EURCHF is starting to turn upLooks like a trend reversal at last.
1. Strong pinbars from the levels below 0.92 that rob the stops.
2. A broken trend line, higher lows, higher highs
3. it is currently at a very important level,we are watching how it will react and whether it will be overcome.
4. We are now long on a larger time frame.
Trend Lines
GBP/USD Market Outlook & Analysis (Bullish)**GBP/USD Market Outlook & Analysis**
**📊 Price Action & Key Levels**
- **GBP/USD trades around 1.29300** in a narrow range, struggling for momentum.
- Last week’s **high of 1.29900** remains a key resistance level.
- **Key Support Levels:**
- **1.29000 (Psychological level)** → A breakdown may trigger more downside.
- **1.2850 (Next key support)** → Watch for buying interest.
- **Key Resistance Levels:**
- **1.2990 (Last week's peak)** → A breakout could open doors for **1.3050+.**
**🌍 Fundamental Drivers**
- **USD Weakness:**
- Fears that **Trump’s tariffs could slow the US economy** weigh on the dollar.
- Weak US inflation and a **cooling labor market** increase **rate cut expectations** for 2024.
- University of Michigan’s **Consumer Sentiment Index fell** to a 2.5-year low, fueling bearish sentiment.
- **GBP Struggles Despite BoE Expectations:**
- **UK GDP contracted by 0.1% in January**, capping the pound’s upside.
- However, **expectations that the BoE will cut rates more slowly than the Fed** provide support for GBP/USD.
**📅 Key Events to Watch**
- **Monday:** US **Retail Sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index**.
- **Wednesday:** **FOMC meeting** → Market expects no rate change but will closely watch guidance.
- **Thursday:** **BoE meeting** → If policymakers signal slower rate cuts, GBP could strengthen.
**📈 Trading Strategy & Takeaways**
- **Bullish bias above 1.29300** if the dollar remains under pressure.
- **Break above 1.29400** could see GBP/USD testing **1.3050** in the short term.
- **If 1.29000 breaks,** watch for a potential dip toward **1.28500** before buyers step in.
- **Major volatility expected midweek** with FOMC & BoE—trade cautiously!
📢 **Final Word:** GBP/USD remains in a tug-of-war between a weak USD and soft UK data. Stay patient and wait for confirmation before making moves! 💹🔥 #Forex #GBPUSD
HSI charging forward, but watch that resistance!Helloy everyone,
Yesterday the Index performed quite well; bullish.
Trying to go back to the uptrend channel.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
at point of writing ✍️:
MACD - Deadcross formed. Sell/Short at resistance level 24730-24650
BB - 23953(lower BB) mid-line:24350 (this is your 🗝️ level for your long/short TP/SL level)
Quote from 17/3/2025 post
For this week trade plan: Buy into support Sell at resistance. Set your TP/SL.
🚨 as of ✍️ :
🗝️ Level : 22979-23242(23374)- 23997- 24385 - 24586 - 24648 - 24945
To retest 24385 again.
Set your TP/SL, let the market do its thing, and ride the trend with confidence! Manage your risk/reward (r/r).
HSI continues its Bullish mode.
HSI:HSI
W Chart:-
📰 another +ve news, but this might be distraction. 🚨
www.tradingview.com
🎯 Reminder: Continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage the trading buddies.
While wait for the markets cook, you may zen with 📙 and 🍵because stress won’t make the candles move! 🚶
Happy Trading!
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Friedrich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), expressed confidence in the constitutional amendment vote to ease the debt limit. Lars Klingbeil, leader of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), also stated he is certain the amendment will pass.
- U.S. President Trump announced plans to hold talks with Russian President Putin, raising expectations for peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
- The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision this week is expected to result in no change.
- The FOMC meeting is anticipated to see the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged, with projections emerging that the Fed may only cut rates once this year.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ March 19: Bank of Japan interest rate decision, Eurozone February Consumer Price Index, FOMC meeting results
+ March 20: Bank of England interest rate decision
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The pair is maintaining its upward momentum, supported by trendline support. In this rally, the 150 level appears to be a key resistance point. However, with the Bank of Japan’s rate decision and the FOMC meeting scheduled this week, it is crucial to monitor any potential trend changes. If the price breaks above the recent high, a move toward 154 could be possible. Conversely, if resistance holds at 150, a decline toward 145 is likely.
Target | TGT | Long at $105.75Target NYSE:TGT
Strengths:
P/E: 11.82x
Earnings are forecast to grow 4.95% per year
Dividend: 4.24%
Better "value" compared to others (i.e. NYSE:WMT )
Insiders recently awarded options
May have double-bottomed (see weaknesses below...)
Weakness
Economic headwinds / recession concerns
Debt-to-equity: 1.09x (slightly high)
Several price gaps on the daily chart are open below the current price. If recession fears are valid and news to messages "tighter consumer spending", these gaps will likely be filled (all the way down to the GETTEX:50S ). One day these will be filled, but that would be a huge opportunity for long-term investors...
Thus, at $105.75, NYSE:TGT is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$119.75
$137.00
$150.00
AUD/JPY: Testing Key Downtrend as Bulls Eye 50DMA BreakAUD/JPY is testing downtrend resistance established in November, with a potential retest of the 50DMA in play. Momentum indicators, including RSI (14) and MACD, are flashing bullish signals, favouring an upside bias near-term.
If we see a break of the downtrend and minor horizontal support at 95.35, longs could be established above the latter with a stop beneath for protection. The 50DMA has repeatedly capped bullish attempts recently, making it a key hurdle—those entering should be prepared to cut if the price fails to break and close above it.
If cleared, 97.33 emerges as a potential target, with 97.96 and 99.10 as other topside levels to watch. A failure to sustain the breakout would invalidate the bullish bias.
Good luck!
DS
Gold ($XAUUSD) Continuation Bullish TrendGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) Market Update Bullish
#### **Current Trend: Bullish**
- Gold has been in an **uptrend**, trading near the **$2,990 level**.
- Price remains **above key moving averages (EMAs)**, which signals continued buying pressure.
- The market is consolidating after a strong rally, meaning traders are taking a breather before the next move.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
1. **Resistance:**
- **$2,995:** If gold breaks above this level, it could trigger a strong **bullish move**.
- **$3,000:** A psychological level that could attract more buyers and push the price even higher.
2. **Support:**
- **$2,985:** If this level holds, gold may continue moving up.
- **$2,971:** If price drops below this, we could see a deeper **retracement or pullback**.
#### **Potential Scenarios:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If gold **breaks above $2,995**, we could see a move towards **$3,010 or higher**.
- **Bearish Scenario:** If gold **falls below $2,985**, it might retrace towards **$2,971**, where buyers may step in again.
💡 **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, but traders should **watch for a breakout above resistance** or **a pullback to support before re-entering**. Stay updated and use proper risk management! 🚀💰
Elanco Animal Health Inc | ELAN | Long at $11.16Elanco Animal Health NYSE:ELAN is riding my historical simple moving average and likely to make a move up soon. Insiders have recently been awarded options and bought $483,000+ worth of shares. Became profitable this year, low debt, P/E = 15x.
Long at $11.16
Targets:
$12.50
$14.50
$16.00
$17.50
AVAXUSDT Breakdown Alert – Are Lower Lows Coming Next?Yello, Paradisers! Is AVAXUSDT gearing up for a bigger drop? Let’s break it down.
💎AVAXUSDT has turned bearish after breaking below its key support trendline. A Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms the shift to the downside, and right now, the price is rejecting from a critical 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the 200 EMA resistance zone. Adding to the bearish pressure, we also see a 4H bearish divergence, making a downside move highly probable.
💎Moreover, AVAXUSDT is in the process of forming a Head & Shoulders pattern, which increases the risk-to-reward (RR) potential for short trades. On top of that, there’s liquidity resting below, which could act as a magnet, pulling the price further down.
💎However, if the price breaks out and closes a candle above the 200 EMA resistance zone, this bearish outlook will be invalidated. In that case, it’s better to wait for clearer price action before making any moves.
🎖Patience is key, Paradisers. Stick to the strategy, avoid emotional trading, and let the market come to you. The best setups will always present themselves to those who wait!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BAVARIAN NORDIC BAVA LARGE ASCENDING TRIANGLE FORMATIONHello Traders,
Here is my chart idea for Bavarian Nordic. This idea is solely based on me looking at the chart formation and no research has been done into the companies financials, potential upcoming vaccines or anything like that.
The price has been going sideways inside a large ascending triangle for about 22 years now and price movement still looks to be corrective waves not impulsive waves. It looks like the price wants to come down to the bottom trendline and bounce from there. This would also print a low, oversold value on the monthly RSI.
On the weekly chart it looks like the price has just broke down from a head and shoulders.
Lets see what happens.
Tue 18th Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Second ShootWe touched the upper trendline of the 2017 channel twice, marking new ATHs in late 2024 and early January 2025. Following the second touch, we shifted from the previous bullish channel into the current bearish channel, simultaneously completing a correction that was overdue for at least half a year. The potential breakout point from this bearish channel is expected around mid-May.
Last chance to short gold💡Today, gold hit a low of around 2980 during its decline. Obviously, gold's decline has not reached its peak! There is still demand for gold to continue to retreat.
💡At present, gold has rebounded to above 2998 again, but gold has not broken through the 3005-3010 zone during multiple rebound tests. The upper space has been compressed smaller and smaller, and the bullish momentum has been largely consumed. Gold is expected to seek a breakthrough downward;
💡In the process of multiple rebounds, the momentum of the rebound has gradually weakened, the bull market confidence above 3000 is not strong, the confidence of bulls is not firm, and after the profit realization and selling psychology gradually gain the upper hand, gold is likely to have a flash crash!
📉So we can short gold in the 3000-3010 zone! The first target: 2985-2975, followed by 2965-2955
📞Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Undervalued Stock TTD The Trade Desk buy IdeaDo not believe me when I say this stock is undervalued, do your own research.
Do not believe me when I say this stock has shown very high properbility for good upside moves from around end of March until mid of August for the last 10 years, do your own research.
Good upmove today, I am in.
Leave a like or comment, hit the bell, eat some birthday cake, and love what you are doing!
Cheers!
ABT long at 126.75 -- bad new is good news (for me)ABT got some bad news today when a Missouri judge ruled there would be a retrlal regarding a court case involving ABT's baby formula, and the stock, which was already down 3 days in a row, got thumped. While I don't dismiss long term risk from that news, I'm not in this for the long haul. I will likely be long gone before anything happens with that retrial.
What matters to me is this:
-ABT is one of the top 3% stocks for my system, historically. That rating is based on trade performance, the length of its trading history, and several other factors related to safety and trade performance that I use.
-It is down 4 out of 5 days, and that in itself has some historical precedent as a long trade setup for short-term trades, though I must admit - it hasn't worked all that well for me lately.
-it's in the middle of its 6M high/low range. Not ideal, but not bad either.
-it is still solidly in an uptrend going back to 2024.
-I'm not convinced the market jitters are over and it ideally is less risky than some more typically volatile stocks.
-historical performance (combined actual and backtested) for ABT with my trading system:
1819-0 W/L prior to today
+2.08% average gain per lot traded
18 trading day average hold per lot
Avg. return = .116%/day (2.7x better per day returns than the stock market, historically)
So for all those reasons, I went long before the close at 126.75. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
BTC → Bitcoin Retrace to $69,500? Or Bounce to $150,000?The short version, the probability that Bitcoin tests the breakout price around $69,500 is very high. That's simply the nature of breakouts; bulls take profits (sell orders) until the previous high is reached, at which point the bulls start buying again, and the bears take their profits (buy orders), driving the market up for another leg.
The question is, what is our next move as traders? Or even Bitcoin investors?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Let's zoom out to the Monthly chart. Bitcoin is resting on the 9EMA, a support area we've closed above it since September of 2023. Our current context is we've broken out of the 2021 cycle high of $69,500 and reached a new high just shy of $110,000. It's clear we're in pullback mode right now, so far-reaching down to $78,000.
Fundamentally, there aren't many catalysts for bullish activity. Bulls are simply taking profit at the first 6-figure Bitcoin price, which is both a psychological and technical price for selling. Monetary policy is still in a state of qualitative tightening, inflation has been slowly rising since September 2024, from 2.4% to 3%. Not a dramatic move, which certainly isn't helping Bitcoin move to the upside. Bitcoin seems to respond more to monetary policy than inflation rates and while the rates have steadily climbed, it's not enough to shock the market, while monetary policy has largely stayed the same.
Technical analysis shows TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 crypto market cap charts all were rejected at key resistance areas in early December. Bitcoin broke the 2021 right shoulder around $46,000 to $73,000, then had a measured move up to $109,000, about a 55% move each, give or take. We're simply in a state where we've reached a key resistance level after a breakout while the market as a whole is in a state of uncertainty. I believe that uncertainty will lead to a capitulation down to the high $ 60,000s, even if it's a quick wick. This would likely lead to a $1,500 ETH, $1.50 XRP, it may look ugly. But take a look at past cycles; a 30-40% pullback for Bitcoin is just another Thursday in the crypto market. The alts can pull back as much as 50%-60%.
I think we wait for the buy signal. Look for a pullback to the breakout area at $69,500, and wait for the market to tell us that we found the buy zone with a strong candle close on or near its high on the Daily chart, likely somewhere around $75,000. Then I believe $150,000 is the area for this cycle high based on the Lifetime Resistance and measured move target. The measured move shows a 57% move up after the breakout; if we take that 57% move up and stack it on the mid-price of the current trading range at $91,000, that takes us to right around $150,000. Anything beyond that is a bonus. I think from there, it makes a second attempt to breach the high, followed by our 12-18 month bear market as shown in the chart.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $75,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $55,000
✅ Take Profit #1: $105,000
✅ Take Profit #2: $135,000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout above 2021 Cycle High $69,500
2. Psychological and technical high of $100,000 reached
3. Pullback phase has been in motion since December, breakout zone is the buy target
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Monthly 30EMA (breakout zone), look for strong buy signal, large bull candle closing on or near its high.
5. RSI is near 64.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a drop toward 60.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Excellent window for gold-------News---
The U.S. inflation data for February was released, and the data showed that the U.S. inflation in February fell across the board, exceeding expectations. The decline in inflation also gave the Federal Reserve more room and possibility for interest rate cuts, and also slightly reduced the concerns originally caused by tariffs. However, with the full implementation of tariffs on Europe, retaliation from Europe also followed, and concerns about the global economic downturn also intensified. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly and then fell again.
Gold hourly line pattern chart;
Spot gold; Previously, the gold market continued its strong upward trend, and the bulls performed extremely well. On Wednesday, gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of 2930, breaking the previous confinement and opening the upward channel. On Thursday, the rally not only continued, but also entered a large-volume stage, directly breaking through the previous high of 2956, and without any stop, the highest impact reached 2990. The daily line closed with a long positive line, showing a strong pattern of three consecutive positive attacks. On Friday night, it even reached above 3000. You can short sell near 3000 above, and continue to hold the short positions at the previously arranged points. Reduce positions at the target area of 2970, and exit all positions when it reaches 2950.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Bitcoin 90K is now major resistance which will dump price to 70KAs we said before near 77K$ to 80K$ support zone we may have a two weeks less or more range zone and this range started but soon after this support zone break we are looking for dump to the next support which is 70K$ also major resistance here is now near 89K$ which is mentioned on the chart with yellow zone too and heavy sell pressure is there.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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