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Trend Line Break

GOLD → The realization phase is taking shape. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening well on the background of weakening dollar index, related to fundamental reasons (news on inflation). Gold's strengthening may continue, but after a correction. Bulls are interested in 2378-2350 area. The main task is to take the defense above the key liquidity and support zones. Confirmation of the end of the correction phase on H4-D1 is forming and the market is moving into the bullish phase, forming a strong realization in the form of distribution. Practically, we should wait for support retest and consolidation above the level with the aim to continue growth towards 2400-2450. Today at 12:30pm Initial Jobless Claims is published, analysts are expecting a decline in the index, which could be a bullish scenario, but actual data above 219K could weaken the dollar, while below it could strengthen. Resistance levels: 2397, 2400 Support levels: 2378, 2352 The local correction phase may be stopped near the key levels, but it all depends on the news, if they confirm the general fundamental background, the gold growth will continue, otherwise, the local correction will drag down to 2350. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Gold is forecast to continue to decline deeplyGold prices steadied in Asian trading today after posting strong overnight gains as some mild inflation data dragged the dollar to a one-month low and raised expectations of a rate cut. capacity. The yellow metal has now returned to record highs reached in May, as traders bet more that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will start cutting interest rates as soon as September. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday on this view, which should benefit overall metal prices. Gold prices are up more than 1% from Wednesday after data showed US consumer price index inflation fell in April from March, while core CPI also fell from the previous month. The figures, followed by weaker-than-expected retail sales data, raised hopes that inflation will ease in the coming months, giving the Fed more confidence in starting to cut interest rates. The CME Fedwatch tool shows traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, at nearly 54%. High interest rates push up the opportunity cost of investing in gold and other precious metals because they do not bring direct profits. The yellow metal could also benefit from increased safe-haven demand if the US economy cools further this year.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Slight fluctuations after a series of increasing daysWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold dropping 9.5 USD to 2,375.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,380.90 an ounce, down $14 from the bright spot. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, gold turned around due to normal pressure after recent gains. On that side, the recovery of the US Dollar index also added strength to gold. The dollar rose 0.2% after hitting a multi-month low in the previous session as the latest data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April. Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said that the positive news surrounding the cooling off job is not enough for the US Central Bank to make an early decision to slow down. Although gold turned down, most experts are still optimistic about gold in the future, predicting that this precious metal will soon conquer new records in the coming months. MarketGauge's director of trading education and research Michele Schneider said that while it doesn't want to start a cycle of monetary policy easing just yet, it's clear the Fed also doesn't want to push interest rates higher and that conditions will eventually deliver. solid level of support for the precious type
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
USDCAD → Weak dollar. Currency pair in the correction phase FX:USDCAD is declining on the back of a weak dollar index and breaking the support of the descending triangle, which generally allows bears to dominate the market. The price may go down to 0.355 The uptrend is not broken, a correction is forming after a retest of resistance. A descending triangle is forming on the chart as the dollar index is starting to show weakness related to the fundamentals. Most likely, from 1.36328 the price may head towards the trend support from which a rebound may follow with high probability. Resistance levels: 1.36328, 1.37 Support levels: 1.3547 I expect the bearish momentum to continue as the sellers are strong at the moment. The global trend is not broken, the market is developing a correction phase. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
NZDUSD sell setupNZDUSD is in a downward trend channel. This suggests that the New Zealand dollar is weaker than the US dollar. Price has recently showed some rejection at the top of the channel therefore we are looking to sell. The Take Profits target should be 0.58807 .We will set our Stop Loss at 0.60400 to manage risk in case the price reverses. It is important to closely monitor the trade and adjust the Stop Loss as needed to protect profits. Trading in the direction of the trend channel can help increase the probability of a successful trade.
Short
by LeoDante_FX
GOLD → Will the bullish sentiment persist after the news?FX:XAUUSD is growing and testing local descending resistance. Growth is associated with the decline in the dollar index on the background of Powell's comments. Ahead of the news on inflation... Technically, on H4 the price overcomes the correction phase and returns to the bullish rut, testing the local maximum. Bulls are focused on consolidation above 2350. If this can be done on the background of the news, 2400-2500 is ahead. Traders are waiting for the inflation report, which may be ambiguous like PPI. A slight weakening of the situation may weaken the dollar, and gold will react appropriately. Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2418 Support levels: 2352, 2336, 2328 The mood of traders is bullish, which can generally determine the medium-term outlook for us. But inflation can both strengthen this bullish mood and weaken it. Trade carefully! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Gold continues to go up, entry buy todayCooling US inflation pushed gold prices up nearly 30 USD an ounce, and helped Wall Street set a new record. Closing the trading session on May 15, each ounce of world gold for immediate delivery increased by 27 USD to 2,385 USD. During the session, gold price at one point touched 2,390 USD - the highest in nearly a month. The market went up due to the weakening of the USD and falling US government bond yields, after the country announced that April inflation increased more slowly than forecast. This data has strengthened the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates. The US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% last month. In February and March, the increase was 0.4%. This shows that inflation has restored its downward trend, giving investors more confidence that the Fed will lower interest rates from September. CPI "may be an early indicator showing that in the long term, inflation will cool down and the Fed will have the first decision to reduce interest rates," said Phillip Streible - market strategist at Blue Line Futures. CME FedWatch tracker shows that investors currently place a 74% chance of a Fed rate cut in September. The index tracking USD prices with a basket of major currencies - Dollar Index yesterday decreased 0.6%, reaching its lowest level in more than a month. This makes gold more attractive to buyers outside the US. The 10-year US government bond yield also fell to a one-month low.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Still determining the upward price trend, today's trading strateWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low. The CPI data “could be an early sign that over time inflation will cool and the Fed will make its first rate cut,” Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said. The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year. Technically, bullish gold futures have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff wrote in a note that bulls' next upside target is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance. probably at 2,400 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy after PPI news, gold increased sharply againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning. Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset. The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, identify uptrendWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 27.2 USD to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,342.2 USD/ounce, down 32.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. Short-term futures traders rushed to book profits after recent gains put pressure on the yellow metal in early trading of the week. Meanwhile, the market is still waiting for further data to know more about the interest rate direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Currently, traders and investors are waiting for important US inflation data for April with the producer price index to be released on May 14 and the consumer price index on May 15. 5. PPI is forecast to increase 0.3% over the previous month, compared to a 0.2% increase in the March report. CPI is forecast to increase 0.4%, unchanged from the March report. CPI Annual growth in April is forecast to increase by 3.6% compared to a 3.8% increase in the March report. Recently, Fed officials have said that the Fed will loosen monetary policy if there is evidence that inflation declines sustainably. Therefore, this data is very important and is expected to have a great impact on the future direction of gold. In a recent interview with Kitco News, global investment strategist Tim Hayes of Ned Davis Research expects gold prices to eventually surpass last month's record high above $2,448 an ounce, but the breakout could may not happen until the Fed actually cuts interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?FX:XAUUSD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news. Traders are waiting for PPI ( ECONOMICS:USPPIMM ) today as well as tomorrow's CPI ( ECONOMICS:USIRYY ) . Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting. Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news. Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295 Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → Retest of downtrend resistance amid weak $FX:EURUSD is heading towards trend resistance with interest. This is also supported by the weak dollar, which is standing still. But, the currency pair is still in a bearish trend Buyers are trying to strengthen the euro. On D1 a consolidation format of movement is formed. In this case, the pair may test the trend resistance, but it will be difficult to break it the first time, because the dollar will continue to rise in price for some time due to the actions of regulators, which will affect the euro. Resistance levels: 1.0802, 1.0864 Support levels: 1.0736, 1.0703 At the moment there is a probability of a retest of the resistance area, but the bears can give strong resistance to the buyers' interests, which in general can be reflected as a pullback from the upper boundary of the trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Price moves back into range. Waiting for a test of 2328FX:XAUUSD returns to the range after a false breakdown of the liquidity zone. A strong sell-off phase is forming and price is heading towards a key support and liquidity area. On local timeframes, reversal patterns cause price to test downside resistance and confirm its presence. False breakout provokes sell-offs towards 2328, this area is key for traders. The market maker is interested in a retest of the liquidity zone, relative to which a false breakout and growth towards range resistance can take place. In general, the market is still neutral-negative in the local perspective, accordingly, it is acceptable to consider both buying and selling intraday. Resistance levels: 2352, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306 The correction will end only after breaking through the descending resistance (area 2365-2370), but at the moment the market is still in the correction phase, which is developing within the 4 wave. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Gold confirms uptrend, entry buy todayGold prices fell in today's Asian session, consolidating some recent gains as traders turned more biased towards the dollar ahead of key US inflation data later in the week. The yellow metal saw some strength last week as some signs that the US economy was cooling sparked speculation of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (FED). capacity in 2024. However, gold remains below record highs hit in April and is expected to trade in a tight range ahead of this week's inflation data. The broader gold and metals market is ahead of key US inflation indicators this week. Producer price index data for April will be available on Tuesday, while more closely watched consumer price index data will be available on Wednesday. Any signs of inflation trouble are likely to further dampen expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut this year, boosting the dollar and pressuring metals prices. The greenback stabilized after recent fluctuations. Data on Friday showed US consumer confidence weakened significantly in May, but inflation forecasts remained high next year. Rising precious metals prices were also pressured by this week's inflation figures, as higher interest rates for longer increased the opportunity cost of investing in metals markets.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
TON → Ready to ↑ to 7.0. The coin is stronger than the marketOKX:TONUSDT shows quite positive dynamics both from the fundamental side and from the technical side. An attempt to end the correction with the purpose of further growth continuation is being formed. A rather interesting setup is forming on D1 indicating the formation of a strong market bottom in the area of 4.8 - 4.6. After the retest of the key liquidity zone, the price forms a false breakdown of MA-200 and the transition to the bullish zone. At the moment, a pre-breakout setup is being formed against the resistance at 5.985 (6.0). On H4 this is the resistance of the correctional movement. Breakout and consolidation above this area will form a bullish potential, the target of which will be the growth to 7.2, 7.6. Resistance levels: 6.0, 6.2, 7.2 Support levels: 5.923, 5.9 I expect the bulls to continue fighting for their positions. The pre-breakout formation may soon move to the realization phase with the purpose of growth to the mentioned zones. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
GOLD → The bulls are back, the market is recovering. Is it 2400?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2378. For two weeks traders fought for the 2300 area and the bulls won. Favorable fundamental background and technical prerequisites played into our hands. Earlier we discussed with you the formation of the correction and the formation of the bullish pattern "descending wedge". The breakout of the resistance of the wedge confirmed the end of the correction, after fixing the price above 2300 the market allowed us to get an impulse of almost 700 pips and test the area of 2378. At the moment the market is still bullish. The favorable fundamental and technical background, together with the fall of the dollar index continues to motivate buyers. After updating the local high of 2378, a stop and correction is formed. The price may reach 2350-2340 before continuing its way up. Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2417, 2431 Support levels: 2350, 2340, 2327, 2316 2350 plays an important role as it divides the chart into bullish and bearish area. A false breakout is possible, but in general we should watch the price reaction to the liquidity area. Also, the zone of 0.382 and 0.5 Fibo is important. The market is bullish and it is worth prioritizing long positions Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
Will XAUUSD come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices last week mainly maintained a recovery trend. At the beginning of the trading week, precious metal prices were listed above 2,300 USD/ounce and spent most of the trading week in the range of 2,310-2,330 USD/ounce. During the trading session on May 10, the world gold price at one point recovered to 2,375 USD/ounce. However, the upward momentum did not last long, causing the gold price to fall by 15 USD and end the weekend session at 2,360 USD/ounce. Over the past week, precious metals increased by 2.5% thanks to US employment data supporting dovish views on monetary policy. In addition, military tensions are increasing in both the Middle East and Ukraine; At the same time, data also shows that gold demand from central banks and other needs are all on the rise. Experts assess that gold is still receiving positive support in the coming time as more and more central banks appear willing to lower interest rates, thanks to the above factors. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey finds industry experts are bullish on the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Will gold come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 3,362.9 USD/ounce. Last week, the yellow metal posted modest gains as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would loosen policy this year increased following weak economic data. Experts say that next week is an important time to decide whether gold will reach a new record or not when the market receives the April consumer price index and producer price index reports. Recently, The Fed emphasized that America's inflation war is not effective when inflation is still much higher than the target level of 2%. In addition to the consumer price index and producer price index, this week the market will wait for the US retail sales report, the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications, and the statement of Fed Chairman Powell in Amsterdam. According to Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report, the US is in a persistent inflation war, where all asset classes will see "significant" revaluations and as Therefore, capital flows in the market will gradually shift to hard assets. “This is the time when the Fed takes action, which creates a bullish scenario for hard assets,” he said. McDonald believes that some metals have significant price increases and predicts gold prices will reach $3,000-3,500/ounce in the next 12-18 months.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster