GOLD → The northbound train continues to make its way to 3KFX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The reasons for growth are the same as before - high economic risks. The price is getting closer and closer to the cherished goal of $3000.
Gold exceeded $2,850 at the beginning of the week in the U.S., but its growth is limited by the strengthening of the dollar due to increased trade risks.Trump announced new 25% tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum.
Gold is further supported by rising PBOC reserves and expectations of stimulus from China. However, the dollar may continue to strengthen ahead of US inflation data, limiting gold gains. Expectations of a dovish Fed and trade risks will help contain gold's decline.
Technically, the next two levels are important for us: the psychological level of 2900 and the key support of 2882.
Resistance levels: 2900 (not confirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2855
The bulls can consolidate above 2900 without a pullback and continue the rally, but the most likely scenario is a false break of 2900, correction to 2882 to accumulate liquidity before continuing the rally northward
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Lines
High Risk Sell Gold OutlookGold started the week by reaching a new all-time high near the 2,900 mark.
However, as I explained in my weekend analysis, while the overall trend remains strongly bullish, I anticipate a pullback to correct the 3,000-pip rally since the beginning of the year.
I am looking to enter a sell position with a tight stop-loss, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio to justify this high-risk trade.
can USDJPY reverse its trendwith two consecutive bullish divergences and last LL was not violated it seems that from here trend can be bullish. Trendline acting as resistance touching LHs has been drawn to look for a decent entry. Trade plan should follow the trend as when it will break the last LH place the buy stop or wait till the price make fresh HL and HH. Apart from that buy position has also been drawn on the chart
Gold’s Next Big Move: Rally to $3K or a Sharp Pullback?The big question on everyone’s mind is whether FOREXCOM:XAUUSD will reach $3,000 in 2025. In my opinion, it probably will.
Looking at the weekly chart, gold has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel for exactly a year. Each time the price dips near the trendline support, buyers step in, keeping the uptrend intact. The last time this happened was at the start of the year, and since then, gold has climbed more than 2800 pips from its low to its Friday's ATH.
With this in mind, we can reasonably expect Gold to maintain its bullish trajectory— an assumption supported not only by technical analysis but also by fundamental factors.
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📊 Shorter Time Frame: Signs of Exhaustion?
Although the long-term trend remains bullish, trends are not linear—they consist of ups and downs. If we refine our analysis to a shorter time frame, the situation looks a bit different.
• The 4-hour chart still reflects a strong uptrend that began earlier this year.
• However, last week, signs of exhaustion emerged:
- Tuesday’s all-time high of $2,880 was followed by a normal pullback to the $2,840 zone (which I highlighted in last week’s analysis).
- On Friday, a new ATH near $2,890 was reached, but the market saw a sharp reversal after the initial NFP-driven rally, with further weakness into the closing hours.
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🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Support Levels:
- $2,840–$2,835 (previous support zone)
- $2,800 (psychological level)
- $2,775–$2,760 (deeper retracement area)
• Resistance Levels:
- $2,890 (recent ATH)
- $2,900 (psychological barrier)
- $2,980–$3,000 (major upside target)
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🎯 Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
• If Gold holds above $2,840 and rebounds, a breakout above $2,880–$2,890 could drive prices towards $2,900+, with the final target at $3,000.
🚨 Bearish Scenario:
• If gold fails to hold $2,840, a deeper pullback to $2,800–$2,775 is likely.
• A weekly close below $2,800 could trigger an extended correction toward $2,760.
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📉 My Strategy for Next Week:
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, I anticipate a short-term correction.
• I will be looking to sell rallies, targeting a pullback toward $2,800 or slightly below.
• If Gold tests key support and shows strength, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip approach for the next leg higher.
⚠️ Note: This is a high-risk strategy, as we are still in a strong bull market. Proper risk management is essential.
Regards!
Mihai Iacob
Ethereum Struggles Below $3K – Another Failed Rally Ahead? Over the past few months, Ethereum has been a disappointment for bulls, struggling to maintain momentum.
Despite Bitcoin testing its all-time highs, COINBASE:ETHUSD has consistently rolled back from the 4K resistance, forming lower highs along the way.
Bitcoin’s recent drop to $90K triggered a sharp decline in ETH, pushing it down to the critical $2.1K support zone.
While the price is currently rebounding, I believe this recovery will likely turn into another failed rally.
My bias remains bearish on ETH/USD as long as the price stays below $3K. I’m looking to sell rallies into that zone.
Only a sustained breakout above $3,200 with strong buying pressure would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Is Tata Motors Ready for a Bullish Reversal?Timeframe: Daily
Tata Motors (NSE) has been in an expanded flat correction pattern for the past 11 months. In this pattern, the highest high (HH) was 1179, and the lowest low (LL) was 683.2. Currently, the price is trading below the 200, 100, and 50 EMA levels, indicating a bearish trend.
In this expanded flat correction:
Wave (A) completed at 855.4,
Wave (B) peaked at 1179,
Sub-wave 4 of Wave (C) touched 786.65,
Sub-wave 5 is now unfolding.
Once Wave 5 is completed, traders can look for buying opportunities with target levels at 799 – 951 – 1050+. First, it’s crucial to identify the end of Wave (C) to confirm the correction’s completion and a bullish reversal.
Projecting ending point of wave (C):
Wave (C) may end at 2.618% of Wave (A) around 628.7.
Wave 5 has multiple potential targets/support levels:
0.618 extension of Wave 1 at 526,
0.382 extension of Wave 1 at 628,
1.618 reverse Fibonacci of Wave 4 at 657,
2.618 reverse Fibonacci of Wave 4 at 562.
We will update further information soon.
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
Silver | iHnS Pattern $36Buyers aren't doing too bad as we approach the mean but it looks like it's time for sellers to show what they got for a nice pullback
With a similar inverted head and shoulders pattern to what we saw in August of last year I would expect a SMA/liquidity pullback to the $30.50 break, and then a continuation towards trendline resistance for a target of $36.
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
I’m glad to have you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The Bank of England cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, with some policymakers advocating for a bigger cut.
- U.S. nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 143,000, falling short of the market expectation of 170,000. The January unemployment rate came in at 4.0%, lower than the market estimate of 4.1%. The market still views the labor market as strong.
- Former U.S. President Trump stated that reciprocal tariff discussions would take place on Monday or Tuesday following the U.S.-Japan summit. Speaking to reporters aboard his private jet en route to New Orleans for the Super Bowl on the 9th, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the U.S.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ Feb 10: New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations
+ Feb 11: Fed Chair Powell's speech
+ Feb 12: U.S. January CPI, Fed Chair Powell's speech
+ Feb 13: U.K. Q4 GDP, Germany January CPI, U.S. January PPI
+ Feb 14: U.S. January retail sales
EUR/USD Chart Analysis
The pair has been facing resistance around the 1.04500 level, leading to a continued downtrend. Repeated failures to break above resistance suggest further declines ahead. In the medium to long term, a drop toward the 1.00500 level, near parity, is expected.
However, if the price rises to 1.06000, the medium- to long-term trend would shift to an uptrend, prompting a quick adjustment in strategy.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal From Trend LineThe dollar index has reached a significant upward trend line.
Following a sharp decline, the market appears to be overbought, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern indicating weakness in seller's activity.
I anticipate a retracement to 108.79.
Resilient Silver: Charting a Bullish Path ForwardCurrently hovering just above the intersection of minor horizontal and uptrend support, with momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD continuing to generate bullish signals, a potential long setup is emerging in silver.
Bulls could consider establishing longs above $31.75, with a tight stop beneath this level or the minor uptrend established on January 27. Potential targets include the February 7 high of $32.65 and $33.10.
Although the evening star pattern completed last week signalled downside risks, they failed to materialise on Friday despite tricky market conditions triggered by the US payrolls report and escalating trade tensions. Even with higher US bond yields and a stronger dollar, silver remained resilient, reinforcing the merits of the setup being considered.
Good luck!
DS
EURGBP: What Are You Anticipating With This Volatile Pair?I am a swing trader, as you can probably tell from the timeframes I use in my posts. However, I do believe that EURGBP lends itself better to day trades or position trades, if you can stomach the movement. Considering it has made, for me, surprising reverses just when you think it would push further, I offer a couple of scenarios for both a sell and buy possibility. I do see EURGBP selling further but this is a pair you want to be prepared for movement in the opposite direction as well. Game plan, ready! What would be your move?
HBARUSDT Approaching Key Weekly Zone with Potential Reversal SetBINANCE:HBARUSDT HBARUSDT is approaching a weak support zone, which shows a higher probability of breaking due to insufficient strength. Below this lies a weekly strong Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a critical level for potential price reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
If the price enters this weekly FVG zone, it could signal a high-probability buying opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound. On the other hand, failure to hold this zone could lead to further downside.
Keep an eye on price action near the key levels for confirmation of potential entries. Always ensure to have clear stop-loss levels and realistic profit targets in place.
Best regards,
Happy trading!
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break .
It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) .
It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible.
On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective
Briefly, here's what's going on:
Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ...
Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss.
Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K
Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67
Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow.
At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling
Regards R. Linda!
BRENT - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 68.485, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 81.651 breaks.
If the support at 68.485 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 81.735 on 01/15/2025, so more losses to support(s) 73.868, 71.698, 70.505 and minimum to Major Support (68.485) is expected.
Take Profits:
75.270
77.558
79.049
81.651
84.161
87.271
91.613
95.108
98.908
103.260
106.431
115.785
123.265
131.000
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Will GBP/JPY Attempt to Push Higher?Due to it's failed attempts to break each Lower High and the Highest High, I believe it's time for GBP/JPY to sell further. Looking at it on the daily timeframe, I've identified areas of strong support that needs to be broken, preferably with a momentum candlestick and a close below from H4 to Daily. Target prices identified, coincide with the various structural supports as well as Fib Trend Extension levels with the final target being a possibility for price to "spike" into, reversing for a possible retracement.
View video for a full explanation and identified TPs.
Please "like" and feel free to comment with your own ideas or agreement!
EURJPY - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 H4: ShortTerm Forecast:
Price rejected from Downtrend and Sell Zone.
Sell Zone: 163.18 ~ 164.84
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 164.84
💡 H1: Intraday Forecast:
The Uptrend is broken, and the price could start an impulse wave.
Sell Zone: 162.71 ~ 163.18
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 163.18
Rio Tinto (RIO) / Australian Dollar | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Rio Tinto (RIO) / Australian Dollar
- Double Formation
* ABC Flat | Entry & Sideways Correction
* 012345 | Wave Feature & Short Set up | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1st Trendline | Triangle Configuration | Subdivision 2
* 2nd Trendline | Support & Ranging Structure | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral