HelenP. I Bitcoin may rebound from resistance zone and fall moreHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After a strong rejection from the second resistance zone between 86700 and 87900 points, Bitcoin lost its bullish momentum. The price attempted to hold within the range but failed to break above the trend line, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance. This trend line marked the turning point once again, pushing BTC down with increased selling pressure. The price then sharply declined, breaking below the first resistance zone between 78200 and 79500, which is now acting as resistance. This level was previously tested multiple times, making it a key barrier. After breaching this zone, the price dropped even lower and reached the 77000 area, where it found temporary support and began a minor bounce. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just below the resistance zone and remains under the trend line. Sellers are still in control, and the recent bounce looks weak compared to the prior impulse down. Given the rejection from resistance, the position relative to the trend line, and continued bearish pressure, I expect BTC to resume its decline toward 70000 points, which is also my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Trend Lines
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! Gold appears to be in a bullish trend following a successful test of an important daily/intraday horizontal support level.
The price violated a minor falling trend line resistance and formed a local Change of Character (CHoCH).
There is a strong possibility that the price will continue to rise with a target of 3080.
My SRT Strategy Suggests a potential LongHello folks. This looks like a good one. In most cases I wait for the market to act for such setups. I am mostly bullish on this symbol due to the fact that several support areas have been held for a while.
I expect a good 1:2 trade upon break. The symbol will proceed to a downtrend very soon after this.
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks.
Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain.
At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057.
Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057
Support levels: 2996, 2981
The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher.
The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Potential ScenariosThis is a technical analysis chart of **XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar)** on a **30-minute timeframe**, published on April 8, 2025. Let's break it down into key components and scenarios:
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### 📊 **Technical Indicators:**
- **EMA 7 (purple):** 3,005.895
- **EMA 21 (blue):** 3,002.328
- **EMA 50 (yellow):** 3,005.112
Price is currently **around $3,006.665**, just above the 7 EMA and 50 EMA, but very close to all EMAs—indicating potential consolidation or a decision point.
---
### 🧭 **Key Levels:**
#### **Support Zones:**
- **S1 (first support)**: Around 3,000 (yellow shaded zone)
- **S2 (second support)**: Below 2,980
#### **Resistance Zones:**
- **R1 (first resistance)**: Around 3,020
- **R2 (second resistance)**: Around 3,040–3,050
---
Potential Scenarios (Marked with Arrows)
**Bullish Case (Green Path):**
- Price breaks above **R1 (~3,020)**, confirming bullish strength.
- Next target would be **R2 (~3,040–3,050)**.
- Confirmation comes if price remains above EMA levels with increasing volume.
**Bearish Case (Red Paths):**
- Price fails to hold above EMAs and falls below **S1 (~3,000)**.
- Bearish momentum could drive it to **S2 (~2,980)** or even further down.
- Multiple bearish scenarios shown, including:
- False breakout above R1, then reversal.
- Gradual breakdown from current level, testing supports.
📉 **Volume Analysis:**
- Volume spikes align with volatile price moves.
- Recent volume is low, suggesting indecision—possibly waiting for breakout confirmation.
🧠 **Summary & Interpretation:**
- Market is in a **tight range**, trading near key EMAs.
- **Break above 3,020 = Bullish**, targeting 3,040+.
- **Drop below 3,000 = Bearish**, targeting 2,980 and lower.
- Watch for volume increase and EMA crossovers for confirmation.
ADAUSDT → Correction to the liquidity zone before the fall ↓BINANCE:ADAUSDT is in a bear market, under pressure. An exit from consolidation and a pullback with the aim of retesting the resistance (liquidity zone) before further decline is formed
The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is extremely negative. Bitcoin on yesterday's manipulation related to the 90-day tariff break, which was later denied by the White House began to form “helicopters” and high volatility. As the market calms down, the price returns to the selling zone, which creates pressure for Cardano as well.
Technically, a false breakdown of 0.5 fibo is formed and the price is consolidating near the local support at 0.5800. The breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.58 will provoke the continuation of the fall. A retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 0.6300 is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.63, 0.6661
Support levels: 0.581, 0.5092, 0.4564
The market structure is exclusively bearish. A False breakout of resistance or breakdown of 0.581 will provoke a further fall, but the level of 0.5092, if broken, will finally drive the coin into the zone of emptiness, which may lead the price to fall to 0.45- 0.42.
Regards R. Linda!
SOL/USDT Price OutlookThe cryptocurrency market continues to navigate a complex macroeconomic landscape marked by trade tensions, inflationary pressures, and shifting monetary policies. Against this backdrop, SOL/USDT is trading at 105.83, posting a modest 0.41% gain in recent sessions. However, the road ahead remains uncertain as external factors—including the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strength, rising unemployment concerns, and escalating tariff wars—could influence market sentiment.
Key Levels for SOL/USDT
- Resistance (Green Line): 122.61 – A decisive break above this level could signal a bullish resurgence.
- Immediate Support: 101.26 – Holding here is crucial to maintain upward momentum.
- Strong Support: 80.00 – A breakdown below 101.26 may trigger a deeper retracement toward this long-term floor.
Macroeconomic Risks & Crypto Impact
1. Trade Wars & Tariffs – Escalating global trade tensions could trigger risk-off sentiment, pushing investors toward stablecoins or traditional safe havens.
2. Inflation & Fed Policy – Persistent inflation may delay rate cuts, strengthening the DXY and pressuring risk assets like SOL.
3. Unemployment Data – Weak labor market reports could fuel recession fears, increasing crypto market volatility.
Next Week’s Scenarios
- Bullish Case: A sustained move above 106.60 opens the door for a rally toward 112, with 122.61 as the next major target.
- Bearish Case: Failure to hold 101.26 may lead to a drop toward 90, with 80 acting as a critical support zone.
Final Thoughts
While SOL shows short-term resilience, traders should monitor broader economic developments—particularly DXY movements, Fed statements, and geopolitical risks—for clues on the next major trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research.
BTC - Bear Market started? OR Just a healthy correction Alright, so while the daily chart might have some folks calling for a bear market, let's zoom out to the weekly timeframe for a different picture. See how things are still looking pretty bullish there? That daily dip might just be a healthy correction in the grand scheme of things.
Don't be shocked if we see a quick move down, maybe even a wick into that $60k- FWB:67K zone – the market loves to play with our emotions, right? But that could just be a setup before we push towards new highs.
There's a lot of noise out there, and the market might even tap that previous trendline for confluence. But looking at the bigger weekly picture, things still seem to be in control. Keep an eye on how things play out in the coming weeks, especially up to the end of April and the first week of May. It could be an interesting ride!
Why Support and Resistance are Made to Be Broken ?Hello fellow traders! Hope you're navigating the markets smoothly. As we go through the daily dance of price action, one thing becomes clear support and resistance are just moments, not walls. They're temporary. Momentum and trend strength? Now that’s where the real story lies.
This publication dives into how these so-called key levels break and more importantly, how to position yourself smartly when they do. Stay flexible, trade with confidence, and let the market lead. Let’s get into it.
Why Support and Resistance Levels Break
Support and resistance are some of the most talked-about tools in technical analysis. But here's the truth they’re not meant to last forever.
No matter how strong a level may appear on your chart, it eventually gets tested, challenged, and often broken. Why? Because the market is dynamic. The real edge for a trader lies not in hoping a level holds, but in reading when it’s about to fail and being ready for it.
No Resistance in a Bull, No Support in a Bear
Ever seen a strong bull market pause just because of a resistance line? It doesn’t. Price keeps pushing higher as buyers keep stepping in. Same goes for a strong bear market support levels collapse as fear takes over and selling snowballs.
Instead of clinging to lines on a chart, think bigger: Where is the momentum? What’s the trend saying? That’s where your trading decisions should come from.
Support and Resistance: Not Fixed, Always Shifting
Yes, these levels matter but only as zones, not exact prices. They’re areas where price has reacted in the past, where traders might expect something to happen again. But they’re not magic numbers.
When traders treat these levels as absolute, they fall into traps false confidence, poor entries, tighter than-needed stop losses. Always remember: market sentiment, liquidity, and institutional activity are constantly changing. So should your interpretation of the chart.
The Temporary Nature of These Levels
Markets move on supply and demand. A level that acted as resistance last week could easily become support next week. Or break completely.
Take the classic example support turning into resistance. When support breaks, former buyers might now be sellers, trying to get out on a bounce. That flip happens because behavior and sentiment have shifted. And as traders, that’s the real pattern we need to track not just price levels, but the psychology behind them.
“Strong” Support? It’s Mostly an Illusion
We all love the idea of a strong level something we can lean on. But large players? They don’t think like that.
Institutions don’t place massive orders at a single price point. They spread across a zone building positions slowly without moving the market too much. What looks like a strong level to us might just be an accumulation or distribution range for them. Always think beyond what’s visible on the surface.
How to Spot Breakouts Before They Hit
Here’s what separates seasoned traders from the rest the ability to spot potential breakouts before they explode.
🔹 Volume Confirmation: If a resistance level is tested repeatedly on rising volume, that’s a big clue buyers are serious.
🔹 Structure Shifts: Higher highs in an uptrend or lower lows in a downtrend signal that the old levels are being challenged.
🔹 Liquidity Traps: Watch out for fakeouts. These are designed to trap impatient traders just before the real move.
🔹 News & Events: Never ignore macro triggers. Earnings, economic data, or geopolitical surprises can fuel breakouts that crush technical levels.
🔹 Break & Retest: A solid strategy — wait for the level to break, then get in on the retest.
🔹 Momentum Tools: Indicators like RSI, MACD, or even EMAs can offer extra confidence that a move has legs.
3 Practical Trading Setups
1. Breakout Trading
Mark key levels on daily or weekly charts.
Watch for volume and momentum confirmation.
Enter after a clear breakout or retest.
Stop-loss: Just below resistance (for longs) or above support (for shorts).
2. Range Trading
If price is stuck between support and resistance, trade the range.
Look for price rejection (wicks, pin bars, etc.).
Use RSI or Stochastics to time entries.
3. Trend Following
Identify the dominant trend using moving averages or price structure.
Avoid going against the trend unless reversal signs are very clear.
Let profits run use trailing stops instead of fixed targets.
Mind Over Market: Psychology of S&R
One of the biggest traps in trading? Overtrusting support and resistance.
We get emotionally attached. We want the support to hold or the resistance to reject. And that bias clouds our judgment. How many times have you seen price break a level — and you freeze because it “wasn’t supposed to”?
To break free of that:
✅ Trade with a plan.
✅ Set your risk before the trade, not after.
✅ Don’t treat any level as sacred.
✅ Stay open to what the market is telling you not what you want it to say.
Final Thoughts
Support and resistance are great tools but they’re just one part of the puzzle. The real power lies in reading price action, watching volume, and understanding market sentiment. Don’t ask, “Will this level hold?” Ask instead, “What happens if it breaks?”
That shift in thinking? It can make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay adaptive, and keep evolving with the market.
Wishing you green trades and growing accounts!
Best Regards- Amit Rajan.
USDCHF Intraday Swing Idea 09/04/2025USDCHF Update – Swing Setup in Play
After a massive 150+ pip move to the downside yesterday, USDCHF is now retesting the 0.84482 zone. This level will be key for the next leg:
Sell Opportunity if 0.84482 holds as resistance
Break of 0.83981 confirms continuation to the downside
Target: 0.83366 (90+ pips from confirmation)
⚠️ A break back above 0.84482 could invalidate short-term sells, opening room for a pullback to 0.85082 before the next bearish wave.
Bias: Bearish, unless structure breaks above key levels.
The "Bearish" Short-term Outlook on the marketI apologize - this video was made mid-market yesterday and took a while to download for some reason. So we did subsequently close below the gap and continue downward wherein we closed the multi-day cup at the former low.
I am shorting this overnight and allowing for the subsequent liquidity build to happen (if necessary) before shorting again. There is plenty of more room to the downside if our strong selling was proven (which it seems it was with the incoming gap down).
Happy Trading :)
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe!
Key Points
- White House spokesperson Caroline Leavitt stated that China has not withdrawn its retaliatory tariffs. As a result, the previously announced 104% tariff on Chinese goods will take effect starting April 9. This has escalated tensions in the U.S.-China trade dispute and raised concerns globally.
- Chinese Premier Li Qiang responded by firmly rejecting President Trump’s demand to lift the retaliatory tariffs, emphasizing that China possesses sufficient policy tools to completely offset the U.S. tariffs.
- U.S. President Donald Trump revealed via Truth Social that he had a positive phone call with South Korea’s Acting President Han Duck-soo. He also mentioned that negotiations are ongoing with several other countries, suggesting that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are being used as a bargaining tool.
- Although Australia has been subject to a relatively low 10% reciprocal tariff, the 104% tariff on China is expected to further dampen China’s economy, which may also negatively impact Australia’s economic outlook.
This Week's Key Economic Events
+ April 10: FOMC Meeting Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March CPI, U.S. March Producer Price Index (PPI)
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the pair showed a short-term upward movement but faced resistance and began to decline. Notably, it broke through the expected support level of 0.60000, indicating potential for further downside. The next support level is around 0.57000, and we continue to maintain a bearish outlook toward that range.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Update: Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 🚨 Attention Traders! 🚨
XAUUSD is making waves and breaking through key levels! 🔥 The price is currently battling between 2980 and 2989 — will we see a breakout soon?
Bearish Alert: A dip below this range could lead us to targets like 2860 and 2850. ⚠️
Bullish Opportunity: A move above 2989 could trigger buying opportunities, with targets around 3004 and 3027. 🚀
💬 Let’s Talk Strategy! What’s your take on this? Share your insights as we ride this golden wave together and unlock new opportunities! 💰
USDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.42500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.89
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms.
At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s...
Targets:
$108.00
$120.00
$133.00
ALTCOINS | ALT Season | Buy Zones PART 2💥 SUI / BINANCE:SUIUSDT
SUI ideal buying points, weighing heavier towards the lower zone:
💥 SHIBA / BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
SHIB ideal buying zone is approaching, but ideally the lower zone is the better buy:
💥 DOT / BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Dot worries me for the reason that it has retraced nearly all the way to 2021 prices. Therefore I'll keep trades small, with modest TP zones.
BUY zone for a swing, not accumulation:
💥 PEPE / BINANCE:PEPEUSDT
PEPE buy zone seems far away, but considering how hard alts can drop in only a few days, I'd be ready with the orders, hanging heavier towards the lower zone:
💥 BINANCE / BINANCE:BNBUSDT
BINANCE shows promising swings. Ideal BUY zones include:
For the next cycle, in other words long term target, I'd watch the 1.618 at least:
This would make it an accumulation buy.
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DOGEUSDT major daily supports are touching As we mentioned before two major daily supports like 0.13$ and 0.09$ can stop price from falling and we are now in support zones and soon heavy pump can lead once again like previous times.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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