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SPX the bullish case to 7k or is the top in now? or bearish?Here are the levels for bull or bear on the SPX based off a fib extension from the macro lows. What is interesting is how the price has reacted off the 0.618 and 0.5 levels suggesting that it has further to go because we have broken out However if you draw another fib extension from the lows it shows a top around 6100-6150 range where we are now. Good luck - lets hope the bulls win out and crypto takes off too. If you do the same analysis on the Nasdaq fib tops out at 26,400 where fib is equal to 1. that implies Nas to over perform to 20-25% from todays levels hence supports the argument here for higher prices on the SPX
CBOE:SPXLong
by William_Playfair
USDCHF -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher. A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89115 on 02/25/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.90367, 0.91497, 0.92218 and more heights is expected. __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
17
S&P 500 - What after 6010 – Key GDP Data in FocusS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 27, 2025 The S&P 500 has declined to 5937, as expected , after rejecting the 6010 pivot zone. Market sentiment remains mixed following Nvidia’s earnings, which were neither overly bullish nor bearish, while investors now shift focus to today’s GDP release: If GDP comes in below 2.3%, a bullish reaction is likely. A stronger-than-expected GDP could reinforce downside pressure on indices. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support at 5979 and 5937. A 1H or 4H candle close below 5937 would accelerate the decline toward 5920. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and 1H or 4H close above 6010 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 6031. Stability above 6031 would strengthen momentum toward 6055 and 6086. ⚠️ Market Impact: GDP data will drive today’s market movement—watch for increased volatility. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 🔹 Pivot: 6010 🔻 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010, but a confirmed break above 6010 could trigger a bullish shift.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Continue to short gold after the reboundAfter sideways consolidation, gold chose to move downward again, and the current situation and direction are very clear. 2956 has basically been confirmed as the current stage high, so in the New York trading session, we only need to find the right time and point to short gold. However, although the decline of gold just now was strong, it still seemed a little hesitant when facing the low point last night. There is still a certain support in the intraday, and the gold price will more or less rebound. The resistance area above is the 2915-2925 zone, so I will short gold with the resistance of this area, and gold will definitely touch the 2880-2870 zone or even lower during this round of decline. Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD - Worries about the US economy!?Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is in its descending channel. An upward correction of gold towards the supply limits will provide us with the next selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. An economist believes that the massive influx of gold and silver into the United States, coupled with speculation about the liquidity of the country’s gold reserves, could have profound effects on American consumers as well as the domestic and global economy. Thorsten Pollitt, professor emeritus of economics at the University of Bayreuth and publisher of the BOOM & BUST report, told Kitco News that the increase in physical gold and silver inflows into the US is not surprising, as banks are increasing their reserves to counter potential risks associated with tariffs. He stressed that while the likelihood of tariffs on gold and silver is low, the risk is significant enough for banks and investors to take a precautionary approach. Looking at the long-term implications of this, Pollitt explained that the increase in US gold and silver reserves, coupled with the government’s renewed focus on its reserves, could lead to expectations that both precious metals would be used as currency alongside the US dollar. He added that using gold and silver as hard currency alongside the dollar could help reduce the problem of inflation, which has become a major challenge for the economy. However, he stressed that for such a scenario to happen, the price of gold and silver would have to reach a much higher level to be commensurate with the size of the US economy. (Hard currency refers to a form of currency that is globally accepted and retains its value due to its stability and reliability.) Pollitt went on to explain that the significant increase in US government debt has put not only the Federal Reserve, but the entire fiat-based monetary system at risk. “In the future, the Federal Reserve will no longer be able to maintain the same flexibility that it has in the past,” he said. For example, in times of financial crises, the Fed would usually support the economy by injecting liquidity into it. But now, doing so could trigger a wave of hyperinflation. We now know that the Fed can no longer simply be the savior of the economy as it used to be.” He also warned that the Fed’s policies have led to the market not pricing in risks properly. For example, yields on risky corporate bonds are significantly below their historical average. Currently, the yield spread between B-rated corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds is 1.45 percent, its lowest level since mid-1979. Warren Buffett, one of the most influential figures in the investment world, has made his concerns clear. In his annual letter to shareholders, the 94-year-old has a stark message for policymakers in Washington: financial turmoil and monetary instability pose a serious threat to the U.S. economy. The warning comes as his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway has delivered a record-breaking profit and a record $334.2 billion in cash. But Buffett is treading carefully as investment opportunities appear to be shrinking and is preparing to hand over the reins to his appointed successor, Greg Abel. In the letter, Buffett expressed concern about the growing U.S. budget deficit and warned of a possible extension of tax cuts that began under Trump. He emphasizes that “irresponsible fiscal policies can destroy the value of paper money” and emphasizes the importance of sound public financial management. According to him, the stability of the US economy depends on a strong dollar, and any mistake in monetary policy can have irreparable consequences. With the rapidly growing budget deficit and increasing discussions about extending the Trump-era tax cuts, Buffett warns that the value of the dollar may weaken. He calls on Washington policymakers to maintain a stable economic framework and support the vulnerable: “Support people who have been unfortunate in life through no fault of their own. They deserve a better life.” Warren Buffett reminds us of one of the fundamental principles of investing: “In times of uncertainty, caution and responsible management are more important than ever.” His warning about the growth of the US public debt and the depreciation of the dollar may come true if current trends continue. Moreover, his focus on investing in Japan and preparing for his successor is a key step for the future of Berkshire Hathaway, a company that must find its way without him in a world of increasing economic instability.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Gold Ascending Channel was brokenGold (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis (Feb 27, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Gold has been trading inside an ascending channel, but recently, price broke below the lower trendline, suggesting potential downside continuation. The key support level at $2,836 is highlighted as a major area to watch. If this level breaks, further downside could be expected. Bearish RSI Divergence has formed, meaning price made higher highs, but RSI made lower highs, signaling weakening momentum. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI is currently at 38.40, approaching the oversold area (below 30), which means we could see a short-term bounce before further downside. However, momentum remains weak, and lower highs on RSI indicate that buyers are losing strength. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $2,900 - $2,910 (Previous support turned resistance) $2,940 - $2,950 (Upper trendline resistance) Support: $2,860 (Recent bounce zone) $2,836 (Major support; a break below confirms further downside) $2,800 (Psychological level and next downside target) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price rejects at $2,900 or breaks below $2,860, we could see a move down towards $2,836. A break below $2,836 would confirm further downside towards $2,800. Short Setup: Entry: Below $2,860 Stop-loss: Above $2,900 Target: $2,836, then $2,800 📈 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) If price reclaims $2,900 and holds above it, a move back to $2,940 - $2,950 could be possible. Long Setup: Entry: Above $2,900 Stop-loss: Below $2,880 Target: $2,940 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish, with a potential retest of $2,836. Watch for rejection at $2,900 or breakdown below $2,860 for a short opportunity. Longs are risky unless price reclaims $2,900 and shows strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forexbeats
USNAS100 - Bullish Correction then Bearish Resuming!USNAS100 Analysis – February 26, 2025 📉 Bearish Momentum Holding Below Resistance The NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) continues to exhibit bearish pressure, trading below 21,390, which now acts as a key resistance level. The price has stabilized above 21,166, suggesting a possible short-term correction toward 21,390 before resuming its downtrend. Technical Outlook 🔻 Bearish Scenario: As long as USNAS100 remains below 21,390, the bearish momentum is expected to persist, with downside targets at 21,250 and 21,166. A 4H or 1H candle close below 21,166 would confirm further selling pressure, pushing the price toward 20,987 and 20,885. 📈 Bullish Reversal: If the price stabilizes above 21,390, a short-term recovery could lead to a retest of 21,560 and 21,807, signaling a potential shift in momentum. 📉 Correction Movement: The price is likely to retest 21,390 from 21,220 as part of a correction phase before resuming its decline. ⚠️ Market Impact: Geopolitical tensions and U.S. tariff policies continue to pressure equity markets. The uncertainty surrounding trade relations is weighing on investor sentiment, reinforcing a cautious market outlook. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 21,390 | 21,560 | 21,807 🔹 Pivot Zone: 21,220 🔻 Support: 21,166 | 20,990 | 20,885 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 21,390 – A confirmed breakdown below 21,166 would accelerate downside momentum. Previous idea: |
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices. Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction. Support levels: 2878, 2888 Resistance levels: 2890, 2907 False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction. If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880. If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
WTI - Will Oil Return to the Uptrend?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the demand range, the next opportunity to buy oil with a risk-reward ratio will be provided for us. An upward correction of oil towards the supply range will provide us with an opportunity to sell it. Despite markets showing resilience to geopolitical uncertainties following recent tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, any signs of economic weakness in the United States could prompt investors to raise their expectations for interest rate cuts. However, even if inflation data does not reinforce such expectations, it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the U.S. dollar. In the United States, inflation remains a major challenge for the Federal Reserve. The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 3% in January, dashing hopes for two rate cuts in 2025. However, the market’s reaction was not overly negative, as investors anticipated that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which the Federal Reserve prioritizes, would be less severe than the CPI. According to the Cleveland Federal Reserve’s Nowcast model, the core PCE index fell from 2.8% to 2.7% in January, while the overall PCE rate declined to 2.5%. If the actual data released on Friday aligns with these projections and no unexpected increases appear in the monthly figures, expectations for two 0.25% rate cuts may strengthen, exerting downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, U.S.President Joe Biden attempted to foster freer elections in Venezuela by extending an offer of cooperation, but this initiative failed. Now, Trump has announced that he will terminate this policy. He also noted that Venezuela is refusing to take back illegal migrants who had arrived in the U.S. This agreement, which had eased sanctions on oil, gas, and gold, was partially revoked in April 2024 after opposition candidate María Corina Machado was barred from running in the presidential election. Trump wrote on Truth Social: “We hereby revoke the concessions that corrupt Joe Biden granted to Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela regarding the oil deal dated November 26, 2022, as well as the electoral conditions in Venezuela, which the Maduro regime has failed to meet. Additionally, the regime has not returned the violent criminals it sent to our great America as quickly as promised. Therefore, I am ordering that Biden’s ineffective and unmet concessions be revoked as of the March 1 extension date.” Today, Trump escalated his stance on Venezuela by canceling Chevron’s oil license. This move was prompted by Caracas’s refusal to accept deportees and implement democratic reforms. President Trump announced that he would revoke the Biden-era license that had allowed Chevron to produce oil in Venezuela. This decision appears to be a significant setback for Chevron, the American oil giant. On his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump stated that he would rescind the license granted on November 26, 2022, which had permitted Chevron to operate in Venezuela.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times. I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212. Resistance levels: 1.212 Support levels: 1.044, 0.983 Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend. It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4. The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD Trendline Break ShortGold has just broken the upward trendline that has acted as support numerous times (At least 6). It has just been broken after a few failed attempts to rally further. We have also lost the 100 moving average (on the 4H time frame) I believe that Gold is stalling out ahead of the psychological figure of $3000 as it has done previously at $2000 to give an example. Stop Loss above the red downward trendline that has been formed from the highs that will act as my trailing stop loss. Take Profit level is a confluence of Fibonacci retracement levels and the upward trendline that I believe could act as support if the red downward trendline doesn't get broken first.
CAPITALCOMSB:GOLDShort
by marksmall1986
Altseason Might Still Come...? Here's Why:A contrarian take—altcoin season could still be on track, and the script hasn’t been broken. 🔥 Left chart: Before the past 2 altcoin seasons, the market touched the trendline (light blue) and consolidated at the lows. 🔥 Right chart: Over the past two days, BINANCE:BTCUSDT saw a sharp drop, yet altcoins ( CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ) gained against BTC for two consecutive days, showing a decoupling from BTC’s price action. One key characteristic of altcoin season is when altcoins rally with CRYPTOCAP:BTC but don’t drop when BTC falls. What do you think? Leave a comment! 🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss. 🔥  for more future "guesses" like this!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
by Harold_123