Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trendlineanalysis
Gold in MONTHLY Time frame ( important) Hi friends this is my analysis about XAUUSD in monthly time frame ..
gold is on the dynamic resistance
what do u think about reaction to this resistance ?
((i think it have respect to the blue dynamic trend ))
but then in the longterm its bullish
what do u think ?
plz tell me in the coment
"EUR/USD: Long Opportunity at Trendline Support"Uptrend Momentum with Key Support & Resistance Levels
1. Overall Market Structure & Trend
The EUR/USD pair is currently in an upward trend, as indicated by the well-defined ascending trendline. This trendline has been respected multiple times, providing strong dynamic support. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, further confirming the bullish structure.
2. Critical Buying Zone & Upward Trendline Support
A key buying zone is highlighted in the 1.0400–1.0440 region. This area aligns with both the trendline support and the previous consolidation zone, making it a strong potential demand area. If the price retraces into this zone, a bullish reaction is expected, offering a potential entry opportunity for long positions.
3. Moving Averages as Dynamic Support
The price is currently trading above the 200-period moving average (blue) and the 50-period moving average (red). These moving averages are acting as dynamic support levels, reinforcing the overall bullish bias. A successful retest of these levels could provide confirmation for further upside movement.
4. Potential Upside Target at 1.0550
The immediate upside target is set around the 1.0550 resistance level, which marks a previous high. A breakout above this zone could trigger further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price towards higher resistance levels.
5. Short-Term Pullback & Rebound Potential
Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction. However, as long as the trendline and the buying zone remain intact, a bullish rebound is the most likely scenario. The red arrow on the chart indicates an anticipated upward movement upon a successful retest of the support zone.
6. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
- Bullish Outlook: As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and key support zone, the bias remains bullish.
🔹Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.0400–1.0440 (buying zone)
Resistance: 1.0550 (target area)
Trade Setup: A potential long entry could be considered upon confirmation of a bounce from the trendline and support area, with a target of 1.0550 and a stop-loss below 1.0380.
😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone)
Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target)
Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area)
🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels
📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480
🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone)
🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab)
🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target)
❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance)
📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis)
✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum.
✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate.
✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity.
✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend.
✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price.
📰 High-Impact News to Watch
⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility.
⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower.
⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure.
📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk!
EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly!
🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Ada strategic reserve idea Trump has single handedly turned Ada into a desirable digital asset, as he looks to add it to the U.S strategic reserve along side Bitcoin. Now if it actually happens I believe these fib levels and trend line are good targets. It's crazy how one man can turn vaporware into a desirable digital asset. All bets are off however if the strategic reserve does not get passed. Ada will most likely die then.
How To Identify Market Reversals Using the MAD IndicatorOverview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator is designed to capture market reversals, trend shifts, and volatility cycles using a combination of its Mainline (blue), Upper Band (green), and Lower Band (red) . This idea explores how the indicator performed in real market conditions, highlighting how price interactions with these bands provided trading signals.
How It Works
• Mainline (Blue Line - Dynamic Market Structure Guide)
• This acts as a key trend reference. When price trades above the Mainline , the structure is bullish ; when below, it’s bearish .
• Acts as floating resistance in downtrends and support in uptrends.
• Upper Band (Green Line - Dynamic Resistance Zone )
• Expands and contracts based on volatility.
• Acts as a dynamic resistance—when price struggles at this level, it often signals an overextended move.
• Breakout Above Green Band → Possible bullish expansion, highlighted by Green Background.
• Rejection at Green Band → Signals potential price exhaustion and reversal.
• Lower Band (Red Line - Dynamic Support Zone)
• Functions as a strong support—if price holds, a reversal is likely.
• Break Below Red Band → Sell confirmation, as bearish momentum increases highlighted by Red Background.
Performance in This Case Study (Based on this chart)
1. Reversal Accuracy & Trend Reactions
• Multiple green buy signals were generated as the price bounced from the red lower band, confirming it as a strong support zone.
• When price broke below the red band, sell signals followed, aligning with the continuation of a bearish move.
• Sell signals near the green upper band played out well, confirming resistance rejection.
2. Trend Shrinking & Expansion Dynamics
• The bands contracted during sideways market phases, signaling low volatility and a lack of momentum.
• Expansion occurred before sharp price moves, giving early volatility warnings.
3. Resistance & Support Behavior
• The Blue Mainline rejected price during a downtrend, acting as dynamic resistance.
• Price failed to hold above the Green Upper Band, confirming trend weakness.
4. Strong Market Moves & Confirmation
• The break below the red band led to a clear downward trend, reinforcing the sell signal’s validity.
• The indicator effectively filtered false breakouts by ensuring a clean move beyond its bands before confirming signals.
Key Takeaways
✅ Lower Band (Red Line) = Strong Support → If price holds, reversals occur; if broken, sell-offs follow.
✅ Upper Band (Green Line) = Strong Resistance → Price rejection confirms weakness; breakout signals potential expansion.
✅ Mainline (Blue Line) = Dynamic Trend Guide → Price below = bearish, price above = bullish.
✅ Band Contraction = Low Volatility, Band Expansion = Impending Breakout.
✅ MAD Indicator accurately detected reversals and trend shifts in this case study.
Bitcoin Daily Chart Over the past seven days, Bitcoin experienced a significant decline, dropping 2,440 pips before finding support around the 78,261 level. This area acted as a key zone of interest due to multiple technical confluences aligning, ultimately halting further downside movement. As a result, we are now witnessing a reaction at this level.
Looking ahead, I anticipate two potential scenarios. Bitcoin could revisit this support level, forming a double-bottom structure before initiating an upward push toward 91,500. Alternatively, it may first rally toward 91,500 before facing a rejection, leading to a corrective move down to approximately 71,500. If this pullback materializes and establishes a strong base, I expect Bitcoin to gain bullish momentum, eventually setting a new all-time high in the coming months.
Daily Chart Total Crypto Cap
There were multiple confluences to see an reaction at 2.6T.
Capturing Market Moves with the Special Candle SetupOverview
The Special Candle Setup Indicator has once again proven its effectiveness in detecting high-probability candlestick formations. In this chart, a bearish pattern was identified at the top, providing an early indication of a potential downside move. This setup allowed traders to position themselves accordingly, capturing the downward trend efficiently.
How It Worked Here
🔹 Precise Bearish Signal – The indicator detected a bearish pattern at a key resistance level, signaling a potential reversal.
🔹 Well-Defined Key Levels – The automatically plotted blue support line and green resistance line provided crucial reference points for trade management.
🔹 Trend Continuation Confirmation – The setup was followed by further bearish price action, validating the accuracy of the signal.
Key Takeaways
✅ Early Signal Accuracy – The indicator highlighted the reversal before the major drop, reinforcing its reliability.
✅ Multi-Market Application – These candlestick formations are not limited to expiry days; they are observed across crypto, forex, stocks, and indices.
✅ Customizable for Different Strategies – Users can enable or disable specific pattern types (bullish/bearish or reversal setups) based on their trading style.
Why This Matters?
Price action remains one of the most powerful trading tools, and this indicator helps traders automate pattern detection while integrating dynamic support and resistance levels for added confluence.
#JAILSTOOLUSDT is showing weakness 📉 SHORT BYBIT:JAILSTOOLUSDT.P from $0.01194
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.01234
⏱ 15m Timeframe
🔹 Overview:
➡️ The price has broken a key support level and is trading below the POC zone ($0.01356), where the highest volume was accumulated.
➡️ A bearish trend is forming, with lower highs continuing to develop.
➡️ Selling pressure is increasing, indicating growing momentum from the sellers.
➡️ If selling activity persists, expecting further downside movement toward TP levels.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Entering short below $0.01194, targeting profit at TP levels.
➡️ Expecting a breakdown confirmation and continuation of bearish momentum.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.01152
📢 BYBIT:JAILSTOOLUSDT.P is showing weakness — preparing for further decline!
Daily DXY The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently indicating the likely direction after closing below 106.965. I anticipate a move back to the 107.200-250 range before continuing its bearish swing. Several confluences support this, including the reversal point, an ascending trendline, a descending trendline, a rejection candlestick, the daily 0.382 Fibonacci level, the 4-hour 0.5 Fibonacci level, and a 4-hour order block. My target for the DXY is 106.083. As for gold, it has reached a new all-time high of 2954.944. I expect a pullback before it heads higher, potentially towards the 3000 level.
4hr DXY Chart
1hr DXY Chart
30m Gold Chart
Gold (XAU/USD) - Key Zone Reaction & Possible Scenarios**Gold (XAU/USD) - Key Zone Reaction & Possible Scenarios**
Looking at the chart, we can see that price is currently testing the **30 EG** zone after a strong move up from the **30 EF** zone below. The **original FEZ zone** (far left) was respected, and price reacted accordingly.
### What could happen next?
1️⃣ **Bearish Rejection from 30 EG** → If the price fails to break through the EG zone and shows clear rejection, we could see a short-term pullback or even a deeper retracement.
2️⃣ **Break & Continuation** → If price breaks above the EG zone with strength, it may confirm bullish momentum and push towards the next liquidity area.
3️⃣ **Formation of New EG** → If price consolidates and prints another engulfing structure within this range, we could reconsider labeling this zone accordingly.
### Key Takeaway
Since **EG was not formed on CMP**, this is more likely to be a **CE (Continuation Engulf)** rather than a strong EG. If no significant reaction occurs here, bulls may continue their dominance.
If close below green line, for sure we are Bearish!
What do you think? Do you expect gold to hold this zone or break higher? 🔥📉📈
XAUUSD H1: What is happening to GOLD?Technical analysis:
The price line is still showing a continued uptrend, important levels are broken and ready for a new ETH GOLD peak! 2 important price zones in the current uptrend are 2934, 2942.
Gold investors all see that gold has a strong upward trend, reaching 2940 USD/oz from October 2023 to present, surpassing the resistance of 2000 USD, showing a strong upward trend. However, if we consider the movements, gold has increased 4 times per week and there is a high possibility that there will be an adjustment in this sensitive area.
If we consider the cycle, gold in the monthly frame is still in the same upward phase as the quarterly frame, but currently we see that gold has increased for 27 months, corresponding to enough time for a monthly increase phase.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices were flat in the first session of the week as investors awaited further details on US President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which could escalate global trade tensions.
Senior Trump administration officials will begin peace talks with Russia and Ukraine in Saudi Arabia in the coming days, which is news that many investors are interested in. Gold has been seen as a safe haven asset during the recent period when geopolitical tensions have escalated.
GBP/USD: Selling into the reboundThe setup is similar in EUR/USD & GBP/USD - because of the dollar in both major pairs!
The GBP price is testing the broken uptrend line on the weekly- and could break above it.
On the daily chart, a downtrend line has already broken and so has critical resistance at 1.25, suggesting a break above the weekly uptrend line
Should the breakout follow-through it faces resistance at 1.28 from the December high and 30 week (150 day) moving average.
However, should the breakout fail - it sets up a likely continuation of the longer term downtrend.
Gold - Trend continuation after deep correctionParallel Channel: A clear upward-trending channel indicating long-term bullish movement.
Consolidation Pattern: A triangular consolidation phase before a breakout.
Strong Support Level: Marked around 2,861.843, serving as a key price level.
Price Projections: Two significant measured moves showing price increases of 14.10% and 12.27%, with the latest target reaching approximately 3,037.055.
Current Price Action: The price is around 2,882.482, experiencing a slight pullback (-1.57%).
Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Overall Trend: Bullish Momentum
The chart showcases an upward trend in gold prices over the past several months.
A parallel ascending channel is drawn, marking higher highs and higher lows, indicating a sustained bullish trajectory.
2. Parallel Channel Formation
A parallel channel (black trendlines) has been plotted, highlighting a structured uptrend.
The price has consistently moved within this channel, bouncing off support and resistance levels.
3. Consolidation & Breakout Phase
A green triangular pattern is visible in the middle section of the chart.
This pattern represents a period of price consolidation, where gold traded in a tightening range before a breakout.
After breaking out of this consolidation phase, the price resumed its uptrend, confirming a bullish breakout.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
A strong support level is identified at 2,861.843, providing a key price floor.
The price has recently retraced and is testing this support zone around 2,882.482.
Resistance lies near the upper boundary of the parallel channel, with a target projection of 3,037.055.
5. Measured Price Moves (Projection Targets)
The chart includes two price projections using vertical arrows:
First measured move: A rally of 333.699 points (14.10%), suggesting a significant bullish leg.
Second measured move: Another 331.092 points (12.27%), confirming continued bullish strength.
The next target price level is around 3,037.055 USD, indicating further upside potential.
6. Current Market Conditions
The current price is around 2,882.482, reflecting a -1.57% daily decline.
The recent pullback suggests either a minor correction or a potential support test before the next leg upward.
Technical Summary:
Trend: Strong bullish uptrend within a well-defined parallel channel.
Support Level: 2,861.843 (marked as a strong area of buying interest).
Resistance Level: Around 3,037.055.
Breakout Confirmation: After a consolidation phase, gold has resumed its uptrend.
Market Outlook: The chart indicates the potential for further upside, but short-term corrections may occur.
The price remains within the parallel channel, gold could continue its upward trajectory, with 3,037.055 USD as the next key resistance level. However, if the support level (2,861.843) fails, a deeper correction may follow.
XAUUSD - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 XAUUSD Analysis on 1H chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- There is no divergences
- Continuation pattern is present which is bullish flag
🔹 Trade Plan For 1HR
- Entry Level = 20386.3
- Stop Loss = 20312.7
- TP1 = 20458.6
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP 1:2
- BE @ TP1
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 1% of your portfolio
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
BTCUSD: Short for Delta-Neutrality after buying Spot @ Range-LowLike i mentioned in my previous analysis, BTCUSD is in a range and it might be ignored by the majority that there's no clear knowledge of the range spread. Noone knows, me included.
I just stick to my plan. Check my previous analysis if you want to know the reasons for this idea. Now it's more concrete and it's still worth a try, but if you are a retail trader, you should ignore it because of the leverage being used as well as the lack of experience with delta-neutral trading.
Also it is completely different from a typical HODL- or DCA-strategy. Trend-Followers and Breakout-Traders in general should wait for a more directional BIAS elsewhere because my analysis and trade idea results in a non-directional BIAS.
GOLD DAILY CHART ANALYSIS MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update
Hello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart we’ve been closely monitoring and trading. Below is a breakdown of recent movements and what’s next:
Previous Chart Review
* Key Resistance: We identified 2,790 as a critical resistance level and anticipated a potential reversal.
* Buy Signal: Recommended waiting for EMA5 to cross and hold above the ENTRY LEVEL (2,744) as a signal for a bullish move toward TP1 (2,807).
* Dynamic Support: Highlighted the FVG zone (2,720–2,740) as a key support area.
Outcome:
* EMA5 crossed above KEY LEVEL (2,744).
* Resistance at 2,790 was broken.
* TP1 (2,807) was successfully achieved, confirming the accuracy of our analysis.
What’s Next for GOLD?
* Candle Behavior: The daily candle didn’t close above TP1, suggesting a short-term reversal may occur.
Key Levels:
* Support: Strong support likely from the FVG zone and Gold Turn Levels (2,744 and 2,686).
* Downside Risks: If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2,744, the target shifts toward 2,686.
* Bullish Path: A bounce from support could retest TP1 (2,807) and further extend to TP2 (2,870.8) and TP3 (2,933.93).
Recommendations
Short-Term Trades:
* Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to capitalize on dips at the Gold Turn Levels for 30–40 pips per trade.
* Focus on shorter positions in this range-bound market to avoid getting caught in volatility.
Long-Term Bias:
* We remain bullish and view pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate.
* Buying dips from our marked levels enables us to manage swings safely, rather than chasing tops.
Final Note:
Trade confidently and safely. Our precise analysis ensures you’re equipped to navigate the market effectively. Stay tuned for daily updates and insights across all timeframes.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery
XAUUSD NEW ATH (WILL IT CONTINUE TO MAKE NEW HIGHS?)Gold market is now stuck in no trade zone
2814-2830 we mark our support and resistance zone over here and wait for any candle to break and close above or below our rage
if it break through our range then we target previous 3 supports as our Tps
so Tp1= 2794.96
TP2 = 2786.77
TP3= 2774.34
And if breaks through our resistance zone which is also new ATH then we can mark our new ATH by follow trend line
Tp1= 2840
Tp2= 2850
BEST OF LUCK!
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Gap FillGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish overall, and our focus is on taking advantage of selling opportunities in line with this prevailing trend.
Market Context:
Gap Fill Complete:
The week began with a significant downside gap, creating a price inefficiency. The market has since retraced upward to fill this gap, signaling a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Premium Price Zone:
Price is currently in a premium range, where smart money institutions are likely to initiate sell positions. We’ve taken out premium liquidity resting above an engineered resistance zone—a classic setup where smart money manipulates retail traders into entering positions, only to reverse the market and pair sell orders against their stop losses and pending orders.
Bearish Order Block:
Price is currently reacting at a bearish order block, a key institutional resistance zone. This provides a strong area to seek confirmation entries for short positions.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy : Look for confirmation within the bearish order block for short opportunities.
Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at the lows, where institutions are likely to scale out and book profits.
For a detailed explanation of my strategy, check out the first video of my 2025 ICT Mentorship lectures linked below:
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
COSTCO: Bullish Continuation in Play – Targeting 1,017$NASDAQ:COST is trading within an ascending trendline, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the trendline support, confirming buyers’ control. This structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 1,017 level.
The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
GOLD → Sellers taking interest for retesting in goldHello Traders!
As we all know that last week gold has made ATH with red candle and also did a retest to 2799 but this retest is not enough for continuation of bullish trend here i have shared my analysis about gold
Currently gold is trading on 2799 at gold support level as next week is going to start in 3 hours so gold can do a gap down opening with strong volume candle and we can see 2774 in gold because gold is in strong bullish trend so it should touch 2774 which is golden zone of fib to continue its bullish trend.
Support Level: 2758-2767
Resistance Level: 2815-2819
Fib Golden Zone: 2773-2763
Liquidity Zone: 2730 (also strong low)
As gold is trading in a ascending channel so our target would be the trendline of ascending trendline but our entry should be at golden zone of fib.
Do not take entry at ATH that is the first of technical analysis so here our entry for buy would be very risky so we will wait for retest.
For Now we can take sell trade for scalping but always use SL because SL is better than liquidation so i am in for sell till 2763
If you like my analysis kindly boost my idea and follow me for more analysis
Analysis By: PIPsOptimizer
Have a nice day thank you!
GBP/USD Symmetrical Triangle Setup: Bullish Breakout?Here's an analysis based on the chart:
Key Observations :
1. **Bullish Triangle Pattern:**
- A symmetrical triangle or wedge is forming, suggesting potential consolidation before a breakout.
- The upward trendline indicates possible bullish momentum as price approaches a breakout point.
2. **Price Levels:**
- Resistance: 1.24860 (shown as the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level).
- Support: Around 1.24100, where price is currently hovering near the trendline.
3. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):**
- The RSI is above 50, which leans toward bullish momentum.
- Divergence may be forming as price action creates higher lows while RSI doesn't show the same strength.
4. **Candlestick Patterns:**
- Multiple rejections around support suggest buying pressure near the trendline.
Trading Implications:
1. **Bullish Breakout Setup:**
- If price breaks above 1.24860, it could signify a continuation to higher levels, potentially targeting a Fibonacci extension level beyond 1.25.
2. **Reversal or Bearish Setup:**
- If price fails to hold the ascending trendline, expect a move downward, potentially testing 1.23900 or lower.
USDCHF Break and Retest of the Failed SwingHello All!
Been waiting patiently on the reversal with this pair. I liked the break and retest of the failed swing line, CHOCH on the 4HR, break of consolidation with a retest to that CHOCH area. With that, it was able to set up nicely giving an entry at 0.90900. My first target is around 0.91300, then possible 0.91500.