LINK: Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1 Chainlink is trading in Phase E of Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1. The Golden Window (0.618-0.786) has caught both LPS (Last Point of Supply) for Chainlink. Here are the price targets when Chainlink breaks out of the accumulation schematic:
Bear Case: $59.09 (1.618 fib)
Base Case: $92.82 - $131.31 (1.236 -1.382 fib)
Bull Case: $230.02 - $342.85 (1.618 - 1.786 fib)
Short Term: The price of Chainlink may trade and weave up/down the white Wyckoff demand trendline (Drawn from connecting SPRING and TEST)
Stay strong Link Marines.
S.N. = S.N.
Trend Lines
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The White House spokesperson mentioned unfair trade practices in a press briefing, citing examples such as the EU’s 50% dairy tariffs, Japan’s 700% rice tariffs, India’s 100% agricultural tariffs, and Canada’s 300% butter and cheese tariffs. As Japan was specifically mentioned, yen volatility has increased.
- Ahead of President Trump’s reciprocal tariff implementation on April 2, discussions within the ECB are strengthening around the need to hold interest rates steady in April, considering the impact of Germany’s fiscal stimulus.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 1: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Eurozone March CPI
+ April 2: U.S. March ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
+ April 4: U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s speech
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The pair has recently shown strong upward momentum, reaching the 151 level before facing resistance and retreating to the 149 level. As the current support and resistance range is quite narrow, it is crucial to observe the market for further direction.
>>If the 151 level is breached, an upward move toward the 154–155 range can be expected.
>>If it fails to break above 151, support at the 148–149 range will need to be confirmed. A further breakdown below this level could lead to a decline toward the 144–145 range.
NZD/USD at Risk of Retesting Yearly LowsThe Kiwi is clinging to uptrend support within a broader rising wedge, with selling pressure reemerging at .5680 despite Monday’s late recovery.
A clean break below the uptrend could see bears target .5650, the low from Monday. A move through that level would put .5600 in focus as the next downside target.
Momentum signals reinforce the bearish case—RSI (14) and MACD continue to trend lower into negative territory, favouring selling rallies and downside breaks.
If the price were to fail beneath the uptrend again and reverse back above .5680, the bearish bias would be invalidated for now.
Good luck!
DS
AUDUSD & NZDUSD Sell idea/analysis based on daily timeframeTook this trade based on a downtrend forming and the retest of a H&S on the daily chart with a minimum requirement of 1 lower low and 1 lower high. I saw a bounce before the price touches the previous low on the 4-hour chart, which could shape my 2nd lower high, and I entered the trade.
Pepe - Elliot Wave UpdateTrying to keep this clean and not had much time to study the theory exactly!
What's drawing me to this pattern the most is the trend lines (brown/orange)
IF, 1,2,3,4,5 (Blue)and we've hit wave 5 already. We're very much in the corrective phase (Green).
B to C I've drawn the fib highest high to the lowest low (This is trading logic, not sure this is how waves are measured for correctve waves).
Just to provide an idea given so much uncertainty in the market. :) Need more time to check the technicals, for me this is a good start.
If I had to commit, and I will. Nothing to me at the moment looks bearish! That's my point of view. Just not spot on yet!
A must-read for those who accurately hit TP and get liquidated!3.31: Three orders were made, short at 3121, close at 3113 and long at 3103, close at 3116. BTC82000 long at 83000 close. If you are losing money or your account is liquidated, please check my homepage and contact me. I will never let you down if you trust me. I have many years of market experience.
The spot gold price broke through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 9%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year.
On Monday, the international gold price continued to rise, with the spot gold price breaking through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128, an increase of about 1.3%. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 10%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year.
Technical indicators show that $3,000 has become a new support level. I predict that gold prices may hit $3,180 in the short term, and the target will be raised to $3,300 by the end of the year.
The market is paying attention to the US reciprocal tariff plan on April 2 and Friday's non-agricultural data. Goldman Sachs warned that tariff escalation may cause US core PCE inflation to rise to 3.5% and GDP growth to slow to 1%. Analysts are generally bullish on gold, and 85% of institutions predict that the rise will continue. Under the resonance of risk aversion and inflationary pressure, gold may remain strong in the short term, but it is necessary to be vigilant about the possible technical correction to the 3040-3090 range in mid-April.
Geopolitical tensions have further exacerbated market uneasiness. US President Trump's latest statement on Sunday said that if he believes that Moscow is hindering his efforts to end the war in Ukraine, he will impose a secondary tariff of 25% to 50% on all Russian oil. This tough stance has heightened market concerns about the deteriorating global trade environment, providing additional impetus for gold prices to rise.
From a macroeconomic perspective, rising inflation expectations have also supported gold's gains. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's latest statement shows that recent inflation data has shaken her confidence in two rate cuts this year. This statement reinforces the market's expectations that the Fed may maintain a high interest rate policy for a longer period of time, and the value of gold as a traditional anti-inflation asset has been highlighted. So far this year, gold prices have risen by more than 18%, showing strong safe-haven appeal.
Despite the record highs in gold prices, analysts warned that the market may face the risk of short-term adjustments. If the tariffs announced this week are not as severe as people fear, then gold prices may start to fall as profit-taking at high levels may be triggered. "Market participants are waiting with bated breath for the final details of the Trump administration's tariff policy, which will determine the sustainability of gold's current rally.
In the current environment, gold has demonstrated its unique value as the "ultimate safe-haven asset". As geopolitical risks, trade tensions and inflation uncertainties persist, gold prices may continue to fluctuate at high levels. However, investors also need to be wary of possible profit-taking pressure after policy clarification, as well as the potential impact of the Fed's monetary policy direction on the gold market. The subsequent development of this gold feast dominated by risk aversion will still depend on the game results of multiple factors.
QQQ Call (Big Picture)Just marking up QQQ to look for an entry long-term. Looking at the big picture from the monthly, pulled out the Fibster to get my retracement levels. After breaking the trendline, looks like it can head down to 38.2% and head back up or further down to the 52W L. My prediction is that it will bounce from the support I see in the past, which is where I have it marked as an entry point. Let me know your thoughts if you see this.
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bullish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
SD/Tether USD Cryptocurrency Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# SD / Tether USD Cryptocurrency Quote
- Double Formation
* (Downtrend Argument)) | Completed Survey
* 0.236 & 0 Retracement Area | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ((Triangle Structure)) | Ranging Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 1.50 USDT
* Entry At 0.55 USDT
* Take Profit At Out Of Range Area USDT
* (Ranging Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
What to do if crude oil rises? The latest layout strategyCrude oil futures showed volatility during the day on Monday. Prices rose sharply in early European trading, breaking through the 70.00 integer mark and then falling back, but still fluctuating at a relatively high level. Oil prices rose slightly after countries importing Russian oil imposed tariffs of 25% to 50%. Brent crude oil futures climbed and WTI also rose. However, gains were limited as traders questioned the seriousness of the proposal. ING Group pointed out that the market was "fatigued" by Washington's tariff rhetoric, indicating that the crude oil market was unlikely to react strongly without concrete actions.
Crude oil plan: Crude oil is recommended to retreat to 70.0-69.5, with a target of 71.0-72.0 and a stop loss of 0.5 US dollars.
If oil prices break below $69.0/barrel, this will stop the expected bullish trend and push oil prices to regain the main trend of volatility.
It is expected that today's oil prices will trade between the support level of $69.0/barrel and the resistance level of $72.0/barrel.
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal
Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price.
This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech
Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels
Resistance levels: 3127
Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085
We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction
The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets.
The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change
Regards R. Linda!
BTC is expected to hit 85000-86000 again, or even higherBTC has once again built a strong double bottom structural support in the 82000-81000 zone. BTC is likely to continue to rise. Once it breaks through the short-term resistance area near 83600, BTC may usher in a wave of accelerated rise and has the potential to continue to the 85000-86000 zone.
So we can still go long on BTC in the 82500-81500 zone. In addition, once BTC rises as expected, it is likely to grab the market share of gold, so it may also accelerate the decline of gold to a certain extent. This is a point we must be careful about next.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Strong acceleration to the top? Gold trading analysis strategyGold early layout plan: Long and short strategies in the real market all the way to stop profit, lucrative profits, witnessed by the whole network!
News: On the fundamentals, last week's re-strengthening, in addition to the escalation of tensions in the global economy and trade, there is also support from the Middle East tensions and the optimistic impact of the Ukraine negotiations that are not as expected; and this week will usher in Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough and oppose the unilateral imposition of tariffs by the United States. And a comprehensive response is about to be made. This will increase economic concerns and the safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, although there are some profit-taking and resistance suppression in the gold price at present, under the mutual game of global trade tariffs and the intensification of geopolitical tensions, a temporary retracement is still creating entry opportunities for bulls, and in the short term, it is still expected to refresh the historical high to around US$3,150. In the day, we will pay attention to data such as the Chicago PMI in March and the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in March in the United States. It is expected that the impact will be limited. According to the trend of last week, there is also momentum for strengthening again. Therefore, the day will still be bullish and rebound-oriented. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include Tuesday's ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings, Wednesday's ADP employment, and Thursday's ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims.
Gold technical analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold is really simple, you can make money with your eyes closed, and now it has reached the point where everyone can make money. On the contrary, I began to become cautious and timid. Gold jumped high in the early trading, quickly sold off and washed the market, and successfully got many people off the bus with a trick of fishing for the moon in the bottom of the sea, and then pulled up all the way, which was really strong. I emphasized before that gold would not peak if it did not soar by hundreds of dollars, and now this rhythm is getting closer and closer. Today, it rose by 50 US dollars a day. I dare to guarantee that there will be another day of 100 US dollars this week, which means that the top is just around the corner. Go long with the trend, but don't be a long-term investor. Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-3105. Finally, I would like to advise the majority of retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3128-3130 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3097. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Maintain the main pullback and go long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long on the 3100-3105 line of gold.
Trading discipline: 1. Don’t blindly follow the trend: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
Technical Analysis of AUDUSD: Weakness Ahead of Central Bank MeeIn the previous analysis, we noted the decline in this currency pair, though a temporary rebound led to a retest of the supply zone before another drop. Investor caution regarding potential retaliatory tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, scheduled for Wednesday as "Freedom Day," has added further pressure on the Australian dollar. As a result, the likelihood of a deeper decline toward the 0.60 demand zone remains intact.
USDCAD -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas
Technical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:USDCAD
________________________________________________________________
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBTCUSD has experienced a significant decline. While the indicators have yet to show signs of stabilization or a trend reversal, the price action on the candlestick chart indicates that there is support in the range of 82,000-80,000. Therefore, I believe it is an opportune moment to position for a long trade within this range, exercising patience as we await a price rebound to achieve the TP1/TP2 targets.
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom
Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
A Disappointing First Quarter
The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets.
Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind
The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability.
The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows.
Whale Activity and Market Manipulation
Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations.
Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics.
Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support?
The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines.
Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty.
Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis
The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty.
However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty
The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including:
• Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment.
• Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations.
• Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior.
•
In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.