Trend Lines
Exploded, gold fell as expected
💡Message Strategy
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the risk of rising unemployment and inflation has increased, and the interest rate cut is expected to cool down again. In addition, Trump claimed that the US-Iran nuclear agreement may be reached "in the next few weeks" and warned Israel not to attack Iran for the time being. Hamas claimed that it had reached an agreement with the US Middle East envoy on the outline of the Gaza ceasefire. The risk aversion sentiment cooled down, causing gold to open directly down in the morning.
📊Technical aspects
The 1-hour level shows that the short-term gold price expanded its rebound and once formed a trend of stepping back on the hourly 60-day moving average. The current gold price fell again and continued to intensify the overall hourly moving average, which was arranged in a relatively regular downward divergence, maintaining a short-term bearish guidance reference. The current hourly RSI is oversold.
The 4-hour level shows that the current gold price has fallen sharply, forming a downward breakthrough trend of the four-hour 60-day moving average, gradually forming a bearish performance of the four-hour indicator, and the four-hour RSI is oversold. There is a strong demand for gold prices to fall in the short term.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3250-3260
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction...
The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news.
On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns...
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325
Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265
Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
The golden range strategy continues to workGold bottomed out and rebounded as expected today. Friends who follow me should be able to clearly feel that I have been insisting on analyzing the trend of "bottoming out and rebounding" recently. Today, gold opened at 3300, and rebounded after the lowest price fell to around 3291. So far, the highest price has reached 3325. Overall, the support below gold is still strong, but the suppression above cannot be ignored. Therefore, the market performance yesterday and today was relatively stable, with small fluctuations as the main trend.
In terms of operation ideas, continue to pay attention to the support level of 3290-3295. If it falls back and does not break, maintain a bullish mindset. At present, the long orders in the 3290-3295 range have been notified to enter the market as planned, and are currently in the profit stage. If you encounter difficulties in the current gold market operation, I hope my analysis can help you. Welcome to communicate at any time.
From the 4-hour cycle chart, the support below gold is around 3290-3295, and the pressure above is concentrated in the 3330-3340 range. In the short term, the watershed between long and short is around 3275-3283. Before the daily level effectively falls below the watershed, it is still in a long-short shock pattern, maintaining the main theme of "high-altitude and low-multiple" cycle participation.
Gold operation strategy: If gold falls back to the 3290-3295 line, you can try to go long. If it further falls back to the 3280-3285 line, you can consider covering long orders, and the target is around 3316-3320.
5/29 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold rose first and then declined. Our long positions targeting 3318–3326 were completed successfully, and we timely shifted to short positions, resulting in another round of solid profits.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold remains in a bearish trend, and is now very close to the 3275 support level. Based on the current price structure, a break below this level is highly probable.
If $3275 is breached, focus on key support at 3258–3238
Resistance levels to watch: 3298–3318
The daily (1D) chart is currently in an indicator correction phase, so today's trading bias is selling from higher levels
🗞 News Focus:
Watch for U.S. initial jobless claims data today. It may offer short-term support for gold, but is unlikely to reverse the broader bearish trend.
📈 Today’s Trade Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (resistance zone)
📈 Buy in the 3245–3232 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading levels:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3258 / 3247
Stay adaptive and combine news with price action at key levels for best results.
Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading day!
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form
On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253.
Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break...
Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253
Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205
DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/GBP Breakdown in Play: Time to Target the Next Support Below🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: EUR/GBP (Daily)
The pair is in a clear downtrend, with two descending blue trendlines confirming strong bearish pressure. After breaking below key support (now turned resistance), the price is forming lower highs and lower lows, a classic bearish continuation pattern. Currently, price is testing the trendline zone after a steep rejection, indicating renewed selling interest at resistance. Price failed to break above recent structure, validating the short setup further.
📉 Bearish Confluences
1. Descending Trendline
The price respects a multi-month downward trendline, rejecting it multiple times — confirming institutional selling interest.
2. Failed Retest of Structure (0.8465)
This level acted as prior support and has flipped into strong resistance. Price was rejected upon retesting, validating bearish continuation.
3. Momentum Shift
Candlestick structure and shrinking bullish bodies near resistance show fading bullish momentum — favoring sellers.
4. Lower Highs and Lower Lows
The chart clearly prints lower highs, indicating continuous bearish structure since early April.
✅ Trade Setup: Short Position
• Entry Point
🟡 Current market price around 0.83710–0.83740 after rejection from resistance
• Stop Loss (SL)
🔴 Above recent resistance and trendline at 0.84650
• Take Profit 1 (TP1)
🟢 Near recent support zone at 0.83234
• Take Profit 2 (TP2):
🟢 Near major trendline confluence / stronger support at 0.82218
📌 Final Thoughts
This EUR/GBP short setup is technically sound:
• It aligns with the overall trend
• Resistance has been confirmed with rejection wicks and weak bullish candles
• Bearish structure and trendline resistance remain intact
💡 Unless EUR/GBP breaks above 0.84650, the bias remains bearish, and this setup favors a continuation toward lower supports.
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise.
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery.
Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction.
Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly.
Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high.
The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term.
Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates.
According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation.
Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months.
Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
EURUSD – Bullish Bias ReconfirmedWe saw the pair pull back yesterday to our 1.12372 level, providing a textbook HRHR entry. The market has since bounced and looks poised for further upside if key levels break:
🎯 HRHR Buys: Already triggered at 1.12372
✅ Safe Buys: Above 1.14149, continuation setup
🛡️ Safest Buys: Above 1.16020, clean breakout targeting next key swing zones
We remain long-biased as long as 1.12372 holds.
US500 - Will the stock market reach ATH?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the index to continue moving, and on the other hand, if the index declines towards a certain zone, you can also look for the next S&P long positions with a risk-reward ratio.
Yesterday, a U.S. federal court halted the implementation of President Trump’s “Freedom Day” tariffs. The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that these tariffs exceeded the legal authority granted to the president and unanimously decided to revoke them. Nonetheless, Trump still retains the right to appeal the ruling.
Following the court’s decision, President Trump promptly filed an appeal. In response, the White House issued a statement asserting, “The decision on how to handle a national emergency should not fall into the hands of unelected judges.”
Meanwhile, the market reacted strongly to Nvidia’s latest financial report. The company’s stock surged by as much as 5.8% in after-hours trading, before settling at a 4.8% gain compared to the previous day.
This bullish movement reflects investors’ confidence in Nvidia’s continued strong performance.
Nvidia is actively expanding into new markets, including the Middle East—an indication that the company is poised for sustained growth even if its presence in China is constrained.
The rally in Nvidia’s stock didn’t just lift semiconductor companies; broader markets followed suit. The S&P 500 index climbed to 6,005.75 points, representing a 1.7% increase from the prior session.
According to the company’s announcement, Nvidia posted $44.1 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, marking a 69% increase year-over-year and slightly surpassing analysts’ expectations. Revenue from data center operations rose 73% to reach $39.1 billion.
CEO Jensen Huang stated: “Our Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer—designed for reasoning and acting as a ‘thinking machine’—is now being mass-produced by system builders and cloud service providers.” He added, “There is enormous global demand for Nvidia’s AI infrastructure. Over the past year alone, AI inference token generation has grown tenfold. As AI agents become mainstream, the demand for AI compute will continue to surge.”
A Reuters poll now projects that the S&P 500 will reach 5,900 by the end of 2025—down from the 6,500 level forecast in February. Similarly, the Dow Jones index is expected to close 2025 at 43,708, compared to the previous projection of 47,024 from the February survey.
Separately, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) reported that the increase in U.S. bank profits was largely driven by growth in noninterest income. Bank earnings in the first quarter of 2025 rose by 5.8%, reaching $70.6 billion. While overall asset quality remains favorable, the commercial real estate loan portfolios continue to show signs of weakness. The number of “problem banks” declined by three, bringing the total down to 63. The banking industry also reported a slowdown in lending growth; the annual loan growth rate for the first quarter was just 3%, down from the pre-pandemic average of 4.9%.
Trading Signals for EUR/USD Sell below 1.12907 (200 EMA-21 SMA)Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.12640 within the uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart since May 9 and showing signs of exhaustion.
If the euro continues its bullish cycle, we could expect a break and consolidation above 1.1354, then it could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1475.
Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought, and the chart shows a small secondary downtrend channel, which will be viewed as a selling opportunity in the coming days.
The euro could attempt to recover in the coming hours as we see a small technical rebound. However, it faces strong resistance around 1.1354. Below this area, any technical rebound will be viewed as a selling opportunity, with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below the 6/8 Murray level could confirm the next bearish move and could fill the gap left at 1.1162 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level at 1.0986.
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers.
📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run!
📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :)
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD