Trendlineanalysis
Why Is Gold and The Dollar Moving Up Together? Hey there,
You may have noticed that Gold has been making record highs, and while in the past this would come at the cost of a weaker dollar, we see this time the dollar has actually hit a two and a half month high.
So, how is this possible? Well, in today's video we explore the possible reason behind this unusual term of events and bring clarity to those of you who might be wondering what exactly is going on in the background.
Dow Jones - There Is A Lot More Upside!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) is just starting the next bullish impulse:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The Dow Jones is anything but bearish and over the past couple of months, value stocks in general have actually been outperforming growth stocks significantly. I do expect all time highs on basically all major indices and the Dow Jones might even head for the $50.000 mark next.
Levels to watch: $50.000, $35.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD Swing longWe've had a nice long downward move on this pair and I think it's about time for a new leg upward. Start to buy this pair around here. As you can see from pervious lows there's no real rush, it tends to wallow before making a a bigger move. DCA / Grid (Mean reversion) entry approach to this trade.
Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SWING IDEA - GLANDStock has completed its Correction phase and found its lowest at 860, much below the 1700 IPO listing.
Stock seems to be forming a new Higher High and Higher Low Pattern since Oct 2023.
Also it can be seen following the Trendline as well.
A Hammer on the weekly close last week, could indicate a strong support forming exactly on the Trendline, which is a good sign for further upward move.
If all goes right, the stock could make it to its next leg up.
Stoploss mentioned is crucial. If broken, the stock could start seeing further lows.
Great bullish momentum in Nas100 Hello traders,
As you can see, there is a strong amendment, a bullish momentum today in NASDAQ, giving us a great opportunity for a bullish a long train.As you can see from the chart, there is.an inclination to go up upward to reach the daily level of 20474 which is.A higher.Target, So please keep in mind that this is a trade that we took pre market since early in the morning the market showed some significant volume.With the.Upside move of the standard deviation. Also a breakthrough of the 50 moving average.That gave us more confluence that the market is going higher to reach the daily level. So please keep in mind that today we have an.Economic data that will be released today for the.Uh, uh, what is it? Umm, the uh.Excuse me? Initial jobless claim is gonna be released today and if it is positive, so we might see an upside down of the trend where we'll have like.a move downward or a reversal of the trend if so we should be looking for 20124 level which is a previous daily level which is well respected. And as you can see from the chart, those lines are very very.Helpful that show us it's like a road map for the price action to be moving.From level to level, this is how we can make money off of.It's pretty simple, but it's really effective, so please pay attention to those levels and let's make money together..
Nike - Catch this reversal!NYSE:NKE continues its overall uptrend despite the recent drop of -60% to the downside.
All you need in order to catch the reversal of the decade is simply one line: a support trendline. Nike is currently approaching a support trendline, which has been sending prices higher for the past 30 years. Just this fact alone makes me believe that we will see (much) higher prices on Nike over the next couple of weeks and months, but we still need bullish confirmation first!
Levels to watch: $70
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
CLOUPT potential Uptrend 3 Reason for enter trade
Price movement current moving as 5th Elliott wave
Price action show it rebounded on 75% Fibonacci level
The price movement created higher low and strong demand zone on $0.70
Short Term Trading ( 3 month )
TP on 1.05 with 26.51% capital gain
Record Holding
0 stock holding as of now
Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts.
The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing:
Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
XAUUSD GOLD: Understanding Trend Shifts for Precision Entries👀👉 In this video, we explore the inner workings of market trends and, more importantly, how smart money manipulates price action to sweep liquidity, allowing them to place their orders and sustain the trend. We also showcase a powerful, free indicator from TradingView’s extensive toolset. Here's what we cover:
📊 Understanding Trends: How trends truly operate in the market.
💰 Smart Money Tactics: How institutional traders manipulate price action to sweep liquidity and execute large orders.
🔑 Key Levels: Identifying crucial accumulation and distribution zones to approach potential trade setups effectively.
🛠 TradingView Indicators: Learn how to access tools that help spot when price is overextended.
🔎 Market Structure: Discover how to locate resting liquidity and anticipate price reactions, understanding the role of liquidity in market movement.
📈 Trade Setups: Using a practical approach, we examine price interactions with liquidity, blending Wyckoff theory and ICT concepts for sharper trade decisions.
Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks. Be sure to conduct your own research before making any decisions. Trade responsibly.
AAVE: Strong Impulsive Move on the HorizonAAVE is showing two clear, decisive breaks of the upper trendlines, pointing to an upside move. The price action looks impulsive, with sharp upward lunges already visible. If this pattern holds, we’re likely in Wave 3, and a significant move to the upside could happen quickly.
However, after Wave 5 of 5 completes, we should expect a classic ABC correction to follow. For now, the trendline analysis looks solid, but it’s crucial to wait for a decisive trend break before considering taking positions. As always, make sure your signals align before jumping in.
BTC and Trendlines: Patience over FOMO for a Clear SignalTrendlines are key to staying disciplined. Recently, BTC has seen some impressive inflows, with a couple of green bars showing up nicely on the charts. In the past, this might have triggered some FOMO, tempting me to start adding capital as those green bars intensified. But does this necessarily mean we’re seeing a trend reversal? Absolutely not.
The real difference between FOMO and a solid trade setup lies in waiting for the ‘jive’ of multiple signals to confirm the move. For me, the most reliable indicator remains the trendline. If the yellow trendline is decisively broken, then we can confidently say BTC is on Wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 1. However, this recent green uptick alone isn’t enough to suggest a decent trade opportunity yet.
Points A, B, and C might have been valid entry points in the past, but without a clear break of the upper trendline, the risk of a reversal still looms large. For confirmation, I’m looking for a decisive break—a full open and close above the trendline, ideally on at least a 4-hour timeframe. Only then can we be more certain about BTC’s next big move.
If Point D is reached (around $63,600), that’s where I’m fully in—riding it up to around $130K. Until then, it’s all about waiting for the signals to align and not getting caught up in short-term excitement.
GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance NSE:GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance Levels (Daily & Weekly Analysis)
NSE:GAIL is currently trading at ₹229.40, maintaining strength above the 10 EMA on the daily chart, indicating positive short-term momentum. A similar setup is reflected on the weekly chart, where the stock is trading well above its 50 EMA, reinforcing a bullish bias.
Key Resistance Levels:
₹236 – Immediate resistance zone, significant on both daily and weekly timeframes. A breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum.
₹246 – The 52-week high, acting as a strong resistance on the weekly chart. A decisive move above this would mark a fresh bullish breakout, potentially leading to accelerated gains.
Key Support Levels:
₹226 – Crucial short-term support on the daily chart, aligning closely with the 50 EMA (₹226.29). Holding this level is essential for sustaining the positive trend.
₹216 – Next significant support zone on both timeframes. A break below this could signal weakening momentum.
₹196 – Major support level corresponding to the weekly 50 EMA. This level acts as a long-term safety net, and a breach below would indicate a shift in the broader trend.
Outlook:
The stock’s alignment above key EMAs on both the daily and weekly charts suggests that GAIL is in a strong uptrend. A break above ₹236 could lead to a test of the 52-week high at ₹246, where a breakout would be a strong bullish signal. Traders should monitor price action around these levels closely.
If GAIL faces a pullback, holding support at ₹226 will be crucial to maintain its short-term momentum. A break below ₹216 could indicate potential weakness, with ₹196 (weekly 50 EMA) serving as a critical long-term support.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Is Amazon stock trapping retail traders? Is it too late?Historically, Amazon tends to experience a run-up leading into Prime Day, which could add positive momentum to the stock. There are some indications that history might, in fact, repeat itself.
The yellow line represents the 6-month anchored VWAP, while the white line shows the July highs anchored VWAP. These VWAPs are crucial as they provide a strong indication of where average buying and selling have occurred over significant time frames, acting as dynamic support or resistance levels.
I anticipate strong resistance near the August highs, as this is a level where increased supply could enter the market. To counter this, I am hoping for a tight consolidation or base formation in the $183.22 - $187.50 range, setting up for a powerful upside move.
If the price can hold within this range, it could pave the way for a retest of the August high and potentially push further up towards $200 by the end of the year.
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bigger Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes NMore Giant Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes Next?
As the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins its rate-cutting cycle, the stock market and gold prices are hitting record highs, fueling growing investor confidence in a soft landing for the U.S. economy. However, it’s important to remain cautious. The market may appear to be creating a "bigger bubble," but investors should consider secondary effects. An economic slowdown could trigger a sudden market crash even with continued rate cuts.
A critical indicator to watch is the U.S. Treasury yield curve, which often signals an impending recession. Recently, a closely watched segment of the yield curve has returned to a typical slope after being inverted, signaling that a sharp economic downturn may be imminent. "When the inversion ends, the real countdown begins, and that’s where we are now."
"Bigger bubble" creation vs. downtrend bubble burst?!
Waiting for a LONG trade: Please refer to the chart. Long trade entry set up target and s/l.
Methodology: Fibonacci Channel & Fibonacci Retracement
Risk control reference pivot points:
Daily pivot points (table provided)
4-hour pivot points (table provided)
www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer: The content represents expert opinions and is not investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions, carefully assess risks, and bear full responsibility for their outcomes.
SPY is looking Very Sexy ! There is 1 more step to go ! N3 Confirmed!! The price is doing exactly what we had predicted (see previous analysis).
Indeed, the price bounced in the zone we had predicted last week, creating an "N3" pattern. Now, we are waiting for the final phase of the N3 pattern, which is to reach new highs or new extreme.
What do we need to see?
This phase is of great importance because, if completed, we would be at new historical highs again.
The Key is the Last Candle: If you can observe the last candle on the chart, you'll see it has a very long lower wick. I call this a buying pressure candle; however, we need confirmation with the next candle, which should have a large bullish body in order to reach the new extremes we've been seeking.
So, we can conclude that by putting all the points together when analyzing this chart, we have a bullish outlook for the rest of next week. However, it’s important to remember that we need solid confirmation with a bullish candle to confirm we will have a green week!
Best regards and success in your trades.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.