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Trendlineanalysis

Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Short and Long OpportunitiesI'm watching the Nasdaq closely as it approaches a critical decision point. In this analysis, I’ll outline two potential scenarios, including both short and long trade ideas based on the confluence of key technical levels. Current Setup and Key Level: 20,320 Right now, the 20,320 level is my primary focus. This level aligns with: The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downtrend, suggesting potential resistance. The VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), which is acting as a dynamic resistance level. This confluence makes 20,320 a critical resistance zone, where the market might either reverse or push through, setting the tone for the next significant move. Scenario 1: Short Opportunity at 20,320 Resistance If the price approaches 20,320 and shows signs of rejection (like a bearish candle pattern), I’m looking to take a short position at this level. Here’s why: Fibonacci & VWAP Confluence: The alignment of the 38.2% Fib level with the VWAP reinforces this level as a strong potential resistance. Risk Management: I would place a stop-loss above the 50% Fib level (around 20,400) to manage risk if the price breaks higher. Targets: My initial target would be around the 20,000 level. If this breaks, I anticipate a stronger move downward due to potential stop-losses being triggered below 20,000 (more on that below). Note on Stop-Loss Clusters: I believe many traders might have their stops placed just below the 20,000 mark. If the price breaks below this level, we could see a quick, momentum-driven move lower as these stops are triggered, potentially driving price toward deeper levels. Scenario 2: Bullish Break Above 20,320 If the price breaks above 20,320 and holds above both the VWAP and the 38.2% Fib level, it could signal a bullish shift. Here’s what I’m looking for in this scenario: Confirmation Above VWAP and Fib Level: A strong break and close above these levels would indicate that bulls are taking control and might push for higher retracement levels. Potential Targets: In this scenario, I’d look for the price to move towards the 50% Fibonacci level (around 20,400) as the next resistance, followed by the 61.8% level near 20,500 if momentum holds. Invalidation for Shorts: A decisive break and hold above 20,320 would invalidate the short setup. If this happens, I’ll look for potential long entries on a pullback to the VWAP or 38.2% Fib as support, with stops below these levels to manage risk. Conclusion The 20,320 area is the key level to watch here, with potential for both short and long setups: Short Scenario: Look for rejection at 20,320 to target a move down to 20,000, with a possible extension lower if the 20,000 support breaks. Long Scenario: A break above 20,320 could open the door for further upside, with potential targets around 20,400 and 20,500. This setup combines technical indicators with price psychology, as stops clustered around the 20,000 level may drive significant moves if that support level is breached. I'll be monitoring how the price reacts to 20,320 closely for confirmation of either setup. Let me know if you see anything differently or if you have any questions. Happy trading!
CME_MINI:MNQZ2024
by natron
1
$SPY tough spot right now, but there's still a glimmer of hope!On the daily chart, there are three bearish signals without even considering indicators: 1. Price is below the EMAs. 2. With a gap down. 3. From a coil spring. On the weekly chart, the trend remains intact. However, if we drop below the fast EMA, a significant test will be the slow EMA. The key level to watch is the low of the daily channel line at $554, which aligns with the weekly slow EMA at approximately $551. For me, that represents the definitive line in the sand for SPY.
AMEX:SPY
by WavesInvesting
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: We wanted price to reject the high and give us the short into the red box defence during the early session levels 2730-35. We did get that move but it was achieved via the gap on open giving traders a couple of opportunities to take the long trade from the level following the path. We're yet to complete the first bullish target but we're on our way so we'll stick with the plan! Based on the structure and range at the moment we're not discounting another dip into the low but will look for pull backs into the 2735 region to hold to continue the move upside. Support 2735, resistance 2750 could give a reaction for the short scalp. Keep an eye on the red boxes, pinned below, they're working really well. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
Is Palantir in a Danger Zone? We will see after the report... Palantir is about to announce its quarterly report. As we analyzed in the last report, the price reached its highest point after several years, but after reaching this liquidity zone, it had a pullback as we announced before. However, Palantir is showing strength in this area, and we ended on the last candle where it will attempt again to surpass this liquidity zone with strongly. Will it succeed? I believe Palantir has the volume to continue moving a bit higher, but at this point is entering an area where the upward momentum is slowing significantly. On one hand, we’re seeing a double-top forming, and the candle hasn’t fully formed yet. We need to wait and see if the next candle shows liquidity. If so, we should be cautious about the wick length, as that could signal trouble for Palantir. so with the earnings report approaching, there is a lot of uncertainty, which may make it difficult for the price to break this liquidity zone. We should stay alert this November 4th. Palantir has excellent fundamentals, but its recent reports have barely exceeded analysts' expectations. If this report misses even by a small margin, I think we could see a significant drop due to the stock being heavily inflated. Here are Palantir's latest results: Nov 02, 2023 2023 (Q3) Analysts = 0.06 / Reported = 0.07 (BEAT) Feb 05, 2024 2023 (Q4) 0.08 / 0.08 May 06, 2024 2024 (Q1) 0.08 / 0.08 Aug 05, 2024 2024 (Q2) 0.08 / 0.09 Nov 04, 2024 2024 (Q3) 0.09 / (Mon, Nov 4) Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards!
P
by RocketMike111
Dow Jones - There Is A Lot More Upside!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) is just starting the next bullish impulse: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The Dow Jones is anything but bearish and over the past couple of months, value stocks in general have actually been outperforming growth stocks significantly. I do expect all time highs on basically all major indices and the Dow Jones might even head for the $50.000 mark next. Levels to watch: $50.000, $35.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:DJILong
by basictradingtv
12
Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
10
SWING IDEA - GLANDStock has completed its Correction phase and found its lowest at 860, much below the 1700 IPO listing. Stock seems to be forming a new Higher High and Higher Low Pattern since Oct 2023. Also it can be seen following the Trendline as well. A Hammer on the weekly close last week, could indicate a strong support forming exactly on the Trendline, which is a good sign for further upward move. If all goes right, the stock could make it to its next leg up. Stoploss mentioned is crucial. If broken, the stock could start seeing further lows.
NSE:GLANDLong
by thepranam
Great bullish momentum in Nas100 Hello traders, As you can see, there is a strong amendment, a bullish momentum today in NASDAQ, giving us a great opportunity for a bullish a long train.As you can see from the chart, there is.an inclination to go up upward to reach the daily level of 20474 which is.A higher.Target, So please keep in mind that this is a trade that we took pre market since early in the morning the market showed some significant volume.With the.Upside move of the standard deviation. Also a breakthrough of the 50 moving average.That gave us more confluence that the market is going higher to reach the daily level. So please keep in mind that today we have an.Economic data that will be released today for the.Uh, uh, what is it? Umm, the uh.Excuse me? Initial jobless claim is gonna be released today and if it is positive, so we might see an upside down of the trend where we'll have like.a move downward or a reversal of the trend if so we should be looking for 20124 level which is a previous daily level which is well respected. And as you can see from the chart, those lines are very very.Helpful that show us it's like a road map for the price action to be moving.From level to level, this is how we can make money off of.It's pretty simple, but it's really effective, so please pay attention to those levels and let's make money together..
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
Nike - Catch this reversal!NYSE:NKE continues its overall uptrend despite the recent drop of -60% to the downside. All you need in order to catch the reversal of the decade is simply one line: a support trendline. Nike is currently approaching a support trendline, which has been sending prices higher for the past 30 years. Just this fact alone makes me believe that we will see (much) higher prices on Nike over the next couple of weeks and months, but we still need bullish confirmation first! Levels to watch: $70 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NYSE:NKELong
by basictradingtv
18
Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts. The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing: Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days: ___________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
13
XAUUSD GOLD: Understanding Trend Shifts for Precision Entries👀👉 In this video, we explore the inner workings of market trends and, more importantly, how smart money manipulates price action to sweep liquidity, allowing them to place their orders and sustain the trend. We also showcase a powerful, free indicator from TradingView’s extensive toolset. Here's what we cover: 📊 Understanding Trends: How trends truly operate in the market.
 💰 Smart Money Tactics: How institutional traders manipulate price action to sweep liquidity and execute large orders.
 🔑 Key Levels: Identifying crucial accumulation and distribution zones to approach potential trade setups effectively.
 🛠 TradingView Indicators: Learn how to access tools that help spot when price is overextended.
 🔎 Market Structure: Discover how to locate resting liquidity and anticipate price reactions, understanding the role of liquidity in market movement.
 📈 Trade Setups: Using a practical approach, we examine price interactions with liquidity, blending Wyckoff theory and ICT concepts for sharper trade decisions. Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks. Be sure to conduct your own research before making any decisions. Trade responsibly.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by fxtraderanthony
9
AAVE: Strong Impulsive Move on the HorizonAAVE is showing two clear, decisive breaks of the upper trendlines, pointing to an upside move. The price action looks impulsive, with sharp upward lunges already visible. If this pattern holds, we’re likely in Wave 3, and a significant move to the upside could happen quickly. However, after Wave 5 of 5 completes, we should expect a classic ABC correction to follow. For now, the trendline analysis looks solid, but it’s crucial to wait for a decisive trend break before considering taking positions. As always, make sure your signals align before jumping in.
CRYPTO:AAVEUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
BTC and Trendlines: Patience over FOMO for a Clear SignalTrendlines are key to staying disciplined. Recently, BTC has seen some impressive inflows, with a couple of green bars showing up nicely on the charts. In the past, this might have triggered some FOMO, tempting me to start adding capital as those green bars intensified. But does this necessarily mean we’re seeing a trend reversal? Absolutely not. The real difference between FOMO and a solid trade setup lies in waiting for the ‘jive’ of multiple signals to confirm the move. For me, the most reliable indicator remains the trendline. If the yellow trendline is decisively broken, then we can confidently say BTC is on Wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 1. However, this recent green uptick alone isn’t enough to suggest a decent trade opportunity yet. Points A, B, and C might have been valid entry points in the past, but without a clear break of the upper trendline, the risk of a reversal still looms large. For confirmation, I’m looking for a decisive break—a full open and close above the trendline, ideally on at least a 4-hour timeframe. Only then can we be more certain about BTC’s next big move. If Point D is reached (around $63,600), that’s where I’m fully in—riding it up to around $130K. Until then, it’s all about waiting for the signals to align and not getting caught up in short-term excitement.
by cryptechcapital
1
GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance NSE:GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance Levels (Daily & Weekly Analysis) NSE:GAIL is currently trading at ₹229.40, maintaining strength above the 10 EMA on the daily chart, indicating positive short-term momentum. A similar setup is reflected on the weekly chart, where the stock is trading well above its 50 EMA, reinforcing a bullish bias. Key Resistance Levels: ₹236 – Immediate resistance zone, significant on both daily and weekly timeframes. A breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum. ₹246 – The 52-week high, acting as a strong resistance on the weekly chart. A decisive move above this would mark a fresh bullish breakout, potentially leading to accelerated gains. Key Support Levels: ₹226 – Crucial short-term support on the daily chart, aligning closely with the 50 EMA (₹226.29). Holding this level is essential for sustaining the positive trend. ₹216 – Next significant support zone on both timeframes. A break below this could signal weakening momentum. ₹196 – Major support level corresponding to the weekly 50 EMA. This level acts as a long-term safety net, and a breach below would indicate a shift in the broader trend. Outlook: The stock’s alignment above key EMAs on both the daily and weekly charts suggests that GAIL is in a strong uptrend. A break above ₹236 could lead to a test of the 52-week high at ₹246, where a breakout would be a strong bullish signal. Traders should monitor price action around these levels closely. If GAIL faces a pullback, holding support at ₹226 will be crucial to maintain its short-term momentum. A break below ₹216 could indicate potential weakness, with ₹196 (weekly 50 EMA) serving as a critical long-term support. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:GAILLong
by Fight_Bulls_vs_Bear