GOLD → Trading inside the range. 2340 zone of interest FX:XAUUSD is not preparing to leave the local ascending channel (the nature of the channel is corrective-consolidation), as traders do not seek premature action before the news
The U.S. market is facing another problem: slowing economic growth and rising inflation is leading to recession, no matter how much the authorities deny it. Accordingly, the phase of active currency support may continue and this may have a negative impact on the metal price. Today CB Consumer Confidence - the indicator can give some idea about the mood on the market, but in general traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be published on Thursday. Neutral data is expected, but there is a high probability that the actual data will be different from the expected...
Resistance levels: 2341, 2354
Support levels: 2326, 2315, 2305
The general mood is neutral, the big players are not in a hurry to act and are consolidating. Technically, gold may strengthen to 2340 (area of interest and liquidity) within the range. The bulls may stop the micro rally and turn the price to the support, if the market maker is not enough, the price may strengthen to 2354 before coming back down
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
XAUUSD Gold prices continue to trend downPrice range to note:
Upper breakout amplitude: 2334
Lower border breakout: 2323 - 2316 - 2312
Support: 2316 - 2312- 2306 - 2300
Resistance: 2337 - 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
SELL price range 2336 - 2338
BUY price range 2302 - 2300 stop loss 2296
The scaling strategy will be launched when the above supported resistances signal on command.
Note: Full TP, SL to be safe and win the market.
GBPJPY → Breaking the psychological level. What's next, 215.0?OANDA:GBPJPY is getting ready to break resistance (ATH for 15 years). In the long term, there is upside potential to 215.8. A strong bullish formation is forming on H4-D1
On the monthly timeframe, price is in the 195-215 range. Bulls kept the defense above the support, at the same time a pre-breakdown setup is forming on the chart, the focus of which is on the resistance at 200.6. The psychological level may be broken in the nearest future, which may provoke the market to active growth towards 202-205, further towards 215 (medium-term perspective).
Japanese Central Bank is not doing well, today we expect news in the US: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, inflation data is expected to be neutral.
Resistance levels: 200.6
Support levels: 199.9
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair has a strong bullish bias. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 200, this zone will become a strong support in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
Solana - TWO Bearish IndicationsSolana has lost a longstanding trendline that acted as support since October 2023. The price has been unable to bounce back, and we're seeing a steep decline as bears are outweighing buyers:
A Technical Indicator (which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective) has just flashed SELL in the weekly timeframe. Now based on previous instances, this took us MUCH lower. These alerts happen in real time when a certain conglomeration of parameters are met (based on Strength, Trend, Averages, Real Time) and so naturally, the higher the timeframe the better the result:
The only way we will be safeguarded against a steep incoming drop, is if the price can reclaim the green trendline in the Weekly Timeframe. From a candlestick analysis perspective, seeing Three White Soldiers in the daily could be a step in the right direction ( which is UP ).
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
Bitcoin - Ultimate 2025 target + Name your coinBitcoin should bounce soon from the 62,400 level and continue in the bull market to an all-time high. Why 62,400? All details are in my previous analysis in the related section down below.
Critical news:
Looking at AI-generated images and listening to AI music causes internal mental bleeding. Regulations on AI will follow. Bad news for AI crypto coins? (Source: X).
Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Acquires 11.9K More Bitcoin for $786M. The company now holds 226,331 bitcoins worth just shy of $15 billion. The company's bitcoins were purchased at an average price of $36,798 each. (Source: CoinDesk).
To establish the ultimate profit target for the whole bull run, we need to use the Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave theory. Throw away all Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin and use only following that works: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618, 2.000, 2.382, 2.618, 3.000 etc......First, we need to make an Elliott Wave count, and after that, we can use the Fibonacci extension tool. As per my Elliott Wave count, we are in the final wave (5) of the whole bull cycle. That means we are in an impulse wave (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) and finishing the fifth wave. In general, to establish the profit target for wave (5), we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bull market, to wave (3), to wave (4). Usually, we want to target the 0.382 fib extension or the 0.618 fib extension. But in this case, it seems to be too low, so I am targeting a 1:1 FIB extension because of the wave (2) look. This gives us a profit target of 114,853.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Also, name your coin in the comment section and I will tell you my opinion + TA. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
TSLA: Key Support Levels and Potential Breakout (1H/D charts).Hourly Chart: Critical Support at 167.75
The hourly chart for TSLA highlights a crucial support level at 167.75, reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement, marked in yellow. This price area acted as a support twice, one time in May 10, and another one in June 11, indicating its importance. The purple ascending trendline suggests a potential upward movement if the support holds. However, the resistance level at 186.88, marked by the black line, must be closely monitored as it has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advances.
Daily Chart: Congestion and Key Levels
On the daily chart, the congestion zone around 167.75 is evident, indicating a period of price consolidation. This congestion area suggests indecision in the market, often preceding a significant price move. The key resistance at 186.88 aligns with the hourly chart, making it a crucial level for us to watch. A break above this level could signal a potential breakout, while a failure could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
The 186.88 level is a significant resistance point. A break above this level, confirmed by strong volume, could indicate a bullish breakout, providing a potential buying opportunity. If the support at 167.75 fails, the next significant support level is at 138.80, marked by the black line. This level should be monitored for potential buying opportunities if prices decline further.
Key Considerations
- Support Holding: The double support at 167.75 has shown strength. Its ability to hold in the future will be crucial for any bullish scenarios.
- Breakout Potential: The congestion and repeated tests of resistance at 186.88 suggest a significant move is imminent. We should be prepared for a potential breakout or a sharp move downwards if resistance holds, and if its price misses the short-term support lines seen on the hourly chart.
Conclusion
The TSLA charts suggest a period of consolidation with critical support at 167.75 and resistance at 186.88. We should closely monitor these levels for potential trading opportunities. A break above the resistance could signal a bullish move to the $206, while a failure to hold support might indicate further downside.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“ To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate. ” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
GOLD → Correction after the rally. Bears still dominateFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session, buyers are trying to hold the defense above 2325 and redeem part of Friday's fall. Fundamental background remains negative.
Idea: GOLD → Bears are engulfing the market. What's next?
We discussed a possible rebound and the strength of the bear market.
The price consolidation above the strong support at 2326 opens the range for maneuvering and may allow traders to strengthen to 2341 (2354) - the area of interest, the target of such maneuvering may be the liquidity inside the range, formed within Friday's rally by those who tried to catch the departing train. If 2341 will be confirmed and the bears will not let the price go beyond its limits, the market may go into the sell-off phase again.
Investors this week are interested in GDP and PCE, which are released in the second half of the week, the first half of the trading week may be relatively quiet.
Resistance levels: 2341, 2354
Support levels: 2325, 2315, channel support
I expect the correction to continue to the area of liquidity and interest. A major player may gather the rest of the potential before further movement in one direction or the other. Watch the price reaction to the level of 2341, which may determine either a fall or further growth to 2354.
Regards R. Linda!
Solana - TREND Indicators BEARISHUsing a Technical Indicator here which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective. At least for the short term, SOL is bearish.
We've lost a long standing trendline that has held since October 2023, which is around the time that the bullseason started.
This will all largely depend on what BITCOIN does in the short term - more info on that HERE:
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
GOLD → Bears are engulfing the market. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is hit by a strong wave of selling on optimistic fundamental data in the US market. A takeover is forming on the chart, which clearly makes traders panic.
Technically, buyers who showed interest in the metal, which started the strengthening phase from the middle of the month got under liquidation. The sellers are not ready to let the price go beyond 2350-2360 and staged a bearish rally, energized by the fundamental background, which sharply strengthened towards the already bullish dollar.
Geopolitical tensions are still at a high level, the reason for this: rumors that the Israeli army approved an offensive against Lebanon.
Toward the end of last week, the dollar both looked and continues to look quite strong, on the back of upbeat S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data. The index rose to 51.7 in the June estimate from 51.3 in May, while the services PMI rose to 55.1 from 54.8, showing continued expansion of private sector business activity at a rapid pace.
Traders are awaiting U.S. GDP to be released on Thursday and on Friday the BEA will release PCE price index data for May, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2332, 2340, 2355
Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2290
Overall, traders may try to buy back some of Friday's decline from local bullish channel support and test the resistance and liquidity area of 2332-2340. But a number of technical and fundamental patterns point to a negative backdrop, and this could generally signal a continuation of the decline after a small correction. Active selling may intensify with a downward breakout of 2316-2320 level
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD (1971 analysis) - 23% Crash will follow!EURUSD has been in a long-term downtrend since the financial crisis of 2008. On the chart, we can see that EURUSD started its downtrend at the top of the major rising wedge chart pattern. The rising wedge pattern broke bearish in 2015, and the price retested it in 2018. Since then, the price has been going down and has broken another trendline (2000 - 2022), which is a double breakdown. Right now, there are absolutely no signs of strength on this chart, and I expect a pretty severe 23% crash in the next years.
Does it mean that the DXY index will go up? Definitely yes. The downtrend is confirmed, and from a technical perspective, there is currently pretty much nothing bullish. How to take advantage of this analysis? What you should consider is to avoid long positions and focus on short positions instead to increase the probability of successful trades.
So what are the next major support levels on the way down? I don't really see any major support until 0.87617. This is a strong level because it's the POC (point of control) of the previous mini triangle that was formed during the years 2000 and 2002. I am expecting a pretty strong bounce, but this will probably not be the bottom. The next support is at 0.82311 because this is the major swing low of 2000 and it provides a lot of liquidity. A lot of traders may capitulate around this level. Big players can take advantage of it and buy EUR with a large amount of money.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → The mood is shifting. Resistance is broken... FX:XAUUSD breaks through downside range resistance and consolidates in bullish territory, opening up potential at 2365-2387.
Signs that the US labor and housing markets are cooling keep hopes for a September Fed rate cut alive, with an ECB rate cut helping to keep the gold price afloat. Another important nuance that makes investors wary: A meeting between the Russian President and the North Korean leader earlier this week, which confirms the tensions in geopolitics.
For now, all eyes are on the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services in the U.S. and the Fed Monetary Policy Report, which may shed more light on the economic outlook
There is still pressure on the market, but the price movement is detached from the dollar (correlation is decreasing), which indicates that the mood towards the metal is changing.
Resistance levels: 2365, 2387
Support levels: 2354, 2340
Technically, traders may try to break the resistance of 2365, if it succeeds, and the probability is high enough, we can go to 2387, then we need to watch the price reaction to the area. In case of false breakdown there is a probability to return to the support.
It is also worth taking into account the broken resistance that was not tested earlier
Regards R. Linda!
Will gold price reach the highest level of 2,400 in two weeks?Gold held steady around $2,360 per ounce on Friday, hovering at its highest level for two weeks, and set to post its second weekly gain, as soft US economic data reinforces predictions that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates this year. could provide further insight into the economy's strength.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2388 - 2390, SL: 2394
🟢BUY GOLD: 2345- 2343, SL: 2339
🟢BUY GOLD: 2332- 2330, SL: 2326
⛔️Breakout: 2365 - 2344
🔼Support: 2345 - 2336 - 2332 - 2325 - 2320
🔽Resistance: 2370 - 2375 - 2380 - 2388
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GBPUSD → The market maker's trap. Ready to go down ↓ ?FX:GBPUSD is losing after a prolonged struggle for resistance. A major player does not let the market beyond 1.2800. On the background of the dollar growth, the currency pair may change the local trend
The fundamental background is unstable, the US dollar is still going through Wednesday, but based on the position of regulators the dollar looks ready to strengthen further, which is generally negative for GBPUSD. On D1, the area of 1.285-1.28 is worth watching. A major player is not still holding the barrier of limit resistance zones. After a shakeout and liquidity grab (trap from the market maker), the market is ready to go down as the current zones of interest are 1.258-1.257, 125.
Support levels: 1.271, 1.265
Resistance levels: 1.28
Technically, we should wait for a pre-breakdown consolidation and subsequent breakout of 1.271, or price consolidation below this area. Having received confidence and confirmation of readiness to decline, we can wait for the previously mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Setup with Key Technical LevelsThe price is currently trending downward, showing bearish momentum after a recent rejection from a significant resistance area.
The entry point is set at 1.27395, a key level that has acted as a confluence zone in previous price action.
The first take profit target is at 1.26700, a level that aligns with historical price congestion and provides a logical exit for short-term profit.
The second take profit target is at 1.26100, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, offering an extended profit target for potential continued downside movement.
Monitor for any reversal signals or strong bullish candles that might invalidate the bearish setup.
Bitcoin - Final capitulation before a new ATH (62k)Bitcoin is almost ready for the final capitulation event at 62k. Is this a lifetime opportunity to buy BTC and catch the bottom? Definitely yes, you can do it pretty precisely at 62402 with your limit order. Why is this level so important?
The most important is the 0.618 Fibonacci level that we can measure in the previous impulse wave. Second, we have an unfilled Fair Value GAP (FVGAP) that was created on May 15, 2024, during a significant pump. But with these types of GAPS, they tend to get filled, so the probability is relatively high. Third, we have the Point of Control (POC) of the previous market structure. You can see this level on the volume profile indicator on the left side of the chart.
Levels around 62k are really significant, and we can expect a strong reaction from them. But what about Elliott Wave analysis? My Elliott Wave count suggests, that the previous uptrend is definitely an impulse wave (12345), which gives us more confidence in the overall bull run. Now, the corrective wave (WXY) is in progress, and we need to find its bottom. At this point, we don't really know if it will be a WXY (double three) or WXYXZ (triple three) pattern. But the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a strong support, and we should finish the corrective wave here!
After we finish this corrective wave WXY, we can mark it as wave 2 of a higher impulse wave (higher degree) and prepare for a 3rd wave, which will lead us to an all-time high.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → Shake up and bounce from MA-200 (D1) FX:XAUUSD is testing range and trend resistance, forming a false break of 2340 and touching MA-200 (D1). In the meantime, the dollar is strengthening and doesn't look like it's ready to give up....
Traders are expecting Initial Jobless Claims to be relatively lukewarm towards the US market. If the figure is lower than expected, it will provide additional support to the market, which would be a negative scenario for the metal price.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend. In relation to the range of 2340-2300 a false resistance breakout is formed (liquidity capture). The strong movement is similar to a shakeout in nature. A retest is possible before a further fall to the lower liquidity zone. There is still no strong buyer on the market.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2358
Support levels: 2332, 2325, 2315
With a retest target, the price may return to 2340, but there is no reason for gold to break the resistance yet. Consolidation below 2332 will send the price to 2315. BUT, provided the news is negative for the dollar, gold could test the trend resistance with a breakout target.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bears are holding 2332. Possible shake up...FX:XAUUSD rises on Tuesday and Wednesday amid unexpectedly weak news in the US market, but at the same time the dollar does not tend to fall. Today is a day off in the US and gold is creeping up towards resistance.
The price is resting in the strong resistance area of 2332, the limit resistance level formed by the sellers does not let the price go beyond it. Consequently, a shake up and subsequent false breakout may occur relative to the level, which may lead to a strong fall and liquidation, as there is no strong buyer in the gold market and the fundamental background is weak. The market is within the descending channel, but in the phase of consolidation, which sooner or later will move into the realization (distribution) phase. Before that a retest of the trend resistance is possible (capture of additional liquidity)
Resistance levels: 2332, 2340, 2356
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2305
The overall situation is that we may see another bearish rally. There are no reasons to break the trend resistance at the moment. The most likely scenario is a false breakout under current circumstances.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD - Gold prices increased at the end of the weekGold hovered around $2,330 per ounce mark on Thursday, as sluggish US economic performance heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve might reduce interest rates this year. Tuesday’s data showed that US retail sales barely rose, signaling cooling consumer sentiment. This, along with recent labor market and price data suggesting easing pressures, prompted the Fed to seek further confirmation of cooling inflation before likely cutting interest rates by year's end. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee called the latest consumer price inflation reading "excellent" on Tuesday and expressed optimism for further inflation cooling this year. Investors are now focused on weekly jobless claims due later in the day and flash purchasing managers' indexes on Friday for insights into consumption and economic strength.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2353 - 2355, SL: 2359
🟢BUY GOLD: 2306 - 2304, SL: 2300
⛔️Breakout: 2340 - 2325 - 2305
🔼Support: 2332 - 2325 - 2315 - 2305 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286
🔽Resistance: 2340 - 2344 - 2350 - 2355
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GBPCAD TREND LINE BREAKOUT IDEAPair: GBPCAD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Trend line, volume profile , support and resistance, trend break, reversal
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Key Takeaway: Been trending bullish for a good while and now seeing signs of a reversal. Price has broken our bullish trend line and is consolidation between two key levels of support and resistance. If we seen a lot of bearish movement and close below support then we will enter
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Level needed: need a close bellow 1.74000
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Trade: SHORT
RISK:REWARD 1:8
SL: 1.74200
TP: 1.73400 onward
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
GOLD → Support retest within the triangle before the news...FX:XAUUSD continues to be under strong pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar. The market failed to overcome the 2325 area and is heading for a support retest.
Ahead of the news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales), increased volatility is expected. Traders are expecting neutral-bullish data against the US market. If the figures are higher than expected, gold may head lower. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, there is no strong buyer in the market yet, the rising dollar does not allow traders to take premature steps.
The focus is on consolidation boundaries, a breakout of one or another boundary or level may trigger strong sell-offs (or buys).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2287
The chart and fundamental background speaks for itself. The news may have a temporary bullish impact on the market, but I don't think it can turn the market around under the current circumstances. The overall bearish background for gold is likely to continue this time around.
Regards R. Linda!
EURCHF → A safe CHF could lead to a fall in the pairing OANDA:EURCHF is actively declining towards 0.9677 and is not ready to go up yet. Based on the general fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to fall towards 0.96 or 0.95
After a false breakdown of the range support, there is no strong reaction and the price returns to the level (retest). Fundamentally, CHF is stronger than EUR.
The reason for the strong fall of the currency pair is the strong Swiss franc, which is getting stronger on the background of growing risks of recession in Europe, because in this case the Swiss franc plays the role of a hedge asset. The situation is such that determines the medium-term potential. The currency pair may continue to decline after the breakout and consolidation of the price below 0.9677. In addition, the decrease in the ECB interest rate is also a favorable background
Resistance levels: 0.9738
Support levels: 0.9677
I expect that a retest of the support may lead to a breakout of the level, which will provoke a strong sell-off in the market.
Regards R. Linda!