GOLD → From rally to consolidation. Rest before NFP...FX:XAUUSD strengthens on the back of Powell's comments. Light positive notes lead to DXY sell-off and a small rally of XAU to 2364. Today is a day off in the US and tomorrow is NFP.....
It's a day off in the US and there is no liquidity. There may be high volatility during trading, but the movements may be weak. Locally, the price is testing resistance and liquidity area. Within a strong distribution there are not many chances to break through the mentioned area. Most likely the formation of a correction, and local bearish patterns appear on the chart, which may lead to a correction in order to gather energy before tomorrow's NFP.
Resistance levels: 2364, 2375
Support levels: 2353, 2341
Technically, a false breakout after distribution is forming. There is no potential to go up now. High probability of correction or consolidation.
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and newsGOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech
The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates.
Data from the US labor sector is also in focus:
All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday.
The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363, 2380
Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319
Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news....
Regards R. Linda!
BILL - Time to break the trend2020 IPO, increadible run up thanks to covid helicopter money flooding the market and BILL was fitting on the fintech / solutions space perfectly.
After the peak, constant selling pressure for 3 years. We saw the IPO price recently and ran up %15 since. It is at the cusp of breaking out the downward trendline. This name is expecting to post its 1st positive income quarterly this year.
institution positioning is high, will do a sneaky %40 under the radar. Buy on the breakout, and add on the retest if it comes, run up to >70
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend.
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GOLD → 2319 keeps the market from falling, but for how long?FX:XAUUSD GOLD is still consolidating within the local range of 2340 - 2320, which is formed after breaking a strong trend line support. The dollar index is still heading northward
Gold is still unable to break downside resistance, as well as forming price consolidation below previously broken support. The key risk zone on which the bulls put so much is 2319-2320. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this line may trigger a rally to 2290-2275.
All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today at 13:30 GMT
The recent rise in gold prices can be attributed to lower US Treasury yields as traders resort to profit taking ahead of important US events. ISM, FOMC, NFP are ahead, but the fundamental background for gold is still weak and buyers do not believe in upward movement yet.
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2319, 2306, 2297
Technically, a bearish pattern is developing on the senior timeframe, unless Powell says something unpredictable today, the general background will remain the same, which will be favorable for further price decline to these areas.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP → Rally to 0.730 ↑ The fundamental denouement is comingBINANCE:XRPUSDT is approaching a possible decoupling, both technically and fundamentally. Positive signs of life could lead to a rally, first stop could be around 0.73.
On W1, the coin is trying to live, but there is a huge fundamental reason that keeps the price from going beyond resistance and flat: The SEC v. Ripple litigation.
The Ripple vs. SEC case is a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation, as a final victory would be a strong green sign for the entire cryptocurrency community amidst the SEC getting a number of restrictions on its activities lately due to overstepping its authority.
Ripple's CEO believes that the final verdict could come at the end of the summer. Everyone is counting on a positive outcome for XRP:
The court found that Ripple violated federal securities laws by making institutional sales of XRP, but dismissed other charges brought by the SEC.
Ripple Labs opposed the SEC's proposal to fine the company nearly $2 billion.
Ripple Labs said the court should impose a civil penalty of no more than $10 million
Technically:
Price continues to test the wedge resistance with the aim of breaking it, volatility decreases and consolidation continues. Below 0.4637 buyers are not letting the price in yet, which may lead to another retest of the resistance, which will only increase the chances of a breakout.
Price consolidation above 0.4962 will be the root cause of market character change and possible rally to 0.6265 - 0.73.
Support levels: 0.4637
Resistance levels: 0.4962, 0.5720
I expect that the buyers will still be able to break through the resistance of the bearish figure in the near future and ride the rally to the mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
ADAUSDT → Change of character, are the bulls coming back? ↑ 0.77BINANCE:ADAUSDT forms a change of market character, and also breaks the resistance of the wedge. Regarding the reversal zone on W1 a false breakout is formed. The coin may move into the realization phase.
The token is lagging behind the overall capitalization and market movement, still in the consolidation phase, the boundaries of which are 0.2392 (0.4) - 0.777. In the distribution phase, ADA has chances to recover. At the moment we should consider trading inside the range and after confirmation of the formation of an intermediate bottom above 0.4 (consolidation above this zone) the market will define a new range for itself. 0.4 - 0.77. The potential in this case will be the corridor with the width of 93%.
Technically, if the bulls hold the price above 0.4, it will be a good signal for the price distribution to 0.52, further to 0.678.
Support levels: 3775, 0.400
Resistance levels: 0.42, 0.522
The bearish wedge is a strong technical pattern, capable of turning the market, but in order to start the realization, the bulls need to take the defense above the key zone, in our case it is 0.400.
With Respect R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Traders prepare for bearish rally to 0.60OANDA:NZDUSD is consolidating after breaking the uptrend support. There are no signs on the chart for possible growth, only if the fundamental environment does not change drastically...
Technically, a bearish situation is forming on the senior timeframe within the 0.6219 - 0.6084 range. Traders do not believe that the dollar will start to fall and are forming sell-offs of the New Zealand dollar. A break of 0.6083 could lead to a strong sell-off that could spill the market to 0.60 - 0.587. But as the US GDP will be released tomorrow, the market may continue to move flat until some important measures are taken by the major traders.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.600
I expect a retest of the support against which a small rebound may follow. But, if the situation both technically and fundamentally will not change in the near future, we should expect the formation of a bearish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The rallies in GBP continue. Falling to 1.26?FX:GBPUSD on Friday updates the local low and confirms the bearish nature of the market. Since the opening session traders have been trying to buy back some of the decline and are heading towards the liquidity zone, from which bears may intensify selling
Traders increased selling in GBP to a 16-month high amid expectations that the Central Bank of England will start cutting interest rates sooner than the US Fed. Investors are expecting the GDP of both countries (UK and US) on Wednesday and Thursday. This will help to form a medium-term strategy.
Technically, price is heading towards the 1.270 zone of interest (psychological area), which previously played the underlying consolidation support. A retest and capture of the liquids could change the imbalance in the market, which could lead to an intensified sell-off from the said area
Resistance levels: 1.27, 1.275
Support levels: 1.26, 1.257
The dollar index looks stronger than the pound sterling, which continues to weaken due to fundamental reasons. The Feds are not yet ready to take premature action, which generally determines a negative fundamental background for the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Countertrend correction or consolidation before a fall ↓FX:XAUUSD has been updating the local minimum since the opening of the session and confirms the bearish nature of the market. The price is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity before a possible decline
Today the focus is on the news: S&P PMI, ISM. Traders are expecting relatively warm data, but, at the moment, everything revolves around the perception of inflation news regarding the inflation itself in the Fed's further view on monetary policy. High volatility is possible.
Technically, on D1 gold is trading in bearish territory and at the moment, after updating the local low, the price is heading towards the liquidity zone, from which the sell-offs may increase. There is a possibility that before further decline the price may go deeper, for example, to test the imbalance area, as well as the previously broken channel boundary (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341, 2346
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2306
It is possible that the situation may change, as traders are overreacting to inflation-related news, but at the moment, on the high timeframe is formed exclusively bearish setup on the negative fundamental background.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Further direction depends on PCE and traders' perceptionsFX:XAUUSD strengthens on the news as traders took it as a possible easing of inflation. The dollar under pressure is favorable for gold.
Ahead of the core PCE, traders expect inflation to ease from 2.8 to 2.6
If inflation data points to a slowdown in inflation, the gold price is likely to recover as the US dollar will be under strong selling pressure. This fact could be a kind of signal for a possible interest rate cut in the US in the fall (which everyone is waiting for). On the contrary, the US dollar may continue to strengthen and put pressure on the gold price if the data is unexpected....
On Thursday, mixed data on the growth of the US economy, put downward pressure on the US dollar. This helped the gold price to strengthen to 2330.
Technically, the price is testing the liquidity area where the bears may enter the fray. A false breakdown of the previously broken channel boundary may lead to another selloff.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2352
Support levels: 2332, 2319
Gold is currently in the selling zone and traders do not believe in the possible growth, the priority is to consider the price decline, but do not rush to conclusions ! Ahead of the news, a change in the fundamental environment will attract investors and we may see a breakdown of 2340 and growth to 2360, but if the fundamental background does not change, an impulse to 2300 may be formed.
Regards R. Linda!
Nvidia : Learning from the pastNASDAQ:NVDA
Looking at the past is easy, but learning from it is easier.
Let's get listed the points.
1. Breakout of trendline on 24Jan23, that started
on 19Nov21, confirmed on 29Mar22;
2. Bullish divergence started in Sep22 and
confirmed in mid Oct22;
3. No lower low after 13Oct22;
4. Breakout of previous lower high of 13Dec22 on
24Jan23 (which happened to be breakout
of Trendline as well.
EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news... FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north.
A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower.
On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline.
BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data....
Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816
Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710OANDA:GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD.
Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country.
The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415.
Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228
I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before the news. Bears may resist ↓FX:XAUUSD after falling to 2293 is forming a correction before the news as traders are shrugging off fear of unpredictability. Important news ahead that determines the medium term strategy
Traders are waiting for US GDP and PCE inflation data. Bullish data against the dollar could hurt the price of gold quite a bit, which could head towards 2220 and get a downward correction phase change to a downtrend. Regulators are still sticking to the fact that inflation is high and it is still hard to fight it.
Technically, price is forming a bounce. Local rally is directed towards interest and liquidity: 2315-2325. Possible retest of local resistance before the news, if the general mood does not change, the fall will continue from the above zones. But, a break of the resistance at 2325 will bring the market back to the range boundaries....
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2332
Support levels: 2306, 2397, 2287
Unpredictable news makes trading difficult, but based on the current data the market is bearish, there is no big buyer yet, local data may form a shakeout and increased volatility, after the exhaustion of which traders may return to sell-offs of metal
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → An attempt to break H4-D1 support. Fear?FX:XAUUSD is updating the low. The breakdown of the structure confirms the dominant bearish potential. But, the price is moving reluctantly in anticipation of the news. There could be a retest of resistance (trap) before falling.
The dollar is strongly bullish. The US market situation is difficult and regulators have hinted more often about rate hike, inflation is uncontrollably rising and this is a negative scenario for the markets.
The situation in the Middle East is heating up: the Israeli army continues to pull heavy military equipment to the borders of Lebanon. The intensification of the conflict will increase the interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
At the moment, technically, gold is in a selling zone, as the price is breaking the strong support area H4-D1. A retest is possible before the subsequent fall (if the overall fundamental environment does not change dramatically).
Resistance levels: 2326, 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2315, 2306, 2297
Traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be released tomorrow. Traders expect the DXY to continue its northward course, accordingly, the expensive dollar on gold may have a negative impact...
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD - Gold prices continued to fall💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold fell to around $2,310 per ounce on Wednesday, extending its decline from the previous session, as investors digest more hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials about the outlook for interest rate cuts. Fed Governor Lisa Cook stated on Tuesday that a rate cut will be appropriate at some point, but the timing is uncertain, while Fed Governor Bowman mentioned that she doesn't anticipate any rate cuts this year. This came on top of strong US business activity data last week, reaching a 26-month high in June, adding further to the hawkish pressure. Meanwhile, investors are looking forward to Friday’s core PCE index data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, particularly after the recent cooling of CPI and PPI data, alongside the third estimate for Q1 GDP growth and consumer spending and income.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2334 - 2336, SL: 2340
🟢BUY GOLD: 2302- 2300, SL: 2296
🟢BUY GOLD: 2294- 2292, SL: 2288
⛔️Breakout: top border 2324 - 2335 - below 2311 - 2305
🔼Support: 2311- 2306 - 2300 - 2295 - 2290
🔽Resistance: 2337- 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
USDJPY → False break of support, Yen weakens. 160.0 again?FX:USDJPY fell under the correction wave, which was caused by the liquidation of buyers based on the change in the fundamental sentiment of the dollar index. It didn't last long.
Buyers liquidation on the back of strong bullish trend. (A big player collects the position)
In general, both technically and fundamentally, the situation remains unfavorable for the Japanese yen. The national currency may continue to weaken and thus test the current ATH.
False breakdown of trend support brings the price back to the range of 155.95-157.23. Possible retest of resistance with the subsequent breakout and growth to the far liquidity zones.
Resistance levels: 157.23, 158.44
Support levels: 155.95, 154.77
The bulls should hold the defense above 155.95 with the aim to continue rising. The intermediate key point is 157.23 with the possibility of further breakout and growth.
Regards R. Linda!