NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market
NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement.
The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market.
The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571.
Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674
Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684
After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense.
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Lines
USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH!
The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates.
Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant
In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
Nifty - Awaiting the Fifth Wave for a BreakoutNifty recently hit a low of 21,905 , marking a key reversal point in the trend. A well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is emerging, with the right shoulder currently forming. The ongoing pullback has retraced to the 38.2% level, but there is potential for it to extend towards the 50% mark at 22,906 . However, the upward move appears to be losing momentum, with buying interest remaining subdued.
Based on the chart, the head of the pattern signifies the beginning of a new impulse wave. This appears to be the fourth wave within the larger first wave. Once Nifty completes this corrective phase, the fifth wave is expected to present a trading opportunity. If wave equality holds, Nifty could potentially rise to 24,857 .
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its benchmark interest rate at 4.10%, citing uncertainties in leading economic indicators, including the impact of President Trump’s tariff policies. Markets expect the RBA to cut rates in May.
- The Washington Post reported that White House staff have drafted a proposal to impose a 20% tariff on most U.S. imports.
- European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the European Union has the power to negotiate with the U.S. and to retaliate if necessary.
- The March ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector has entered a contraction phase. Meanwhile, the February JOLTS Job Openings report showed 7.57 million job openings, missing market expectations, suggesting a gradual slowdown in the labor market. These two indicators hint at the formation of stagflation in the U.S. economy.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 2: U.S. March ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
With the market frozen ahead of Trump's reciprocal tariffs, AUDUSD remains largely range-bound. Technically, a short-term rise to 0.63500 is likely, followed by a decline toward 0.60000. However, given potential variables, a breakout above 0.63500 is possible, which could extend gains toward 0.66000.
3100 Danger? Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier!
Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend.
In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
4/2 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday's upward movement, gold experienced a deeper pullback, testing the 3100 area before rebounding to around 3120. However, based on technical indicators, the bullish outlook remains uncertain.
The key resistance to watch is around 3125—if the price fails to break through, we shouldn't expect higher levels today. In that case, the main trading direction will be short positions, with a possible drop to 3086 before tomorrow’s data release.
However, if 3125 resistance is broken and sustained, bulls may attempt another rally towards 3138-3150. On the bearish side, support in the 3103-3096 region is crucial.
Trading Recommendations:
📌 Main Trades:
Buy in the 3098-3086 range
Sell in the 3138-3148 range
📌 Short-Term Scalping:
Sell in the 3124-3131 range
Buy in the 3109-3103 range
CAD/JPY Bearish Setup Near Resistance – Rejection Incoming?📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair is in a downtrend, confirmed by the descending trendline.
Lower highs and lower lows indicate bearish momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (104.5 - 106.0): Marked in purple, this area has previously acted as support and is now a key resistance zone.
Support Area: Around 100.0 - 101.0, a psychological level where price may find demand.
📊 Trade Scenario:
Bearish Rejection Expected: Price is approaching the resistance zone and trendline confluence. If rejection occurs, a downward move towards 100.0 is likely.
Break Above? If price breaks above the resistance zone and trendline, bullish momentum could invalidate the bearish setup.
🔍 Conclusion:
Watching for rejection near 105.0-106.0 to confirm a short opportunity.
If rejection happens, next targets are 102.0 → 100.0.
A bullish breakout above 106.0 could shift momentum upwards.
USOIL Daily Analysis: Bullish Reversal from Key Support USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) daily chart showing price action analysis.
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
A strong demand zone is marked around $65-$66, which has acted as a reversal area in the past.
The price has recently bounced off this zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $68.25.
A bullish move started from the support region, with a higher low formation suggesting potential upside momentum.
Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a pullback before continuation to the upside.
If the support holds, $70-$72 could be the next target.
If price fails to hold above $66, further downside towards $64 may be possible.
Outlook:
Bullish Bias 📈 as long as the price remains above the demand zone.
Watch for a higher low confirmation before entering a long trade.
Breakout above $70 could signal a stronger rally.
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
__________________________________________________________________
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
XAU/USD Gold Bullish Momentum – Targeting $3,153+?📊 XAU/USD Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation in Ascending Channel
🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance levels. The trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since late 2024. Currently, price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,153 – $3,200 (potential breakout target)
Current Price: $3,020 (holding above key mid-range support)
Support Levels:
Channel Midline Support: ~$2,980
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$2,900 (potential corrective zone)
Channel Bottom Support: ~$2,700 (strong demand area)
🔹 Bullish Scenario 🟢
A break and close above $3,153 would confirm a bullish breakout, opening the door for a rally toward $3,200 and beyond.
Momentum remains strong, with price structure favoring continued upside as long as it stays above the midline of the channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario 🔴
Failure to break above $3,153 could trigger a short-term pullback toward $2,980 - $2,900, where buyers may re-enter.
A confirmed breakdown below the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish setup and expose $2,700 - $2,600 as potential downside targets.
🔹 Conclusion & Trade Considerations
Bias: Bullish as long as price remains inside the ascending channel.
Entry Considerations: Retest of $3,020 - $2,980 as support could offer a high-probability long setup.
Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above $3,153 strengthens the bullish case for continuation.
LULU / Lululemon Buy ScenarioMy guts and the seasonality over 10 years of past data suggest that it is a good idea to long LULU. Today is a strong up-day after an inside bar that gives you good calculation for risk management.
let s soo how this goes!
This is not a trade call.... all on your own risk. Trade what you know, understand and see not what people tell you...
leave a like or comment!
Cheers!
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBPJPY will likely to continue the bullish channelwith no significant sign of reversal, the price seems ok to continue the parallel channel as it has touched the lower trendline the next possible move is that it will hit the upper trendline as it has done in the previous situations. Area of the next HH has also been marked on the chart, and also buy position with instant been shown.
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits.
Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold;
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
Continue to short gold, there is still huge downside potentialGold fell below the short-term key support of 3120 and extended to around 3100. The short-term raid caught most long traders off guard. Today, I evaluated from both market factors and risk factors, and made a plan to short gold in the 3135-3145 zone, with the goal of a pullback to 3100. The potential profit space is $50. I believe that as long as you pay attention to and follow my trading strategy, you will definitely make a lot of money today!
At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3100, but I do not recommend going long on gold in this position area; because a sharp drop in gold can easily hit the confidence of long traders, stimulate profit-taking and panic selling, so I think the decline is not over.
Even from a technical perspective, although gold has a certain degree of technical repair after a rapid decline, it is obvious that the 4-hour level has not started to make up for the decline, indicating that there is still a lot of room for correction below. In this round of decline, I think gold is likely to continue to fall to the area around 3085, or even the 3075-3065 zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can still consider shorting gold in batches after it rebounds to the 3115-3125 zone, with the target pointing to the 3095-3085 zone.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Nifty is holding on above the Father line but by a thin margin.After reaching a weekly high of 23869 Nifty decided to fall back in search of its support zone. Currently it is holding above the Father line in the daily chart which is at 23406. Below the Father line there is Mother line waiting to support Nifty at 23114 in case the weakness seen on Friday persists. We will be in trouble again in case we get a daily or weekly closing below this level. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 22827, 22294 and 21939. In case the Nifty is able to gain momentum again the resistances it will face will be near 23536, 23671 and 23864. Closing above 23869 will enhance the short term momentum in Nifty which can lead it to 24K+ levels.
To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same.
Things are slightly off balance with shadow of the candle just slightly in favour of bears as of now but Bulls will definitely try and retake the advantage back to their side given a slight opportunity. So the Bull and Bear tussle to continue into April and may escalate given Trump Tarif announcements and upcoming result season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.