Gold buy setup 15mHello! Friends,
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Trend Lines
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line to resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an aggressive rally from the support zone, the price has been consolidating just below the resistance area. What’s important now is how price behaves around the trend line, which has acted as dynamic support since early April. The most recent pullback landed exactly on this line, where buyers quickly reacted, forming a higher low. This move suggests that the bullish structure remains intact and buyers are defending their positions. The market is currently hovering near 3325, but with momentum slowly building and no major bearish breakdowns, it’s reasonable to anticipate another push higher. The resistance zone between 3405 and 3435 is the next key area, and it aligns with the top of the recent impulse move. If XAUUSD holds above the trend line and breaks through the 3405 level, we could see a continuation toward 3435, my current goal. Overall, the market shows a steady uptrend, supported by rising lows and a strong reaction at the trend line. Until this structure is broken, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
---
📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
The market is full of crises next week!📌Fundamentals:
This weekend, China and the United States held two days of negotiations as scheduled. It seems that there are many topics to discuss and the scope is wide, but they are still trying to reach a consensus. Otherwise, there is no need to spend two days of intensive talks. Some people think that after so long, there is no conclusion, which is bad news. I think the opposite. At this time, no bad news means good news. Based on the current "marathon" negotiation time, we need to be vigilant about the expected difference in the results of this round of negotiations. The second is the India-Pakistan conflict. After the talks led by the United States, India and Pakistan have agreed to a comprehensive and immediate ceasefire. Judging from this line alone, there will definitely be no risk of risk aversion rising when the market opens on Monday. The only thing is that the results of this round of negotiations between China and the United States are quite important, and there will definitely be results before the opening of Monday.
📊Technological aspects:
Even if the current round of China-US negotiations achieves an optimistic result, gold cannot fall below 3300. If it falls below 3300 and hits the low point below 3275 again, then the next step for gold is very likely to touch the high point of 3160-50 where the trade war started. On the contrary, if gold can hold 3300, then it is very likely to move like the previous wave, break the range, stand above 3360-70, then gold will continue to return to above 3400. Therefore, the most critical position for the opening of next week is the support position of 3300 below and the suppression position of 3360-70 above. If it breaks, the trend will almost move in that direction.
Gold opening rise and fall prediction？The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
HelenP. I Euro may break resistance level and rise to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a long period of slow decline, finally showing early signs of potential reversal. The price has been moving inside a falling wedge pattern, consistently testing lower highs and lower lows. But now, after touching the lower boundary of the structure and reacting near the 1.1200 zone, buyers have stepped in with notable strength. This level aligns not only with the wedge’s base but also with a previous support zone, which adds weight to the current move. The first reaction was sharp, the price rebounded confidently, and started forming higher local lows. That suggests the bearish momentum is weakening, while the structure itself points toward a possible breakout. If the Euro continues to build this upward momentum, it could break through the 1.1285 - 1.1300 resistance zone, which has already acted as a ceiling multiple times. That zone now becomes the key pivot for the next phase of the movement. Given the wedge structure, price behavior near support, and the current momentum, I expect EURUSD may reach the trend line, breaking the resistance level, and continue to grow to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.1320 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBPAUD bullish breakout??with bullish divergence, the price is on the verge of breaking this pattern in an upward direction it seems that the trend will be bullish from here. traders who want to be long on this pair should take entry once the price breaks the drawn trendline and comes back to retest it as it will be a confirmation of bullish trend
Toya LongLower low after double bottom with high volume, finally ready to fly on this one.
We did reach 0.5 Fibo with strong resistance in August and now 0.382 is resisting sellers for prolonged time.
We will go to higher band of the channel, while actually finalising a flag pattern.
We will enter 10.0 and then get a trailing stop, any pullback after reaching 10.0 is our take profit.
Getting below 7.0 invalidates the idea, because we have no lower low on resisting 0.382 then.
Seize the moment! The rebound is a good opportunity to shortGold was affected by the implementation of the China-US tariffs and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line formed a double-needle top pattern, and continued to see downward adjustments this week. The daily line also has a double top structure, with 3500 and 3435 as double tops, and the neckline focuses on 3202. If it falls below, the double top pattern is confirmed. In terms of thinking, keep falling back and adjusting, with pressure focusing on 3260 and 3283, and support below focusing on 3200-3202. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main, and falling back is supplemented by long.
Operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds to around 3255-65, and look at 3320 and 3200. long gold when it falls back to around 3210-3200, and look at 3320 and 3250.
NEIRO on Reversal Watch – Waiting for ConfirmationBought a bit here, but the main trigger is above the Monthly Open and the block it's currently sitting on.
Structure still leans bearish on the daily and higher timeframes, so I'd prefer a strong S/R flip at a key level rather than blindly expecting a market structure shift.
With ETH holding well and sitting near its previous ATL vs BTC, this could open the door for NEIRO and similar names to perform. Just look at how EURONEXT:AAVE , CRYPTOCAP_OLD:ETHFI , MIL:ENA , and $EIGEN are moving today.
US30 Approaching Key Resistance Within Rising Channel:🧠 Chart Context & Overview
Chart Type: Candlestick
Time Frame: Appears to be Daily (based on price action and spacing of dates)
Current Price: ~$40,798.4
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): ~40,065.2
EMA 200 (Blue): ~41,475.6
Trend Structure: Ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows forming since early April.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
📈 Trend Analysis
The price is moving within a rising parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries.
The recent bullish candles indicate momentum building towards a breakout or test of resistance.
🔄 EMA Confluence
Price is above the 50 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum.
EMA 200 is acting as overhead resistance (~41,475), aligned with the top of the channel—a key decision zone.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: ~41,475 (EMA 200 & upper channel boundary).
Support Levels:
~40,065 (EMA 50)
~39,000 (mid-channel support zone)
~38,000 (lower channel boundary)
📌 Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Case:
A clean breakout above the channel and the 200 EMA (~41,475) with strong volume could trigger a trend continuation toward:
42,500 – next psychological and historical resistance
Potentially higher if macro sentiment aligns
⚠️ Bearish Case:
Rejection at 200 EMA or the upper channel could lead to:
A pullback to the mid-channel zone (~39,800–40,000)
Further downside to retest the lower channel support (~38,000)
📅 Outlook
The chart currently supports a bullish bias within an uptrend structure, but the key resistance zone (41,475) must be broken decisively for confirmation. Watch for volume and candle structure near that level to assess breakout validity.
USD/CHF Reversal Setup (Read-Caption)🧠 Professional Technical Analysis – USD/CHF 💱
🗓️ Date: May 6, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
📊 Current Price: ~0.82218
🔍 Technical Indicators
🔵 EMA 20: 0.84190 (short-term trend)
🔴 EMA 50: 0.82524 (mid-term trend)
❗ Bearish crossover: EMA 20 is below EMA 50 → short-term bearish bias 🐻
📉 Support Zone Analysis 🛡️
🟥 Key Demand Zone (Support): 0.82084 – 0.81437
🔁 Price has bounced here before 🪃
🕯️ Candles with long lower wicks = buyers stepping in 🧍♂️💪
🟠 This is the “bounce zone” 📈
🧭 Trade Idea
✅ Long Entry: Around 0.82084–0.82200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.81437 ❌
🎯 Take Profit: Around 0.83600 🟢
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Excellent (>2:1) if bounce holds 🚀
🔄 Price Action Outlook
📉 Downtrend approaching major support
🕯️ Looking for bullish candlestick confirmation (engulfing, hammer, etc.)
📈 Target area aligns with mean reversion to EMA 20
📌 Conclusion
👀 Watching for bullish reversal signs 🔄
🛒 Buy zone is clearly defined ✅
⛔ Setup is invalidated if price closes below 0.81437
How to layout gold as Sino-US trade eases🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Affected by the easing of Sino-US economic and trade relations, coupled with the fact that the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are on the right track and India and Pakistan have suspended firing, the risk aversion sentiment in the gold market has eased, and the gold price has fallen sharply since the opening today. At present, the 3200 line has formed an important short-term support. If the support effect is strong at this point, the gold price may rebound further; if it falls below this key support, it will accelerate the opening of downward space. The upper 3250-3260 is the previous intensive trading area, which will pose a certain pressure in the short term. At the top of the European market, focus on the resistance range of 3250-3260, and at the bottom, the support range is 3210-3200.
🎁BUY 3200-3210
🎁TP 3250-3260
🎁 SELL 3260-3270
🎁 TP 3250-3230
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
NASDAQ Bullish Breakout Above Channel;📈 Technical Analysis Overview
1. Breakout from Downtrend Channel
The price has clearly broken out of a descending channel, confirmed by a clean breakout above the upper trendline.
This is a bullish signal, indicating the end of the prior downtrend and the start of a possible uptrend or reversal.
2. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200)
EMA 50 (Red): 18,965
EMA 200 (Blue): 19,409
Price is currently trading above both EMAs, which is another strong bullish indicator.
A bullish crossover (where EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200) is likely imminent if upward momentum continues—this would form a Golden Cross, further confirming bullish sentiment.
3. Structure and Market Behavior
After the breakout, price retested the breakout zone and showed a bounce, forming a higher low, which is characteristic of a bullish structure.
The chart includes projected price action with higher highs and higher lows—suggesting a bullish continuation pattern.
4. Volume & Momentum (Not shown but implied)
Breakouts are typically validated by volume. Although volume is not shown, the sharp upward movement and breakout above resistance suggest strong buying pressure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 20,000 psychological level; above that, 20,500–21,000 may act as resistance.
Support: 19,400 (near EMA 200), and 18,965 (EMA 50); a break below may invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Conclusion
The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending channel, supported by the price moving above both key EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation, especially if price holds above the 19,400–19,500 support zone. Upside targets lie around 20,500 to 21,000.
Circular short selling is still the main themeGold has no power to rebound in the Asian session, and it keeps fluctuating and falling. The highest rebound was 3292, but it fell back under pressure, and the lowest touched 3217. The fluctuation and decline are still dominant, so we only need to short on the rebound. It is still difficult to fill the gap at the opening today, so don't have hope. Just keep shorting on the rebound. The weekend article also analyzes the bearish opening this week. After all, the international situation of India and Pakistan's comprehensive ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are mainly bearish for gold. Coupled with the technical shorts, it is reasonable for gold to jump short. Today, we will treat gold as rebound shorting. In terms of operation, we will mainly short on rebound and be a steady trader. Judging from the current trend of gold, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position.
PEPE – 2x Move Looks ImminentOne of the strongest alt structures right now.
Given how well it’s held previous swing lows—and the recent deviation and retest—it’s pretty clear where this is headed.
This is a longer-term play. It might take weeks to reach the yearly open, where I’ll look to offload, or slightly earlier depending on how it reacts to the weekly block.
Also worth noting: PEPE is one of the few alts still maintaining an active weekly uptrend.
BINANCE:PEPEUSDT CRYPTOCAP:PEPE
On May 9, the London market XAUUSD real-time trading strategyXAUUSD's huge drop hit 3274. From the side news, there is no huge potential impact. Because almost all important data are updated. From the larger level of K-line cycle, the top structure appears, which is why I remind everyone to continue to sell.
In the trading process, it is very important to switch from long to short. Often some traders always suffer huge losses in their accounts due to misjudgment. This week, under my accurate prediction, the market trend is exactly the same as I expected.
Summary: There is no major news affecting the current situation. And it is the last trading day of this week. For XAUUSD, maintaining high selling is the current trading direction. There are signs of returning to the weekly opening price at the daily level. Observe whether the pressure range of 3330-3340 can stabilize during the day. If not, we can focus on the lower profit range. 3260-3220.
To prevent missing out on some good trading strategies and ideas, remember to continue to pay attention to the ideas of the swing trading center. If you want to get more and more accurate signals, you can leave me a message.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin set a new high?!Bitcoin is located between EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. If Bitcoin moves downward towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Berkshire Hathaway’s long-standing skepticism toward gold and Bitcoin may be undergoing a shift—at least that’s the perspective of Jack Mallers, CEO of Strike and the newly founded 21 Capital. In response to Warren Buffett’s recent cautionary statement about the U.S. dollar, Mallers offered a bold interpretation, suggesting that broader changes in macroeconomic conditions could eventually influence Berkshire’s conservative stance.
During Berkshire Hathaway’s latest shareholder meeting, Buffett remarked, “We never want to own an asset whose currency we believe is truly deteriorating—and that’s precisely our main concern with the U.S. dollar.” Mallers found the timing of this comment particularly significant, considering Berkshire’s sizable exposure to U.S. Treasury securities.
Speaking to Kitco News, Mallers said: “Warren has over $200 billion in U.S.Treasuries, right? So for him to openly admit this, especially while the bond market is unraveling and he’s questioning the very structure of global capital flows, reflects the broader macroeconomic context we’re in.”
Historically, Buffett has been openly critical of gold and Bitcoin, once calling gold “neither useful nor productive” and referring to Bitcoin as “rat poison squared.” But Mallers believes those comments no longer hold weight. “Those quotes sound outdated to me,” he said. “Buffett is undoubtedly a great investor, but he’s from a previous generation—one that operated under the dominance of fiat currencies and the U.S. dollar as the global reserve.”
Given that Berkshire currently holds over $230 billion in cash and Treasury holdings, Mallers sees the potential for a reallocation of capital into assets like Bitcoin and gold. “It’ll be fascinating if Buffett shifts his outlook,” he added. “Gold and Bitcoin are two of the world’s most credible, fixed-supply assets.”
In a related development within the crypto space, an interesting point has emerged: if Bitcoin’s price reaches $110,000, over $1 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated.
Standard Chartered Bank has recently revised its earlier projection, saying that its previous $120,000 price target for Bitcoin in Q2 2025 may now be too conservative. The bank now maintains a bullish outlook and has cited several key drivers behind this shift.
These include capital flows transitioning from U.S.-based assets to Bitcoin, as well as significant accumulation by large institutional investors, which has helped push prices higher.
According to Standard Chartered, approximately $5.3 billion has flowed into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs over the past three weeks. Major players such as Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund and the Swiss National Bank are reportedly among the institutional buyers. These developments signal a broader market transition—from high-risk asset correlation to a more strategic focus on liquidity and targeted accumulation within the crypto space.
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
Celanese Corp | CE | Long at $39.64Celanese Corp is another chemical company (like Dow Inc) crushed by tariffs and economic headwinds. It's dropped -78% in one year.... However, this is a very strong company with strong credit market interest and no immediate liquidity crisis. From a technical analysis perspective, this... like in 2008 and 2020... is the time to gather shares given it has reached the "abysmal crash" levels based on my selected simple moving averages. In the past, recovery to new highs has taken 1-2 years. History doesn't always repeat, but fear is opportunity in the stock market. If negative news continues to reign, a dip into the high $20's isn't out of the question.
If the company can squeak through 2025 and not continue to stack debt (debt/equity=2.43x), the growth opportunity into 2027-2028 looks promising.
I'm keeping my targets into 2026 low, but this could be a good buy and hold for the right investor.
Targets:
$47.00
$54.75
RIZO Symmetrical Triangle (1D - Log)RAYDIUM:RIZOSOL_6NMICC.USD formed a symmetrical triangle, and a minor ascending triangle within it.
Log scale is needed despite the short timeframe considering the volatility.
Clear support and invalidation, with multiple TP targets.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.000007: Local low. A break below the blue support trendline would invalidate the setup, with this horizontal level offering a more reliable invalidation point.
• $0.000010-$0.000012: Current resistance and minor ascending triangle upper boundary. Also an S/R dating back to August 2024. A break above it could be a good long trigger, aligning with the broader symmetrical triangle breakout scenario.
• $0.000025: High volume node, roughly aligned with the minor ascending triangle target.
• $0.000060: Local high from January 2025.
• $0.000150: ATH area, most likely strong resistance.
Until a confirmed breakout above $0.000012, RIZO remains in a compression phase and a no-trade zone for me.
