Trend Lines
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
ANOTHER BULL RUN FOR BITCOINAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,892, reflecting a 1.5% increase as it attempts to break a three-month downtrend.
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge:
1. U.S. Tariff Exemptions: The Trump administration's decision to exempt key tech products from reciprocal tariffs has alleviated trade tensions, boosting investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin.
2. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The U.S. government's establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve signals institutional support for digital assets, enhancing market sentiment.
3. Market Dynamics: A significant amount of Bitcoin has been withdrawn from exchanges, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors. Additionally, a short squeeze has contributed to upward price momentum.
Finance Magnates
4. Global Adoption: Institutions like Lomond School in Scotland accepting Bitcoin for tuition fees reflect growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency.
Latest news & breaking headlines
This could be the bull run we've all been waiting for.
VIB Bearish Continuation Setup After Wedge BreakdownVIB broke down from a rising wedge and has since faced strong bearish pressure. With Binance monitoring the project, investor confidence is weakening, fueling the sell-off. We expect a retracement toward the supply zone before shorting to the outlined drop target.
Let us know your view on this setup.
Analysis of gold market price structure and trends.Layout ideas。On Thursday, the US dollar index broke down sharply, successfully stimulating the market's risk-averse funds to return to the gold market again, and the gold price rose again. Let's briefly sort it out!
First: The tariff issue of the trade war caused the global market to plummet, and gold fell accordingly. The main reason was that it was necessary to sell gold, recover funds, and fill the capital margin in the stock market, foreign exchange market, and bond market; therefore, gold also plummeted downward in the past few days;
Second: The U.S. dollar index plummeted and broke through, driving market funds back into the gold market, and the gold price hit a record high again;
In yesterday's analysis of spot, you can look back at yesterday's analysis of the daily K indicator. There are two situations, restart Golden cross means breaking the top and reaching a new high. You can look back at yesterday's analysis. This is also a common indicator trend.
Spot gold opened yesterday from 3081 and quickly fell to 3071 before rebounding to around 3100. After that, the price fell back to 3078-80 and rose to around 3132. The price fell back to 3103 from around 3132 and then rebounded to around 3136 and bottomed out around 3113-16 and rose to 3175. The price fell from 3175 to around 3152-54 and then rose again to around 3176 and closed. The opening price fluctuated and rose above 3200. From yesterday's trend: 3180 and 3100 are the bottom supports, but the area around 3100 has fallen back and repaired yesterday, so 3132-36 and 3116 are the current support points. Yesterday, it also directly rose and broke through 3134-36 and then rose without stepping back. At the same time, the price rose to 3174-76 and then retreated to 3152-54, so the current support point is around 3176. The opening price directly rose from this position. Currently, 3190 is the nearest support. Comprehensive important support: ①3176 ②3134 ?③3100 ? The small support distribution in the middle is 3190-3167-3154-3115
Spot gold market analysis:
Ⅰ: Spot gold daily MACD golden cross is initially established, and the dynamic indicator STO quickly repairs upward, which represents the bullish trend of prices. At present, there is no resistance point to judge because it is a historical high, so we can only try it based on small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, 3096-3088, and it is not necessary to consider it far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: Spot gold 4-hour current MACD high golden cross oscillates with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which represents high-level price fluctuations. Because the indicators are at relatively high levels, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we focus on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: Spot gold hourly MACD golden cross is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is running overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating and strong. The current focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through 3245 this hour, it will continue to look for highs. Otherwise, a small cycle peaking signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support 3185 line. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Currently, the 3440-50 area is temporarily set to see pressure adjustment
Go long if the key support is stabilized below, and pay attention to 3187-3170 -3153-you can go long
Marriott Vacations Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Marriott Vacations Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ABC Wave Feature | Completed Survey
* (No Trade)) At 115.00 USD | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 59.00 USD
* Entry At 54.00 USD
* Take Profit At 45.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 3167.60 on 04/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 3000.00, 2955.00, 2879.11 and minimum to Major Support (2772.38) is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3167.60
3200.00
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Bitcoin Dominance Update (1D)Bitcoin dominance is currently showing signs of weakness and appears to be losing momentum for another upward move.
If we see a breakdown below the 62% level, a sharp decline toward 57% is likely.
During this phase, it may feel like an altcoin season is approaching, but in reality, most altcoins will likely just be retracing previous losses rather than entering true price discovery.
Still, for those who buy the dips, it can present a profitable rally opportunity—especially in short to mid-term cycles.
— Thanks for reading.
XYOusdt Trading opportunityXYOUSDT has achieved a magnificent breakout from its downtrend, showcasing a potential inverse head and shoulder formation. The price is currently forming the right shoulder of this pattern, with a broad accumulation zone that can accommodate most of the right shoulder formation. Targets are clearly delineated on the chart, ranging from immediate to final levels. For this setup, I recommend a 25% stop loss and suggest trading on spot to allow for proper room for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) if feasible.
Ishares 20+ Treasury Bond | TLT | Long in the $90sIshares 20+ Treasury Bond NASDAQ:TLT are particularly sensitive to interest rates: the price moves up when they are lowered and down when they rise. Locally, I'm witnessing banks lower their interest rates for CDs and shorten the duration for those with high-yielding returns. The general political rhetoric, especially due to the election cycle, is a push for the Federal Reserve to drop them. Now, despite the possible negative economic implications of lowering interest rates too soon if inflation is high, there is a good probability they may be lowered (even slightly) in 2024... perhaps September?
This analysis isn't to time the bottom perfectly, though. Instead, it's a probability assessment. Personally, TLT in the low $90s is in a long-term "buy-zone".
Target #1 = $104
Target #2 = $122
Target #3 = $170+ (very long-term view / economic crash... let's hope not, though)
iShares 20 Year Treasury Bond | TLT | Long in the $80sFor the patient, one of the "safest" investments is in long-term treasury bonds (specifically NASDAQ:TLT ). For those who may not understand why, bond prices move inversely to yields. If interest rates drop (which the Federal Reserve has stated is going to happen this year), NASDAQ:TLT will rise. If interest rates rise (like what happened in early 2022), NASDAQ:TLT will fall. But all information from the Federal Reserve points to interest rate cuts starting this year *or* in the near future.
As of April 1st, 2025, the dividend yield for NASDAQ:TLT is 4.52%. That interest rate beats the vast majority of savings accounts right now. I don't think we will see NASDAQ:TLT prices in the $80's longer than a year or two. A contrarian may argue "inflation is rising!", but the data continue to point to it actually stabilizing. Yes, prices are higher compared to 4-5 years ago for just about everything... but the higher prices are "stable". Tariffs may put a slight wrinkle in this stability in the near-term, but I think the economy is already slowing and the Federal Reserve will be pressured to start dropping interest rates sooner than later.
I believe a global economic bust is inevitable - but no one knows when. Anyone who says they can time it is a charlatan. If/when a global economic bust occurs, the Federal Reserve will drop interest rates (like what happened in 2020) to get the economy juiced up again. NASDAQ:TLT will double in price or go further.
My general point is I *believe* NASDAQ:TLT is nearing a low and any future declines (especially below $80) are personal opportunities for buy-and-hold. It's a solid hedge with a good dividend. Options don't give you that and timing events is a guessing game for every retail trader. So, as someone who tries to think beyond the "now", I am gathering shares, enjoying the dividend, and not touching them until a global economic bust occurs. Currently holding positions at $85, $86, $87, and $90.
Targets:
2027: $100.00
2028: $105.00
2029: $110.00
2030: $115.00
Bust (unknown timing): $170+
Prepare for LIFTOFF $ADAThe Global Net Liquidity index is breaking out of its multiyear downtrend channel on the back of a weak TVC:DXY dollar. Altcoins like CRYPTO:ADAUSD and other risk assets historically wildly outperform during Global Net Liquidity uptrends and dollar debasement cycles. As the business cycle heats up with ISM Manufacturing PMI ECONOMICS:USBCOI rising above 50, expect altcoins to gain relative strength to CRYPTO:BTCUSD and a Bitcoin Dominance
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D collapse into the 35-45% range.
This is your last chance.
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
AvalonBay Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Avalon Bay Communities Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) At 205.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Downtrend Argument)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.5 Retracement Area | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 200.00 USD
* Entry At 189.00 USD
* Take Profit At 170.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
MARA's Defining Moment: Breakdown or Breakout?MARA Holdings has completed a textbook 5-wave macro impulse, followed by a complex correction, now compressing within a bearish pennant just beneath the key 20.46 resistance.
This level marks a crucial pivot, failure to reclaim it may trigger a steep drop toward the 0.9976 zone, while a breakout above could unlock exponential upside toward 155.68 and 281.27.
The coming price reaction will be decisive in shaping the next macro narrative.
#USDCAD: We took the Swing Sell, Now let's focus on Swing Buy! The USD/CAD exchange rate experienced a significant decline, reaching its all-time high against the USD. This decline is primarily attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has led to a depreciation of the USD and resulted in a yearly low.
However, we anticipate a potential reversal in the price trajectory. We identify a favourable area where the price may stabilise and address the liquidity gap it has created.
We have established three targets, and to effectively utilise these targets, we recommend executing small entries with each target set based on a predetermined take-profit level.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support throughout this journey within this community. Additionally, we appreciate the contributions of each individual who has supported our endeavours. We are pleased to announce that we have garnered 20,000 followers.
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