Will CPI data boost gold to 3,400?
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rebounded modestly in the Asian session, supported by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming June CPI data from the United States, and investors are reassessing whether the Federal Reserve may start a rate cut cycle this year.
The overall CPI (year-on-year) is expected to grow by 2.7%, and the core CPI may reach 3.0%. If the data is lower than expected, it will strengthen the market's bet on a rate cut in September, which is bearish for the dollar and bullish for gold.
The current market has expected that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is about 60%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut before the end of the year is about 50%.
📊Technical aspects
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish structure as a whole and is currently testing the key resistance level of $3365. If it can effectively break through this area, it will open up the upside, with the target pointing to $3400 or even $3435.
On the daily chart, MACD maintains a positive opening, and the momentum indicator shows that buying is still active, and the short-term trend is to continue to rise. On the contrary, if the gold price is blocked near 3365-3370, it may fall back to the support area of 3340 US dollars. Further support is near 3326 and 3300 US dollars, which is still regarded as a potential area for bargain hunting.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3345-3355,SL:3335,Target: 3380-3400
Trend Lines
It is expected to fluctuate and fall before CPI data📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The 1H chart shows that the gold price continued to pull back last night and then fluctuated at the bottom, and continued the rebound trend this morning. The key pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level. The current rebound in gold is only a secondary confirmation of the top structure at the 30-minute level. After reaching 3365, it has shown signs of short-term pressure. In a volatile market, if the price begins to consolidate horizontally, it may indicate the end of this round of volatile upward trend, and it will enter a downward phase later. Considering the market sensitivity before the release of CPI data, it is recommended to focus on the volatile decline trend. After today's rebound, it is necessary to focus on the 3365-3368 area as a short-selling range, and the long-short defense position is set at yesterday's intraday high of 3375. The support below focuses on the 3350-3340 range.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3358-3368
TP 3345-3333
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
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With a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 12,
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In light of the #UKX breaking through and reaching new highs, and beginning to accelerate towards my long-standing projections that the FTSE would hit 5 figures, ALPHA appears to be a unique opportunity in the UK markets, which, as we know, are relatively sparse compared to the USA.
Given the inability to purchase shares of #Revolut, it is likely that capital will flow into this ticker.
Bullish adjustments are ready to counterattack at any time
Today, we will first look at the adjustment of gold. The current overall price framework is relatively favorable to bulls. After all, after the continuous breakthrough in the previous period, the current daily line has also stood firmly above the short-term moving average. Whether it will reverse again in the future is also the key trend in the later period. Although the US market was in a retracement yesterday, it did not break the key support of 3325-30 below. This position can also be used as the key support point and watershed position in the later period. Only if this position continues to fall, it may turn from long to short in the later period. Yesterday, we had a long order at 3341 and successfully made a profit at 3348. After three consecutive trading days of rebound, the overall price finally came under pressure at the 3375 mark and ushered in a suppressed decline and shock adjustment. Although there was a shock decline adjustment in the short term, the overall technical pattern is still in the bullish shock upward rhythm. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, the bullish strong dividing line below is 3325-30. Below, we focus on the short-term support of 3340-45. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to maintain the bullish rhythm of falling back and following the trend. The short-term pressure focuses on the vicinity of 3370-75. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged based on this range.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3340-45 and goes long. Fall back to 3325-30 and add more positions. Stop loss 3317. Target 3365-70. Continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely.
On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts.
Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3350, 3340
Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Buy XAUUSD?Date: July 15, 2025
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Timeframe: 4H
Direction: Long
Entry: ~3,360
Stop Loss: ~3,327 (below sell-side liquidity)
Take Profit: ~3,492
RR Ratio: ~1:4
⸻
🔍 Market Context
• Price had been trending downward and then consolidated for several sessions.
• A sell-side liquidity sweep occurred just below 3,327 — taking out stops beneath local lows.
• Strong bullish reaction followed, forming a clean bullish order block and reclaiming structure.
⸻
🎯 Trade Rationale
• Sell-side liquidity taken → market structure shift → bullish BOS (break of structure).
• Bullish order block formed with clear mitigation.
• Small black-box consolidation likely a retest zone for low-risk entry.
• Targeting inefficiency toward 3,492, with a clean range above.
⸻
🧠 Trade Management Plan
• Move stop to breakeven at 3,375 once price clears local resistance.
• Consider partial TP at 3,420–3,450 to lock profit.
• Trail remainder to higher lows or use fib-based trailing stop.
⸻
😐 Emotional State Before Trade
Calm and focused. Recognized a textbook SMC entry — no rush or FOMO.
⸻
✅ Post-Trade Reflection (To Fill Later)
• ❓ Did price react to the zone as expected?
• ❓ Was entry execution precise (limit vs market)?
• ❓ Any slippage or management improvements?
• ❓ Was I patient enough?
USNAS100 Outlook – CPI Data to Confirm Breakout or PullbackUSNAS100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of CPI
USNAS100 continues to show strong bullish momentum, trading above 22,905 and recently printing a new all-time high (ATH).
As long as price remains above this level, the next upside target is 23,170, followed by 23,300.
Market Focus – CPI Data Today:
• Expected: 2.6%
• Below 2.6% → bullish reaction likely
• Above 2.6% → bearish pressure expected
• Exactly 2.6% → could trigger a short-term bearish pullback
Key Risk Level:
A confirmed break below 22,905 would signal weakness and open the door for a correction toward 22,615.
Trendline Breakout for Wave 3Navitas is currently looking at breaking out of its recent downtrend to potentially begin wave 3 of its move up, which, as we all know, is the most impulsive move.
Could be very tasty after a 350% pump already
Need to get above the range POC and breakout of the trend line, would be looking to get in on the retest of the downtrend line.
Stellar (XLM) Rejected Hard—Brace for $0.25 Next?On the daily chart of XLM/USDT, price has made a steep, parabolic rise, pushing directly into a well-established resistance zone around $0.5155. This level has historically capped price moves, evident from several prior swing highs clustering near this area. The rally itself unfolded rapidly, without significant consolidation, leaving a series of untested supports in its wake.
This combination—a near-vertical climb into resistance—often signals buyer exhaustion. Indeed, the rejection candle formed right at the $0.5155 ceiling, which strengthens the bearish argument.
Below the current price action, there is a broad support zone between $0.3347 and $0.3504. This area previously acted as resistance earlier in the year and is likely to attract some buying interest if price pulls back decisively. Beneath it lie deeper supports around $0.2500, $0.2268, and $0.2000—levels that remain untested during this move up.
While the chart does not display volume bars, the sheer steepness of the final leg suggests momentum was likely unsustainable. Often, such aggressive spikes without healthy consolidation result in a retracement of 30–50% or more.
One critical factor to watch is whether price manages to reclaim and hold above $0.5155. Failure to do so implies that sellers remain in control, raising the probability of a broader pullback toward the mid-$0.30s or lower.
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📉 Why This Setup Leans Bearish
This chart structure supports a bearish thesis because:
• Price is reacting strongly to historical resistance.
• The rally was parabolic, making it prone to sharp corrections.
• There is no clear consolidation base above the breakout point.
• Several untested support levels remain below current price, which the market may revisit.
If this move is indeed an exhaustion spike, the next phase is typically a retest of the last major consolidation area around $0.3504–$0.3347.
________________________________________
📊 Potential Bearish Trading Setup
Here is a structured trading idea to consider:
Short Entry Zone:
• Retest of the $0.5155–$0.5200 resistance area.
• Look for confirmation by way of bearish candlestick patterns (shooting star, bearish engulfing, or consecutive rejection wicks).
Stop Loss:
• Conservative stop above $0.6374 to allow for volatility.
• Alternatively, a tighter stop just above $0.5200 if using smaller size.
Targets:
• First target: $0.3504 (major support).
• Second target: $0.2500.
• Third target: $0.2000–$0.2268 (deeper retracement zone).
ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY📉
The same as BTCUSD, ETHUSD has reached a new maximum at 3.083.52. After that the asset went sideways, waiting for some impulse. I see strong divergence on 4h timeframe on RSI and expect a decline within next 24-48 hours. Basically, it is the same story here as with the bitcoin, cause the nature of the recent hike is also the same. So, I put a
🔽 a market sell order at 2977.94 with
❌a stop loss at 3183.83 and
🤑a take profit at 2718.11
It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual.
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation SetupGold is moving within an ascending trendline, showing strong bullish momentum. Price is approaching a Bearish Order Block near 3,370, which may trigger a short-term pullback 📉.
If price rejects from this zone and retests the trendline (around 3,355), it could offer a high-probability long setup for a continuation move toward 3,380+ 📈🚀.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,368–3,370 (Bearish Order Block)
Support: 3,355 (Trendline area)
💡 Trading Idea:
Look for price action confirmation near the trendline for potential buys. Break above the order block could fuel further upside.
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad!!!Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness.
Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area.
Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT
TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾
EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a
🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with
❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and
🤑a take profit at 1.18266
Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
Converging triangle, may rise again in the short termUnder the influence of recent tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the main trend of the gold market remains bullish, but from the weekly and monthly level analysis, there is a high probability that it will pull back again after this round of highs and maintain a large range of fluctuations at a high level. Technical analysis shows that gold currently does not have the conditions for a unilateral surge at the daily level. Although the key level of 3345 has been broken, the continuity of the market is extremely poor, and volatility is still the main theme. At present, the trend of gold has formed a converging triangle pattern, and it may rise again in the short term. However, we need to be vigilant that the weekly line may form a high-rise and fall pattern, and the price of gold may fall back to 3300! Therefore, in today's late trading, you can consider retreating to the 3335-3330 area to go long
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bitcoin in New Ascending channel wait for 160K$As we can see Price broke previous ATH & channel resistance together and is holding strong, if it continue soon new channel is path to claim for Price based on chart and targets like 160K is just easy to hit.
So get Ready for new Highs and ATH here also this breakout to upside was mentioned in previous analysis and now that it is happening don't get surprise if you see notifications like Bitcoin new ATH 150K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
ETHUSDT Ready for 3K$ and New possible ATH after YearsSoon Red trendline resistance And 4K$ resistances will break and market will easily continue this bull Move and reaching new highs here After each other.
I am expecting more rise here at least to 3500$ near red trendline resistance and only after a valid breakout there more pump is expected like green arrow.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!