Silver is Rising!With the weakening of the U.S. labor market, expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed remain intact. In this context, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have turned downward. The dollar's depreciation in yesterday's session led to a recovery in commodities, supporting a rebound in silver prices from the 27.75 level. The inflation data to be released today will provide further clues regarding the extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts.
From a technical perspective, if prices hold above the 28.90 resistance level, a rise to 30.0 and then to 30.80 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 27.75 support level, it could decline to 26.75 and then to 25.70.
Trendlineanalysis
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
DAX Index Recovers Its Losses!Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which came in below expectations, market risk appetite weakened. The DAX index also accelerated its decline, targeting the 18,257 support level. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have strengthened to 50 basis points, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this week.
Technically, if the 18,285 level is broken on the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,075 support and then to 17,920. On the upside, if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first towards the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900.
"USOIL is going downward"The weakening labor market has reduced risk appetite in the markets, triggering a drop in crude oil prices toward the 67.50 level. Additionally, OPEC+'s crude oil production in August decreased by 300,000 barrels due to declines in Libya and Kazakhstan. However, ongoing supply concerns continue to pressure the commodity.
Technically, if the 67.50 support level is broken, further declines toward 65.55 and 63.55 are possible. On the upside, if the 70.0 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 72.60 and 74.50 resistance levels.
Master Gold’s Breakout Strategy: Key Levels Explained!this chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), we observe several key technical features that guide potential trade decisions:
Forming Ascending Channel: The price is developing within an ascending channel, indicating a potential continuation pattern. This channel often signals further upward movement, but caution is needed, especially when the price is in a "weird" volatility zone or failing to make new lows.
LQZ Grabbed: This marks a liquidity zone where a price sweep likely occurred, gathering liquidity from stop-loss orders. The market can potentially reverse after this grab, pushing the price higher.
LTF Flags (1 and 2): These small consolidation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframe suggest continuation. The first and second flags could signify pauses in the broader trend, with the potential for either breakout or breakdown.
Failed Push into Descending Hover: This indicates a failed bullish push, transitioning into a descending pattern (hovering near a key level). A failed breakout could signal upcoming bearish pressure.
Price Path Projections: There are two scenarios represented by the green and yellow paths:
Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price maintains the ascending channel and breaks out from the flag structure, we could see higher prices above the liquidity zone (LQZ), likely towards the 4-hour resistance level around 2532.
Bearish Scenario (Yellow Path): If the price fails to hold, particularly breaking the ascending channel and descending, it could move lower toward the 1-hour LQZ around 2503.
In summary, the price action around the flags and the liquidity zones (LQZ) will dictate the next major move. Waiting for confirmation of either the bullish breakout or bearish failure would align with a high-probability setup.
USDCAD 1H Analysis: Resistance and Support Levels to Watch for SThe chart shows the USDCAD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently trading around 1.35124. The market has been in a downtrend, but there is potential for short-term consolidation and a possible retracement before further movement.
Key Observations:
Downtrend Momentum: The price has been steadily declining from the recent high, reaching a lower support zone. The resistance level above (1.3600-1.3620) is expected to act as a key zone for any retracement.
Resistance Zones:
Immediate Resistance: The price might retest the 1.3600 area before continuing the downtrend. This level aligns with the previous structure and is an important area for sellers to enter.
Major Resistance: There is another significant resistance zone around 1.3850 where the price previously reversed, indicating strong selling pressure.
Support Zones:
Immediate Support: A potential move towards 1.34376 is indicated, where buyers could re-enter the market, and further price consolidation may occur.
Major Support: The level around 1.3300 is a significant support area, and a break below this level could lead to further downward momentum.
RSI Indicator: The RSI is showing bearish momentum, and the market may continue to push lower in the short term before any significant retracement occurs.
Expected Price Movement:
In the short term, the price could bounce back toward the 1.3600 resistance area before facing selling pressure. If it fails to break through, a decline toward the support level at 1.34376 and further down to 1.3300 is possible. On the other hand, a break above the resistance would invalidate the bearish bias, signaling further bullish movement.
This setup presents both short-term selling opportunities on retests of resistance zones and potential buying opportunities at support levels for a range-bound strategy.
Nasdaq - Here we finally go!TVC:NDQ is finally rejecting the resistance and creating the anticipated bearish correction.
Let me just put it that way: The correction was 100% anticipated and you can definitely then trade accordingly. Just a couple of weeks ago the Nasdaq retested a resistance which has been pushing price lower for 14 years - a correction was very likely. So far the Nasdaq is dropping significantly but I don't think that the current correction will actually be over soon...
Levels to watch: $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Nvidia - The -60% correction is starting!NASDAQ:NVDA is showing us multiple confluences which will lead to a massive move lower.
Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy. But on Nvidia we cannot be fearful yet - so far, the smaller timeframes are still bullish. Everything makes me believe though that we will see a significant move lower soon: Nvidia is retesting massive channel resistance, repeated the previous bullish cycles and is preparing for the next correction cycle!
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
DOGE FRACTAL : Don't Lose Hope! BEST YET TO COME DOGE has been trading undeniably bearish over the past few weeks, as we see significant signs of bearish price action:
- 📉 lower highs
- 📉 lower lows
However, if we take a look at a fractal that played out between Dec 2023 - Feb 2024, there is definitely a chance for a PARBOLIC PUMP. Watch this short video to find out how (there are TWO SIGNS we need to see on the chart BEFORE we can seriously consider this).
Make sure you catch my update on Bitcoin, because ultimately BTC determines the direction of the market. Therefore it's vital to watch the trendsetter!
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
ARBUSDTHi guys
The main trend is downward. We have not yet received confirmation of a trend change and the bullish outlook is very weak for now.
But on the daily and four-hour time frames, we have a positive RSI divergence.
And provided that the downward trend line is broken and the resistance range of $0.893 is consumed, the possibility of the continuation of the upward trend is strengthened.
What do you think?
$NZDUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price action is in Overbought conditions for Daily and Weekly Timeframe
Price bounced off the 38% Fibo retracement
Price is also rejecting the Resistance trendline
Price action also reversed away from an Interest Zone
Fundamental Confluences:
With all other Central Banks in the DM space wanting to cut rates, it negates off the yield premium that NZD would be getting against USD
Market is consolidating after all the USD sell-off and profit-taking mood is here now
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Took a short position here targeting the 38% Fibo extension level while will look to cut above the Interest Zone. Risk/Reward ratio is at 2.41.
Price should not break above the Resistance trendline to affirm the recent price has topped out.
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Gold Trade Idea Gold Technical Analysis.
Weekly - Bullish - Price is above the trend-line (Grey)
Daily - Bullish - Price is above the trend-line (Blue)
4 hour - Bullish - Price is above the trend-line (Green)
30 minuets - Bullish - Crossed another trend-line (Yellow)
I have the first trade that is still playing out.
Now i have opened a new trade to the upside risking 1%, also placed another trade if the price goes down half to the amount that i'm risking with another 1%.
This is not a financial advice just my way on how i'm seeing the markets.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
#CHR/USDT SHORT TRADE IDEA#CHR/USDT SHORT TRADE IDEA👹
Leverage: 25x
Entries: $0.2471
Take profit 1: $0.2435
Take profit 2: $0.2324
Take profit 3: $0.2067
Stop Loss: $0.2607
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:CHRUSDT.P
Thanks
The sroced.
Gold will Bounce Today!For tomorrow, the resistance areas are: 2509 and 2510.The buying level expected for today are 2512 or 2513. And also could from the resistance area. These levels will perform tomorrow, and we should also keep an eye on geopolitical events. Additionally, tomorrow we have Unemployment Claims news affecting us.
head and shoulder pattern GBPUSDpair is going up again
ready to test yellow neckline resistance of head and shoulder pattern
pattern began its formation in late december last year when market was pricing 7 cuts
which were wrong but now market is pricing same amounts of cuts and fed is behind the curve
dxy is collapsing on daily chart on panic selling before fed jackson hole speech
risk is still second inflation wave for fed
inflation will return or not after rate cut ?
after rate cut fed will stay there or hike again ?
after multiple cut fed will get growth without inflation or not ?