UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Trendlineanalysis
Amazon - Two trading setups!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Amazon stock created massive resistance roughly at the $180 level and started a major correction away from the resistance in 2022. As we are speaking Amazon stock is once again retesting this major resistance level and is therefore at a quite decisive inflection point. Either we will see a breakout or another rejection after which we could then see the overall continuation towards the upside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones - All time high and 20% rally?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Dow Jones has been trading in a rising channel formation. We had the first retest of support and resistance back in 2011 and ever since this was a massively profitable channel pattern. With the recent breakout above the $35.000 resistance level, the Dow Jones clearly looks like the next target is once again the upper resistance of the channel.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SWING TUTORIAL - EMAMILTDThe stock had found a Resistance zone @ 602 during Aug 2021 and had started a Lower Low Pattern ever since.
Eventually finding its Support Zone @ 360 during Mar 2023 after 1 Year and 7 Months.
At this point notice that the Lower Low Pattern in the Price Action, however MACD slightly started showing a Higher Low formation. Hence the Convergence Divergence indicating a good move upward and also the 1st confirmation upward.
Finally in July the stock showed its 2nd confirmation once it successfully exited the Lower Low Pattern Trendline with a massive huge green candle.
Thus giving us our 1st Entry point at this stage which took the stock as close to the previous Resistance zone @ 602 and a safe exit as High as 31% for the Trade as well.
Another cool thing to note here is the Stock also retested the same breakout zone and the MACD as well was making a new Crossover, thus indicating another fresh Entry into the stock.
This trade had eventually broken the 4 Year Resistance zone @ 602 with a large volume and taking the stock as High as 67% in returns as of today.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
EURNZD 450 pips projectionLooking at the Daily timeframe, we can see that price is in a big Triangle pattern and it's about to test the Bullish trend line. Upon touching the trend line, wait for a clean Bullish Daily candle to close for confirmation, then swing all the way up to the top of the triangle. Let me know what u think in the comment section.
GAIL An extremely bullish Reversal, Poised to break it's ATHThe stock is in continuous uptrend , with no evidence of sellers in major time frames.
The stock has reversed from 38.2% retracement in weekly.
I am looking to enter this counter at cmp with 184.20 as SL and minimum 15% ROI - 224 and then trail further.
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Cable moving into Daily trendline resistance near 1.28Cable has seen some nice recovery at the end of 2023; move is looking impulsive so more gains can be seen after the corrective retracement which has unfolded down from March highs. So far, price came down with three waves but pair is making a nice turn-up in last few weeks, out of a downward channel, thus it appears that pair is back in bullish mode. In fact, UK CPI figures reported last week indicated a cooling of inflation, but not as much as expected, so potential June cuts are most likely off the table. Looking at the 4h time frame, we see nice five subwaves up as expected which look like a wave 3, therefore we can expect much higher targets after a next pullback while market trades above 1.2570 invalidation level. However, there can be some resistance in the short-term, near the daily trendline that comes in around 1.28.
Support on dips is at 1.2650.
Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
$PFE on the moveVery clear picture on NYSE:PFE on a weekly timeframe
If it stays above the centre line, the trend is up and I have an initial target of around $35
If takes out the protective stock we have a continuation of the downtrend and this was just a minor upward correction.
Risk/Reward ratio 2.90
What's your take on NYSE:PFE from here?
Up or Down
EURGBP | Short H4 | Market Exec | Still Betting Against the EURTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has multiple resistance from trendlines & also a horizontal trendline (supply zone)
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related like the AUDNZD. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8590 - 0.8620
SL @ 0.8643
TP 1 @ 0.8562 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8522
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 1.73 (Depending on Entry Level)
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If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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Ethereum - 20% Rally within a day!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
6 years ago, Ethereum started creating a simple rising channel formation, similar to the one which we are seeing on Bitcoin. Furthermore Ethereum retested the previous all time high back in 2022, created bullish confirmation and a rally of + 250%. Considering that Ethereum is once again approaching the upper resistance level, I do eventually expect a bullish breakout followed by an even crazier rally.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SAIL - 50-70% ROI Potential with an RR of 1:3 - MidTermPotential1) Stock is in uptrend in Monthly , weekly.
2) The trendline that connects highs of 2007,2010,2021,2024 are about to be broken on the upside - Price confirmation indicates the same.
3) Weekly Price shows Morning star reversal.
Note : This stock has not participated in the bull rally of 2023.
Entry - Anywhere between 122-135. I see aggressive entries can be planned at 135.
Targets - 151, 170, 190-200, 260
STOP LOSS - Would consider exit only if monthly closes below 108.
USDCAD wedge patternThis pair is forming a bullish wedge pattern. The price is likely to break out to the upside in the near future, presenting a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to go long on this pair. However, currently the price is at a support zone, so we consider buying. Our target is 1.37266 price area.We anticipate a potential rebound from this support level, as historical price action suggests strong buying interest in this area. Traders looking to capitalize on this setup may consider entering a long position with a stop-loss below the support level for risk management. The target price of 1.37266 presents a favorable risk-reward ratio, offering a clear objective for profit-taking. Monitoring price action closely and adjusting the trade as necessary based on market dynamics will be crucial for maximizing gains in this trade setup.
GBPUSD: Price reaching premium selling zone| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have a upcoming great selling opportunity on GBPUSD. DXY may become weaker until Thursday where we can start having major news on DXY. The economic news expected to come in favour for USD although, the market will be too volatile so we ask you to follow accurate risk management.
As always if you like or agree with our idea, do not forget to like and comment :)
Bitcoin - $200.000 price target!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Bitcoin.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
More than 4 years ago Bitcoin created a nice bullish ascending triangle formation and broke out above the resistance. This breakout was followed by a +270% move towards the upside. Currently Bitcoin is once again creating a similar ascending triangle formation and is currently retesting upper resistance. We might get a pullback but the overall trend is still very very bullish.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
USDCAD ABC move end ?www.tradingview.com
USDCAD quick analysis on 15min chart timeframe
price avec an implusive move goes down for a corrective move ABC and as you can see in the chart the ABC corrective move is finished after the wave C reach the 1.618 fibo level so technically price now will go up at least hit the previous resistance if break above it it will continue . i will update you about what will happen on USDCAD after this move.
Here's the rationale for the SEI to riseHi, guys. Nice to meet you
I hope today will be a day full of joy
It's creating conditions for a rise by adjustment as extended waves.
If the upper line of the extended wave is broken upward, candle can rise to the purple long-term uptrend line.
If chart ignore the upward conditions of the extended wave and fall down, Green and red lines are likely to be support line.
(There should be absolutely no way to break down the red long-term downtrend line.)
BTC | Short H4 | Market Exec |Crypto Toppish For NowTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Resistance Trendline
- Price action is close to a 200 EMA (still bearish for now)
- Price action is in a consolidation zone
- Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing new in the Crypto space to start any new hype to enter the market
- Crypto ETF craze has passed; wait for the next one maybe for ETH
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 62,700 - 65,300
SL @ 68,042
TP 1 @ 59,200 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 53,685
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.27 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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BTC minor reaction to Intermediate degree correctionBitcoin is oversold on time-frames below 6W and overbought on 1D. This means the current move up is a minor reaction on Intermediate correction. I think the price will spike the ATH once again, but the probability price go significantly higher ATH is lower than vice-versa. Maybe around 85k.
The price action usually is moving in a channel boundaries. You can see the Primary trend lines on the chart. If to use Fib extension tool & apply it from 4 of April 2021 till the 12 of March 2024 top, the Intermediary correction target is matching with the channel boundaries it is between - 42075 - 29435. (0.382-0.618)
I guess the bottom might be near 34k.
Plus, we could use TVC, as an additional indicator: on a lower time frames - it was overbought and is not oversold on a higher TF.
So in a short term, the probability TVC will continue decline, whiting a couple of next weeks is high.
Good luck in your trading and have a massive profit !
BNBUST | Short H4 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Resistance Trendline & a Consolidation are
- Price action may reverse back towards the previous Demand Zone
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 560 - 570
SL @ 580.66
TP 1 @ 552 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 535.15
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.18 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________