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Trend Line Break

XMRUSDT: Bullish Butterfly Update: Bullish Breakout Seems LikelyXMR, despite the spot pairing having been delisted on Binance a few months ago, has survived and held above the PCZ that was of very much importance to the historic price action. During the delisting XMR had sold off back down to the PCZ in record volumes on the exchange, however, in spite of record selling the support still held, since then, the price has stagnated at this level potentially hinting towards accumulation. If the Support had Broken XMR likely would have crashed all the way back down to 20 but for the time being the coin has proven resilient at this price level and it would seem that we will soon be marking up to significantly higher prices as the diagonal Bearish Trend seems to be coming to a close.
Long
by RizeSenpai
GOLD → Are the bulls ready to break through 2430 and go ↑ ? OANDA:XAUUSD on the background of weak dollar and favorable fundamental background realizes the accumulated potential after breaking through resistance. The price is testing the global resistance of 2431. The market is bullish again, which was supported by economic news, mainly related to inflation. Technically, the gold is again interested in strong buyers after the correction phase, which ended at the moment of the beginning of the realization of the bullish pattern, as well as the confirmation of the bulls. In general, this movement can be continued, as the general background is favorable for the gold market In the coming week traders are interested in such news as: - Powell's speech on Monday - FOMC meeting minutes on Tuesday - Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday Resistance levels: 2417, 2431 Support levels: 2400, 2375 Technically, the price may test the ATH on Monday, but a bounce or a false breakdown may be formed afterwards, which will lead to a small correction. A quick retest of 2431 could lead to a breakout and further growth Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world. Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce. And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs. The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways. Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined. According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long. Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis. Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020. Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION. Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW. This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP. Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs. look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend. Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is: 1. Purple on top 2. Green next 3. Blue below that 4. Red below all This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history. Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:BABALong
by SafofAllTrades
3
GOLD → Consolidation above 2380 will cause a rise to 2400FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above the important for the market level of 2378. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this zone in order to continue growth on the background of weak dollar. Gold is recovering after leaving the correction channel. The price is once again near its highs (ATH), within the current move the price could quite possibly renew it if the fundamental background does not change next week. At the moment, the main objective of the bulls is to consolidate above 2378-2385 in order to go higher: to 2400 and then to 2430-2450. Support levels: 2378, 2371 Resistance levels: 2400, 2418 Within the current trend we may see a continuation of the trend. There is no strong news on Friday, so the movements may be calm. I am waiting for the resumption of growth from 2378, or from the channel support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
GOLD → The realization phase is taking shape. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening well on the background of weakening dollar index, related to fundamental reasons (news on inflation). Gold's strengthening may continue, but after a correction. Bulls are interested in 2378-2350 area. The main task is to take the defense above the key liquidity and support zones. Confirmation of the end of the correction phase on H4-D1 is forming and the market is moving into the bullish phase, forming a strong realization in the form of distribution. Practically, we should wait for support retest and consolidation above the level with the aim to continue growth towards 2400-2450. Today at 12:30pm Initial Jobless Claims is published, analysts are expecting a decline in the index, which could be a bullish scenario, but actual data above 219K could weaken the dollar, while below it could strengthen. Resistance levels: 2397, 2400 Support levels: 2378, 2352 The local correction phase may be stopped near the key levels, but it all depends on the news, if they confirm the general fundamental background, the gold growth will continue, otherwise, the local correction will drag down to 2350. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Gold is forecast to continue to decline deeplyGold prices steadied in Asian trading today after posting strong overnight gains as some mild inflation data dragged the dollar to a one-month low and raised expectations of a rate cut. capacity. The yellow metal has now returned to record highs reached in May, as traders bet more that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will start cutting interest rates as soon as September. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday on this view, which should benefit overall metal prices. Gold prices are up more than 1% from Wednesday after data showed US consumer price index inflation fell in April from March, while core CPI also fell from the previous month. The figures, followed by weaker-than-expected retail sales data, raised hopes that inflation will ease in the coming months, giving the Fed more confidence in starting to cut interest rates. The CME Fedwatch tool shows traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, at nearly 54%. High interest rates push up the opportunity cost of investing in gold and other precious metals because they do not bring direct profits. The yellow metal could also benefit from increased safe-haven demand if the US economy cools further this year.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Slight fluctuations after a series of increasing daysWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold dropping 9.5 USD to 2,375.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,380.90 an ounce, down $14 from the bright spot. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, gold turned around due to normal pressure after recent gains. On that side, the recovery of the US Dollar index also added strength to gold. The dollar rose 0.2% after hitting a multi-month low in the previous session as the latest data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April. Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said that the positive news surrounding the cooling off job is not enough for the US Central Bank to make an early decision to slow down. Although gold turned down, most experts are still optimistic about gold in the future, predicting that this precious metal will soon conquer new records in the coming months. MarketGauge's director of trading education and research Michele Schneider said that while it doesn't want to start a cycle of monetary policy easing just yet, it's clear the Fed also doesn't want to push interest rates higher and that conditions will eventually deliver. solid level of support for the precious type
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
USDCAD → Weak dollar. Currency pair in the correction phase FX:USDCAD is declining on the back of a weak dollar index and breaking the support of the descending triangle, which generally allows bears to dominate the market. The price may go down to 0.355 The uptrend is not broken, a correction is forming after a retest of resistance. A descending triangle is forming on the chart as the dollar index is starting to show weakness related to the fundamentals. Most likely, from 1.36328 the price may head towards the trend support from which a rebound may follow with high probability. Resistance levels: 1.36328, 1.37 Support levels: 1.3547 I expect the bearish momentum to continue as the sellers are strong at the moment. The global trend is not broken, the market is developing a correction phase. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
NZDUSD sell setupNZDUSD is in a downward trend channel. This suggests that the New Zealand dollar is weaker than the US dollar. Price has recently showed some rejection at the top of the channel therefore we are looking to sell. The Take Profits target should be 0.58807 .We will set our Stop Loss at 0.60400 to manage risk in case the price reverses. It is important to closely monitor the trade and adjust the Stop Loss as needed to protect profits. Trading in the direction of the trend channel can help increase the probability of a successful trade.
Short
by LeoDante_FX
GOLD → Will the bullish sentiment persist after the news?FX:XAUUSD is growing and testing local descending resistance. Growth is associated with the decline in the dollar index on the background of Powell's comments. Ahead of the news on inflation... Technically, on H4 the price overcomes the correction phase and returns to the bullish rut, testing the local maximum. Bulls are focused on consolidation above 2350. If this can be done on the background of the news, 2400-2500 is ahead. Traders are waiting for the inflation report, which may be ambiguous like PPI. A slight weakening of the situation may weaken the dollar, and gold will react appropriately. Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2418 Support levels: 2352, 2336, 2328 The mood of traders is bullish, which can generally determine the medium-term outlook for us. But inflation can both strengthen this bullish mood and weaken it. Trade carefully! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Gold continues to go up, entry buy todayCooling US inflation pushed gold prices up nearly 30 USD an ounce, and helped Wall Street set a new record. Closing the trading session on May 15, each ounce of world gold for immediate delivery increased by 27 USD to 2,385 USD. During the session, gold price at one point touched 2,390 USD - the highest in nearly a month. The market went up due to the weakening of the USD and falling US government bond yields, after the country announced that April inflation increased more slowly than forecast. This data has strengthened the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates. The US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% last month. In February and March, the increase was 0.4%. This shows that inflation has restored its downward trend, giving investors more confidence that the Fed will lower interest rates from September. CPI "may be an early indicator showing that in the long term, inflation will cool down and the Fed will have the first decision to reduce interest rates," said Phillip Streible - market strategist at Blue Line Futures. CME FedWatch tracker shows that investors currently place a 74% chance of a Fed rate cut in September. The index tracking USD prices with a basket of major currencies - Dollar Index yesterday decreased 0.6%, reaching its lowest level in more than a month. This makes gold more attractive to buyers outside the US. The 10-year US government bond yield also fell to a one-month low.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Still determining the upward price trend, today's trading strateWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low. The CPI data “could be an early sign that over time inflation will cool and the Fed will make its first rate cut,” Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said. The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year. Technically, bullish gold futures have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff wrote in a note that bulls' next upside target is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance. probably at 2,400 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy after PPI news, gold increased sharply againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning. Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset. The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, identify uptrendWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 27.2 USD to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,342.2 USD/ounce, down 32.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. Short-term futures traders rushed to book profits after recent gains put pressure on the yellow metal in early trading of the week. Meanwhile, the market is still waiting for further data to know more about the interest rate direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Currently, traders and investors are waiting for important US inflation data for April with the producer price index to be released on May 14 and the consumer price index on May 15. 5. PPI is forecast to increase 0.3% over the previous month, compared to a 0.2% increase in the March report. CPI is forecast to increase 0.4%, unchanged from the March report. CPI Annual growth in April is forecast to increase by 3.6% compared to a 3.8% increase in the March report. Recently, Fed officials have said that the Fed will loosen monetary policy if there is evidence that inflation declines sustainably. Therefore, this data is very important and is expected to have a great impact on the future direction of gold. In a recent interview with Kitco News, global investment strategist Tim Hayes of Ned Davis Research expects gold prices to eventually surpass last month's record high above $2,448 an ounce, but the breakout could may not happen until the Fed actually cuts interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?FX:XAUUSD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news. Traders are waiting for PPI ( ECONOMICS:USPPIMM ) today as well as tomorrow's CPI ( ECONOMICS:USIRYY ) . Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting. Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news. Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295 Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → Retest of downtrend resistance amid weak $FX:EURUSD is heading towards trend resistance with interest. This is also supported by the weak dollar, which is standing still. But, the currency pair is still in a bearish trend Buyers are trying to strengthen the euro. On D1 a consolidation format of movement is formed. In this case, the pair may test the trend resistance, but it will be difficult to break it the first time, because the dollar will continue to rise in price for some time due to the actions of regulators, which will affect the euro. Resistance levels: 1.0802, 1.0864 Support levels: 1.0736, 1.0703 At the moment there is a probability of a retest of the resistance area, but the bears can give strong resistance to the buyers' interests, which in general can be reflected as a pullback from the upper boundary of the trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9