Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout.
We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks...
Levels to watch: $120, $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Trendlineanalysis
NVDA: Critical Inflection Point!The daily chart of NVDA shows a complex technical scenario, highlighted by the presence of a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern frustration point. The H&S pattern is a bearish reversal pattern, but the price action suggests that it may not have completed, leading to the current consolidation phase. This frustration point is marked by the resistance line at $128.12, which NVDA has struggled to break through consistently.
The daily chart also shows a trendline support, which has been respected multiple times, providing a strong upward momentum. The 21-day EMA serves as an additional support level. The recent price action indicates a consolidation phase between $128 resistance and the trendline support, creating a tight trading range. Traders should watch for a breakout to determine the next significant move.
On the weekly chart, NVDA has been in a strong uptrend, with the 21-week EMA providing support. The main support level is identified at $118.04, a crucial level that has been tested and held in recent weeks. This level coincides with the neckline of the potential H&S pattern seen on the daily chart, making it a critical support zone.
In summary, NVDA is at a critical juncture with consolidation between key levels. Traders should monitor the $128 resistance and the main support levels closely for breakout or breakdown signals to determine the next major move. The overall trend remains bullish, but caution is warranted given the potential bearish H&S pattern and the current consolidation phase.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Alphabet - It is just a textbook company!NASDAQ:GOOGL has been one of the best performing stocks over the previous decade.
The most profitable stocks are the ones which trade under the radar. And Alphabet (Google) is definitely one of these stocks which is simply trending higher, providing textbook trading opportunities and not a "hype" stock. Slow and steady wins the race, but you have to be careful that you don't miss your chances. After a retest of the breakout level, you can enter a long trade.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Ethereum - Is everything already over?CRYPTO:ETHUSD is struggling to break above the previous all time high and might correct soon.
Please don't look at headlines and news regarding cryptocurrencies. Overall these messages are just preventing you from objectively looking at the chart. Ethereum is creating higher highs and higher lows, meaning that Ethereum is trading in an uptrend. Even if Ethereum is not able to break above the previous all time high, market structure still remains decently bullish.
Levels to watch: $4.000, $2.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Tesla - Breakout leading to four digits!NASDAQ:TSLA is attempting to break out of the long term descending triangle consolidation.
If you cannot wait patiently for your textbook setups, there is no chance you will make money trading. For almost four years, Tesla has been consolidating in a huge triangle formation. And it seems like Tesla is finally breaking out towards the upside. This breakout was actually not unexpected at all and provides a very high probability trading opportunity in the near future.
Levels to watch: $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend.
It's always important to know where your market is currently trading. Is it bullish, bearish, or range trading? If you have established the trend, you can trade with the trend instead of against it. Trading against the trend ( for example shorting during a bullish cycle ) adds unnecessary risk to an already risky trade (leverage).
1) Bollinger Bands
2) Logarithmic View
3) Super Trend
4) Moving Averages + RSI
Let me know how YOU determine the macro trend!
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT MEXC:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:BTCUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
Nvidia - Massive rejection soon!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended after the +1.000% rally and ready for a correction.
Trees simply do not grow to the sky. And neither do stocks, especially Nvidia. I know that a lot of people are calling price targets of $250 and beyond, but we still have to respect gravity and the nature of fear and greed. Nvidia is simply overextended a retesting a 6 year resistance trendline. I do expect a correction between -20% and -30%, but also -60% is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
May JOLTs Moderately Surprise to the UpsideAccording to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the May Job openings report surprised to the upside, rising by 8.14 million (4.9%), up from April’s downwardly revised print of 7.92 million (4.8%), a three-year low. As per the Reuters poll, recent data surpassed the market's median estimate of 7.91 million and came within striking distance of the upper estimate range of 8.30 million, sparking a short-term bid in the dollar.
Job openings in state and local education increased by +117,000; a sizable jump in job openings in the manufacturing sector was also seen, particularly durable goods, up +97,000, with a fall in job openings in accommodation and food services, down nearly -150,000.
Hiring ticked higher in the month of May, up 5.76 million, or 3.6% from April’s reading of 5.62 million, or 3.5%.
The quits rate, which assesses US workers who voluntarily left their current employment, remained at 2.2% for a seventh consecutive month, or 3.5 million. A higher quits rate can indicate confidence in the economy, while fewer resignations suggest less confidence in one's ability to seek employment.
Regarding layoffs and discharges – involuntarily separated from employment initiated by the employer rather than the employee – job openings remained unchanged at 1.0% for a third consecutive month, or 1.7 million.
We have seen a decline in both job openings and quits since peaking at just north of 12 million in early March 2022, emphasising a cooling economic landscape. Today’s release reflects resilience in the labour market, with the increase in job openings indicating demand for workers.
Market Reaction
The US Dollar Index witnessed a moderate bid in the immediate aftermath of the release, reaching a high of 105.90. US Treasury yields also spiked higher, with spot gold (XAU/USD) taking a hit and dropping to within close proximity of daily lows, and US equities all but overlooked the print.
USD/JPY In Sight
The US dollar (USD) has been trading at its most substantial level versus the Japanese yen (JPY) since the 1980s, and, interestingly, shows no signs of slowing down. Since early May, the USD/JPY has rallied six weeks out of eight, showcasing its robustness. Year to date, the pairing is up an eye-watering +15%.
Demand for the USD can be attributed to a revival in US Treasury yields and major US equity indices circling record highs. Further, the Fed is one of the more hawkish central banks in the G10 pack at the moment, and BoJ officials have yet to intervene in the market. Interestingly, Vanguard recently commented that there is a risk of the USD/JPY rising to ¥170 should the BoJ fail to intervene.
Short-term price action on the H1 timeframe is seen treading water just north of trendline support, extended from the low of ¥155.72, which happens to converge with a ‘local’ potential descending support line, taken from the high of ¥161.28, as well as the 50-hour simple moving average, trading at ¥161.26, and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio from ¥161.17. Chart pattern enthusiasts may also acknowledge the recent double-top pattern (¥161.74) completion, found after the H1 close below the black dashed line, drawn from the low of ¥161.41. Should price go on and hit the double-top pattern’s take-profit target at ¥161.07, this could deliver an additional floor of support.
Tomorrow, we will see the latest ADP non-farm employment change report and the weekly jobless claims numbers, followed up with Friday’s government non-farm employment change print.
NKE Leap Call / Long Term BuyNike is setting up for a long-term buy / leap call opportunity. The Jeanius Indicator/Screener gave the following reasons why:
Price fell through two untested lows, taking out sell-side liquidity. The indicator shows how much volume came from and how far price ran up from these lows.
NYSE:NKE is also testing a 3M uptrend line from the low of 2017 through the low of 2020.
The brilliant Jeanius Indicator printed "Combo" labels on the chart when this specific combination of multiple confluences has occurred in history!!
XrpUsd - Rally back to previous resistance (+100%)?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is one of the most interesting cryptocurrencies for potential setups in the near future.
For a couple of years now, XrpUsd has been trading in a symmetrical triangle trading pattern. Always when XrpUsd retested support in the past, we simply saw a very nice rejection away towards the upside. And as we are speaking, XrpUsd is once again retesting such a confluence of support from which we could see a rally towards the upside. Target is the previous resistance of the triangle pattern.
Levels to watch: $0.491, $0.911
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Adobe - Preparing a multi year breakout!NASDAQ:ADBE has been consolidating for some time and is definitely ready for a breakout.
Adobe is a stock, which is clearly heading higher on a macro perspective. Just two months ago, Adobe actually retested an important horizontal structure and managed to create bullish confirmation, followed by a reversal towards the upside. Eventually, Adobe will also break out of the ascending triangle formation, which has been forming over the past 5 years.
Levels to watch: $650
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
EUR-USD
The chart for EUR/USD on a daily timeframe shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout. The price is currently at approximately 1.06865 USD, fluctuating between converging trendlines. The upper trendline acts as resistance, while the lower trendline provides support. The chart suggests a possible bullish breakout, represented by a yellow arrow, projecting an upward movement towards 1.09500 USD. Traders should monitor for a breakout above the upper trendline for confirmation of the bullish scenario, or a breakdown below the lower trendline for a bearish outcome
Solana - TWO Bearish IndicationsSolana has lost a longstanding trendline that acted as support since October 2023. The price has been unable to bounce back, and we're seeing a steep decline as bears are outweighing buyers:
A Technical Indicator (which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective) has just flashed SELL in the weekly timeframe. Now based on previous instances, this took us MUCH lower. These alerts happen in real time when a certain conglomeration of parameters are met (based on Strength, Trend, Averages, Real Time) and so naturally, the higher the timeframe the better the result:
The only way we will be safeguarded against a steep incoming drop, is if the price can reclaim the green trendline in the Weekly Timeframe. From a candlestick analysis perspective, seeing Three White Soldiers in the daily could be a step in the right direction ( which is UP ).
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
Solana - TREND Indicators BEARISHUsing a Technical Indicator here which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective. At least for the short term, SOL is bearish.
We've lost a long standing trendline that has held since October 2023, which is around the time that the bullseason started.
This will all largely depend on what BITCOIN does in the short term - more info on that HERE:
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
Art of Trading - Trendlines 101First of all, I would like express my gratitude to all the followers and the support I have recently received from the community!
This one is for everyone who has recently started with TradingView or are existing users but are very new to the art of trading.
Today we'll be looking at "Trendlines" with a certain example that might leverage the importance of these lines.
Before we get started, I want to mention a couple of qualities that are very essential for trading,
-Patience
-Resilience
lack thereof which, the markets would definitely and repeatedly teach you!
So, what is a trendline? Any two closes connected by a straight line can be called a trendline. Usually used in higher TF's (timeframes)but can also be used on smaller TFs.
What is it's purpose? Once a certain trend has been established in a given TF and such line has been drawn, these can be used to identify supports or resistance where a probable bounce and continuation of the trend could occur.
If the market is trending upwards, a line connecting the lows of two candles, usually the first breakout candle and the lowest pullback candle, can be established as a support trendline (see illustration).
The same applies for a market that is trending downwards which will give us a resistance trendline.
Trendlines in my opinion will always be respected by a market, and also act as, for the lack of a better word, magnets, pulling the asset towards it. So when an asset is hovering around a support trendline, chances are that the asset is pulled towards it. If the trend is strong enough the asset bounces, it not it breaks through. Once broken through support becomes resistance and vice versa.
There will be of course instances when the asset breaks through a trendline but still closes above the trendline, faking participants out of the market, usually referred to as shaking out weak hands. But that's a topic for a different time.
Now that you are aware what Trendlines are, what can you infer from the illustration above? Leave a comment!
If you like this sort of posts, hit boost, so I can prepare more such content. I'm also only human, and still learning, and if you think the information I provide is erroneous, please let me so I can correct and learn together with you! Learning never stops! See you in the next one, peace!
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Also if you want me to analyse any asset, feel free to leave it in the comments or dm, I'll make sure to share my opinion on it!
AltCoin - Bullish potentialThis is not financial advice. It is crucial to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions."
There is a higher probability for the AltCoin market to rise rather than fall. Currently, it is facing a resistance level, which, while not major, is significant due to the presence of a trendline. This trendline indicates potential market behavior and suggests a likely direction for future movements.
EUR/GBP Struggling to Find Grip at Support
The EUR/GBP cross recently shook hands with support made up of Fibonacci ratios between £0.8408 and £0.8434 (consisting of 78.6% and 88.6% retracement ratios and a 1.618% projection ratio). While buyers have attempted to make a stand from the aforementioned area, the trend has largely favoured bears since November’s top (2023) at £0.8766. A clear descending resistance also warrants attention overhead that may discourage buying, extended from November’s peak.
Given the current structure/trend, traders (and investors) may watch the descending resistance – as well as resistance marked above at £0.8500 – for selling opportunities over the coming weeks.
XAUUSD New York Next ReverseOk, I m done for today, but if you want to watch this, NY buys could be still open. H4 is still bullish.
Wait for momentum, wait for lower low: Entry. Keep an Eye on RSI M30 downwards. The higher TF is controlling.
Theoretically you can follow these trendlines, until they leave the honoring zone ( in this downtrend the one above)
A Trading Plan Is Important For Success - Here Is MineIn this video we take a look at a trend continuation trading strategy. I explain my approach to trading how I identify a trend and what I look for for high probability trade opportunities. As always the information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
Nasdaq - Soon heading to $30.000?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Nasdaq index has been trading in a rising channel formation with the last retest of the support trendline being back in the end of 2022. At the moment, Nasdaq is retesting the upper resistance trendline and if we actually see a breakout over the next 2 months, we might see a similar rally of +50% compared to the one which we saw back in 2020.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD IS READY TO INCREASE IN PRICEGold prices fell near $2,300 per ounce on Tuesday, hovering at one-month lows, as investors wait for US inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement later in the week. Traders will closely monitor for cues on when the Fed might begin reducing rates, in light of a stronger-than-expected payroll report last Friday.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2320 - 2322, SL: 2327
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
🔝Technical analysis:
Gold experienced a sharp fall after being affected by two important news about China stopping buying gold in May and Nonfarm being very good for USD.
Today Gold is staying in the price range of 2320$ -2280$. Waiting for the scalp is the breakout strategy here
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2309 - 2320 - 2329
📉 Breakout below: 2286 - 2280
🔼Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2274 - 2268 - 2259
🔽Resistance: 2308 - 2320 - 2329 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold - Another 15% rally from here!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Gold .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For about four years, Gold has over and over again been retesting the psychological $2.000 resistance level. It was actually just a matter of time, until we see the breakout which happened exactly three months ago. So far Gold is looking very bullish and there is absolutely no reason why this strength should turn around in the near future.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)