepping in with a decent-sized position here. Will add more if it dips.
Planning to hold through June, market conditions permitting. First target: +50%.
BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Bitcoin with or without some rest new ATH is ahead We are looking for new ATH asap.
But also we may have a short-term fall before that to supports like 100K$ or 93K$ first and then like green arrows pump for Bitcoin is ahead and market is now extremely bullish.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
DOGEUSDT in Descending channel soon breakout and Pump As we know the descending channel in bull market appear and let the price rest for a while but this one dump the price as we can see and soon it will break to the upside and then more gain and even new high here is expected because market gain the power needed in this channel.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Gold is Heating Up! Breakout + Trendline Support Gold has shown strong bullish continuation after breaking above a key descending resistance line. Once that breakout occurred, price formed a strong rising trendline, which has since been respected as dynamic support.
Additionally, a former resistance zone has now flipped into support, confirming a bullish market structure. Price is currently approaching a major upper resistance zone, where we may see a temporary pause or reaction.
As long as the rising trendline holds, the momentum remains in favor of buyers — and a clean breakout above the upper zone could trigger the next leg higher.
Textbook Trendline Flip: Is Gold Ready for the Next Leg Up?Gold continues its strong uptrend after a textbook breakout and retest of a multi-year trendline. The price previously faced multiple rejections from this rising trendline, but has now flipped it into strong support — a key bullish signal.
What’s more, a horizontal resistance zone has also been reclaimed and is now acting as support, further validating bullish strength. This confluence of former resistance levels turning into support suggests that buyers are firmly in control.
As long as the price holds above this structure, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — with the potential for new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
AUD/USD Struggles at Resistance- Moment of Truth for the BullsAussie has held below resistance for nearly five-weeks now with multiple breakout attempts failing at the 52-week moving average.
Weekly resistance now stands with the 2025 high-close / 50% retracement of the September decline at 6429/45 and is backed again by the yearly moving average, currently near ~6485. Critical resistance is eyed with the July close low / 61.8% retracement at 6511/50 and a breach / close above this threshold is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance towards the 2019 low at 6671.
Weekly support rests with the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / 2025 low-week close at 6286/91. Note that the median-line converges on this zone over the next few weeks and a weekly close below would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place. Subsequent support seen at 6143/79- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement and the 2024/2022 swing lows.
Bottom line : The Australian Dollar rally has been halted at resistance and the focus is on a breakout of this multi-week range just below. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6285 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 52-week moving average needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB