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Trend Line Break

EURUSD (1971 analysis) - 23% Crash will follow!EURUSD has been in a long-term downtrend since the financial crisis of 2008. On the chart, we can see that EURUSD started its downtrend at the top of the major rising wedge chart pattern. The rising wedge pattern broke bearish in 2015, and the price retested it in 2018. Since then, the price has been going down and has broken another trendline (2000 - 2022), which is a double breakdown. Right now, there are absolutely no signs of strength on this chart, and I expect a pretty severe 23% crash in the next years. Does it mean that the DXY index will go up? Definitely yes. The downtrend is confirmed, and from a technical perspective, there is currently pretty much nothing bullish. How to take advantage of this analysis? What you should consider is to avoid long positions and focus on short positions instead to increase the probability of successful trades. So what are the next major support levels on the way down? I don't really see any major support until 0.87617. This is a strong level because it's the POC (point of control) of the previous mini triangle that was formed during the years 2000 and 2002. I am expecting a pretty strong bounce, but this will probably not be the bottom. The next support is at 0.82311 because this is the major swing low of 2000 and it provides a lot of liquidity. A lot of traders may capitulate around this level. Big players can take advantage of it and buy EUR with a large amount of money. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
22
GOLD → The mood is shifting. Resistance is broken... FX:XAUUSD breaks through downside range resistance and consolidates in bullish territory, opening up potential at 2365-2387. Signs that the US labor and housing markets are cooling keep hopes for a September Fed rate cut alive, with an ECB rate cut helping to keep the gold price afloat. Another important nuance that makes investors wary: A meeting between the Russian President and the North Korean leader earlier this week, which confirms the tensions in geopolitics. For now, all eyes are on the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services in the U.S. and the Fed Monetary Policy Report, which may shed more light on the economic outlook There is still pressure on the market, but the price movement is detached from the dollar (correlation is decreasing), which indicates that the mood towards the metal is changing. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2354, 2340 Technically, traders may try to break the resistance of 2365, if it succeeds, and the probability is high enough, we can go to 2387, then we need to watch the price reaction to the area. In case of false breakdown there is a probability to return to the support. It is also worth taking into account the broken resistance that was not tested earlier Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Will gold price reach the highest level of 2,400 in two weeks?Gold held steady around $2,360 per ounce on Friday, hovering at its highest level for two weeks, and set to post its second weekly gain, as soft US economic data reinforces predictions that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates this year. could provide further insight into the economy's strength. 🔴SELL GOLD: 2388 - 2390, SL: 2394 🟢BUY GOLD: 2345- 2343, SL: 2339 🟢BUY GOLD: 2332- 2330, SL: 2326 ⛔️Breakout: 2365 - 2344 🔼Support: 2345 - 2336 - 2332 - 2325 - 2320 🔽Resistance: 2370 - 2375 - 2380 - 2388 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
GBPUSD → The market maker's trap. Ready to go down ↓ ?FX:GBPUSD is losing after a prolonged struggle for resistance. A major player does not let the market beyond 1.2800. On the background of the dollar growth, the currency pair may change the local trend The fundamental background is unstable, the US dollar is still going through Wednesday, but based on the position of regulators the dollar looks ready to strengthen further, which is generally negative for GBPUSD. On D1, the area of 1.285-1.28 is worth watching. A major player is not still holding the barrier of limit resistance zones. After a shakeout and liquidity grab (trap from the market maker), the market is ready to go down as the current zones of interest are 1.258-1.257, 125. Support levels: 1.271, 1.265 Resistance levels: 1.28 Technically, we should wait for a pre-breakdown consolidation and subsequent breakout of 1.271, or price consolidation below this area. Having received confidence and confirmation of readiness to decline, we can wait for the previously mentioned targets. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Setup with Key Technical LevelsThe price is currently trending downward, showing bearish momentum after a recent rejection from a significant resistance area. The entry point is set at 1.27395, a key level that has acted as a confluence zone in previous price action. The first take profit target is at 1.26700, a level that aligns with historical price congestion and provides a logical exit for short-term profit. The second take profit target is at 1.26100, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, offering an extended profit target for potential continued downside movement. Monitor for any reversal signals or strong bullish candles that might invalidate the bearish setup.
Short
by DennisDims
Bitcoin - Final capitulation before a new ATH (62k)Bitcoin is almost ready for the final capitulation event at 62k. Is this a lifetime opportunity to buy BTC and catch the bottom? Definitely yes, you can do it pretty precisely at 62402 with your limit order. Why is this level so important? The most important is the 0.618 Fibonacci level that we can measure in the previous impulse wave. Second, we have an unfilled Fair Value GAP (FVGAP) that was created on May 15, 2024, during a significant pump. But with these types of GAPS, they tend to get filled, so the probability is relatively high. Third, we have the Point of Control (POC) of the previous market structure. You can see this level on the volume profile indicator on the left side of the chart.  Levels around 62k are really significant, and we can expect a strong reaction from them. But what about Elliott Wave analysis? My Elliott Wave count suggests, that the previous uptrend is definitely an impulse wave (12345), which gives us more confidence in the overall bull run. Now, the corrective wave (WXY) is in progress, and we need to find its bottom. At this point, we don't really know if it will be a WXY (double three) or WXYXZ (triple three) pattern. But the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a strong support, and we should finish the corrective wave here! After we finish this corrective wave WXY, we can mark it as wave 2 of a higher impulse wave (higher degree) and prepare for a 3rd wave, which will lead us to an all-time high. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
78
GOLD → Shake up and bounce from MA-200 (D1) FX:XAUUSD is testing range and trend resistance, forming a false break of 2340 and touching MA-200 (D1). In the meantime, the dollar is strengthening and doesn't look like it's ready to give up.... Traders are expecting Initial Jobless Claims to be relatively lukewarm towards the US market. If the figure is lower than expected, it will provide additional support to the market, which would be a negative scenario for the metal price. Technically, the price is in a downtrend. In relation to the range of 2340-2300 a false resistance breakout is formed (liquidity capture). The strong movement is similar to a shakeout in nature. A retest is possible before a further fall to the lower liquidity zone. There is still no strong buyer on the market. Resistance levels: 2340, 2358 Support levels: 2332, 2325, 2315 With a retest target, the price may return to 2340, but there is no reason for gold to break the resistance yet. Consolidation below 2332 will send the price to 2315. BUT, provided the news is negative for the dollar, gold could test the trend resistance with a breakout target. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Bears are holding 2332. Possible shake up...FX:XAUUSD rises on Tuesday and Wednesday amid unexpectedly weak news in the US market, but at the same time the dollar does not tend to fall. Today is a day off in the US and gold is creeping up towards resistance. The price is resting in the strong resistance area of 2332, the limit resistance level formed by the sellers does not let the price go beyond it. Consequently, a shake up and subsequent false breakout may occur relative to the level, which may lead to a strong fall and liquidation, as there is no strong buyer in the gold market and the fundamental background is weak. The market is within the descending channel, but in the phase of consolidation, which sooner or later will move into the realization (distribution) phase. Before that a retest of the trend resistance is possible (capture of additional liquidity) Resistance levels: 2332, 2340, 2356 Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2305 The overall situation is that we may see another bearish rally. There are no reasons to break the trend resistance at the moment. The most likely scenario is a false breakout under current circumstances. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
XAUUSD - Gold prices increased at the end of the weekGold hovered around $2,330 per ounce mark on Thursday, as sluggish US economic performance heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve might reduce interest rates this year. Tuesday’s data showed that US retail sales barely rose, signaling cooling consumer sentiment. This, along with recent labor market and price data suggesting easing pressures, prompted the Fed to seek further confirmation of cooling inflation before likely cutting interest rates by year's end. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee called the latest consumer price inflation reading "excellent" on Tuesday and expressed optimism for further inflation cooling this year. Investors are now focused on weekly jobless claims due later in the day and flash purchasing managers' indexes on Friday for insights into consumption and economic strength. 🔴SELL GOLD: 2353 - 2355, SL: 2359 🟢BUY GOLD: 2306 - 2304, SL: 2300 ⛔️Breakout: 2340 - 2325 - 2305 🔼Support: 2332 - 2325 - 2315 - 2305 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286 🔽Resistance: 2340 - 2344 - 2350 - 2355 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Scalper_Ananda
GBPCAD TREND LINE BREAKOUT IDEAPair: GBPCAD Timeframe: 4H Analysis: Trend line, volume profile , support and resistance, trend break, reversal ————— Key Takeaway: Been trending bullish for a good while and now seeing signs of a reversal. Price has broken our bullish trend line and is consolidation between two key levels of support and resistance. If we seen a lot of bearish movement and close below support then we will enter ————— Level needed: need a close bellow 1.74000 ————— Trade: SHORT RISK:REWARD 1:8 SL: 1.74200 TP: 1.73400 onward ————— DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
Short
by TheGoldRoom
GOLD → Support retest within the triangle before the news...FX:XAUUSD continues to be under strong pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar. The market failed to overcome the 2325 area and is heading for a support retest. Ahead of the news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales), increased volatility is expected. Traders are expecting neutral-bullish data against the US market. If the figures are higher than expected, gold may head lower. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, there is no strong buyer in the market yet, the rising dollar does not allow traders to take premature steps. The focus is on consolidation boundaries, a breakout of one or another boundary or level may trigger strong sell-offs (or buys). Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2340 Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2287 The chart and fundamental background speaks for itself. The news may have a temporary bullish impact on the market, but I don't think it can turn the market around under the current circumstances. The overall bearish background for gold is likely to continue this time around. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
EURCHF → A safe CHF could lead to a fall in the pairing OANDA:EURCHF is actively declining towards 0.9677 and is not ready to go up yet. Based on the general fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to fall towards 0.96 or 0.95 After a false breakdown of the range support, there is no strong reaction and the price returns to the level (retest). Fundamentally, CHF is stronger than EUR. The reason for the strong fall of the currency pair is the strong Swiss franc, which is getting stronger on the background of growing risks of recession in Europe, because in this case the Swiss franc plays the role of a hedge asset. The situation is such that determines the medium-term potential. The currency pair may continue to decline after the breakout and consolidation of the price below 0.9677. In addition, the decrease in the ECB interest rate is also a favorable background Resistance levels: 0.9738 Support levels: 0.9677 I expect that a retest of the support may lead to a breakout of the level, which will provoke a strong sell-off in the market. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
XAU - GOING SIDEWARD BUT STILL IN DOWN TRENDGold rose to around the $2,320 per ounce mark on Monday, rebounding from declines in the previous session, as investors awaited a series of economic reports and comments from Federal Reserve officials throughout the week to gauge the Fed’s interest rate cut timeline. Key focal points include the US retail sales data scheduled for later today, weekly jobless claims on Thursday, and Friday's flash purchasing managers' indices, all of which offer insights into consumer spending and economic strength. Gold maintains the small frame sideway zone, the price tops create consecutive false breaks 🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354 🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301 Note: Zone 2300 ⛔️Breakout: 📈 Breakout on: 2326 - 2341 📉 Breakout below: 2312 - 2305 🔼Support: 2305 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286 🔽Resistance: 2330 - 2340 - 2350 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
Scalp - Gold goes sideways on US holidaysGold held steady around the $2,330 per ounce mark on Wednesday after declining in the previous session, as softer-than-expected US retail sales data strengthened expectations of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. Retail sales in the US rose by 0.1% in May, following a revised 0.2% decline in April, missing the 0.2% forecast and signaling cooling consumer sentiment. Meanwhile, Fed Bank of New York President John Williams stated on Tuesday that interest rates will gradually decrease but did not specify when the central bank will begin easing monetary policy. Investors are now focused on weekly jobless claims due Thursday and flash purchasing managers' indexes on Friday for insights into consumption and economic strength. The price line has not changed yet. Although yesterday's news contributed to the rise in Gold, today's slight increase could still continue despite the Bank Holiday and important GBP News in the European session. H4 price range is getting smaller 2334-2306 waiting for a break. But with bank holidays, you should be more careful to avoid false breaks. 🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354 🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301 Note: Zone 2300 ⛔️Breakout: 2334 - 2305 🔼Support: 2324 - 2315 - 2306 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286 🔽Resistance: 2334 - 2340 - 2350 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
Jayant Agro - A Positional PickAbout the company - The Company is mainly engaged in manufacturing and trading of castor oil and its derivatives such as oleo chemicals. The group is the leading player in India for the castor oil and castor-oil based derivative products. Group has over 5 decades of experience in castor industry. Technical Parameters 1- the price gave a Breakout of Accumulation Range 2- intensity of volume is good at the time of breakout (suggests strength) 3- price looking to reach again at its all time high as monthly time frame suggests uptrend continuation 4- Price formed Flag N Pole chart pattern. 5- All the supporting indicators such as MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, are in good mood and suggestion longs. Trade Plan -- we can enter at Current Market Price and add when stock give some dip. -- safe traders can wait for a dip of 5-10% -- Stop loss is mentioned in chart as around 211 -- As there is a breakout of Flag N Pole Chart pattern, we can expect targets as the length of Pole which is around 550-570. Disclaimer- I am not SEBI registered. All the idea shared on this channel are for educational purpose. Consult your financial Advisor for any kind of investment. Thank you KARAN DINGRA
NSE:JAYAGROGN
by KARANN_DINGRA
3
AUDUSD Multiple Rejections of Support In this analysis, I'm examining a consolidation pattern. Price is showing signs of rejection, and therefore has the potential for (temporary) long positions. AUDUSD has been consolidating within a rectangle pattern (on the 4-hour chart) for some time. Price has previously rejected support on multiple occasions, suggesting it may do so again. We have observed a long-wick candlestick rejecting the key level of support and a breakout of the downtrend line. I will be closely monitoring price for a trend change confirmation, specifically looking for higher highs and higher lows. --- At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday #daytrading
Long
by Forexity
1
GOLD → Is the market bearish and preparing for what?FX:XAUUSD has been facing strong bears since the opening of the session. The price returns under 2325 and forms a consolidation. Earlier there was a retest of a strong resistance area. The market is still bearish For the gold market the area of 2325 plays a key role at the moment. Bulls are not yet ready to overcome this area on the background of strong dollar and weak fundamental background for the metals market. A retest of 2325-2340 resistance is possible before further decline. As the market is still bearish and consolidation is forming, liquidation of buyers may follow in the nearest future. The prospective target is 2305-2290-2275. There is no news today, fundamental and technical background is negative. Resistance levels: 2325, 2340, 2356 Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2295 Technically, gold may test the local lows or even update the interim lows. There is still no strong buyer ready to fight against the whole market. The price is trading in a bearish range. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
SFPUSDT → Waiting for a bullish RALLY from 0.8650BINANCE:SFPUSDT shows a beautiful bullish picture. An interesting coin that has been accumulating potential for two years and currently shows bullish prerequisites for a possible growth or even a rally. The coin continues to push towards 0.8137, a liquidity area that plays a key role in the market. Consolidation continues, but based on the overall situation, the denouement is close enough. It is worth paying attention to the resistance of the ascending triangle on the daily timeframe: 0.8630 - 0.8650. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the key figure can become the reason for activation of the phase of realization of the accumulated potential, which can give us the growth to 1.10, 1.32, or 3.1. Support levels: 0.8137, 0.7500 Resistance levels: 0.8629, 1.0, 1.3238 The movement is slow, lagging behind the entire cryptocurrency market, but shows interesting prerequisites for a possible bullish momentum. Targets are indicated on the chart Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
AUDUSD → False breakdown of resistance. Ready to go down?FX:AUDUSD is forming a false break of the range resistance, but the market continues to struggle between traders. The focus is on the risk zone, the breakout of which will send the price flying downwards. The trend is neutral, after a long-range retest of 0.66676 resistance a false breakdown is formed and the buyer has no potential to go up. A retest of the local maximum is possible, but all the emphasis is on the support at 0.6648. A break of this area will be a confirmation of the buyers' loss, as well as a break of the local uptrend, which will provoke the formation of a strong bearish impulse. Resistance levels: 0.6668, 0.6715 Support levels: 0.665, 0.6558 Most likely, the buyers' strength will not be enough to pass the mentioned resistance from the first time. At the moment the seller is pushing the market and if the key support area is broken, the market will change its local mood Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
13
GBPUSD Retest before continuing to the downsideI anticipate price will retest (to at least) the recent ascending channel lower band breakout, before continuing to the downside. --- At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday #daytrading
by Forexity